NOAA Science Seminar Series
2015 Seminars

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Simon Kraatz Ph.D. Candidate, NOAA CREST at City College of New York

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Remote Access: https://join.me/602-976-570 Intercall Toll-Free Number: Dial-In: 866-440-7702; Access Code: 1743178832

Sponsor(s): North Central River Forecast Center. Point of contact is Pedro.Restrepo@noaa.gov

Abstract: Spatially detailed characterization of the distribution, amounts and timing of river ice is important for identifying and predicting potential ice hazards. Although information on the ice cover over inland water bodies is provided within MODIS snow products (MOD10 and MYD10), this information has little practical value for river ice monitoring. First, many rivers are not properly resolved in the MODIS land/water mask. Second, the cloud mask incorporated in the product is conservative and therefore results in reduced effective area coverage of the product. Third, the accuracy of the incorporated cloud mask depends on the particular setting and underlying land/water mask. The cloud mask in MODIS Aqua products has substantial deficiencies in this particular setting, and can't be used for river ice monitoring. In this study we present an alternative river ice monitoring algorithm for MODIS that identifies river ice both in cloud-clear conditions and through some semitransparent clouds. As input the algorithm uses an improved land/water mask accurately delineating the river channel along with MODIS radiances in bands 4 and 7 and the MODIS surface reflectance product. The algorithm has been tested and applied to daily MODIS images over the Lower Susquehanna River for the 2014 winter season. It is shown that the river ice cover retrievals made with the developed algorithm is highly consistent with in situ observed ice processes, for both individual scenes and the overall winter period. Owing to a better suited cloud masking algorithm, the new technique yields up to four times more usable river observations during the ice-bearing period as compared to those using the MODIS cloud mask. The latter provides potential for more timely identification of river ice changes and hence more accurate prediction of ice-related hazards using MODIS data

Bio(s): Mr. Simon Kraatz is a Ph.D. Candidate at the City College of New York, within the NOAA-CREST program (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration-Cooperative REmote Sensing Science & Technology Center). Mr Kraatz is currently spending an internship at the North Central River Forecast Center, where, in addition to conducting his research, is becoming familiar with the hydrologic operational forecasting aspects of the National Weather Service. NOAA-CREST is headquartered at the City College of New York. For more information about NOAA-CREST, its programs and partners, please visit: http://noaacrest.org/about

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Ed Levine, Response Operations Supervisor - East, NOAA's Office of Response and Restoration, Emergency Response Division

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast: Go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web. Abstract and

Bio(s): TBD

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Alex Marti. Earth Sciences Dept., Barcelona Supercomputing Center - Centro Nacional de Supercomputacin (BSC-CNS) POC: Geoff Dimego (geoff.dimego@noaa.gov)

Remote Access: Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/997822597 You can also dial in using your phone. United States +1 (312) 757-3121 Access Code: 997-822-597

Abstract: Large explosive volcanic eruptions can inject significant amounts of tephra (ash) and aerosols (e.g. SO2) into the atmosphere inducing a multi-scale array of physical, chemical and biological feedbacks within the environment. Volcanic Ash Transport and Dispersal (VATD) models are use to simulate the atmospheric transport, dispersion and ground deposition in order to generate operational short-term forecasts that support civil aviation and emergency management. In addition, other model applications include reconstruction of past events, probabilistic hazard assessments or simulation of recent eruptions for model evaluation purposes. In all cases, the modeling system involves a driving Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model or meteorological reanalysis dataset, an emission or source model for the eruption column (volcanic plume) and the VATD. Traditionally, VATDs have evolved decoupled (offline) from NWPs. Although this common approach has advantages from the operational point of view, it can lead to inaccurate handling of atmospheric processes with time scales smaller than the NWP output frequency and neglects eventual feedback effects of the volcanic pollutants on localscale meteorology. The aim of this talk is to present and describe the NMMB/BSC-ASH, a new online model to simulate the emission, transport and deposition of tephra particles released from volcanic eruptions. The model builds on the NMMB/BSC Chemical Transport Model (NMMB/BSC-CTM), which we have modified to account for the specifics of volcanic particles. The final objective in developing the NMMB/BSC-ASH model is twofold. On one hand, at a research level, we aim at studying the differences between the online/offline approaches and the role of feedback effects of dense volcanic ash clouds on the radiative budget and regional meteorology. On the other hand, at an operational level, the low computational cost of the NMMB dynamic core suggests that NMMB/BSC-ASH could be applied in a future for more accurate online operational forecasting of volcanic ash clouds.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Rishi Sharma, Biometrician, Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission When: 11am Pacific Time; 2pm Eastern Time

Sponsor(s): NOAA/Northwest Fisheries Science Center Monster Jam, Seminar host is Mary.Hunsicker@noaa.gov http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/monster.cfm

Remote Access: Webex: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/mw3000/mywebex/default.do?service=1&siteurl=nwfsc200&nomenu=true&main_url=%2Fmc3000%2Fe.do%3Fsiteurl%3Dnwfsc200%26AT%3DMI%26EventID%3D373422687%26UID%3D485714733%26Host%3DQUhTSwAAAAJeaYSo-_Sqwkw83oyXcvJrikJU-iMk5pYzdiOQxTG3PBmhkdvL7bD0x_aF0qaWGXOYTXLz1cIs6UyNn6_6V4YU0%26FrameSet%3D2%26MTID%3Dm8a10d4457fa2ec491285ce1c3c20b646 Meeting Number: 804 842 423 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 804 842 423 Please visit the Monster Seminar JAM web page (http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/monster.cfm) for additional information about the Series, as well as upcoming installments. The NWFSC Monster Seminar JAM is part of the OneNOAA Science Discussion Seminar Series and is open to all who wish to attend.

Abstract: An overview of the Indian Ocean Tuna Commission (IOTC) Management is presented. The IOTC is one of 5 global RFMO's that manages Tuna and tuna-like species. It was established in 1997 and follows in large the principles UNFSA. Within the context of assessments used to evaluate stock status in the IOTC, a range of approaches are pursued from data rich to data poor. The IOTC Scientific Committee process (involving the Working Parties on different species) accounts for parameter, data, structural and derived parameter uncertainty. An overview of these approaches is presented, and discussed. Stock status estimated within the IOTC process indicates that most stocks are currently healthy with respect to target and limit reference points. In addition, deterministic catch projections are made using these sources of uncertainty to assess Kobe-II strategy matrices (risk of exceeding target and limit reference points). A key point to insure the long term sustainability of the stocks is having some management procedures in place when overfishing occurs. However, the precautionary approach was not part of the original convention and the background of how the Precautionary Principle was introduced in the IOTC arena is discussed. These are fundamental for the future long-term resource sustainability in the region. An overview of the current Management Strategy Evaluation (MSE) process is presented. Problems related to operational design, management controls, capacity of countries to understand and implement a MSE, and M&E measures that may impede progress on the MSE are discussed, and solutions for long term progress are presented.

Bio(s): Dr. Rishi Sharma is a biometrician with the Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission (CRITFC), where he focuses on climate change and resilience of salmon, lamprey and eulachon on the Columbia River. He received his MS from the Quantitative Ecology and Resource Management program at UW in 1998, and his PhD in 2004. Between those years he worked both for the Quinault Indian Nation and the CRITFC on Pacific salmon management. From 2008 to 2011, Rishi co-chaired the Chinook Technical Committee for the Pacific Salmon Commission. From 2011 to 2012, Rishi worked for the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations on small pelagic fisheries and shark bycatch in the Bay of Bengal. From 2012 and 2015, Rishi served as the chief stock assessment scientist for the FAO's Indian Ocean Tuna Commission. Rishi has extensive publications and grey literature on Pacific salmon in the Pacific Northwest, small pelagic fisheries in Asia, and tuna, billfish and sharks in the Indian Ocean.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

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National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

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OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Hon. Fran Ulmer, Chair, U.S. Arctic Research Commission Register for webinar at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/461429116663212545

Sponsor(s): This webinar is part of NOAA's National Marine Protected Areas Center's monthly webinar series which is co-sponsored with EBM Tools Network.The series is focused on building and strengthening MPA networks. For a list of upcoming webinars see: http://marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/resources/webinars/ Seminar POC: Lauren.Wenzel@noaa.gov

Abstract: Fran Ulmer will provide an overview of the rapid changes that are taking place in the Arctic: social, economic, environmental and governmental, and will summarize the Arctic Council history and current agenda. Webinar co-sponsored by the NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center, the EBM Tools Network, OpenChannels.org, and MPA News. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): David Bruce and Howard Townsend, Ecologists, NOAA's Chesapeake Bay Office

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Abstract: In the Chesapeake, oyster reefs provide a wide range of ecosystem services (e.g., water filtration, nutrient sequestration and removal, provision of food and habitat for commercially valuable species). NOAA is funding several projects in Maryland and Virginia aimed at estimating the value of ecosystem services relative to large scale oyster restoration. Currently, the NOAA Chesapeake Bay office is in the middle of a multiyear study focused on quantifying the utilization of oyster restoration sites by finfish and large crustaceans. In summer 2014 we collected fish and crabs on selected sites prior to oyster restoration in the Little Choptank and Tred Avon Rivers, Maryland. Oyster reef construction occurred in fall 2014 and spring 2015, and study sites were sampled in summer 2015. Restoration activities will be complete in summer of 2016, when the sites will be seeded with juvenile hatchery oysters. Post restoration fish sampling will continue until 2018. We have identified 13 fish taxa associated with the study sites. The dominant species in the trap collections were American eel, blue crab, oyster toadfish, striped bass, and white perch. In 2015, mean catch-per-unit-effort on constructed sites was slightly greater that on control sites in both rivers, but differences were not significant ( = 0.05). All of the five dominant species were collected on all study sites in varying proportions. To date we have identified the fish community components associated with oyster reef habitats in the mesohaline Chesapeake Bay, but high variability in catch composition has made it difficult to identify general patterns among the restoration sites.

Bio(s): David Bruce is an ecologist with the NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office (Fisheries/Office Habitat Conservation). He has 16 years of experience using seabed habitat mapping and GIS to support fisheries management in the Chesapeake and Delaware Bays. Howard Townsend is an ecologist with the NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office. Dr. Townsend has over 15 years of experience developing quantitative models of populations and ecosystems. Dr. Townsend's current work is focused on applying ecosystem models of the Chesapeake Bay (and other coastal and estuarine systems) for resource management. Both David and Howard work at the Cooperative Oxford Laboratory on Maryland's Eastern Shore.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): John Lehrter, Environmental Protection Agency

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/5645674820579254017

Sponsor(s): Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: The combination of coastal acidification and hypoxia (O2 < 2 mg/L) is an emerging water quality issue because in combination lower pH and O2 concentration may have a greater impact on coastal fauna than either stressor alone. Further, the prevalence of both low pH and low O2 in coastal waters is increasing due to increasing land-based nutrient loads and uptake of CO2 by the global ocean. Addressing these issues simultaneously is attractive because in effect the decreasing O2 and increasing respiratory CO2 that contribute to the occurrence of coastal acidification and hypoxia are simply different sides of the respiratory equation and should respond proportionally to changes in nutrient loading. However, while the conceptual model for the nutrient linkage is well-developed, quantifying changes in pH and O2 related to nutrient loading in a specific system remains a challenge due to the complex physical, chemical, and biological processes that occur. For example, physical processes such as water-column vertical stratification and biogeochemical processes such as primary production and sediment diagenesis vary in time and space in a system and regulate a system's susceptibility to nutrients and the occurrence of low pH and hypoxia. Since we lack extended temporal and spatial observations of these phenomena for most systems, models are needed to extrapolate and predict temporal and spatial patterns in pH and O2 in relation to nutrients. Here, I will present model development, application, and challenges torelate nutrient loads to coastal acidification and hypoxia using a case study of the northern Gulf of Mexico in the area influenced by the Mississippi River. The ultimate goal is to predict how variation in nutrient loads, atmospheric CO2, and regional climate change affects coastal pH and O2. This can help decision-makers determine the most effective policies for managing and mediating nutrient pollution, coastal acidification and hypoxia at local and global scales. About the speaker: Dr. John Lehrter is as a research ecologist at the Gulf Ecology Division, within the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Office of Research and Development. In this capacity, John is the lead of an inter-disciplinary team of scientists investigating ecosystem response and recovery to changing nutrient loads. This work includes field and laboratory studies of nutrient dynamics and effects, model development and application, and ocean color remote sensing studies. The current emphasis of this work is in the linkage of land-based nutrient loads to coastal hypoxia, acidification, and other eutrophication impairments to aid decision-makers in the management and restoration of coastal ecosystems.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Eric Stevens (eric@gina.alaska.edu; Geographic Information Network of Alaska (GINA), University of Alaska Fairbanks)

Sponsor(s): JSTAR Seminars POC for questions: Jingfeng.Huang@noaa.gov

Remote Access:

Remote Access: https://webmeeting.umd.edu/essic_seminar/this link opens in a new window Method: To attend remotely, you will need to set up AdobeConnect

Abstract: Super-ensemble statistical precipitation forecasting is evaluated for the contiguous US. Ensemble statistical forecasting combines a number of individual forecasts of some property such as precipitation. A super-ensemble forecast considers the errors of individual forecasts in weighting them to form the ensemble. Here short-term precipitation forecast are considered to test the methods. Cross-validation is used to evaluate forecast skill. Some tests use SST predictors and some evaluate the impact of predictions including ocean-area precipitation predictors. Although predictions are heavily influenced by ENSO variations, other regions contribute greatly to forecast skill. The super- ensemble method improves skill because it combines good forecasts for different regions from different predictors. The super ensemble is also used to optimally combine forecasts from several statistical models with different qualities. Since multiple regions and predictors contribute to skill, the ENSO spring barrier is reduced in the ensemble. Using satellite-based ocean-area precipitation predictors further increases forecast skill. The resulting skill is comparable to that from dynamic-model forecasts, but the regions with best forecasts are different. That suggests that the statistical and dynamic forecasts may be combined in a larger super ensemble to yield further improvements. Biosketch of the

Presenter(s): Thomas Smith is a physical scientist with NOAA, NESDIS, STAR and CICS. His undergraduate degree is in mathematics from Rutgers University. In postgraduate studies he received a MS in meteorology, again from Rutgers, and a PhD in oceanography from the University of Delaware. His association with NOAA began with a UCAR postdoctoral fellowship at NOAA\'s Climate Prediction Center in 1990. That led to a NOAA job at CPC where he performed ocean and climate analyses for the center. In late 2000 he followed Dick Reynolds to NOAA/NCDC to continue with their collaborations. In 2007 he moved to NOAA/STAR where he works on various climate and satellite analyses.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Eric Stevens Geographic Information Network of Alaska

Sponsor(s): JPSS/GOES-R PROVING GROUND SEMINAR POC: Dr. Mitch Goldberg, mitch.goldberg@noaa.gov Remote Access 877-401-9225 pc: 53339716 WEBEX Meeting https://mmancusa.webex.com/mmancusa/j.php?MTID=mc033d120dbc22e712898326496e390a6 Meeting number: 748 090 650 Meeting password: Jpss2015!

Abstract: For several years the High Latitude Proving Ground (HLPG), based at the University of Alaska's Geographic Information Network of Alaska (GINA), has received data from SNPP and other polar orbiting satellites and delivered the resulting imagery and products to the National Weather Service in Alaska for use in weather surveillance and in the production of forecasts and warnings. In September of 2015 GINA completed a significant upgrade to its ability to receive and deliver satellite imagery thanks to funding from the Sandy Supplemental. In the aftermath of 2012's Superstorm Sandy, Congresses allocated funds for a number of projects, including the upgrades at GINA. GINA used these funds to acquire a second direct broadcast antenna and associated processing hardware that allows GINA to track more weather satellites and deliver the resulting imagery to the National Weather Service more quickly and more reliably than ever before. Alaska is sparsely populated and suffers a lack of land-based observational data. Satellite imagery, especially form polar orbiting satellites, is Alaska's single best tool for weather surveillance in and upstream of Alaska. Examples of products delivered to NWS Alaska will be presented, with special emphasis on the SNPP satellite and on the improvements in GINA's services after the Sandy Project.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Pawel Jaruga, National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), Gaithersburg, MD

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NCCOS Great Lakes Mussel Watch. Point of Contacts: Ed Johnson, ed.johnson@noaa.gov and tracy.gill@noaa.,gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed for web. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts (temporary plugin works fine).

Abstract: Among cellular structures, the genome is particularly prone to damage, which can result from replication errors, deaminations or oxygen metabolism and from exogenous agents such as carcinogenic compounds, environmental toxins, etc. Damage to DNA causes more severe consequences than damage to replaceable cellular macromolecules because the genome must be preserved for the life of the cell, and because it is copied and proliferated into next generations of the cells. Reactions with DNA of free radicals and other compounds with redox capabilities generate an abundance of products in nuclear and mitochondrial DNA of living organisms. Growing evidence points to the involvement of this type of damage in the etiology of numerous disease processes including carcinogenesis. Comprehensive understanding of the mechanisms, cellular repair, and biological consequences of DNA damage requires accurate measurement of resulting products. There are various analytical techniques, with their own advantages and drawbacks, which can be used for this purpose. Mass spectrometric techniques with isotope dilution provide positive identification and accurate quantification of products. Gas chromatography-mass spectrometry or liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry, in single or tandem versions, have been used for the measurement of numerous DNA products such as sugar and base lesions, 8,5-cyclopurine-2-deoxynucleosides, base-base tandem lesions, and DNA-protein crosslinks, in vitro and in vivo. Basic concepts and results will be presented, and the usefulness of oxidative DNA damage measurements as a source of biomarkers for precise environmental monitoring will be discussed. About the speaker: Dr. Jaruga studies include the mechanisms of oxidative stress, DNA damage and actions of DNA repair enzymes. His work includes the development of methodologies for the measurement of DNA damage and its repair in living cells with the goal of understanding the role of DNA damage and its repair in disease processes. His lab measures DNA damage and its repair in living human and animal tissues depending on disease state and treatment with DNA-damaging agents.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Steve Lindley, Director, Fisheries Ecology Division, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, NOAA

Sponsor(s): NOAA/Northwest Fisheries Science Center Monster Jam, Seminar host is Mary.Hunsicker@noaa.gov http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/monster.cfm

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/mw3000/mywebex/default.do?service=1&siteurl=nwfsc200&nomenu=true&main_url=%2Fmc3000%2Fe.do%3Fsiteurl%3Dnwfsc200%26AT%3DMI%26EventID%3D373422687%26UID%3D485714733%26Host%3DQUhTSwAAAAJeaYSo-_Sqwkw83oyXcvJrikJU-iMk5pYzdiOQxTG3PBmhkdvL7bD0x_aF0qaWGXOYTXLz1cIs6UyNn6_6V4YU0%26FrameSet%3D2%26MTID%3Dm8a10d4457fa2ec491285ce1c3c20b646 Join Webex Meeting Number: 804 842 423 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 804 842 423

Abstract: Chinook salmon persist, and at times even thrive, in California's Central Valley despite 165 years of insults to their freshwater and estuarine habitats. Fall-run Chinook are major contributors to west coast ocean salmon fisheries, largely due to successful hatchery programs, while other runs (spring, late fall and winter) persist as remnants of once large populations under the protection of the Endangered Species Act. Currently, a complex and intense resource conflict over California's scarce supply of freshwater pits salmon conservation against agricultural and municipal interests, placing NMFS at the center of a wicked environmental problem. The SWFSC, with help from many collaborators, is bolstering the scientific understanding of the situation through focused, interdisciplinary field and modeling studies, some of which will be reviewed here. The challenges posed by water scarcity, salmon conservation, and a variable and changing climate are daunting and will require sustained efforts by scientists and resource managers for decades to come.

Bio(s): Steve Lindley is director of the NMFS Southwest Fisheries Science Center's Fisheries Ecology Division in Santa Cruz, CA, and leads the Center's research programs in California demersal and anadromous species. He has a doctorate in biological oceanography from Duke University (1994) and a BA in aquatic biology from UC Santa Barbara (1989), and did postdoctoral work at Stanford University. His research interests include the ecology of anadromous fish, statistical and numerical modeling, time series analysis, and animal telemetry. He has published over 60 articles in the peer-reviewed literature. His service to NOAA has included leading the technical recovery team for Central Valley salmonids and participating in numerous status reviews of Chinook salmon, steelhead, and green sturgeon.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Rusty Brainard, Ph.D., Chief, Coral Reef Ecosystem Program, NOAA Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library; Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (301-713-2600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (301?713?2600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 866-833-7307, participant code is 8986360#. Webcast at http://www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plug?in for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: Ocean acidification is predicted to have significant impacts on coral reefs and the associated ecosystem services they provide to human societies over this century. To inform, validate, and improve laboratory experiments and predictive modelling efforts, scientists and managers from NOAA, IOC-WESTPAC, SPREP, and the countries of the western and central Pacific Ocean are collaborating to establish an integrated and interdisciplinary observing network to assess spatial patterns and monitor long-term temporal trends of the ecological impacts of ocean acidification on coral reef ecosystems across gradients of biogeography, oceanography, and anthropogenic stressors. Using standardized and comparable approaches and methods, these collaborative efforts are beginning to systematically monitor: seawater carbonate chemistry using water sampling and moored instruments, benthic community structure and abundance using biological surveys and photoquadrats, indices of crytobiota diversity using autonomous reef monitoring structures, net accretion and calcification rates using calcification accretion units and coral cores, and bioerosion rates. NOAA has established baseline observations and initiated long-term monitoring at 23 U.S.-affiliated sites in Hawaii, American Samoa, Guam, the Northern Marianas, Jarvis, Howland, and Baker Islands, and Palmyra, Kingman, Wake, and Johnston Atolls, and 2 sites in the Coral Triangle (Philippines and Timor Leste). Following two successful IOC-WESTPAC workshops, 22 additional sites are being initiated in Bangladesh (1), Cambodia (1), China (1), Indonesia (3), Malaysia (5), Philippines (7), Thailand (3), and Vietnam (1). Following two workshops and with support from New Zealand, SPREP has initiated efforts to identify multiple pilot ocean acidification monitoring sites in the Small Island Developing States of the Pacific Islands adopting similar approaches. Collectively, these standardized observations of the ecological responses to ocean acidification will inform resource managers and policymakers in their efforts to implement effective management and adaptation strategies and serve as a model for the Global Ocean Acidification Observing Network (GOA-ON).

Bio(s): Dr. Rusty Brainard is a supervisory oceanographer and founding Chief of NOAA's Coral Reef Ecosystem Division (CRED), an interdisciplinary, ecosystem-based research program that conducts integrated ecosystem observations, long-term monitoring, and applied research of coral reefs to support ecosystem-based management and conservation. CRED monitors the distribution, abundance, diversity, and condition of fish, corals, other invertebrates, algae, and microbes in the context of their diverse benthic habitats, human pressures, and changing ocean conditions, including ocean acidification (OA) and warming.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Aran Mooney, Biology Dept., Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA

Sponsor(s): NOAA Northeast Fisheries Science Center and Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Point of Contact: Mike Jech, michael.jech@noaa.gov Remote Access Info: Meeting Name: Joint NEFSC/WHOI Seminar URL: https://noaast.adobeconnect.com/nefsc-whoi-6/ Teleconference No: 866-658-7997 (toll free, US), +1 517-833-7464 (toll, outside US), Participant code: 4319624. Audio through teleconference line only!

Abstract: Measuring biodiversity and tracking changes in marine ecosystems is a challenging task. Sites are often remote, difficult to access and conventional biodiversity assessment methods are often only snap-shots of a system and can easily be impaired at night or in murky waters. We are evaluating ambient underwater sounds (soundscape) of coral reefs in many locations around the world as a potential way to identify the health of a system, its biodiversity and human usage. Here we show soundscapes can be used to identify differences in the composition of coral reef communities. We are also quantifying coral reef ambient noise levels, a needed baseline for coastal communities, and how boat sounds change this soundscape, but can also be a useful tool for managers of marine protected areas to evaluate patterns of area use.

Bio(s): Dr. Mooney is an Assistant Scientist whose research interest is in the sensory biology of animals, primarily marine organisms. Specifically he is interested in how these animals detect the world around them, what they detect (i.e., what's important to the organism), and how these animals then relate to their environment (e.g., predator detection, prey localization, habitat identification, and conspecific communication). Website- http://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=52855

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Stephanie Dutkiewicz, PhD, Principle Research Scientist, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: Ocean acidification will also affect phytoplankton: the microscopic photosynthesizing organisms that form the foundation of the marine food web and regulate key biogeochemical processes. Results from a meta-analysis of experiments that assessed growth rates of different phytoplankton taxa under both current day and elevated pCO2 conditions reveal a significant range of responses. We use a numerical model to explore how these responses at the laboratory scale might scale up to the community and global level. In simulation over a hypothetical 21st century we found that ocean acidification caused sufficient changes in competitive fitness between phytoplankton types to significantly alter community structure.

Bio(s): Dr Dutkiewicz has a Bachelor of Science in Physics (magna cum laude) from the University of Miami, a PhD in Oceanography from the University of Rhode Island and is currently a Principal Research Scientist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Her research interests lie at the intersection of the marine ecosystem and the physical and biogeochemical environment. She examines how physics and chemistry of the ocean determines phytoplankton biogeography, and how in turn those organisms affect their environment. She is particularly interested in how the interactions of these components of the earth system will change in a warming world. To advance this research she is involved in developing and using complex numerical models and simple theoretical frameworks, guided by laboratory, field and satellite observations.

OneNOAA Science Seminars Series

Presenter(s): Deborah Santavy, Research Ecologist, US EPA, Office of Research and Development, Gulf Ecology Division

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667 & enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code needed for web.

Abstract: Tools provided by the Clean Water Act to protect and restore the Nation's waters can be applied to coastal habitats such as coral reefs. First, biological integrity must be defined for coral reef habitat and adjacent mangroves and seagrass habitats. Experts in reef taxonomic assemblages (e.g., stony corals, fishes, sponges, gorgonians, algae), community structure, organism condition, ecosystem function and connectivity are developing a framework that illustrates a range of biological responses that can result from human disturbance " the Coral Reef Biological Condition Gradient. They are establishing levels of condition, with a consistent well-defined narrative for each level, and a process for translating specific metric scores into levels. Levels can be aligned with designated aquatic life uses in water quality standards and used for protection and to the extent possible, restoration. These experts are defining biological integrity for reefs in Puerto Rico which can serve as a non-shifting baseline condition. Managers will use the framework to determine which level describes the current conditions of a reef and what conditions are desired, which leads to easily communicated, quantitative goals for restoration. Authors: Deborah L. Santavy, US EPA, ORD, GED, Gulf Breeze, Fl.; Patricia Bradley, retired US EPA, ORD, AED, Key West, FL; Susan Jackson, US EPA, OW, OST, Washington, DC.

Bio(s): Deborah Santavy is a Research Ecologist with US EPA's Office of Research and Development, Gulf Ecology Division in Gulf Breeze, Florida. She has been studying different aspects of coral reefs for several decades ranging from assessing the condition of coral reefs, coral diseases, microbial ecology of reef sponges in coral reef ecology, and most recently using EPA's US Clean Water and Air Act for the protection and restoration of coral reefs. She is a member of the US EPA Biocriteria Working group.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series Project Investigators: Isaac C. Kaplan (Presenter), Research Fishery Biologist, NOAA's Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Seattle; Shallin Busch, Elizabeth Fulton, Jerry Leonard, Albert J. Hermann, Chris Harvey, Tim E. Essington, Kristin Marshall, Emma Hodgson, Paul McElhany

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series and NOS/NCCOS Center for Sponsored Coastal Ocean Research; seminar hosts are Elizabeth.Turner@noaa.gov and Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web

Abstract: Increasing fossil fuel emissions and the resulting increase in atmospheric CO2 levels will likely lead to a decline in seawater pH of 0.3 by the year 2100. Changes to seawater pH and the saturation state of aragonite and calcite (the minerals many organisms use to build protective structures) will not occur uniformly over space, but could lead to reduced populations of marine species including calcareous corals, benthos, and plankton groups. Though there is considerable ongoing effort in the field and laboratory to understand direct effects of ocean acidification on particular species, there have been few attempts to forecast the indirect and cumulative impacts of acidification, climate change, and harvest on whole food webs and fisheries. Here we evaluate the likely economic and ecological outcomes of ocean acidification in the California Current. Specifically we: Use a Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) to predict spatial projections of ocean acidification in the 2060s, as well as salinity, currents, and upwelling. ROMS has been coupled to GFDL ESM2 global circulation models and IPCC CO2 scenarios. Build on previous literature reviews and ongoing experiments to develop scenarios for the biological response of calcifying organisms to pH. Use an Atlantis ecosystem model to project these direct impacts of acidification on lower trophic levels, the resulting food web-mediated response of harvested and protected stocks, and catches by US West Coast fisheries. Atlantis is driven by dynamic, spatially explicit fields from ROMS. At the coast-wide level, our results suggest strong direct effects of acidification on benthic calcifiers such as bivalves, and on some crab and shrimp groups. Three invertebrate groups (krill, Dungeness crab, pandalid shrimp) with high productivity and low sensitivity to pH exhibited little to no direct response to acidification. The Atlantis model predicts strong indirect negative effects on many demersal fish, and some pelagic fish and sharks groups. In relatively few cases, the model predicts indirect positive effects of acidification for certain species or groups, but this was not true for any broader guild (such as demersal fish, pelagic fish, or sharks).

Bio(s): Isaac Kaplan is a Research Fishery Biologist at NOAA's Northwest Fisheries Science Center in Seattle, WA. He is a member of the Conservation Biology Division and the Integrated Marine Ecology Team. His recent focus has been the development of ecosystem models that simulate food webs, fisheries, and oceanography in a spatially explicit framework. The models have been used to test the direct and indirect effects of fisheries and fisheries management for forage fish, groundfish, and other species. He has developed and collaborated on models for the California Current and the Gulf of California (Mexico), and is supporting new projects in the Gulf of Mexico, Guam, and Chesapeake Bay. The ecosystem models are policy screening tools for strategic management planning, and have been included in NOAA's Integrated Ecosystem Assessments.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Geoff Scott, University of South Carolina

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6507300510415707393

Sponsor(s): Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network, State of the Science webinar series. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: Increased urbanization is a problem globally, as >55% of the world's population lives within 50 miles of the coast, 33 of the 50 largest cities in the world are located there, and >80% of world commerce is transported by ships. The compression of >50% of the population into the coastal zone creates a dilemma for environmental managers. Global climate change may cause numerous effects on coastal ecosystems including increased sea level rise, increased temperature, altered precipitation patterns, and ocean acidification. Climate change models when viewed in the face of this accompanying unprecedented, global urbanization, poses even greater impacts on environmental quality and human health as water quality will be greatly affected. Ocean Acidification is one of the major consequences associated with a changing environment. Changes in pH associated with Climate Change may have significant effects on many legacy pollutants as well as Contaminants of Emerging Concern (CECs) found in the environment and may alter their partitioning, persistence and fate/effects within coastal ecosystems. Results will be presented to describe how Climate Change may affect the environment including a discussion of changes in water quality such as temperature, salinity and pH which may alter the ecotoxicology of contemporary use pesticides as well as other contaminants. The resulting effects of these changes on future environmental risk assessment for chemical contaminants will be discussed. Focus will be placed on the urban environment where some of the highest pesticide use occurs, particularly in coastal ecosystems. About the speaker: Dr. Geoffrey I. Scott received his BS in Biology from Wofford College and his MS and PhD. in Marine Science from the University of South Carolina. Research experience included (1) Aquatic Toxicologist for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Bears Bluff Field Station from 1976-80, studying the impacts of water chlorination on estuarine organisms and conducting ecological assessments of oil spill impacts around the world, including assessing impacts of the Ixtoc Well Blowout in the Gulf of Mexico; (2) Director of Toxicology Program and the Wide Awake Landing Marine Field Station for Research Planning Institute from 1980-84, conducting research on hazardous waste sites impacts, oil spills and Vibrio cholerae outbreaks in the Gulf of Mexico; (3) Assistant and Associate Tenured Professor at the University of South Carolina's Arnold School of Public Health from 1984-90 working on assessing the impacts of agricultural pesticides, synthetic fuels and urban NPS runoff on coastal ecosystems; and (4) NOAA/NOS National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, Center for Coastal Environmental Health and Biomolecular Research (CCEHBR), 1990-2014, conducting research that measure the health of coastal ecosystems and evaluates the impacts of changing landscape ecology from urbanization on ecosystem and human health. Dr. Scott was the Director of NOAA's CCEHBR from 2001-2014, and formerly the Acting Director for NOAA's Center for Human Health Risk at the Hollings Marine Laboratory from 2009-2011. Dr. Scott is currently a Clinical Professor and Chair of the Department of Environmental Health Sciences at the Arnold School of Public Health at the University of South Carolina. He also holds faculty appointments at other academic Institutions including the Marine Biomedicine Program at the Medical University of South Carolina, the Marine Biology Program at the College of Charleston and Texas Tech University's Institute for Environmental and Human Health. .

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Prof. Jrgen Kurths, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research & Humboldt University, Berlin & Kings College, University of Aberdeen, UK

Sponsor(s): NOAA Climate Test Bed Seminar Series Point of Contact: Jin Huang, Director, NOAA Climate Test Bed, NOAA's National Weather Service Jin.Huang@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/ join/714576893 Meeting ID: 714-576-893 Conf.call: 1-877-680-3341 Code: 858747

Abstract: We analyse climate dynamics from a complex network approach. This leads to an inverse problem: Is there a backbone-like structure underlying the climate system? For this we propose a method to reconstruct and analyze a complex network from data generated by a spatiotemporal dynamical system. This approach enables us to uncover relations to global circulation patterns in oceans and atmosphere. We also evaluate different regional climate models from this aspect. This concept is also applied to Monsoon data; in particular, we develop a general framework to predict extreme events by combining a non-linear synchronization technique with complex networks. Applying this method, we uncover a new mechanism of extreme floods in the eastern central Andes which could be used for operational forecasts. References Donges, J., Y. Zou, N. Marwan, and J. Kurths, Europhys. Lett., 87, 48007 (2009). Donges, J., R. Donner, M. Trauth, N. Marwan, H.J. Schellnhuber, and J. Kurths, PNAS, 108, 20422-20427 (2011). Runge, J., J. Heitzig, V. Petoukhov, J. Kurths, Phys. Rev. Lett., 108, 258701 (2012). Boers, N., B. Bookhagen, N. Marwan, J. Kurths, and J. Marengo, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 4386 (2013). Boers, N., B. Bookhagen, H.M.J. Barbosa, N. Marwan, J. Kurths, and J.A. Marengo, Nature Communications, 5, 5199 (2014). Boers, N., A. Rheinwalt, B. Bookhagen, H.M.J. Barbosa, N. Marwan, J. Marengo, and J. Kurths, Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 7397 (2014)

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Arron Layns Host: JPSS/GOES-R PROVING GROUND SEMINAR POC: Dr. Mitch Goldberg, mitch.goldberg@noaa.gov Remote Access 877-401-9225 pc: 53339716# WEBEX https://mmancusa.webex.com/mmancusa/j.php?MTID=mbc87e8fbad1deef8bcbc9dde6703d1b4 Meeting number: 747 141 390 Meeting password: Jpss2015! Abstract The JPSS Proving Ground and Risk Reduction (PGRR) program was created in 2012 to support user demonstration and readiness. The highly successful PGRR program recently selected 40+ projects for funding beginning in FY15 and FY16. These projects are organized into PGRR initiatives that aim to bring together scientists/developers, users, and stakeholders from multiple projects around a common application theme. The initiative areas are: River Ice and Flooding, Soundings, Fire and Smoke, Numerical Weather Prediction, OCONUS and NCEP Centers AWIPS, Cryosphere, Land Data Assimilation, Oceans and Coasts, Atmospheric Chemistry, Hydrology, Aerosol Data Assimilation, Innovation, and Training. Each initiative sets its own goals and objectives, all with the overarching goal of increasing the use and utility of SNPP and JPSS data products in operations, particularly for NOAA users. With these projects, the PGRR program aims to double the number of JPSS data products that are used operationally within 4 years.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Swedish environmental quandaries in Marine Spatial Planning

Presenter(s): Christer Larsson, senior analyst at SwAM, Linus Hammar, analyst at SwAM, and Gustav Kgesten, spatial analyst at The Geological Survey of Sweden

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed for web. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts (temporary plugin works fine).

Abstract: The Swedish Agency of Marine and Water Management is developing marine spatial plans based on the ecosystem approach. Shipping is a major contributor of environmental stress and ship routes would have to be altered. Rerouting of international shipping is a difficult undertaking, especially for a small country. But progress has been made in the US and we are seeking exchange of experiences. MSP under the ecosystem approach requires consideration of the cumulative impact from multiple stressors. We are developing a semi-quantitative tool based on US methods, but questions remain. How best to implement a forward looking, comprehensive yet transparent, assessment that satisfies all science, stakeholders and politicians? During a short lunch seminar we would like to exchange experiences on shipping, MSP and cumulative impact assessment.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Rob Suryan, Associate professor, Department of Fisheries & Wildlife, Oregon State University

Sponsor(s): NOAA/Northwest Fisheries Science Center Monster Jam, Seminar host is Mary.Hunsicker@noaa.gov http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/monster.cfm

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/mw3000/mywebex/default.do?service=1&siteurl=nwfsc200&nomenu=true&main_url=%2Fmc3000%2Fe.do%3Fsiteurl%3Dnwfsc200%26AT%3DMI%26EventID%3D373422687%26UID%3D485714733%26Host%3DQUhTSwAAAAJeaYSo-_Sqwkw83oyXcvJrikJU-iMk5pYzdiOQxTG3PBmhkdvL7bD0x_aF0qaWGXOYTXLz1cIs6UyNn6_6V4YU0%26FrameSet%3D2%26MTID%3Dm8a10d4457fa2ec491285ce1c3c20b646 Meeting Number: 804 842 423 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 804 842 423

Abstract: Climate variability impacts marine food webs with effects propagating to higher trophic levels. Seabirds, in particular, provide a unique window into the impacts of changing marine climate. The use of seabirds as sentinel species, however, can be confounded by time lags, non-linear responses, and top-down impacts, particularly when attempting to decipher mechanisms of their response. Food web impacts of climate variation will first directly impact seabird foraging, then reproductive output and ultimately population dynamics. Longitudinal analyses of seabird diet composition, isotopic signatures, and fecundity can be used to track climate impacts through the food web and help develop a mechanistic understanding of food web dynamics. Leveraging collaborations with many investigators, I will demonstrate the merit of using time series data from a seabird colony adjacent to the Newport Hydrographic Line to help decipher food web dynamics and aid in understanding ecosystem function. BIO Dr. Rob Suryan is an Associate Professor " Senior Research in the Department of Fisheries and Wildlife at Oregon State University's Hatfield Marine Science Center. For over 20 years Rob has studied the marine ecosystem processes and their effect on foraging ecology, reproduction, and population dynamics of mid to upper trophic-level consumers, particularly seabirds. He specializes in integrated ecosystem studies working with physical, biological, and fisheries oceanographers and developing programs to integrate and model predator response to changing prey availability or ocean climate. Rob also uses satellite remote sensing applications to study atmospheric and oceanographic effects on predator distribution, identification of biological hotspots, and the effects of climate variability. He has used state of the art electronics to study foraging, migration, and dive patterns of seabirds and integrated these data with in-situ and remotely-sensed measures of prey resources or their proxies. Research methodologies include remote sensing time series analyses, habitat modeling, stable isotope analyses, animal tracking, colony-based observational studies, and vessel-based surveys. Rob applies results from many of these studies to address seabird-fishery interactions, marine spatial planning, and other human-marine resource interactions.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Scott Wallace, Senior Research Scientist, David Suzuki Foundation, and Brian Mose, a fifth generation fisherman and member of the Canadian Groundfish Research and Conservation Society

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed for web. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts (temporary plugin works fine).

Abstract: The impact of bottom trawling to seafloor habitat has been one of the major marine conservation issues over the last two decades. This seminar describes the pre-conditions, process, and first three years of results of a precedent setting ecosystem based management plan to address the habitat impacts of bottom trawling in Canada's Pacific waters. In British Columbia, Canada, industry and conservation organizations worked collaboratively over a period of three years outside of government to develop measures which formally took effect on April 2, 2012. The measures include four main components: (1) ecosystem based trawling boundaries; (2) the world's first habitat quota; (3) an encounter protocol; and (4) formation of a habitat review committee. It is demonstrated that measures implemented have resulted in reduced impacts to sensitive benthic habitat features such as coral and sponge complexes. It is concluded that the conditions required to produce this Agreement are not unique to British Columbia, yet that the potential to develop a similar Agreement and management reform elsewhere does require a unique set of conditions involving seafood markets, an effective ENGO sector, a strong regulatory environment, intra-industry cooperation, and the proper incentives.

Bio(s): Scott Wallace is a marine ecologist employed by the David Suzuki Foundation as a Senior Research Scientist. Scott is an educator, author, activist, naturalist and analyst whose career has focused on marine conservation. His work at the David Suzuki Foundation is centered on species at risk, healthy oceans, citizen science and sustainable fisheries. He leads the Foundation's seafood project and is the primary science advisor for the consumer facing SeaChoice program. He has taught several university and college level courses focused on the marine and coastal ecology of British Columbia. Scott sits on several fishery advisory boards. He holds a Ph.D. from the University of British Columbia. Brian Mose is a fifth generation fisherman and member of the Canadian Groundfish Research and Conservation Society.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Walter H.F. Smith, Geophysicist, Laboratory for Satellite Altimetry, NOAA Seminar Series: Around the Bureaus RSVP: Register online: http://doc.libcal.com/event/2199089 (When registering, you will have the option to attend the event in person or via Webex.), For more information visit http://library.doc.gov, email us at research@doc.gov, or see our Calendar of Events

Abstract: Depth measurements cover only about ten percent of Earth's ocean floor. The topography of the bottom in unmeasured areas has been inferred indirectly, using satellite radar measurements of sea level to measure gravity anomalies on the ocean surface that reveal the presence of mountains and valleys on the sea floor. This talk will look at the present state of knowledge of global ocean bottom depth, shape and roughness, what is and isn't known, what the consequences are, why they matter, and what the prospects are for improvements in the future.

Bio(s): Dr. Walter H.F. Smith is a Geophysicist in NOAA's Laboratory for Satellite Altimetry and former Chair of the scientific and technical sub-committee of GEBCO, the international and intergovernmental committee for the General Bathymetric Charts of the Oceans. Smith earned a B.Sc. at the University of Southern California, M.A., M.Phil. and Ph.D. degrees at Columbia University, and was a post-doctoral fellow at the Institute for Geophysics and Planetary Physics of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography before joining NOAA in 1992. For more information about Dr. Smith, please see his full biography.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Drought Monitoring with the NCEP North American Land Data Assimilation (NLDAS): Implications and Challenges of Extending the Length of the Climatology

Presenter(s): Ken Mitchell, Ph.D., Retired, EMC/NCEP, Prescient Weather Ltd., State College, PA Location: NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction Conference Room 2890 5830 University Research Court, College Park MD

Sponsor(s): NOAA Climate Test Bed, Point of contact is jiayu.zhou@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/join/714576893 Meeting ID: 714-576-893 Conference call: 1-877-680-3341 Code: 858747

Abstract: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/ost/CTB/Forthcoming/CTB_KMitchell.pdf

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. William Skirving, NOAA Coral Reef Watch

Sponsor(s): NOAA Coral Reef Conservation Program, www.coralreef.noaa.gov. Point of contact: Alicia Clarke,alicia.clarke@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Meeting Number: 441497235; Meeting Passcode: OCRMCCD To join the meeting: (1) go to http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=441497235&p=OCRMCCD&t=c; (2) Enter the required fields; (3) Indicate that you have read the Privacy Policy; and (4) Click on Proceed. To access the sound you must dial in using the following number (it is not through the web): Dial: (866) 581-0524 and enter Passcode: 6578691#

Abstract: The Degree Heating Weeks (DHW) satellite product suite developed by NOAA Coral Reef Watch is the only operational satellite-based coral bleaching monitoring product that provides global coverage. It is a very successful product and is used widely by national and international managers, scientists and stake holders. As the quantity and quality of field observations of coral bleaching have improved, we have seen an increasing number of cases when the DHW product under- or over-estimated bleaching events in some locations. Some of this is due to imperfect temperature measurement and/or climatology, but not all of these differences can be explained in this way. As our understanding of the physiology of coral bleaching has improved, Coral Reef Watch scientists recognized that we need a product that includes both light and temperature information to better characterize the stresses that combine to cause bleaching. The Light Stress Damage product uses the results from coral physiological experiments to combine light and temperature in an attempt to improve upon the DHW product. This talk will provide an overview of the Light Stress Damage product.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Scott Rogerson, NOAA/NESDIS Office of Satellite and Product Operations (OSPO), Satellite Products and Services Division (SPSD), Direct Services Branch (DSB)

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed for web. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts (temporary plugin works fine).

Abstract: The Argos Data Collection and Location System (DCS) consists of instruments provided by the French Space Agency on polar-orbiting satellites operated by NOAA, EUMETSAT, and the Indian Space Research Organization. Nearly 2,000 users in over 100 countries currently collect data from over 21,000 active platforms, including a wide variety of wildlife, meteorological and oceanographic equipment, commercial fishing vessels, and merchant ships. A brief history, overview of the Argos system, and diversity of user applications will be provided-with a focus on current NOAA applications and the next (fifth) decade of operations

Bio(s): Scott Rogerson is a retired U.S. Coast Guard officer and has been the Argos DCS program manager for NESDIS/OSPO since August of 2010. Before joining NOAA, he served as an officer in the U.S. Coast Guard for 21 years, including command of two patrol boats, teaching marine science at the U.S. Coast Guard Academy, and two tours at the International Ice Patrol, where he was responsible for monitoring the iceberg danger near the Grand Banks of Newfoundland and providing the limit of all known ice to the maritime community.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Mark Brady, PhD. NMFS Information Architect

Sponsor(s): NMFS Office of Science and Technology; Point of contact: Jihong.Dai@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-327-1925. Enter code 2905388# Webcast: https://noaast.adobeconnect.com/brownbag/

Abstract: Continuous improvement appears in a number of important contexts: from the works of Edwards Deming; Japanese Kaizen; Six Sigma; Lean; and NASA's Faster, Better, Cheaper. Each of these has had a major influence on companies and government organizations since 1942. In this talk you will learn about the benefits of continuous improvement to the individual and the organization. Listeners will learn how to identify improvement goals, carry out implementation, and measure results.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Aaron Cooke and Corey DiRutigliano, Cold Climate Housing Research Center

Sponsor(s): ACCAP Climate Webinar. POC: Tina Buxbaum (tmbuxbaum@alaska.edu)

Remote Access: https://accap.uaf.edu/?q=webinars

Abstract: The people of Newtok, Alaska may be North America's first climate change refugees, as the village rapidly loses ground to the unstoppable Ninglick River. The Bering Sea village is one of many threatened by coastal erosion as sea ice retreats, permafrost melts, and the earth beneath them washes away. Next summer the Cold Climate Housing Research Center will work with Newtok to build a demonstration home that reflects the climate and culture of the Yup'ik Eskimo community. The home uses electrical and water/sewer systems that can operate with or without public utilities and will be built on skis so it can be relocated to the future site. Aaron Cooke and Corey DiRutigliano will talk about working with local communities to design housing that is affordable, climate appropriate, and resilient.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Terri Adams Fuller, Associate Professor, Howard University's NOAA Center for Atmospheric Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Office of Education, Educational Partnership Program (EPP); Contact: Audrey.Trotman@noaa.gov, NOAA OEd EPP NOAA Central Library Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (301-713-2600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (3017132600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 866-833-7307, participant code is 8986360#. Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: Review of relevant literature on disaster response indicates that an individual's response to risks and threats of disaster appear to be a function of a number of factors; two of the most well documented factors in the literature are prior experience and risk perception. Some scholars have found that repeat experience with natural hazards increases individuals' understanding of potential threats and the required response to an impending danger (Cross, 1990; Janis, 1962; Perry et al., 1982). However, others have found that prior exposure to hazards has very little impact on individual's perceptions of potential dangers, and constant exposure to risks can reduce the degree to which the potential danger remains relevant in the minds of those at risk (Rogers, 1997; Ruiter et al., 2004). Consequently, the credibility of a warning is diminished when similar warnings have resulted in what may be perceived as false alarms. This presentation will discuss the various ways in which culture influences people's perceptions of risks and reactions to severe weather alerts.

Bio(s): Terri Adams, Ph.D. is an Associate Professor of Criminology in Howard University's Department of Sociology and Anthropology. Dr. Adams' research takes a multidisciplinary approach to examining issues that have both theoretical and practical implications. Her specific research interests include emergency management, policing, violence against women, and the impact of trauma and disasters on individuals and organizations. Her most recent work centers on the decision-making processes of both individuals and organizations in the face of crisis events. She is currently the principal investigator for the Examination of Resilience and Role Conflict Among First Responders project supported by the National Center for the Study of Preparedness and Catastrophic Event Response. She also serves as the lead investigator for the Social, Behavioral, and Economic component of the NOAA Center for Atmospheric Sciences at Howard University

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Kimberly Yates, US Geological Survey and Marine Center

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/3030723907937648897

Sponsor(s): Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network, State of the Science webinar series. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: Coral reefs are vital to the long-term viability of coastal society, providing economic, recreational, and aesthetic value from which coastal communities thrive. Coral reefs form over thousands of years as reef organisms build calcium carbonate skeletons, creating the three-dimensional structure of reefs that supports high levels of biodiversity and protects coastlines from waves, storm surges and tsunamis.Risk analyses indicate more than 66% of the world's reefs will be threatened by ocean acidification and warming under business as usual' climate scenarios. Ocean acidification poses a direct threat to the ability of coral reefs to grow at rates fast enough to keep up with rising sea level. This webinar will summarize the effects of ocean acidification on coral reef community metabolism, the long-term implications for reef structure, and results from recent studies in Florida and the Caribbean on ecosystem-level responses of coral reefs to ocean acidification. Additionally, natural refuges from ocean acidification for reef-building corals and other region-specific factors that may affect coral reefs will be discussed. About the speaker: Dr. Kimberly Yates is a senior research scientist at the U.S. Geological Survey Coastal and Marine Science Center, in St. Petersburg, FL. Her research currently focuses on the effect of ocean acidification on coral reef health and growth, estuarine ecosystems, and natural ocean acidification refuges for marine organisms.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Carri J. LeRoy, Member of the Faculty, Freshwater Ecology Lab, The Evergreen State College

Sponsor(s): NOAA/Northwest Fisheries Science Center Monster Jam, Seminar host is Mary.Hunsicker@noaa.gov (http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/monster.cfm)

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/mw3000/mywebex/default.do?service=1&siteurl=nwfsc200&nomenu=true&main_url=%2Fmc3000%2Fe.do%3Fsiteurl%3Dnwfsc200%26AT%3DMI%26EventID%3D373422687%26UID%3D485714733%26Host%3DQUhTSwAAAAJeaYSo-_Sqwkw83oyXcvJrikJU-iMk5pYzdiOQxTG3PBmhkdvL7bD0x_aF0qaWGXOYTXLz1cIs6UyNn6_6V4YU0%26FrameSet%3D2%26MTID%3Dm8a10d4457fa2ec491285ce1c3c20b646 Meeting Number: 804 842 423 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 804 842 423

Abstract: The Sustainability in Prisons Project (SPP) is a partnership founded by The Evergreen State College and Washington State Department of Corrections. Our mission is to bring science and nature into prisons. We conduct ecological research and conserve biodiversity by forging collaborations with scientists, inmates, prison staff, students, and community partners. Equally important, we help reduce the environmental, economic, and human costs of prisons by inspiring and informing sustainable practices. We have educational programs in all 12 prisons in the state of Washington, and we are the home of the international SPP-Network which links prisons, jails and juvenile detention facilities with colleges and universities in more than 12 other states and several countries around the world. We work with non-profits, state and federal agencies to rear and propagate rare and endangered species for restoration on prairies, sage-brush steppe, and in wetlands. Science education and interactions with scientists and graduate students has inspired several inmates to seek college degrees following their release from prison.

Bio(s): Dr. Carri LeRoy is a Member of the Faculty at The Evergreen State College and has Co-Directed the Sustainability in Prisons Project with Dan Pacholke since 2011. Through her teaching at Evergreen since 2006 and her research program in freshwater ecology and ecological genetics, she mentors undergraduate and graduate students. Through her research program, she has studies interactions between forests, streams and riparian systems in Washington, Arizona, and Utah for the past 15 years. Dr. LeRoy has published over 30 scientific research articles with students and collaborators in the fields of stream ecology, ecological genetics, riparian forest ecology and prairie plant community dynamics. Since 2006 she has published with 19 undergraduate and 5 graduate co-authors. She has received grants from NSF and the USDA and has received an award from the North American Benthological Society. Dr. LeRoy's interest in science and sustainability education in prisons grows from a Master's degree in interdisciplinary environmental education and her desire to encourage environmental stewardship in broad audiences.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Cliff McCreedy, Marine Resource Management Specialist, Ocean and Coastal Resources Branch, National Park Service Register at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/4432513267598871554

Sponsor(s): This webinar is part of NOAA's National Marine Protected Areas Center's monthly webinar series which is co-sponsored with EBM Tools Network.The series is focused on building and strengthening MPA networks. For a list of upcoming webinars see: http://marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/resources/webinars/ Seminar POC: Lauren.Wenzel@noaa.gov

Abstract: The National Park Service is entrusted with managing 86 ocean and Great Lakes parks across 22 states and four territories. With over 11,000 miles of coast and 2.5 million acres of ocean and Great Lakes waters, the parks provide tremendous recreational benefits and biological and cultural values to the nation. The Park Service celebrates its 100th birthday in 2016. The Park Service Centennial will include events and activities across the ocean and coastal parks, as part of the Find Your Park Centennial campaign, as well as virtual experiences via social media and the web. This webinar will provide a brief overview of the breadth and extent of coastal resources and issues in the National Park System and the NPS Centennial.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Andrew Rubin, John A. Knauss Fellow, NOAA Fisheries, Highly Migratory Species Management Division, Andrew.Rubin@noaa.gov Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (301-713-2600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (3017132600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 866-833-7307, participant code is 8986360#. Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: When disputes concerning the interpretation of application of the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) occur, parties to the convention are under the obligation to settle the issue in a peacefully in such a manner that international peace and security, and justice, are not endangered. Under Part XV, article 279 of the UNCLOS, parties must seek a solution by the means indicated in Article 33, paragraph 1 of the United Nations Charter, in that they seek a solution by negotiation, enquiry, mediation, conciliation, arbitration, judicial settlement, resort to regional agencies or arrangements, or other peaceful means of their own choice. If State Parties fail to reach a settlement, they must submit the dispute for compulsory dispute settlement procedures. However, these dispute settlement procedures are subject to exceptions and limitations under 3, article 298 of UNCLOS. This paper aims to better understand what article 298(1)(a)(i) means or excludes by providing an optional exception to the compulsory dispute settlement procedures for historic bays or titles. Specifically, this paper focuses on the treatment of historic bays or titles as an excluded category from dispute settlement, and traces the travaux prparatoires from the third United Nations Conference on the Law of the Sea (when this language was added and included) in chronological order so as to illuminate the intended direction of this language. In this manner, this paper provides the grounds for a narrowing of the meaning of historic bays or titles and cultivates a better understanding of what this category may exclude.

Bio(s): Andrew Rubin is a 2015 John A. Knauss Sea Grant Fellow with NOAA Fisheries, Highly Migratory Species Management Division. In this capacity Andrew works on the implementation of fisheries management actions for species of Atlantic sharks, tunas, swordfish, and billfish. Prior to the fellowship, Andrew authored a report, Paths to Fisheries Subsidies Reform: Creating sustainable fisheries through trade and economics, which reviewed the history and impact of fisheries subsidies and provided an analytic assessment of twenty international organization for their capacity to reform those subsidies. Andrew has previously worked within NOAA's Office of the General Counsel International Section, the US Coast Guard District Seven, Office of the Staff Judge Advocate, and in Oceana's Washington and Santiago, Chile offices. He earned his Bachelor of Arts degree in Political Science from the University of Rochester, and his J.D. from the University of Miami School of Law.. He is admitted to the Bar in Maryland. Note: This seminar is part of the 2015 Knauss Fellowship Brown Bag Seminar series.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Ed Johnson, NOAA's National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed for web. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts (temporary plugin works fine). Abstract and

Bio(s): Forthcoming

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Matthew Widlansky, Postdoctoral Fellow, International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed for web. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts (temporary plugin works fine

Abstract: Global mean sea levels are projected to gradually rise in response to greenhouse warming. On shorter timescales, however, modes of natural climate variability in the Pacific, such as the El Nio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), can impact regional sea level variability and extremes with considerable impacts on coastal ecosystems and island nations. How these shorter-term sea level fluctuations will change in association with a projected increase in extreme El Nio and its atmospheric variability remains unknown. Using present-generation coupled climate models forced with increasing greenhouse-gas concentrations and subtracting the effect of global mean sea level rise, we find that climate change will enhance El Nio-related sea level extremes, especially in the tropical southwestern Pacific, where very low sea level events, locally known as Taimasa which means foul-smelling tide, are projected to double in occurrence. Additionally, and throughout the tropical Pacific, prolonged interannual sea level inundations are also found to become more likely with greenhouse warming and increased frequency of extreme La Nia events, thus exacerbating the coastal impacts of the projected global mean sea level rise.

Bio(s): Matthew Widlansky is a postdoctoral fellow at the International Pacific Research Center (University of Hawaii), using climate models to study variability, seasonal predictability, and future projections. He served as a Contributing Author for the 5th assessment report of IPCC's Working Group I, assisting with the chapter on regional climate change. Matthew is particularly interested in El Nio and also assessing how climate variability affects coastal environments.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Callie Raulfs-Wang, Project Manager for Partnerships for Enhanced Engagement in Research (PEER) Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (301-713-2600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (3017132600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 866-833-7307, participant code is 8986360#. Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: For the first time, NOAA offices can participate in the PEER (Partnerships for Enhanced Engagement in Research) grants program. Join us for a brown bag presentation at noon on Tuesday, November 10, to learn more about PEER grants, qualifying collaboration with developing country researchers, and how this exciting program can benefit your office! PEER is a competitive grants program led by USAID and NAS that invites scientists in developing countries to apply for funds to support research and capacity-building activities on topics with strong potential development impacts. Developing country researchers must partner with a U.S. Government-funded researcher (or specific U.S. firms) in order to apply for a PEER award. Through these partnerships, PEER applicants benefit from the skills, laboratory access, and other resources of their U.S. partner. Both the PEER applicant and the U.S. researcher benefit from one another's expertise, and partner on truly collaborative research. Although PEER does not fund U.S. researchers or programs, NOAA can benefit from this program by leveraging scientific investments that are relevant to development goals in priority countries. Focus Areas:General technical areas for this open call include, but are not limited to biodiversity, agriculture, environment, climate change, clean energy, disaster mitigation, food security, water/sanitation, urbanization, democracy and governance, and education. In addition to the overarching fields above, PEER invites pre-proposals from applicants in the following specific countries or regions or working on the following topical areas, for which special funds are available: - Global: Health Implementation Science - Central and South Central Asia: Trans-boundary Water Research - SERVIR Priority Countries: Environmental Management and Climate Change - Infectious Disease in the Middle East - Regional Development Mission for Asia (RDMA) Priority Countries: Rapid Assessment of Fish Stocks in the South China and Sulu-Sulawesi Seas - Planet National Instruments Priority Countries: Renewable Energy and Microgrids - Brazil: Biodiversity in the Brazilian Amazon - India: GE Partnership (must have a partner designated by GE India) - Indonesia: Multiple Research Fields - South Africa: Multiple Research Fields - Tunisia: Multiple Research Fields - Vietnam: Biodiversity Additional Resources: For more information, refer to the PEER website - http://sites.nationalacademies.org/PGA/PEER/index.htm - or contact PEER.NOAA@noaa.gov. This email address will be also used to accept applications and to field questions from potential applicants. Application process and resources: http://sites.nationalacademies.org/PGA/PEER/PGA_147200 Map of funded projects: http://sites.nationalacademies.org/PGA/PEER/PGA_161491 Focus Areas: http://sites.nationalacademies.org/PGA/PEER/PGA_147214a

Bio(s): Dr. Callie Raulfs-Wang is the Project Manager for Partnerships for Enhanced Engagement in Research (PEER). PEER is USAID's Global Development Lab's flagship program for supporting developing country scientists in partnership with U.S researchers. The program supports over $50 million of USAID investment in 200 research projects in 50 countries. Previously Callie served as a Science and Research Advisor within USAID's Global Health bureau. In this role, Callie developed metrics for measuring and tracking global health investments in research and innovation and partnerships with industry. She has worked extensively in the interagency space on science programming. Callie received a Ph.D in Biochemistry, in 2009 from Virginia Tech with a focus on sulfur-processing and redox enzymes. Following her doctoral work, she worked as a post-doctoral fellow at the Cancer Vaccine Branch of the National Cancer Institute investigating the importance of selenium based treatment for carcinogenesis. Her post-doctoral work also included preclinical protocols investigating combinatorial vaccine and adjuvant strategies to overcome tumor burden.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): David Shiffman, Ph.D. Candidate, Abess Center for Ecosystem Science and Policy, University of Miami

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web. Bio and

Abstract: Social media has revolutionized how citizens communicate with each other, with experts, and with decision-makers. David Shiffman, the world's second-most followed marine scientist on social media (after Dr. Sylvia Earle,) will present some principles, case studies, and lessons learned from his experiences communicating science and conservation on social media. David has led social media training workshops for scientists and NGO employees on 5 continents, and will be happy to take any questions you have following the talk.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Lauren Rogers, Fisheries ecologist, Natural Capital Project, Stanford University

Sponsor(s): NOAA/Northwest Fisheries Science Center Monster Jam, Seminar host is Mary.Hunsicker@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/mw3000/mywebex/default.do?service=1&siteurl=nwfsc200&nomenu=true&main_url=%2Fmc3000%2Fe.do%3Fsiteurl%3Dnwfsc200%26AT%3DMI%26EventID%3D373422687%26UID%3D485714733%26Host%3DQUhTSwAAAAJeaYSo-_Sqwkw83oyXcvJrikJU-iMk5pYzdiOQxTG3PBmhkdvL7bD0x_aF0qaWGXOYTXLz1cIs6UyNn6_6V4YU0%26FrameSet%3D2%26MTID%3Dm8a10d4457fa2ec491285ce1c3c20b646 Join Webex Meeting Number: 804 842 423 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 804 842 423

Abstract: One of the primary ways people benefit from marine ecosystems is through the harvesting of fish. Climate change has the potential to disrupt the provisioning of this crucial ecosystem service by shifting species distributions and altering marine food-webs. How individual fishing communities are affected will depend on the species they target, where they target them, and their capacity for adaptation. I'll present results from an ongoing project analyzing the vulnerability of New England fish and fishing communities to climate change. We used projections of future thermal habitat on the Northeast US shelf to quantify spatial patterns of risk to 28 different species from climate change. We then examined these spatial patterns of risk to species through the lens of individual fishing communities by mapping this risk onto their historical fishing grounds. Our results highlight the challenges and opportunities that climate change will bring to fishing communities in New England, and indicate which communities will need to adapt in order to cope with climate change.

Bio(s): Lauren Rogers is a fisheries ecologist with the Natural Capital Project, Stanford University. She is interested in how fish and their ecosystems are affected by exploitation and changes in climate, and in determining which features of ecosystems make them resilient to increasing human pressures. Much of her research has focused on population spatial structure, portfolio effects, and the drivers behind short and long-term fluctuations in the abundance of harvested fish species. Prior to joining the Natural Capital Project, Lauren was a post-doctoral researcher at the University of Oslo. Lauren received her Ph.D. in Aquatic and Fishery Sciences from the University of Washington and her B.S. in Earth Systems Science from Stanford University. Please visit the Monster Seminar JAM web page for additional information about the Series, as well as upcoming installments. The NWFSC Monster Seminar JAM is part of the OneNOAA Science Discussion Seminar Series and is open to all who wish to attend. http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/monster.cfm

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Brendan Bray, Acting Program Manager, NOS Office of National Marine Sanctuaries

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast: Go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: This session will highlight one NOAA employee's experience working at Google headquarters under an existing cooperative research and development agreement (CRADA). The session will also describe how large, complex environmental data collected by NOAA (and other federal agencies) can be accessed, organized, converted and applied to global challenges using the same infrastructure that allows Google to return billions of search results in milliseconds, serve 6 billion hours of YouTube video per month and provide storage for 425 million Gmail users. Finally, the speaker will describe how NOAA is working on a collaboration that aims to combine our tremendous volume of high quality environmental data and advanced data products, private industry's vast infrastructure and technical capacity, and the American economy's innovation and energy - to create a sustainable, market-driven ecosystem that lowers the cost barrier to data publication.

Bio(s): Brendan Bray is a member of NOAA's current Leader Competency Development Program (LCDP) class and recently returned from a six-week assignment with Google, Inc. in Mountain View, CA. While in Mountain View, Brendan experienced life in one of the world's largest and most-innovative software companies while working with the Earth Engine Development team. His work focused on several projects, including integration of marine protected area boundaries with Google applications and a project to identify NOAA datasets to support development of a global digital elevation model (DEM) within the Earth Engine platform. Brendan is currently serving as Acting Program Manager for Facilities, Safety, Vessels and Aircraft with the NOAA/NOS Office of National Marine Sanctuaries.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Amy Freitag, PhD, Researcher with Virginia Sea Grant and NOAA's Chesapeake Bay Office

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; points of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov and Bruce.Vogt@noaa.gov. NOAA's Chesapeake Bay Office

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: NOAA is building a roadmap for implementing ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM) across the country. While much of the thinking thus far has happened at a large scale, a regional effort in the Chesapeake aims to test the waters of EBFM in a real community context. Oysters provide a good case study, as they serve many roles in the ecosystem, including supporting wild harvest, forming a foundation of the aquaculture industry, and providing ecosystem services such as filtering water and providing habitat through newly-restored sites and sanctuaries. The question is how can we think about all these roles together in a single vision of oyster health that also includes the livelihoods and culture of the coastal communities that depend on them?

Bio(s): Amy is a postdoctoral researcher with both Virginia Sea Grant and the NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office. She is broadly interested in the many kinds of knowledge that exist about the ocean and how they might collectively help us protect it. She spends half her life studying the most charismatic of organisms " humans " and the marine resources on which they depend. In addition to lying on the lines and nodes between disciplines, she also appreciates and wants to foster discussion about application of research and creative ways to create outreach opportunities. She deeply hopes that someday scientific literacy is high enough that the line between the expert scientist and average person is sufficiently gray that people are comfortable working across it.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): GSD leadership and research scientists

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research " Office of Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes and the National Severe Storms Laboratory

Remote Access: GotoWebinar is being used. FOR WEBCAST: 1. Go to: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/1764894653521110017 2. Enter the required fields. 3. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar.

Abstract: The Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) periodically conducts laboratory science reviews to evaluate the quality, relevance, and performance of research conducted within each OAR laboratory and to provide strategic advice to the laboratory. As part of this process, the Global Systems Division (GSD) at ESRL will be reviewed November 3-5, 2015 in Boulder, CO. The review will examine the following research areas: (1) Numerical Weather Prediction; (2) Decision Support; (3) Advanced Technologies. OAR and GSD leadership will provide overviews of the programs, followed by sessions of presentations from scientists in each of the above research areas. The review agenda and supporting materials are posted on the GSD Laboratory Review website http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gsd/research/review/2015/ Point of Contact: bridget.seegers@noaa.gov

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Tarlise "Tarlie" Townsend from the University of Michigan, Ford School of Public Policy Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Climate Stewards; point of contact is Bruce.Moravchik@noaa.gov Webinar Only: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/1576262438350172930 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar. Log into the webinar at least 5 minutes before the scheduled start time. GoToWebinar continually upgrades their software. We want to be sure you can access the meeting when it begins. Plan to use the VOIP (Voice Over Internet Protocol) option for this presentation. All participants will be muted during the duration of the webinar. If you have difficulty connecting listening to the webinar using VOIP, you may dial +1 (646) 307-1719 for audio. The access code is: 336-623-352. You will be charged for this call. No Audio Pin is needed to listen to the webinar. If you have difficulty logging in to the webinar go to: http://support.citrixonline.com/en_US/Webinar/contact?question=l The ID Number for this Webinar is: 111-626-755

Abstract: Does uncertainty about the impacts of climate change suggests that scientists aren't sure climate change is even happening? Or, perhaps, that we should wait to take mitigation or resilience actions until further research reduces that uncertainty? These are a few of the questions students might raise about the uncertainty in climate change predictions. Ms. Townsend will address them in part one of her presentation, discussing the sources of uncertainty in climate projections, what uncertainty means for scientific consensus, and how it can actually be harnessed to make better mitigation and resilience decisions. One takeaway will be that effective use of uncertainty information requires close attention to what's communicated by the media, scientists, and interest groups. In the second part of her presentation, Ms. Townsend will point out common strategies for framing risk and uncertainty information, highlighting ways that students can be smart information consumers to avoid being misled.

Bio(s): Tarlise (Tarlie) Townsend (townsent@umich.edu) is a Master's student at the University of Michigan's Ford School of Public Policy. After completing her B.S. in neuroscience and her B.A. in Germanic Studies (Indiana University, 2012), Tarlie spent a year studying risk and uncertainty communication at Berlin's Max Planck Institute for Human Development, where she was a DAAD Scholar. She then took what she had learned into the field: as a Henry Luce Scholar working in Vietnam's Ministry of Science and Technology, she and her colleagues used field experiments to investigate how rural Vietnamese perceive climate change and uncertainty. In future projects, she looks forward to studying ways to link behavioral science with policy.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Tian-Kuay Lim, The deputy Director of National Environment Agency of Singapore Authors: Tian Kuay Lim*a, Victor Khoo*b, Lewis Wu*b a National Environment Agency, Singapore b Singapore Land Authority, Singapore Sponsor EMC seminar, POC: Henry Juang Henry.Juang@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/612527717 You can also dial in using your phone. United States +1 (646) 749-3122 Access Code: 612-527-717

Abstract: The IPCC Climate Change Assessment Reports recognized the potential impacts of climate change on cities. With global warming, an increased frequency of heat waves and severity will certainly amplify the current problems associated with urban heat island (UHI) effects in a highly urban environment with densely aggregated, tall buildings. Climate change is an issue that will increasingly require knowledge and information at the local scale. The availability of high-resolution geospatial data, monitoring of land, coastal and water resources and high-resolution environmental modelling at local scales is able to support timely and reliable climate-sensitive urban planning. A well-formulated cyber-infrastructure design, incorporating recent advances in informatics and geographic information systems (GIS), is essential for the success of climate-sensitive urban planning efforts to track and adapt to a changing climate and changing environments. The study will demonstrate the use of GIS as integrative platforms for urban planning, based on coupled atmospheric and urban model and geospatial information, to facilitate the analysis and simulation of UHI in highly urbanized Singapore. The system will enable visualisation of geo-located/geo-referenced climate change information with layers that contain important infrastructure location and demographic data such as transport infrastructure. The overlay information will include highly specific and high resolution data to help government agencies to plan ahead and make informed decisions for mitigation planning for UHI and global warming and as well as environmental changes due to further intensification of urban developments in Singapore.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): GSD leadership and research scientists

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research " Office of Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes and the National Severe Storms Laboratory

Remote Access: GotoWebinar is being used. FOR WEBCAST: 1. Go to: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/1764894653521110017 2. Enter the required fields. 3. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar.

Abstract: The Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) periodically conducts laboratory science reviews to evaluate the quality, relevance, and performance of research conducted within each OAR laboratory and to provide strategic advice to the laboratory. As part of this process, the Global Systems Division (GSD) at ESRL will be reviewed November 3-5, 2015 in Boulder, CO. The review will examine the following research areas: (1) Numerical Weather Prediction; (2) Decision Support; (3) Advanced Technologies. OAR and GSD leadership will provide overviews of the programs, followed by sessions of presentations from scientists in each of the above research areas. The review agenda and supporting materials are posted on the GSD Laboratory Review website http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gsd/research/review/2015/ Point of Contact: bridget.seegers@noaa.gov

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Rodney Martinez, International Research Centre on El Nino, CIIFEN; r.martinez@ciifen.org (http://www.ciifen.org/index.php?lang=en)

Sponsor(s): NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) POC: Hernan.Garcia@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Webex: 1-877-725-4068 (8634769#). For Webcast access within the US : 1) go to http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?i=744868915&p=science&t=c; 2) type in other required fields (i.e., your name, e-mail, organization; meeting number is 744868915; password is "science" -without quotation marks, password is case sensitive- ); 3) indicate that you have read the Privacy Policy; 4) click on Proceed.

Abstract: TBD

Bio(s): Former Navy Officer, Oceanographer, BMA in Development Projects Management. Regional Coordinator of ODINCARSA-IOC-UNESCO (2001-2009). CIIFEN Scientific Coordinator (2004-topresent), CIIFEN Acting Director (2010-2012). CIIFEN International Director (2015). Member of CLIVAR Pacific Panel- World Climate Research Programme (2005-2012). Co-Chair of the Open Program Area of Climate Experts on Climate Information for Risk Management and Adaptation from the Commission of Climatology-World Meteorological Organization (2010 to present). Member of the Joint Scientific Committee of the World Climate Research Programme (2013). Member of the Steering Committee of the Global Climate Observing System (2015). Coordinator of several regional projects and activities related with Climate Risk management, early warning, information and data management, climate applications and adaptation. Main Research area: ENSO regional impacts in the Eastern Pacific and climate user interface development. Coordinator of 29 regional training courses, participation as author or coauthor in 43 publications and lecturer on more than 70 international conferences.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series Sponsor EMC seminar

Presenter(s): , Tian-Kuay Lim The deputy Director of National Environment Agency of Singapore

Title: Multi-Scale Urban System Modelling For Thermal Comfort Liveability Planning And Design POC: Henry Juang Henry.Juang@noaa.gov Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/732516925 You can also dial in using your phone. United States : +1 (872) 240-3212 Access Code: 732-516-925 ABSTRACT Tian Kuay Lim*a, Nyuk Hien Wong*b a National Environment Agency, Singapore b National University of Singapore, Singapore The urban heat island phenomenon has become a concern in many major cities worldwide, as high summer temperatures and poor wind flow in highly urbanised areas can have negative impacts on thermal comfort and health of residents by trapping air pollution, and increasing energy demand for artificial cooling. As a high-density city in the tropics, Singapore is similarly susceptible to high temperatures and the related negative impacts. To meet the population and economic needs in Singapore, it is essential that the microclimatic impacts of upcoming urban developments, as well as the long-term effects of climate change, are assessed early during the planning process, and for the appropriate design and mitigation measures to be incorporated upfront in the plans. This study seeks to develop a multi-scale coupled natural-human urban system modelling for urban planners, stakeholders and decision-makers to refine land use and development plans for maintaining good thermal comfort in both the immediate and longer term future using multiple indicators, including environmental and human response indicators. A multi-scale coupled environmental urban model using global to mesoscale atmospheric and computational fluid dynamics urban model to estimate wind, temperature and humidity ranging from global scales to urban street-level scales, is integrated with a multi-dimensional statistical model for human comfort, which includes calibration of the environmental conditions using in-situ observations from ground sensors to compute the physiological metrics to measure human comfort (questionnaires) which includes human activity, individual differences such as ageing and the psychological aspects such as the influence of colors, materials and lighting in the design on the perception of heat. This study identifies the necessity to link different temporal and spatial scales, multi-disciplinary measures and tools to enhance and deepen the understanding of urban ecosystems for thermal comfort assessment to support urban design and redevelopment in Singapore.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Aimee Fullerton, Fisheries Research Biologist, NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center)

Sponsor(s): NOAA NWFSC

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/mw3000/mywebex/default.do?service=1&siteurl=nwfsc200&nomenu=true&main_url=%2Fmc3000%2Fe.do%3Fsiteurl%3Dnwfsc200%26AT%3DMI%26EventID%3D373422687%26UID%3D485714733%26Host%3DQUhTSwAAAAJeaYSo-_Sqwkw83oyXcvJrikJU-iMk5pYzdiOQxTG3PBmhkdvL7bD0x_aF0qaWGXOYTXLz1cIs6UyNn6_6V4YU0%26FrameSet%3D2%26MTID%3Dm8a10d4457fa2ec491285ce1c3c20b646 Join Webex Meeting Number: 804 842 423 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 804 842 423

Abstract: Water temperature is a key factor influencing Pacific salmon and other aquatic organisms. Yet until recently, data describing spatial and temporal patterns in freshwater thermal regimes have been scarce. Recent advances in sampling technologies and modeling techniques have yielded large and novel datasets that can provide insights about how salmon respond to thermal regimes, and how these thermal regimes may be affected by climate change. In this talk, I will describe spatial patterns of summertime water temperature at multiple scales throughout the Pacific Northwest, and consider how climate change may alter future thermal heterogeneity and occurrence of cold water refuges. I will describe potential biological implications of temporal variability in water temperature using data from an egg incubation experiment and 4 years of year-round monitoring in the Snoqualmie River watershed. Finally, I will showcase an individual-based model designed to evaluate whether complex stream network shapes can mediate impacts of climate change to juvenile salmon survival and phenology.

Bio(s): Aimee Fullerton is a fish ecologist at the Northwest Fisheries Science Center. Her research focuses on the freshwater side of the salmon life cycle. Aimee is interested in the spatial structure of lotic populations; relationship between spatio-temporal scale and ecological patterns and processes; climate change impacts to aquatic systems; influence of nonindigenous species on native aquatic fauna; and ways that science can contribute to improved decision-making. Prior research included studying distributions of crayfishes and other nongame aquatic animals throughout North Carolina, potential impacts of a non-native European fish to the Great Lakes ecosystem, and overwinter survival of largemouth bass. She holds an M.S. from the University of Notre Dame (1998) and a B.S. from the Ohio State University (1994). She is currently a doctoral student at the University of Washington, and anticipates defending her PhD this spring.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Hosmay Lopez (NOAA/AOML); Co-authors: Dr. Shenfu Dong (NOAA/AOML), Dr. Gustavo Goni (NOAA/AOML),Dr. Sang-Ki Lee (NOAA/AOML)

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library Brown Bag Seminar Series; Contact: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov or Albert.E.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 8668337307, participant code is code 8986360# . Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: The global oceans distribute mass and heat through all basins in a large-scale circulation called the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC). This circulation in the Atlantic Ocean (AMOC) is composed of a northward-flowing branch in the upper ocean and a return flow at depths. The MOC component in the South Atlantic Ocean has been hypothesized to be of key importance for weather and climate. NOAA, and other US and international partners, are placing big efforts to monitor and understand the AMOC and associated Meridional Heat Transport (MHT) in the Atlantic at different latitudes. These efforts include monitoring the characteristics of the MHT, which are also used to validate climate models and to establish the link between AMOC and extreme weather events such as drought and heat waves. Here, we present results on one of the first attempts to link the MHT variability to extreme weather and climate. For this, a multi-century run from a coupled general circulation model is used as basis for the analysis. Results obtained indicate that weaker MHT leads to increase occurrence and severity of heat waves and droughts over Eastern Europe and Western North America. Weaker MHT is also associated with enhanced Northern Hemisphere summer monsoons. We conclude that the link between weaker MHT, stronger monsoons, and increased heat waves conditions and droughts over Europe and North America is through modification of the atmospheric circulation associated with changes in MHT. Also, results presented here suggest the possibility of decadal predictability of seasonal temperature and precipitation in that MHT in the South Atlantic Ocean could serve as potential predictor for decadal variability of droughts and heat waves over the US. The South Atlantic MHT also gives a lead-time of about 15 years from the anomalous heat transport to its weather effects over the US. These results highlight the value and need for studies involving continuous ocean observations and numerical models, necessary to improve our knowledge of the complex interaction between the SAMOC and its global impact on extreme weather.

Bio(s): Dr. Hosmay Lopez graduated with a PHD in Meteorology and Physical Oceanography from the Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences at the University of Miami in 2013. He currently holds a Post-doctoral Associate position at the NOAA - University of Miami, Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies. He works at the Physical Oceanography Division of NOAA/AOML, in Miami, FL. His main area of research is to study the links between the Atlantic Ocean and extreme weather events using numerical models.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Robert Kopp, Associate Director of Rutgers Energy Institute and an associate professor in the Rutgers Department of Earth & Planetary Sciences and Ben Horton, Professor in the Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences in the School of Environmental and Biological Sciences, Rutgers University

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast: Go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: Sea-level rise threatens coastal populations, economic activity, static infrastructure, and ecosystems by increasing the frequency and magnitude of flooding in low-lying areas. For example, Wilmington, North Carolina, experienced nuisance flooding 2.5 days/yr on average between 1938 and 1970, compared to 28 days/yr between 1991 and 2013. However, the likely magnitude of 21st century sea-level rise " both globally and regionally " is uncertain. Sound risk management necessitates that decision-makers tasked with creating resilient coastal ecosystems, communities, and economies are informed by reliable projections of the risks of regional relative sea-level (RSL) change (not just global-mean change) on policy-relevant timescales. The North Carolina Coastal Resources Commission (CRC)'s Science Panel on Coastal Hazards (2010) recommended the use of 1 m of projected RSL rise between 2000 and 2100 for statewide policy and planning purposes in North Carolina. Since the CRC's 2010 assessment, several advances have been made in the study of global and regional sea-level change. These include new reconstructions of RSL in the U.S. generally and North Carolina in particular during the Holocene (the last 11.7 thousand years) and the Common Era (the last two millennia, estimates of 20th century global-mean sea-level change, localized projections of future sea-level change, and state-level assessments of the costs of sea-level rise. Political opposition led to North Carolina House Bill 819/Session Law 2012-202, which blocked the use of the 1 m projection for regulatory purposes and charged the Science Panel on Coastal Hazards to deliver an updated assessment in 2015 that considered the full range of global, regional, and North Carolina-specific sea-level change data and hypotheses, including sea-level fall, no movement in sea level, deceleration of sea- level rise, and acceleration of sea-level rise. We assess the likelihood of these trajectories with respect to past and future sea-level changes in North Carolina.

Bio(s): Robert E. Kopp is Associate Director of Rutgers Energy Institute and an associate professor in the Rutgers Department of Earth & Planetary Sciences. His research focuses on understanding uncertainty in past and future climate change, with major emphases on sea-level change and on the interactions between physical climate change and the economy. He is a lead author of Economic Risks of Climate Change: An American Prospectus, which formed the scientific basis for the the Risky Business project, and a contributing author to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's 5th Assessment Report. He is a Leopold Leadership Fellow and a recipient of the International Union for Quaternary Research's Sir Nicholas Shackleton Medal and the American Geophysical Union's William Gilbert Medal. Benjamin P. Horton is a professor in the Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences in the School of Environmental and Biological Sciences. His research on sea-level rise was referenced in President Obama's State of the Union address in 2015. He was awarded the American Geophysical Society Voyager medal in 2014. He is a Fellow of the Geological Society of America and an author of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 5th Assessment Report (AR5).

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (301-713-2600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (301-713-2600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 866-833-7307, participant code is 8986360#. Webcast at http://www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Presenter(s): Eric Archer, PhD, Southwest Science Fisheries Center

Abstract: Currently, three subspecies of fin whales (Balaenoptera physalus) are recognized: B. p. physalus in the Northern Hemisphere, B. p. quoyi in the Southern Hemisphere, and a recently described Southern Hemisphere pygmy form, B. p. patachonica. A study of the full mitochondrial genome indicated that North Atlantic and North Pacific fin whales were significantly differentiated and did not belong to the same subspecies. Additionally there was evidence of two distinct clades in the North Pacific, one apparently the result of a successful trans-equitorial dispersal of at least one female from the Southern Hemisphere approximately 0.37 Ma. In this study, a Random Forest analysis of 777 mtDNA control region sequences showed high diagnosability for samples from the North Pacific (94%), North Atlantic (99%), and Southern Hemisphere (100%). We also analyzed 23 Single Nucleotide Polymorphism (SNP) loci on the same 154 samples used in the mitogenome study, which show significant (p 0.0001) differentiation in Fst, Gst, and 2 among fin whales in the North Pacific, North Atlantic (including the Mediterranean Sea), and Southern Hemisphere. However, the results of a Bayesian clustering method indicated that the North Atlantic and Southern Hemisphere are very similar to each other, while fin whales in the North Pacific are more distinct. There was no evidence of more than one group within the North Pacific, and direct tests of differentiation between the two main North Pacific clades identified in the mitogenomic study were non-significant. This reinforces the hypothesis that the more recently evolved North Pacific matriline resulted from a historical dispersal event and that the two North Pacific matrilines are currently freely interbreeding. These new results corroborate the mitogenome tree and provide strong evidence that fin whales in the North Pacific are a separate subspecies and the taxonomy of the species is in need of revision. The establishment of North Pacific fin whales as a distinct subspecies is a key component in management of the species in this region in light of their susceptibility to ship strikes in the southern California Bight and uncertainty about their population structure.

Bio(s): Eric Archer is a geneticist with NOAA Fisheries, Southwest Science Center, Marine Mammal Genetics Group. He graduated with in 1990 with a B.A. Biology from Virginia Wesleyan College and in 1996 with a Ph.D., Marine Biology, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD. Eric's research interests include: 1) Indirect affects of tuna purse seining on dolphin populations in the eastern tropical Pacific. 2) Cetacean systematics and population structure, 3) Developing and testing analytical tools for population genetics and 4) Integrating diverse data types to enhance our knowledge of cetacean biology.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Mike Burrows, Scottish Association for Marine Science, Scottish Marine Institute, Oban, Argyll, Scotland, UK and Ben Halpern UC Santa Barbara, California

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: Anticipating the effect of climate change on biodiversity, in particular on changes in community composition, is crucial for adaptive ecosystem management but remains a critical knowledge gap. One simple approach to this problem is to base biodiversity predictions on the idea that species may track their preferred temperatures as these temperatures shift across the Earth's surface in a changing climate. The rate at which temperatures shift in space and time are given by the so-called velocity of climate change. This measure is a ratio of the magnitude of the long-term rate of temperature change to the local spatial gradient, in the direction of that spatial gradient.

Bio(s): Mike Burrows is a professor in SAMS's Ecology Department. He has a long-standing interest in the effects of environmental variability on marine intertidal species, particularly in understanding how ecological processes such as competition and dispersal shape responses to climate change. He led two recent studies using climate data to make simple predictions about shifts in species distributions across the globe using the concept of climate velocity. Dr. Ben Halpern received his Ph.D. in marine ecology in 2003 from UC Santa Barbara and then held a joint post-doctoral fellowship at the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis (NCEAS) and the Smith Fellowship Program. He was a Research Associate at NCEAS until 2013 and then appointed Professor in the Bren School of Environmental Science and Management at UC Santa Barbara and Chair in Marine Conservation at Imperial College London. He also serves as the Director of the Center for Marine Assessment and Planning (CMAP) at UC Santa Barbara. Dr. Halpern focuses his research at the interface between marine ecology and conservation planning. He has led and participated in several key synthetic research projects that have advanced our understanding of the state of the world's oceans and the potential for marine reserves to improve ocean condition. In particular he has led the development and mapping of cumulative impact assessments at global and regional scales in marine and freshwater systems and has been the lead scientist for the Ocean Health Index project.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Allen Larar, NASA Langley Research Center, and Dave Tobin University of Wisconsin-Madison Host: JPSS/GOES-R PROVING GROUND SEMINAR POC: Dr. Mitch Goldberg, mitch.goldberg@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Phone: 877-401-9225; 53339716# WEBEX: https://mmancusa.webex.com/mmancusa/j.php?MTID=m53439587cd869329e6f3bd7acbee2241 Meeting number: 748 221 474 Meeting password: Jpss2015!

Abstract: The Suomi NPP (SNPP) Arctic airborne field campaign (SNPP-2) was a jointly NASA / NOAA sponsored experiment conducted out of Keflavik, Iceland between 7-31 March 2015. The primary objective of the campaign was to focus on SNPP validation and JPSS risk mitigation for cold scene observations, and satellite cross-validation in the Arctic region. Motivating factors for this campaign focused primarily on investigating radiance differences between CrIS, AIRS and IASI observations for very cold scenes, as well as to provide data for improving understanding and methodologies for the challenging EDR retrievals for associated cold SDR spectra. The NASA ER-2 airborne payload consisted of the high spectral resolution NAST-I (LaRC) and S-HIS (UW) infrared interferometers, the NAST-M (MIT-LL) microwave radiometer, and the high spatial resolution MASTER (AMES) spectrometer. These validation sensors were successfully implemented in 7 mission sorties underneath SNPP and other advanced sounder satellites (i.e. Aqua, Metop-A, and Metop-B) for the noted cold scene radiance spectra assessment and retrieval evaluation objectives. Aircraft profiles also included over-flight of the Summit Station Greenland instrumented ground site and some joint sorties with the UK Met Office heavily instrumented BAe-146 aircraft. This initial brief will provide an overview of the campaign and discuss preliminary results inter-comparing cold scene infrared spectra observed by the satellite sensors relative to coincident airborne data. A more comprehensive briefing covering results is anticipated at a latter date after experiment teams have had more time to produce and analyze final campaign datasets.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Rietta Hohman, Greater Farallones National Marine Sanctuary

Sponsor(s): Sharing Ocean Acidification Resources for Communicators and Educators (SOARCE) Seminar Series. This series is jointly sponsored by the NOAA National Marine Sanctuaries and Ocean Acidification Program.

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6585164624210697217

Abstract: Deep Sea Coral Communities - Sentinels of a Changing Ocean. Take your students on an incredible journey hundreds of feet beneath the surface of the ocean, without ever leaving the classroom! Using research footage from Remotely Operated Vehicles, your students will be able to utilize real scientific methods to explore the unique deep sea coral communities found in our West Coast National Marine Sanctuaries. They will investigate threats, such as ocean acidification, that these precious ecosystems face and learn the importance of long-term scientific monitoring and protection. This brand new program is aligned with the Next Generation Science Standards and all materials will be available for teachers to download from the web free of cost. Rietta Hohman will be presenting this webinar and is a member of the education staff for the Greater Farallones National Marine Sanctuary, where she coordinates the At Your School Marine Science Outreach Program and the Marine Explorers Summer Camp. Since starting with the sanctuary in 2010, Rietta has developed marine science curriculum and outreach materials surrounding ocean acidification and other threats that face precious marine ecosystems with the goal of increasing ocean literacy in classrooms and with the public.

Bio(s): Rietta Hohman is a member of the education staff for the Greater Farallones National Marine Sanctuary, where she coordinates the At Your School Marine Science Outreach Program and the Marine Explorers Summer Camp. Since starting with the sanctuary in 2010, Rietta has developed marine science curriculum and outreach materials surrounding ocean acidification and other threats that face precious marine ecosystems with the goal of increasing ocean literacy in classrooms and with the public.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Juli Trtanj, MES, NOAA One Health and Climate Extremes Research Integration Lead, NOAA Climate Program Office Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (301-713-2600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (301-713-2600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 866-833-7307, participant code is 8986360#. Webcast at http://www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: This brown bag is designed to introduce the final draft of the US Global Change Research Program's Climate and Health Assessment, and to solicit your input as part of the final agency review process. The purpose of this interagency assessment is to provide a comprehensive, evidence-based, and where possible, quantitative estimation of observed and projected climate change-related health impacts in the United States. The assessment is intended to inform policy and decision makers, and other stakeholders at multiple levels of government (e.g., public health officials, urban planners), non-profits, national health associations, and the general interested public. Several of your NOAA colleagues were heavily involved in the assessment, along with over a hundred scientists from 13 other federal agencies. Topics cover Temperature-Related Death and Illness, Air Quality Impacts, Extreme Events, Vectorborne Disease, Water-Related Illnesses, Food Safety, Nutrition, and Distribution, Mental Health and Well-Being and Populations of Concern. The review process is from October 26-November 6, 2015"just two weeks. The knowledge base is drawn largely from the published literature so this is your last chance to make sure we did not miss anything! Several of the CHA authors will be in attendance as well to answer any questions

Bio(s): Juli Trtanj is the One Health Lead for NOAA, responsible for developing and implementing the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Health Strategy across NOAA and with other federal, state, local and international agencies, academic and private sector partners. She is leading the integration of extreme weather and climate science in the Climate Program, and is focusing initially on Integrated Information Systems for extreme heat. She coordinates the NOAA One Health Working Group and Ecological Forecasting Roadmap efforts focusing on health and climate, and is the NOAA Lead for the Memorandum of Understanding between NOAA and the Centers for Disease Control (CDC). Ms. Trtanj co-chairs the US Global Change Research Program, Climate Change and Human Health Group (CCHHG) and represents NOAA on the OSTP Pandemic Prediction and Forecasting Science and Technology Working Group. She is a Convening Lead Author for the USGCRP Climate and Health Assessment. She represents NOAA on the International Working Group of the US Group on Earth Observations, is the Water-Related Illness Component Lead for the Group on Earth Observations (GEO), and is directly involved with European, South African, the World Health Organization (WHO), and other partners in the development of the Health Early Warning Systems, specifically for cholera and other water-related illness. Ms. Trtanj is also an active collaborator in the NSF-funded Research Collaboration Network on Marine Emerging Diseases. She co-chairs the American Meteorological Society Committee on Ecological Forecasting and serves on the AMS Board on Health and the Environment. From 1996 to present she has developed and directed multidisciplinary and multi-partner programs on Oceans and Human Health, and Climate Variability and Human Health. She has contributed to, reviewed, or edited sections of several IPCC and US National Climate Assessment reports and authored several book chapters and journal articles. She earned her Master in Environmental Science from Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies in 1994, and her Bachelors in 1986 from the University of California Santa Barbara.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Andrea Dell'Apa, ERT/NOAA Fisheries (paper co-authors include Adam Fullerton, ERT/NOAA Fisheries, and Franklin Schwing and Peg Brady, NOAA Fisheries)

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: Ecosystem-based management (EBM) is an integrated management approach that considers the entire ecosystem, including humans, across multiple sectors, with the goal to collectively manage natural resources, habitat, and species in a sustainable manner while maintaining ecosystem services to humans on the long-term. In the United States, the National Ocean Council (NOC) established a federal interagency subgroup (National Ocean Policy EBM-Subgroup) to provide policy advice on EBM strategies and technical representation from the federal agencies that are part of the NOC. As part of the NOP EBM-Subgroup effort, this study summarizes the status of EBM for several federal programs within the NOC agencies that implement or support marine and coastal EBM activities. Our objective was to provide an overview of the current state of practice among the many and varied U.S. federal programs employing EBM approaches in the ocean, coastal zone, and the Great Lakes. We used social network analysis techniques to explore similarities among programs in different topic areas (e.g., type of audience, partners, training, EBM best management practices and principles). Results highlight substantial differences in perceived and effective performances across programs, with Management programs showing a higher level of integration of EBM approaches than Non-Management programs. The use of EBM best management practices and principles among programs is unbalanced, with some key elements of EBM strategies less commonly employed in the management planning. This analysis identified gaps in the implementation of EBM strategies that can inform natural resource managers and planners.

Bio(s): Andrea Dell'Apa is an ERT contractor to the NOAA Office of Habitat Conservation " Restoration Center in Silver Spring, MD, where he provides support for the long-term restoration planning of natural resources injured by the Deepwater Horizon oil spill occurred in the Gulf of Mexico in April 2010. In 2014, he joined the National Marine Fisheries Service as a NOAA Sea Grant Knauss Marine Policy Fellow working in the Office of Management & Budget in Silver Spring, MD. During his fellowship he helped supporting the activities of the National Ocean Policy EBM Federal Interagency Team (NOC-EBM). He graduated in 2005 with a M.Sc. in Marine Biology and Oceanography at the Universita' Politecnica delle Marche di Ancona in Italy, and in 2013 with a Ph.D. in Coastal Resources Management at the East Carolina University in Greenville, NC. Andrea's research interests include: 1) human dimension of fishery management, 2) elasmobranch fishery management, 3) ecosystem-based (EBM) and ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM), 4) environmental conservation and marine and coastal science.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Douglas Martinson, LDEO and Dongxiao Zhang, NOAA/PMEL & JISAO/U Washington

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Climate Program Office (OAR/CPO) - Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) program

Remote Access: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/7252366969848822786 You must register in advance, at which point you will receive webinar access information. Local Access: SSMC3 - OAR CPO Fishbowl - Rm 12871

Abstract: Pending.For project summary visit http://go.usa.gov/3sH8G Point of Contact: hunter.jones@noaa.gov (301-734-1215) For more information on the series, and to see the complete schedule, visit http://cpo.noaa.gov/cvp-webinars

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Bart Merrick, Education Coordinator, NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series and NOAA's Cheaspeake Bay Office; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: Chesapeake Exploration 2.0 is an e-learning platform that provides students and teachers with unprecedented access to Chesapeake Bay data and education activities in a highly flexible and intuitive format. Using Chesapeake Exploration, students can query observational platforms throughout the Bay from their classroom, home, or mobile device. Chesapeake Exploration asks students to think through scientific principles related to geography, water quality and weather phenomena using current observations and geographic data. In this seminar, we will discuss the Chesapeake Exploration resource and how it can support science education in the region.

Bio(s): Bart is an education coordinator for NOAA's Chesapeake Bay Office. He manages the NOAA Environmental Science Training Center in Oxford, Maryland. The NOAA Environmental Science Training Center provides training and in-depth experiences for environmental education professionals to advance their abilities to effectively convey the latest information on science, technology, engineering, and math to teachers and students. Trainings focus on integrating science into the classroom and field-based programming, drawing on NOAA and partner expertise and capabilities. Bart has a masters degree in environmental science from Johns Hopkins University and a bachelors from St. Lawrence University.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Clifford P. Hutt, Research Associate, ECS Federal in support of NOAA Fisheries Office of Science and Technology Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (301-713-2600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (301-713-2600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 866-833-7307, participant code is 8986360#. Webcast at http://www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: In 2014, in response to a need identified by recreational fishing industry groups, NOAA Fisheries conducted the Marine Recreational Bait and Tackle Economic Survey (RBTES) to better understand the economic condition and contributions of retail stores that sell marine recreational fishing bait, tackle, and related equipment (excluding boats). This study focused on retail stores that are independently owned small businesses that sell bait and tackle to saltwater anglers in coastal and near coastal communities located in 23 U.S. states on the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, Pacific coasts, Alaska, and Hawaii. A little over one-third (35.1%) of responding stores classified themselves as "Bait & Tackle" stores that catered almost exclusively to recreational anglers. These retail stores averaged $426 thousand in saltwater fishing related sales, representing 53.6 percent of their total gross sales in 2013. Conversely, stores that classified themselves as "Other Stores" averaged $141 thousand in saltwater fishing bait and tackle sales, representing only 8.4 percent of their total gross sales. Combined, independent retailers were estimated to have generated a total of $854 million in sales of saltwater fishing bait, tackle, and related equipment in 2013. National input-output analysis estimated that these sales contributed $2.3 billion in total economic output including $796 million in income supporting over 16 thousand jobs in the United States in 2013.

Bio(s): Dr. Clifford Hutt is a research associate working for ECS Federal in support of NOAA Fisheries Office of Science and Technology in the Economics and Social Analysis Division. Dr. Hutt specializes in the human dimensions of fisheries management with a particular interest the attitudes, preferences, and economic impacts of resource use and its implications for natural resource policy. Dr. Hutt received his Ph.D. in Wildlife, Fisheries, and Aquaculture from Mississippi State University in 2012. His dissertation research focused on recreational anglers in Texas, and how their attitudes towards utilization of the resource influenced their economic preferences for fishing trip alternatives. Dr. Hutt first came to NOAA Fisheries as a 2013 John D. Knauss Fellow with the Atlantic Highly Migratory Species Division in the Office of Sustainable Fisheries before joining the Office of Science and Technology as a contractor in 2014. He is currently working on an inter-agency assessment of the economic impact of federal investments in ocean science and technology by four federal agencies (NOAA, BOEM, NSF, and USACE) for the Sub-committee on Ocean Science and Technology

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Lisa Suatoni, Natural Resources Defense Council

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/901912165825145090

Sponsor(s): Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network, State of the Science webinar series. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: Ocean acidification is a global, long-term problem whose ultimate solution requires carbon dioxide reduction at a scope and scale that will take decades to accomplish successfully. Until that is achieved, feasible and locally relevant adaptation and mitigation measures are needed. To help to prioritize societal responses to ocean acidification, we present a spatially explicit, multi disciplinary vulnerability analysis of coastal human communities in the United States. We focus our analysis on shelled mollusc harvests, which are likely to be harmed by ocean acidification. Our results highlight US regions most vulnerable to ocean acidification (and why), important knowledge and information gaps, and opportunities to adapt through local actions. The research illustrates the benefits of integrating natural and social sciences to identify actions and other opportunities while policy, stakeholders and scientists are still in relatively early stages of developing research plans and responses to ocean acidification. About the speaker: Lisa Suatoni is a senior scientist in the oceans program at the Natural Resources Defense Council, and she specializes on the intersection of science and policy, as it applies to ocean conservation. Lisa focuses on a variety of topics including ocean acidification, sustainable fisheries management, and operationalizing marine ecosystem based management. Lisa has a Ph.D. in Ecology and Evolutionary Biology from Yale University and a master's degree in environmental policy from the Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies. Lisa is also the Timothy B. Atkeson Environmental Lecturer in Law at Yale Law School, where she co-directs the Yale Environmental Protection Clinic.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): James Wilczak (ESRL/PSD), Nat Johnson (GFDL) and Dan Harnos (CPC), Rachel Hogan Carr (Nurture Nature Center) Seminar sponsors: OAR/CPO/MAPP Program, OAR/OWAQ, NWS/NGGPS Program Seminar POC for questions: heather.archambault@noaa.gov Where: Remote access suggested, but some seats available in NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th floor fishbowl

Remote Access: WebEx: https://cpomapp.webex.com/cpomapp/onstage/g.php?MTID=e57b38875cd1269f259e8bae5ba6f7f7d Passcode: 20910 Call-in information will pop up on-screen once you have logged into WebEx Abstracts: James Wilczak -- Post-processing air quality model predictions of particulate matter (PM2.5) at NCEP -- A PM2.5 bias correction algorithm for the Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) forecast model has been transitioned for developmental testing at NCEP, with the plan to make the results public in September, 2016, dependent on the next year's test results. The bias correction algorithm is based on model prediction analogs, and is referred to as AN. The algorithm searches through the history of past model predictions for those that are similar to the current prediction, weights those analogous predictions by their degree of similarity to the present prediction, and then bias corrects the current model prediction based on the observed errors of the weighted previous analogous predictions. In addition, an option exists to apply a Kalman filter to the set of analog model predictions, referred to as the KFAN bias correction. Corrections calculated at individual observation sites across the CONUS are then spread to the entire model grid, allowing for display of forecast guidance maps similar in appearance to those of the original raw forecasts. We will present results that demonstrate significant improvements in model skill provided by this Research to Operations application. Nat Johnson (GFDL) and Dan Harnos (CPC) -- Operational transition of combined ENSO, MJO, and trend influences on temperature and precipitation for Weeks 3-4 -- In September 2015 the NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) initiated experimental temperature and precipitation forecasts for weeks 3 and 4. This initiative has heightened the need to identify sources of skill at these lead times and to transition this knowledge into operational forecast guidance to yield skillful forecasts. Recent work suggests that the combined influence of the El Nio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), and long-term trend are important sources of predictability that can yield skillful forecasts in weeks 3-4 under certain initial tropical states. In this presentation, we discuss the prospects of skillful forecasts in weeks 3-4 with a simple statistical model based on the initial state of ENSO, MJO, and long-term trend. Our analysis reveals potentially skillful forecasts for both temperature and precipitation at weeks 3 and 4 throughout the year for varied regions and initial states. We then discuss the transition of this statistical tool into operational forecast guidance at CPC and its current role in weeks 3-4 forecasting. Rachel Hogan Carr -- Flood Risk and Uncertainty: Assessing National Weather Service's Flood Forecast and Warning Tools -- National Weather Service has a tremendous suite of flood forecast and warning products that offer timely, accurate data about the potential for riverine flooding. Despite this information, people at risk for flooding still often fail to take protective actions to reduce their losses. Nurture Nature Center, a non-profit in Easton, Pennsylvania with a focus on flood issues, did a study including focus groups and surveys of flood-prone communities in PA and NJ to understand how the public uses and understands these products (including precipitation forecasts, hydrographs, ensemble forecasts and more). The study report includes a series of recommendations for graphical and other revisions to the products to help make them easier to understand and more likely to make audiences take protective actions.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Hoang C. Tin, PhD student in Environment and Aquatic Science at Curtin University of Technology, Australia (co-authors: Ravi Fotedar, Michael J. O' Leary)

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; points of contact are Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov and Varis.Ransi@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast: Go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: Sargassum is one of the seaweeds distributed globally and is considered as an important source for food, fertilizers, bio-energy extractions, and also plays a vital role in CO2 absorption, contributing in reduction of greenhouse gases. The localised changes associated with climate change and/or seasons such as pH fluctuations, elevated temperatures, and nutrient loading affect the abundance and diversity of Sargassum spp. The impacts of seasonal variation in physics-chemical water parameters on changes in mean thallus length, canopy cover, and total biomass of Sargassum were monitored from the selected location in Southwest Australia. The study also determined these impacts on the broader spatial distribution of Sargassum beds using in-situ and satellite remote sensing data. A series of laboratory experiments were conducted to test the effects of different initial stocking biomass and nutrient loads on the growth rate and the nutrient uptake capacity of the Sargassum spp. These results contribute a better understanding of the seasonal abundance of Sargassum spp. with changing environment that in turn will assist in the development of the Sargassum farming.

Bio(s): Tin Hoang is in his final year of a PhD program in Environment and Aquatic Science at Curtin University of Technology, Australia. He holds a master's of science in marine ecology from Hue University of Sciences. Later, he went to Bermuda Institute of Ocean Sciences for an Oceanography Observation capacity building program from 2009 to 2010. He was a researcher at Centre for Coastal Management and Development Studies in Vietnam. His research interests center on marine seaweed ecology studies, particularly the Sargassum species, biological satellite oceanography, and remote sensing for habitat mapping to improving the understanding of marine ecosystems. Mr. Tin has participated and coordinated various research projects on the coastal marine environment in Central of Vietnam. He has received several awards and grants from various funding agencies including the Australian Awards Scholarship (2012-2016), the Nippon Foundation and the Partnership for Observations of the Global Oceans (POGO) research fellowship (2009-2010), the best presentations awards (2007, 2008), the UNU-UNESCO fellowship award (2007), and the Green Inventions award (2004).

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series Presenters (arranged alphabetically): C. Brown, NESDIS; M. Hoffman, RIT; L. Lanerolle, NOS; and B. Zhang, UMCP Point of Contact: Chris Brown, NESDIS, christopher.w.brown@noaa.gov

Remote Access: WebEx Mymeeting Login Information Meeting Date: 10/16/2015 Meeting Time: 2:30 PM EASTERN TIME Meeting No.: 748274906 Meeting Passcode: OCS12345 Host: OCS LEADER Join Instructions for Instant Net Conference: 1. Join the meeting now: http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=748274906&p=OCS12345&t=c 2. Enter required fields 3. Indicate you have read the Privacy Policy. 4. Click Proceed. For Audio, please call: 1-877-972-0619 and participant code: is 9443142

Abstract: Temperature is a critical factor in understanding and predicting both physical and biological processes in the coastal ocean. We evaluated the skill and computational costs of two techniques " Four-Dimensional VARiational (4D-VAR) and Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) " in assimilating satellite retrievals of sea-surface temperature (SST) from Visible Infrared Imager Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) measurements into the Ocean Service's Chesapeake Bay Operational Forecasting System (CBOFS) in order to provide more accurate forecasts of temperature, which are currently biased high. The presentation will illustrate the major results of the comparison, including which method give better temperature predictions in both time and space and the associated computational expenses over a free run. It is hoped that this evaluation will permit the Ocean Service to decide which, if either, assimilation technique to implement in CBOFS and consequently improve NOAA's ability to monitor and predict a critical environmental variable in the coastal ocean in order to support its Healthy Oceans goal.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Marc Nadon, Fisheries Assessment Specialist with NOAA Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center

Sponsor(s): NOAA Coral Reef Conservation Program, www.coralreef.noaa.gov. Point of contact: Mike Lameier, michael.lameier@noaa.gov

Abstract: The coral reef fish community of Hawaii is composed of hundreds of species, supports a multi-million dollar fishing and tourism industry, and is of great cultural importance to the local population. However, a major stock assessment of Hawaiian coral reef fish populations has not yet been conducted. The robust indicator variable average length in the exploited phase of the population, estimated from size composition data from commercial fisheries trip reports and fishery-independent diver surveys, was used to evaluate exploitation rates and stock status for 19 Hawaiian reef fishes. This talk presents the results from these analyses. Remote access/WebEx conferencing information: Meeting Number: 441497235 Meeting Passcode: OCRMCCD 1. To join the meeting: http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=441497235&p=OCRMCCD&t=c 2. Enter the required fields. 3. Indicate that you have read the Privacy Policy. 4. Click on Proceed. To access the sound you must dial in using the following number (it is not through the web). Dial: (866) 581-0524 Passcode: 6578691#

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Part 6 of a 6-Part Series on Marine Conservation and Management Red Sea: The effectiveness of the Marine Protected Areas on conserving the fish population in the Gulf of Aqaba, Egypt

Presenter(s): Ayman Mabrouk, Ph.D., 2015 Sea Grant Fellow from Michigan State University, and Former Assistant Director for Nature Conservation at the Egyptian Ministry of State for Environmental Affairs

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast: Go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Bio(s): Dr. Ayman Mabrouk was born in Port Said, Egypt and graduated from the Suez Canal University in Ismailia Egypt in 1993 as a Marine Biologist. From 1995 to 2009, Ayman worked for the national parks of Egypt, first as an environmental researcher and Manager of Nabq Protected Area, and then as a Manager of the South Sinai Protectorates, Gulf of Aqaba, Red Sea, Egypt. From 2009 to 2010 he was Assistant Director for the Nature Conservation Sector in Cairo, and mentor for the managers of marine protected areas of Egypt. Ayman was responsible for developing and implementing the strategic management plan for conserving the Egyptian Red Sea, and he assessed the performance of the MPAs there to see how well they were conserving marine resources. In 2014, Ayman earned his Ph.D. in Fisheries and Wildlife from Michigan State University; his thesis was on The role of marine protected areas in maintaining sustainable fisheries in the Egyptian Gulf of Aqaba, Red Sea. Currently, Ayman is a Sea Grant Knauss fellow at the NOAA NCCOS Biogeography Branch.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Shallin Busch from NOAA's Northwest Fisheries Science Center and Dr. Jeremy Mathis, Director NOAA's Arctic Program in the Climate Program Office

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/1969465388275657474

Sponsor(s): NOAA Ocean Acidification Program, Ocean Acidification Data Synthesis webinar series. Point of Contact: Erica Ombres, erica.h.ombres@noaa.gov During this webinar two data synthesis products will be discussed: Dr. Busch's abstract: Ocean acidification (OA) has the potential to reorder ecosystems due to variation in species sensitivity to the projected changes in ocean carbon chemistry. Ecological models can be forced with scenarios of OA to help scientists, managers, and other stakeholders understand how ecosystems might change. We present a novel methodology for developing estimates of species sensitivity to OA that are regionally specific, and applied the method to the California Current ecosystem. To do so, we built a database of all published literature on the sensitivity of temperate species to decreased pH. This database contains 401 papers on 285 species and 89 multi-species groups from temperate waters around the world. Dr. Mathis' abstract: The highly productive sheries of Alaska are located in seas projected to experience rapid ocean acidification-driven changes in pH and other chemical parameters. Many of the marine organisms that are most intensely affected by ocean acidification contribute substantially to the state's commercial sheries and traditional subsistence way of life. Here, we present new results that evaluate patterns of dependence on marine resources within Alaska that could be negatively impacted by ocean acidification to assess the potential risk to the fishery sector. The results clearly indicate that ocean acidification merits strong consideration in policy planning, as it may represent a significant challenge to Alaskan communities, some of which are already under acute socio-economic strains.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Stephanie Reynolds Westby, Chesapeake Bay Oyster Restoration Program Manager, NOAA Restoration Center

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Abstract: Chesapeake Bay oyster populations stand at less than 1% of historic levels, and ecosystem services provided are similarly diminished. Overlapping state and federal policy agendas call for restoring oyster populations in 10 Chesapeake Bay tributaries by 2025. Driven by these initiatives, state, federal, and NGO partners, advised by a group of scientific experts, have formed a working group to select Maryland tributaries for restoration and develop science-based oyster restoration plans for each. The first selected tributary is Harris Creek, a 4500 acre oyster sanctuary in Maryland A restoration plan was developed based on acoustic seafloor surveys, water quality data, oyster population surveys, and scientific expert and citizen input. The plan details suitable restoration sites, oyster seed and reef substrate requirements, and costs. The plan calls for the restoration of more than 350 acres of oyster reef in the creek, representing one of the largest oyster restoration projects, by area, undertaken on the Atlantic coast. Reef-level and tributary-level oyster restoration success criteria were previously established for the Chesapeake; this plan calls for restoration to meet these criteria. Reef construction and seeding started in 2011; completion is expected in September 2015. Initial monitoring of the first reefs shows oysters survival exceeding projections. Intensive monitoring of the first third of the reefs will start this fall. Parallel projects have started in two other nearby Chesapeake tributaries. In those rivers, NOAA is spearheading the Oyster reef Ecosystem Services project (ORES) to quantify the level of ecosystem services provided by restored oyster reefs (particularly fish utilization and denitrification). About the Speaker; Stephanie Reynolds Westby Stephanie Reynolds Westby is with NOAA's Restoration Center, working primarily on Chesapeake Bay oyster restoration. She holds a master's degree in environmental science and policy from John Hopkins University.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series This seminar was originally scheduled for Sept. 30 but was rescheduled to Oct. 13.

Presenter(s): Mimi D'Iorio, NOAA MPA Center, Mimi.diorio@noaa.gov, (831) 647-6462

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: The Pacific Regional Ocean Uses Atlas (PROUA) project, a BOEM-NOAA interagency effort, combined stakeholder engagement strategies with participatory mapping tools to collect community perspectives on ocean uses to inform offshore renewable energy planning. Through a series mapping workshops, the PROUA engaged local use experts to map over 30 separate ocean uses off of Washington, Oregon and the Hawaiian Islands. The resulting spatial data, maps and tools for exploring ocean use interactions will help BOEM make more informed leasing decisions in the Pacific region. This presentation will provide an overview of the PROUA project, highlighting the outcomes and products that are now available to inform marine planning on the west coast and in Hawaii.

Bio(s): Dr. Mimi D'Iorio is the GIS manager for NOAA's Marine Protected Areas Center. Mimi manages the MPA Inventory database and leads participatory ocean uses mapping efforts designed to collect spatial data on human uses of the ocean to inform coastal and marine resource management and decision making. She also works with state and regional partners to help integrate geospatial data and tools into coastal and marine management strategies.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Prof. Tim Delsole, Dept. of Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Earth Sciences, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NWS Climate Test Bed (http://www.nws.noaa.gov/ost/CTB/) Point of Contact: Jing.Huang@noaa.gov (301-683-3425)

Abstract: This talk is concerned with comparing the skill of two forecasts. While computing skill is routine, comparing skill is tricky. For instance, if skill is measured by correlation or mean square error, then differences in skill can be tested by standard methods, provided the measures were computed from independent samples. Unfortunately, skill measures computed on a common period or with a common set of observations are not independent (e.g., forecasts tend to bust at the same time). Therefore, such tests cannot properly compare forecast skills, and in fact applying these tests when the skill measures are not independent leads to serious biases. Rigorous tests for skill differences do exist, but their application in weather and climate prediction is surprisingly rare. I discuss a few of these tests, including the sign test, the Wilcoxon Signed-Rank test, the Morgan-Granger-Newbold test, and a permutation test. Moreover, I propose a new skill comparison test based on random walks that allows the evolution of skill differences to be visualized. These tests are illustrated with deterministic ENSO forecasts from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. Despite its simplicity, the random walk test yields several revealing results, including (1) the Canadian models are the most skillful dynamical models, even when compared to the multi-model mean, (2) a regression model is significantly more skillful than all but one dynamical model (to which it is equally skillful), and (3) in some cases, there are significant differences in skill between ensemble members from the same model, potentially reflecting differences in initialization.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Claire Fackler, National Education Liaison, NOAA Office of National Marine Sanctuaries Register at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/4767509171814859778

Sponsor(s): This webinar is part of NOAA's National Marine Protected Areas Center's monthly webinar series which is co-sponsored with EBM Tools Network.The series is focused on building and strengthening MPA networks. For a list of upcoming webinars see: http://marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/resources/webinars/ Seminar POC: Lauren.Wenzel@noaa.gov

Abstract: Inspire Ocean and Climate Literacy and Conservation through MPAs The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Office of National Marine Sanctuaries serves as the trustee for a system of fourteen marine protected areas, encompassing more than 170,000 square miles of America's ocean and Great Lakes. The National Marine Sanctuary System's education and outreach programs inspire ocean and climate literacy and stewardship of the national marine sanctuaries through engaging hands-on, STEM field programs, teacher workshops, student activities, social media and free online resources. Learn about the impacts of these unique programs through formative and summative evaluations and how you too can inspire ocean and climate literacy, as well as conservation and stewardship through your own marine protected area.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Shenfu Dong, NOAA/AOML and Ben Kirtman, University of Miami

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Climate Program Office (OAR/CPO) - Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) program

Remote Access: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/4576653746609399554 You must register in advance, at which point you will receive webinar access information.

Abstract: Pending.For project summary visit http://go.usa.gov/3sH8G Point of Contact: hunter.jones@noaa.gov (301-734-1215) For more information on the series, and to see the complete schedule, visit http://cpo.noaa.gov/cvp-webinars

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series - TODAY'S SEMINAR, "YOUR NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARIES - DIVE DEEPER" HAS BEEN CANCELLED

Presenter(s): Steve Ellzey, Executive Producer, Development Specialist, Your Sanctuary TV, Monterey Bay National Marine Sanctuary

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed. Abstract and

Bio(s): TBD

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Leesha Saunders, NOAA NESDIS Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (301-713-2600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (3017132600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 866-833-7307, participant code is 8986360#. Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: Social media was initially developed for sharing photos and personal anecdotes. However, with careful planning, plus accessing and using the right tools, offices can develop dynamic, effective social media communication.This session will touch on how offices can cultivate a personable and informative social media presence, some do's and don'ts and more.

Bio(s): Leesha Saunders has been with NOAA's Satellite and Information Service called NESDIS since February 2008 as a part of its communication team. Her responsibilities have ranged from setting up NESDIS exhibits around the country to managing the agency's flourishing social media presence, which includes Facebook, with more than 67,000 likes and Twitter, with more than 96,000 followers. Leesha is a graduate of the Georgetown University Center for Continuing & Professional Education in Washington, D.C., with a certificate in Social Media Management. In addition, Leesha holds a BA from the University of Maryland, University College in Communications Studies with a minor in fine Art. While at NESDIS, Leesha also has established other social media platforms including the NESDIS YouTube and Flickr accounts. Before NOAA released its social media handbook, Leesha developed a NESDIS Facebook handbook, which was later expanded to the NESDIS social media handbook, along with other guides. All NESDIS offices, with social media platforms, use the handbooks as operating tools and templates.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Zackary Johnson, Duke University

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/7602318432948823810

Sponsor(s): Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network, State of the Science webinar series. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: Increased atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) from anthropogenic sources is acidifying marine environments with potentially dramatic implications for the physical, chemical and biological functioning of these ecosystems. If current trends continue, mean ocean pH is expected to decrease by ~0.2 units over the next ~50 years. Yet, at the same time there is substantial spatial and temporal variability in pH and other carbon system parameters in the ocean resulting in regions that already exceed long term projected pH changes, suggesting that short-term variability is an important layer of complexity on top of long term acidification. Thus, in order to develop predictions of future climate change impacts including ocean acidification, there is a critical need to characterize the natural range and variability of the marine CO2 system and the mechanisms responsible for this variability. Here we examine pH and dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) variability at time intervals spanning 1 hour to >5 years in a dynamic coastal marine system to quantify variability of the carbon system at multiple time scales. Daily and seasonal variability of the carbon system is largely driven by temperature, alkalinity and the balance between primary production and respiration, but high frequency variability (hours to days) is further influenced by water mass movement (e.g. tides) and stochastic events (e.g. storms). Both annual variability (~0.3 units) and diurnal variability (~0.1 units) in coastal ocean acidity are similar in magnitude to long term projections associated with increasing atmospheric CO2 and their drivers highlight the importance of characterizing the complete carbonate system (and not just pH). Short term variability of ocean carbon parameters may already exert significant pressure on some coastal marine ecosystems with implications for ecology, biogeochemistry and evolution and this shorter term variability layers additive effects and complexity, including extreme values, on top of long term trends in ocean acidification.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series Cody Szuwalksi, Ph.D., Fisheries Scientist,Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California Santa Barbara Point of Contact: nwfsc.monsterjam@noaa.gov Webinar : Join Webex Meeting Number: 804 842 423 https://nwfsc200.webex.com/mw3000/mywebex/default.do?service=1&siteurl=nwfsc200&nomenu=true&main_url=%2Fmc3000%2Fe.do%3Fsiteurl%3Dnwfsc200%26AT%3DMI%26EventID%3D373422687%26UID%3D485714733%26Host%3DQUhTSwAAAAJeaYSo-_Sqwkw83oyXcvJrikJU-iMk5pYzdiOQxTG3PBmhkdvL7bD0x_aF0qaWGXOYTXLz1cIs6UyNn6_6V4YU0%26FrameSet%3D2%26MTID%3Dm8a10d4457fa2ec491285ce1c3c20b646 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 804 842 423 Global call-in numbers: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/globalcallin.php?serviceType=MC&ED=392662682&tollFree=0 Need help joining? Contact Support https://nwfsc200.webex.com/mw0401l/mywebex/default.do?siteurl=nwfsc200&service=1

Abstract: Global seafood demand is increasing and China is the world's largest producer and consumer of seafood. High production from China has been accompanied by exploitation rates on fished populations beyond those recommended by single-species management. Understanding the mechanisms of high Chinese seafood production may aid in optimizing future Chinese fisheries management. We explore the impacts (in terms of catch, value, and biomass in the sea) of a range of fisheries management strategies within an ecosystem model of the East China Sea. Our results suggest high exploitation rates and unselective fishing have removed larger fish and resulted in increased overall production through trophic cascades. The result of this large-scale ecosystem engineering' suggests trade-offs between conservation and food production can exist. Reform towards single-species management holds no economic or production benefits in the East China Sea, but selectivity and effort can be optimized within the current indiscriminant fisheries practices to increase total catches, value, and biomass.

Bio(s): Cody Szuwalski received his PhD from the School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences at the University of Washington under Andre Punt. His dissertation focused on the assessment and management of the snow crab fishery in the Eastern Bering Sea. He took his interest in assessment methods, a changing climate, and population dynamics to the University of California, Santa Barbara where he now works as research faculty with the Sustainable Fisheries Group (SFG). At SFG, he uses bio-economic analyses to provide guidance for under-managed fisheries around the world (e.g. China, Philippines, Indonesia, the Galapagos Islands). He also continues to explore ways of improving stock assessment methodology, understanding the drivers of marine population dynamics, and incorporating the influence of climate change into management of marine resources.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Sarah Cooley, Ocean Conservancy, Washington, DC, USA. Project co-authors and presentation contributors include Jennie E. Rheuban, Deborah R. Hart, Victoria Luu, David M. Glover, Jonathan A. Hare, and Scott C. Doney

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast: Go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: Marine resources face a host of environmental pressures, from carefully managed harvests, to natural environmental variability, to gradual ocean changes like ocean acidification and warming. Many valuable United States invertebrate fisheries, including the Atlantic sea scallop (Placopecten magellanicus) fishery, are expected to be negatively impacted by ocean acidification. Even though responsive management has been proven to sustain abundant harvests of this species, the gradual advance of ocean acidification and warming adds new complexity to managing this fishery. To begin to consider how all of these factors layer together, we have recently built an integrated assessment model (IAM) that numerically simulates oceanographic, population dynamic, and socioeconomic relationships for the U.S. commercial sea scallop fishery. Our primary goal is to enrich resource management discussions by offering both short- and long-term insight into how the oceanography, population dynamics, and human system involved with this fishery interact. We will present this model system and some early results indicating how the different elements influence each other.

Bio(s): Sarah Cooley is the Science Outreach Manager in the Ocean Acidification Program at Ocean Conservancy, Washington DC, USA. She conducts scientific research to support the development of sound ocean acidification policy, and she provides input on policies relevant to ocean acidification. Sarah's research focuses on how global ocean change, primarily ocean acidification, affects marine resource availability, and how that in turn impacts human communities. Previously, Sarah was a research scientist at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, where she also completed her postdoctoral studies.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Bridget N. Seegers, NOAA OAR Office of Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes/Science Advisory Board; bridget.seegers@noaa.gov

Sponsor(s): Knauss Fellows Brown Bag Series and NOAA Central Library. Contacts: helen.cheng@noaa.gov or Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (3017132600 ext. 140)

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 8668337307, participant code is 8986360# . Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: "My research is fundamentally an exploration of why, when, and where do specific types of algal blooms occur with a focus on harmful algal blooms (HABs). Many bloom events are studied opportunistically or have limited synoptic sampling after the bloom is established, which leads to an inability to make predictions because bloom initiation and evolution are seldom observed. I used multi-month glider (autonomous underwater vehicle) deployments and Environmental Sample Processor (ESP) moorings combined with satellite data for in situ and remote sensing monitoring of subsurface and surface ocean conditions. The majority of the research focused on the late winter to spring in the coastal region of the Southern California Bight. This period was selected, because it historically has the highest rates of toxic algal blooms dominated by neurotoxin producing Pseudo-Nitzschia genus, which is a threat to humans and wildlife. The results revealed for the first time blooms of toxic Pseudo-nitzschia sp. can develop offshore and subsurface prior to their manifestation in the surface layer and/or near the coast." Highlights: Combined use of new marine technologies including gliders, ESP moorings, and satellite data to study harmful algal blooms. Blooms of toxic Pseudo-nitzschia sp. can develop offshore and subsurface prior to their manifestation in the surface layer and/or near the coast.

Bio(s): Bridget is currently a Knauss fellow shared between OAR's Office of Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes and NOAA's Science Advisory Board. Her most recent tasks included attempting to find contact information for Tesla's co-founder, Elon Musk, so Dr. Sullivan could invite him to speak at a Science Advisory Board meeting. Originally from Wisconsin Bridget grew up swimming and splashing in lakes and developed a love of being in, on, and around water. Bridget received her B.A in Biology from Carleton College in 2001 with a concentration in Environmental Science and Technology. She taught six years in a range of non-traditional classroom settings from the woods of Minnesota to inner city Boston as an AmeriCorps volunteer and at a charter high school in San Diego. Bridget returned to school in 2007 to earn a M.S. in Water Resources Science from the University of Minnesota. And in 2009 Bridget began her PhD in Marine Biology and Biological Oceanography at the University of Southern California studying Harmful Algal Blooms off the Southern California Coast and she successfully defended in December 2014.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Mimi D'Iorio, NOAA's Marine Protected Areas Center, Mimi.diorio@noaa.gov

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: The Pacific Regional Ocean Uses Atlas (PROUA) project, a BOEM-NOAA interagency effort, combined stakeholder engagement strategies with participatory mapping tools to collect community perspectives on ocean uses to inform offshore renewable energy planning. Through a series mapping workshops, the PROUA engaged local use experts to map over 30 separate ocean uses off of Washington, Oregon and the Hawaiian Islands. The resulting spatial data, maps and tools for exploring ocean use interactions will help BOEM make more informed leasing decisions in the Pacific region. This presentation will provide an overview of the PROUA project, highlighting the outcomes and products that are now available to inform marine planning on the west coast and in Hawaii.

Bio(s): Dr. Mimi D'Iorio is the GIS manager for NOAA's Marine Protected Areas Center. Mimi manages the MPA Inventory database and leads participatory ocean uses mapping efforts designed to collect spatial data on human uses of the ocean to inform coastal and marine resource management and decision making. She also works with state and regional partners to help integrate geospatial data and tools into coastal and marine management strategies.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Alan Barton, Whiskey Creek Oyster Hatchery and George Waldbusser, Oregon State University

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/8078930335183560449

Sponsor(s): California Current Acidification Network, State of the Science webinar series. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: The Pacific Northwest oyster industry has led the way globally in adapting to current day ocean acidification impacts on aquaculture. This story of resilience will be presented by two of several key players in the early recognition of the ocean acidification impacts, and adapting to keep the oyster industry viable through unprecedented production failures in hatcheries. Alan Barton and George Waldbusser will briefly discuss the evolution of the problem, how the partnerships formed, what the industry is currently doing, and ongoing research to better understand acidification impacts within and outside hatcheries.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Jon Gottschalck (NOAA Climate Prediction Center), Richard Seager (LDEO, Columbia University), Andrew Hoell (NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory) Seminar sponsor: OAR, CPO, MAPP Program Seminar POC for questions: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov Where: Remote access suggested, but some seats available in NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th floor fishbowl

Remote Access: WebEx: https://cpomapp.webex.com/cpomapp/onstage/g.php?MTID=e6866054390d07a136d9b14484a25a823 Passcode: 20910 Call-in information will pop up on-screen once you have logged into WebEx Abstracts: Jon Gottschalck - The most recently released outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center will be reviewed. The talk will first review the current status of the ongoing El Nio event and then show the latest official ENSO forecast for the next several months. How anticipated El Nio conditions are represented in the latest CPC official seasonal precipitation and drought outlooks is then illustrated along with some additional relevant forecast tools that influence the outlooks. Richard Seager - The causes of the circulation and precipitation anomalies that have led to four consecutive winters of low California precipitation and serious drought will be briefly reviewed.The implications of forecast El Nio conditions for winter 2015/16 will then be presented. The relationship between precipitation and tropical Pacific SST anomalies is quite nonlinear for both northern and southern California and for the first (Nov-Jan) and second (Feb-Apr) halves of the winter half year. The observational record suggests that only strong El Nio events produce high probabilities of wet conditions in California. In the first half of winter strong El Nios favor higher than normal precipitation only in southern California while the influence extends to all of California in the second half of winter. Hence to seriously alleviate the drought the current El Nio needs to maintain strength throughout the winter. During El Nio evolution, the strengthening from early to late winter of the link between tropical Pacific SST and California precipitation arises because the teleconnected North Pacific low anomaly deepens even as the tropical Pacific SST anomalies weaken. This teleconnection evolution is reproduced by SST-forced models. Why it happens is not known but makes clear that the sub seasonal to seasonal (S2S) evolution of tropical Pacific teleconnections needs further study. The September 2015 initialized forecasts indicate a very strong El Nio lasting through the winter with, importantly for California, the dynamical model average forecasting record NINO3.4 anomalies for FMA. The implications for drought alleviation will be discussed. Andrew Hoell - The sensitivity of California precipitation to El Nio intensity is investigated, focusing especially on whether wet conditions during 1983 and 1998 are reliable indicators for extreme El Nio impacts. A multi-model ensemble of historical climate simulations is examined to determine wet and dry probabilities as a function of El Nio strength. Moderate El Nio events fail to appreciably alter wet or dry risks across northern and central California, though odds for wet conditions increase across southern California. Major increases in wet probabilities occur during very strong El Nio events across the entire state. In California's main northern watershed regions, simulations indicate a 95% chance of greater than normal precipitation, and a 50% probability of at least 150% of normal. Results indicate predictions of El Nio strength to be highly relevant for California precipitation forecasting, and that a situational awareness of El Nio strength is important for water resource planning.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Sponsor EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Elena Pourmal, The HDF group POC Eugene.Mirvis@noaa.gov For teleworkers who want to watch the seminar remotely: 1. GoToMeeting: https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/703126781 Meeting ID: 703-126-781 2. Dial-in Number: 877-577-6071 3124918# Abstract Elena Pourmal is a Director of Technical Operations at The HDF Group. She leads development, maintenance and support of the HDF products including HDF5. Among the company's customers are government agencies such as NASA, NOAA, and DOE, academia, and many commercial companies such as financial, gas and oil, airspace and financial industries to name a few. The HDF Group also works with many international institutions including the Light Source Centers and Met Office in Europe. HDF5 (Hierarchical Data Format) is a data model, I/O library, and file format for storing, managing and exchanging data. It supports variety of data types, and is designed for flexible and efficient HPC I/O of high volume and complex data. HDF5 is portable and is extensible, allowing applications to evolve in their use. The HDF5 Technology suite includes tools and applications for managing, manipulating, viewing, and analyzing data in the HDF5 format. In this presentation speaker will introduce The HDF Group (http://www.hdfgroup.org), located located in Champaign Illinois at the University of Illinois Research Park. The HDF Group - a non-for-profit organization with the mission to sustain current HDF technologies and to provide continual accessibility to data stored in HDF. Elena will discuss the most powerful HDF5 features: portability, unlimited file sizes, flexible I/O including parallel I/O, and internal compression mechanism, that provide solutions for many computational and data problems. Several community standards such as HDF-EOS, netCDF-4, CGNS are built on top of the HDF5 library and underlying file format, making those standards very attractive to all kind of applications.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Lisa Campbell, Ph.D., Professor, Departments of Oceanography and Biology, Texas A&M University

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: Imaging FlowCytobot (IFCB) combines flow cytometry and video technology to capture images of individual cells which, together with machine-learning technology, enables near real-time reporting of individual phytoplankton species abundance and community composition. Since 2007, the continuous and automated operation of the IFCB in the Gulf of Mexico has provided successful early warning for seven harmful algal bloom (HAB) events. Initial stages of HABs were detected with sufficient time to close shellfish harvesting and prevent human illness. Time series data are also being used to develop models to determine the origin of HAB populations and forecast HAB occurrences. Beginning in 2016, the IFCB network will be expanded with the addition of a second instrument, which will provide additional information for model development and validation.

Bio(s): Dr. Lisa Campbell is a Professor in the Department of Oceanography, with a joint appointment in the Department of Biology, at Texas A&M University. She is also a member of the Faculty of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology. She received her M.S. in Marine Environmental Science and Ph.D. in Oceanography from Stony Brook University, NY. Prior to joining the faculty at Texas A&M in 1996, she held Research Scientist positions at University of Hawaii (1987-1996), Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences in Maine (1986-1988) and the Oceanic Institute (1985-1986). Her research focuses on phytoplankton ecology. She has conducted field work in all oceans, but her current research centers on harmful algal blooms in the Gulf of Mexico. She has established a system for real-time imaging of phytoplankton that has successfully provided early warning of potential toxic blooms seven times since 2007. Dr. Campbell currently serves on the Board of Directors of the Association for the Sciences of Limnology and Oceanography and on the National Committee on Harmful Algae. She has published over 90 peer-reviewed publications, 8 book chapters, and received the Dean's Distinguished Achievement Award for Faculty Research in 2009 and the Women's Faculty Network award for Outstanding Mentoring in 2015.

CANCELLED OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Scott Stephens, Oceanographer, New Zealand National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (3017132600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (3017132600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 8668337307, participant code is 8986360# . Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: New Zealand's low-lying coastal areas are vulnerable to coastal-storm inundation, flooding by seawater, that can cause significant damage to property and infrastructure. Dr. Stephens will explain how NIWA is undertaking research and developing tools to help coastal and emergency managers better understand the processes that cause coastal-storm inundation, assess risk, and predict and prepare for potentially high-impact events. This includes joint-probability methods to predict storm tides and waves, user-friendly interactive presentation tools, and mapping.

Bio(s): Scott Stephens has 15 years' experience at NIWA as a coastal oceanographer/numerical modeller focused on wave and sea-level analysis, extreme-value statistics and hydrodynamic modelling. Since 2006 Scott has pioneered the introduction of joint-probability techniques in New Zealand to determine both the frequency and magnitude of extreme storm tides and waves. Scott has applied these techniques in coastal hazard assessments in the Pacific Islands to help coastal and emergency managers better understand the processes that cause coastal-storm inundation, assess risk, and prepare for future events.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Professor Sandra Harding, Vice Chancellor and President of James Cook University, Australia Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (3017132600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (3017132600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 8668337307, participant code is 8986360# . Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: Over the past half-century the Tropics has emerged as an increasingly important region. More than 40% of the world's population live in the Tropics, the region's economy is growing 20% faster than the rest of the world, it hosts around 80% of the world's biological diversity and it includes some of the world's most culturally diverse regions. Rapid population and economic growth mean it is a region whose influence is set to rise dramatically in coming decades. The nature of this influence will depend on how the region addresses its many challenges, and whether it realises its potential and opportunities. The range and significance of shared issues facing nations and territories in the Tropics suggests it is timely to examine the characteristics and challenges facing the tropical region as an entity in itself. State of the Tropics is a multi-disciplinary project that has brought together key research institutions across the Tropics to answer a nominally simple question: "Is life in the Tropics improving?" Recognizing shared connections and issues, while acknowledging variable responses between regions, we report that across a broad range of environmental, social and economic indicators, the region has made extraordinary progress in recent decades. Life is indeed improving on several fronts. However, the region is at a critical juncture. The resources required to sustain larger populations and economic growth are putting significant and increasing pressures on the natural environment. This presentation will explore some of the critical issues facing the Tropics and how we might work towards a prosperous and sustainable future for the Tropics worldwide.

Bio(s): Professor Sandra Harding took up her appointment as Vice Chancellor and President of James Cook University Australia in January 2007. In this role, she is responsible for ensuring clear and effective leadership and management of the University across all operating sites, including campuses in Cairns, Singapore and Townsville. Professor Harding has extensive academic and academic leadership experience. An economic sociologist by training, her areas of enduring academic interest include work, organization and markets and how they work. She also has a keen interest in public policy in two areas: education policy and related areas; and the global Tropics, northern Australia and economic development. Professor Harding has undertaken a wide variety of external roles within the business community and the higher education sector. Current roles include: Councillor, Queensland Futures Institute; Member, Trade and Investment Policy Advisory Committee (advising Minister Andrew Robb, Minister for Trade and Investment); Member, the Australia-China Council Board; Co-Vice Chair, the New Colombo Plan Reference Group; Director, Regional Australia Institute; Council Member, the Australian Institute of Marine Science; Director, North Queensland Cowboys National Rugby League club; Director of Townsville Enterprise and of Advance Cairns (regional economic development bodies); and; a Governor of the Committee for Economic Development of Australia (CEDA). She has recently been appointed a member of the Australian Government's Research Policy and Funding Working Group (assisting Dr Ian Watt AO).

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/National Hurricane Center Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (3017132600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (3017132600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 8668337307, participant code is 8986360# . Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: A re-analysis of the Atlantic basin tropical storm and hurricane database (HURDAT2, otherwise known as "best tracks") for the period of 1851 to 1955 has been completed with the remainder of the 20th Century still ongoing. This reworking and extension back in time of the main archive for tropical cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico was necessary to correct systematic and random errors and biases in the data as well as to incorporate observations that may not have been available at the time. The re-analysis project provides the revised tropical storm and hurricane database, a metadata file detailing individual changes for each tropical cyclone, a "center fix" file of raw tropical cyclone observations, details for U.S. landfalling tropical storms and hurricanes, and comments from/replies to the Best Track Change Committee. This presentation details the methodologies used for this re-analysis of the Atlantic tropical cyclone record as well as some of the highlights of the most important changes made.

Bio(s): Christopher W. Landsea is the Science and Operations Officer at NOAA's National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami. In addition to forecasting and training duties, he is responsible for administration and evaluation of Joint Hurricane Testbed projects which may be implemented operationally to assist in the monitoring and forecasting of hurricanes. Dr. Landsea received his Bachelor's Degree in Atmospheric Science from the University of California Los Angeles (1987) and his Master's Degree and Doctorate in Atmospheric Science from Colorado State University (1991, 1994). His graduate work was undertaken with Dr. Bill Gray, one of the world's leading experts on hurricanes and tropical meteorology. Dr. Landsea's main expertise is in seasonal forecasting of hurricanes, in hurricane climate variability and change, and in testing applied research projects for possible use in weather forecasting. He currently is leading up a re-analysis of the Atlantic hurricane database. 1992's Hurricane Andrew was officially upgraded to a Category 5 hurricane at landfall in southeastern Florida as part of this project. In 2000, Dr. Landsea was a co-recipient of a U.S.Department of Commerce Bronze Medal "for issuing the accurate and first official physically based Atlantic seasonal hurricane outlooks for the 1998/1999 seasons, based upon new research." In 2002, Dr. Landsea was given the AMS' Editor's Award for reviews for the journal Weather and Forecasting. In 2009, he was the co-recipient of the 2009 National Hurricane Conference's Outstanding Achievement Award for Meteorology for development of the Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook product at the National Hurricane Center. In 2011, he was co-recipient of a Department of Commerce Gold Medal for excellence in research and data stewardship leading to a more confident assessment of the influence of human-induced climate change on hurricanes. He currently serves on the Editorial Board of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society as its subject matter editor in tropical meteorology

OneNOAA science seminar Sponsor EMC sminar

Title: Forecasts Evaluation: Statistical Techniques for Decision Support

Presenter(s): Elizabeth Weatherhead (University of Colorado) POC MIke Ek Remote Access by GoTo meeting Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/754309661 You can also dial in using your phone. United States : +1 (872) 240-3212 Access Code: 754-309-661

Abstract: Changes in models, observations or even computing approaches are all likely to result in changes to forecasts. When the forecast change is small, identifying if it is an improvement can be challenging and expensive. Decision support statistics can help identify even very small improvements. By making use of paired forecasts, and respecting the day-to-day and even hour-to-hour autocorrelation in weather, forecasts and forecast errors, identification can be made more efficiently and with higher likelihood of long-term success. Perhaps just as importantly, statistical input can help design evaluation runs to minimize cost while maximizing the power of the results. For instance, the number of runs can be reduced significantly, if forecasting evaluation techniques are determined in advance. These decision support techniques can be used to determine if an added set of observations is significant, whether a computer change is systematically more harmful, or the impact of even small changes to physics packages or model cores. Techniques will be reviewed and sample results shared.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Luke Feinberg, Department of Energy - Wind and Water Power Technologies Office, Lucas.Feinberg@EE.DOE.gov

Sponsor(s): Knauss Fellows Brown Bag Series and NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Wessley.Merten@noaa.gov or Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (3017132600 ext. 140)

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 8668337307, participant code is 8986360# . Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: If offshore wind (OSW) is to contribute to California's renewable energy goals, government agencies, developers, and the public must first understand the industry's feasibility in all coastal regions. Out of mutual interest in locally reducing fossil fuel use and expanding renewable energy production, the clients proposed this project to explore the potential of OSW off San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, and Ventura Counties (the region of interest, or ROI). The CalWind' team has spent the last year working toward this objective. The breadth of topics associated with wind energy development in California's marine environment is substantial, and performing robust studies of all OSW feasibility variables was beyond the scope of a one-year project. Therefore, CalWind focused on three facets of feasibility: 1) Stakeholder perceptions 2) Spatial analysis of wind resources and conflicting uses 3) Permitting pathways Interviews and a public survey identified key stakeholders and show that the majority of survey respondents are supportive of OSW. However, concerns arise around possible viewshed and avian impacts. Next, commercially exploitable wind resources exist in the ROI, but spatial analyses indicate that conflicts will likely occur between OSW development and current uses of the marine environment. Lastly, the permitting process for OSW is complex and untested. The team mapped this process and concludes that regulatory synergies could be enhanced through inter-agency cooperation. Limiting consideration to the factors analyzed in this project, OSW development in the ROI is theoretically feasible, but significant development barriers currently restrict industry advancement. Highlights: Based on the parameters examined in this project, OSW development is feasible off California's central coast; however, development barriers exist: 1. Some stakeholders oppose OSW development. Concerns expressed by stakeholders include impacts to marine life and viewsheds. 2. State and federal permitting paths lack integration and need coordinated effort. 3. Environmental baseline data are incomplete and/or outdated. Our research indicates that these barriers may be overcome: 1. Survey respondents indicate support and increased willingness to pay for OSW. Environmental and viewshed impacts should be considered in site selection studies. 2. Effective methods of streamlining the regulatory process exist on the East Coast and could be implemented in the ROI. 3. Once better baseline data are gathered, a framework exists for identifying areas of least conflict for OSW.

Bio(s): Luke is currently a Knauss fellow at the Wind and Water Power Technologies Office in the Department of Energy where he serves as a Marine Renewable Energy Environmental Science and Policy Specialist. He is working on projects and issues related to accelerating deployment and decreasing market barriers for offshore wind energy. Specifically he is assisting with management of three offshore wind Advanced Technology Demonstration Projects; helping manage an offshore wind environmental research portfolio; representing the DOE on the National Ocean Councils New England, Mid-Atlantic, Great Lakes, and West Coast Regional Planning bodies; and is the lead author on an International Energy Agency (IEA) white paper. Luke received a degree from Bates College in 2007, majoring in Biology. He spent the next 4 and half years working as environmental consultant in Boston, Massachusetts assisting in environmental emergency response to managing environmental remediation projects for energy infrastructure development. In 2012, he and his wife moved to Santa Barbara, California and enrolled at the Bren School of Environmental Science & Management at the University of California, Santa Barbara. In 2014 he received a Masters of Environmental Science and Management focusing on Energy and Climate and Corporate Environmental Management. Luke has always been driven by his foundation as a tall ship sailor and joys time by the ocean and exploring new places. In his free time, Luke enjoys spending time with his wife and dog outdoors, training for triathlons, and cooking.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Young-Oh Kwon, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution and Elinor Martin, Oklahoma University

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Climate Program Office (OAR/CPO) - Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) program

Remote Access: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/5930664932820164610 You must register in advance, at which point you will receive webinar access information.

Abstract: Pending.For project summary visit http://go.usa.gov/3sH8G Point of Contact: hunter.jones@noaa.gov (301-734-1215) For more information on the series, and to see the complete schedule, visit http://cpo.noaa.gov/cvp-webinars

Abstract: Feedback between the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) multidecadal variability and atmospheric circulation is investigated in a 1300 year-long pre-industrial control simulation of the Community Climate System Model version 4 (CCSM4) primarily using the lagged maximum covariance analysis (MCA). The feedback is strongest in winter. Positive phase of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is found to precede an AMOC intensification by a few years, while the negative NAO-like atmospheric circulation anomalies appear following the AMOC intensification by ~7 years. The negative NAO-like atmospheric response is driven by a meridional SST dipole with warming in the subpolar gyre and cooling near the Gulf Stream (GS)-North Atlantic Current (NAC). The meridional SST dipole alters the low-level baroclinicity near the storm track by shifting the maximum eddy growth southward. The SST anomalies originate from an intensification of the subpolar gyre circulation and subsequent interaction between the enhanced equatorward deep currents and the GS-NAC near the Tail of Grand Banks and the western flanks of the Mid-Atlantic Ridge. A zonal SST dipole caused by the GS-NAC path shifts in the opposite directions subsequently becomes a meridional SST dipole as the downstream warm anomalies advect cyclonically in the subpolar gyre.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Ayman Mabrouk, Ph.D., 2015 Sea Grant Fellow from Michigan State University, and Former Assistant Director for Nature Conservation at the Egyptian Ministry of State for Environmental Affairs

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Bio(s): Ayman Mabrouk was born in Port Said, Egypt and graduated from the Suez Canal University in Ismailia Egypt in 1993 as a Marine Biologist. From 1995-2009, Ayman worked for the National Parks of Egypt, first as an environmental researcher and Manager of Nabq Protected Area, and then as a Manager of the South Sinai Protectorates, Gulf of Aqaba, Red Sea, Egypt. From 2009-2010 he was Assistant Director for the Nature Conservation Sector in Cairo, and mentor for the managers of marine protected areas of Egypt. Ayman was responsible for developing and implementing the strategic management plan for conserving the Egyptian Red Sea, and he assessed the performance of the MPAs there (178,360 mile) in terms of conserving marine resources. In 2014 Ayman earned his Ph.D. in Fisheries and Wildlife from Michigan State University; his thesis was on The role of marine protected areas in maintaining sustainable fisheries in the Egyptian Gulf of Aqaba, Red Sea. Currently Ayman is a Sea Grant Knauss fellow at the NOAA NCCOS Biogeography Branch.

Abstract: Part 5: TBD

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Taylor Asher, Ocean Engineer at AECOM and James Halgren, Water Resources Engineer with Riverside Technology, Inc.

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series and NOS Coast Survey Development Laboratory (CSDL); points of contact: jesse.feyen@noaa.gov or tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed.

Abstract: Coast Survey Development Laboratory (CSDL) is developing a tropical cyclone storm surge and tide model called the Hurricane Storm Surge Operational Forecast System (HSSOFS) to provide ensemble coastal flood guidance on National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) high performance computers. A team from Riverside Technology, inc. and AECOM has developed a 1.8M node ADvanced CIRCulation (ADCIRC) hydrodynamic model of the East Coast and Gulf of Mexico for the HSSOFS. This talk will cover mesh and modeldevelopment, validation, application of ensemble-based meteorological forcing, and interaction with river models.

Presenter(s): Taylor Asher (Ocean Engineer at AECOM) earned B.S. and M.S. degrees from the University of Rhode Island, and has specialized for 5 years with AECOM in the fields of hydrodynamics, numerical modeling, statistics, and data analysis, and Taylor provided his ADCIRC modeling expertise for this study. James Halgren (Water Resources Engineer with Riverside Technology, Inc.,) studied Civil Engineering at Brigham Young and Colorado State Universities, and now provides technical leadership at Riverside on projects involving various aspects of distributed modeling and operational forecast implementation.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Astrid Schnetzer, North Carolina State University

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/3265165074424778241

Sponsor(s): Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network, State of the Science webinar series. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: Progressing ocean acidification may significantly impact marine plankton community structure and community-level processes. Yet, our ability to predict specific responses is highly limited due to the taxonomic complexity of microbial assemblages and the limitations of the methodological and experimental tools presently available to test specific hypotheses. Research focusing on single microbes (typically well-studied cultured species) has begun to reveal important mechanistic insight into the potential effects of a changing CO2 regime. Much less, however, is known about how mixed (natural) assemblages may respond to ocean acidification. A central question is if the trends and patterns that are observed in microbial communities during short-term manipulations can be extrapolated to the responses of fully acclimated plankton communities over decadal or longer timescales. Further challenges arise from linking shifts in microbial assemblage structure to shifts in biogeochemistry at the base of the food web in response to changed global climate parameters (i.e. pCO2 and temperature). State-of-the-art molecular approaches allow researchers to tackle these challenges across an array of marine systems. These novel approaches will help us understand the impacts of OA on microbial communities in the SAB.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Jon Gottschalck (NWS Climate Prediction Center) Seminar

Sponsor(s): National Weather Service, Climate Services Branch Seminar POC: Judy.Koepsell@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/8412789344086141186 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar that should only be used by you.

Abstract: The status of the ongoing effort at the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) for the development and release of experimental Week 3-4 temperature and precipitation outlooks will be described. Material presented will include the format and launch schedule of the experimental product, the scientific basis for outlooks of this type, description of the development process, review of forecast tool historical skill evaluation and the challenges moving forward.

Bio(s): Mr. Jon Gottschalck currently works at the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), since 2004, within NOAA's National Weather Service. He was recently named Chief of the Operational Prediction Branch within CPC and is now responsible for outlining the overall direction of operational forecast related activities. Prior to this, Mr. Gottschalck served as CPC's Head of Forecast Operations where he was responsible for overseeing day-to-day routine production and dissemination of CPC's operational forecast products. Mr. Gottschalck earned both a B.S. and M.S. degree in meteorology from the Pennsylvania State University in 1994 and 1996, respectively. Recording Availability: The recording should be available at the following location about 1 week after the presentation: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/csd/index.php?section=seminar

OneNOAA Science Seminars Sponsor CPC- EMC seminar;

Presenter(s): Yongkang Xue, UCLA

Abstract: For the past four decades, Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) has been one of the most extensively studied phenomena in atmospheric and climatic sciences. While numerous features of MJO have been revealed through analyzing observational and/or modeling data, a relatively complete theory based on fundamental dynamics of atmosphere and ocean that can explain systematically most of the observed features of MJO appears still to be out of reach. Many fundamental questions regarding MJO still need to be answered, such as why variability on intraseasonal stands out and why MJO propagates eastward. In this talk, the circulations driven by convective heating of different vertical structures are discussed through exploring the fundamental dynamical processes of tropical atmosphere. Special emphasis is placed on the low-level mass (moisture) convergence associated with the forced circulation and the maintenance of the shallow and deep heat sources. A new mechanism is inferred from the fundamental dynamics for the interaction between the large-scale convection and large-scale circulation. The new mechanism states that shallow heating drives a strong low-level moisture convergence so that the system of shallow heating and the forced large-scale circulation is unstable. When the unstable system reaches a certain amplitude, the stable cap layer immediately above the shallow heating erodes, and deep convection arises, which consumes most of the converged moisture at low levels without much feedback to the low-level convergence of moisture. The whole heating circulation system develops and dies; the estimated lifetime of such a system, based on the timescale of adjustment of tropical atmosphere to forcing, is on an intraseasonal timescale. Other observational features of MJO that can be explained by this theory are also discussed. Our study infers that a key to understanding intraseasonal oscillation is the shallow convective heating, but not OLR or velocity potential of upper levels.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Sarah Raskin and Doug DuBois of the Oxnard Unified School District

Sponsor(s): Sharing Ocean Acidification Resources for Communicators and Educators (SOARCE) Seminar Series. This series is jointly sponsored by the NOAA National Marine Sanctuaries and Ocean Acidification Program.

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/1263495359764788738

Abstract: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/1263495359764788738

Bio(s): Sarah Raskin is a science teacher at the Haydock Academy of Arts and Sciences in Oxnard, California. She is currently working as a magnet schools grant coordinator at her school site to help facilitate Haydock's transition to an arts and sciences academy with an emphasis on environmental science. Sarah seeks to find ways to connect her students to their local environment through science education. Sarah has been teaching for over eleven years, in both Oxnard and Santa Cruz, California (Meg Chadsey, Ocean Acidification Specialist, Washington State Sea Grant) Doug Dubois earned his undergraduate degree at the University of California Santa Barbara in environmental studies. Besides his teaching credential, Doug DuBois is a bilingual credentialed educator. He participated in a UCLA program for science teachers called Leadership in Marine Science. In this UCLA program he learned how to integrate ocean sciences into the classroom. Doug has written numerous grants that relate to science and environmental education. He is currently helping Robert J. Frank Middle school transform into the Robert J Frank Academy of Marine Science and Engineering as the MSAP Site Coordinator.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Jason Link, PhD, Senior Scientist for Ecosystem Management at NOAA Fisheries Seminar

Sponsor(s): EBM Seminar Series, NOAA Fisheries, Office of Mgmt and Budget Seminar POC: adam.fullerton@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Audio Dial in: 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 994 973 904 https://noaaevents2.webex.com/noaaevents2/onstage/g.php?d=994973904&t=a Event Password: ecofish

Abstract: NOAA has adopted ecosystem-based management (EBM) as the approach for meeting the agency's mandates to sustainably manage the nation's marine resources. EBM accounts for a changing marine climate and is guided by an adaptive management approach. NOAA Fisheries is advancing EBM for the fisheries sector through development of an Ecosystem-Based Fisheries Management (EBFM) Policy Statement and associated Roadmap. This presentation will provide an overview and update of the draft EBFM Policy Statement and Roadmap, how they relate to other efforts, and discuss how we'll know when we're doing EBFM.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Martha Buckley, George Mason University and Brian Soden, University of Miami

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Climate Program Office (OAR/CPO) - Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) program

Remote Access: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/5061848436737591042 You must register in advance, at which point you will receive webinar access information.

Abstract: Pending. For project summary visit http://go.usa.gov/3sH8G Point of Contact: hunter.jones@noaa.gov (301-734-1215) For more information on the series, and to see the complete schedule, visit http://cpo.noaa.gov/cvp-webinars ===ABSTRACTS=== Martha Buckley - Low-frequency SST and upper-ocean heat content variability in the North Atlantic Observations indicate that Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs) exhibit significant low-frequency variability. The goal of this work is to quantify the relative roles of atmo- spheric forcing and ocean dynamics in creating SST/upper-ocean heat content anomalies in the North Atlantic. For this purpose, I utilize a state estimate (covering the period 1992 to 2010) produced by Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO) to quantify the upper ocean heat budget in the North Atlantic on monthly to interan- nual timescales. Three novel techniques are introduced: (1) the heat budget is integrated over the maximum climatological mixed layer depth (integral denoted as H), which gives results that are relevant for explaining SST while avoiding strong contributions from ver- tical diffusion and entrainment; (2) advective convergences are separated into Ekman and geostrophic parts, a technique that is successful away from ocean boundaries; (3) air-sea heat fluxes and heat transport convergences due to anomalous Ekman advection are com- bined into one local forcing term. The central results of the analysis are as follows: (1) In the interior of subtropical gyre, local forcing explains the majority of H variance on all timescales resolved by the ECCO estimate. (2) In the Gulf Stream region, low-frequency H anomalies are forced by geostrophic convergences and damped by air-sea heat fluxes. (3) In the interior of the subpolar gyre, diffusion and bolus transports play a leading order role in H variability, and these transports are correlated with low-frequency variability in wintertime mixed layer depths.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. Jolvan T. Morris, Post-doctoral Research Fellow, NOAA Living Marine Cooperative Science Center at Savannah State University Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (3017132600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (3017132600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 8668337307, participant code is 8986360# . Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: Bycatch reduction technology (BRT) is a popular way to protect endangered and threatened marine animals. The available literature on BRT primarily considers the biological elements of managing shrimp trawl fisheries but rarely addresses social acceptance of such protocols, despite the clear importance of human behavior to successful deployment of BRTs. Reasons why fishermen adopt or fail to comply with requirements for BRT, thus, are poorly understood. The Gulf of Mexico shrimp fishery, and its requirements for Turtle Excluder Devices (TEDs) to protect Gulf of Mexico sea turtle species, sharks, and marine mammals, offers a useful case study on BRT compliance. Research methods included a content analysis of shrimping regulation literature, and focused interviews and mail surveys that were administered to shrimp fishermen across three states in the Gulf of Mexico shrimp fishery: Texas, Louisiana and Florida. Results suggest that regardless of general environmental attitudes, the cost of buying TEDs and the revenue lost through lower catches tend to deter TED use, while increased knowledge regarding regulatory requirements, species endangerment status, and bycatch levels has no impact. Also improving compliance were increased participation in decision making in advance of deployment and certain social norms. Recommendations at the conclusion of this research outline how to include fishermen in decision-making for TED deployment, what management practices may promote compliance, and how to consider Environmental Justice and sustainability concerns while managing the Gulf of Mexico Shrimp fishery

Bio(s): Dr. Jolvan Morris is a postdoctoral researcher working with Dr. Dionne Hoskins in the NOAA Living Marine Resources Cooperative Science Center at Savannah State University (SSU). Her principal research interests are Environmental Policy, Risk Communication, the Social Dimensions of Fisheries, and Environmental Justice issues in coastal communities. Dr. Morris's post-doctoral research focuses on the African American Fishermen Oral History Project at SSU. This initiative explores the roles and significance of fisheries in Gullah Geechee communities along the coast in the Southeastern United States. She earned her Master's degree and Ph.D. in Environmental Science from Florida A&M University in the NOAA Environmental Cooperative Science Center. Her Master's thesis focused on evaluating the biological and sociological issues surrounding the management of protected sturgeon species under Section 7 of the Endangered Species Act. Her dissertation research used socio-environmental synthesis to address compliance, participation, and environmental justice issues in the Gulf of Mexico shrimp fishery. Dr. Morris also spent two years as an intern at the Northeast Regional Office of the National Marine Fisheries Service assisting the Protected Resources Division with projects including Section 7 consultations, identifying critical habitat for protected marine species, and the development of educational outreach programs for K-12 students.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Mark Tedesco, EPA, Director of Long Island Sound Study

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed.

Abstract: Long Island Sound is truly an urban estuary, with a long history of human influence and a watershed population of nine million people. Anthropogenic influences have degraded water quality and reduced natural terrestrial habitat size and complexity. Over the past 15 years, management efforts coordinated through the Long Island Sound Study have resulted in significant progress toward mitigating nitrogen impairments in Long Island Sound. Guided by a Total Maximum Daily Load to Achieve Water Quality Standards for Dissolved Oxygen in Long Island Sound (LIS TMDL), established in 2000, upgrades to 106 wastewater treatment facilities in Connecticut and New York wastewater treatment facilities have decreased nitrogen discharged by 40 million pounds per year, attaining 94% of the TMDL wasteload allocation. Continued Clean Air Act controls have reduced atmospheric deposition in the watershed by an average of 25% for total nitrogen and 50% for nitrate. Reductions in agricultural activity in the watershed and improved management have reduced fertilizer applications by 25% and livestock numbers by 40%. The waters of Long Island Sound and its tributaries are responding to these nitrogen load reductions. Flow-normalized nutrient concentrations and fluxes from tributaries draining to Long Island have decreased from 1974 to 2013 and from 2001 to 2013, and nitrogen concentrations in LIS have decreased as well. Over the past decade the severity of hypoxia (or low dissolved oxygen levels) in LIS appears to be lessening. And eelgrass beds, a rooted underwater plant sensitive to water quality conditions, have increased in extent by 4.5% between 2009 and 2012 and 29% between 2002 and 2012. Despite the positive trends in these Pressure and State indicators, modeling and monitoring suggest that further reductions in nitrogen below the 2000 LIS TMDL allocations will be needed to attain water quality standards. The presentation will review progress made in reducing eutrophication in LIS and identify some of the challenges and issues that need to be addressed to further advance restoration. Forward, including further management of sources of nitrogen and habitat approaches to increase the assimilative capacity of LIS.

Bio(s): Mark Tedesco is director of the United States Environmental Protection Agency's Long Island Sound Office. The office coordinates the Long Island Sound Study, administered by EPA as part of the National Estuary Program under the Clean Water Act. Mr. Tedesco is responsible for supporting implementation of a Comprehensive Conservation and Management Plan for Long Island Sound, approved by the Governors of New York and Connecticut and the EPA Administrator, in cooperation with federal, state, and local government, private organizations, and the public. Mr. Tedesco has worked for EPA for 28 years. He received his M.S. in marine environmental science in 1986 and a B.S in biology in 1982 from Stony Brook University.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Bob Rhealt of the East Coast Shellfish Growers Association will offer an industry perspective, Mel Bell of South Carolina Department of Natural Resources will offer the management perspective, Erik Smith of North Inlet-Winyah Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve will share hisacidification scientific expertise, and James Morris of NOAA Center for Coastal Fisheries and Habitat Research will offer his expertise in fisheries science.

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/2523531286702607873

Sponsor(s): Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network, State of the Science webinar series. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: Please join us for a discussion about ocean acidification and potential implications for fisheries in the Carolinas. Members of the shellfish industry, natural resource management, and ocean acidification and fisheries research fields will share their expertise and perspective during this virtual panel. Questions from the public will then be posed to our panelists and the panel will conclude with a discussion among panelists and those attending.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Gustav Kgesten, NOAA/NCCOS Biogeography Branch

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code needed for web.

Abstract: We created a detailed seafloor map of coral reef habitats in the Caribbean off NE Puerto Rico, using satellite imagery, bathymetry data, ground validation video, and a suite of spatial predictors. This project builds on a semi-automated mapping process by NOAA's NCCOS Biogeography Branch and introduces tools to map large areas of complex marine habitats. The new habitat map is being used in a spatial prioritization project for the Northeast Reserves, supporting development of an improved management plan, which is also a new NOAA Habitat Focus Area.

Bio(s): Gustav works at NOAA's Biogeography Branch to map and monitor temperate and tropical marine ecosystems. After four years at NOAA he is moving back home to Sweden to keep working on Marine Spatial Planning for the Swedish Government.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series Sponsor EMC seminar Speaker Takemasa Miyoshi, RIKEN Advanced Institute for Computational Science. Kobe, Japan

Title: Data Assimilation toward Big Data and Post-peta-scale Supercomputing: A Personal Perspective POC Michiko Masutani (michiko.masutani@noaa.gov)

Remote Access: Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/438143429 You can also dial in using your phone. United States +1 (571) 317-3122 Access Code: 438-143-429 For last few seminars, the line was full and many people could not connect GTM. If you are planning to use remote access, please reserve line by respond as"yes" to the invitation or E-mail to Michiko.masutani@noaa.gov. We will ensure that you will not be dismissed from GTM.

Abstract: I will present my personal perspective on the next 10-20 years of data assimilation with the future-generation sensors and post-peta-scale supercomputers, based on our own experience with the 10-petaflops K computer. New sensors produce orders of magnitude more data than the current sensors, and faster computers enable orders of magnitude more precise simulations, or Big Simulations. Data assimilation deals with the Big Data from both new sensors and Big Simulations. We started a Big Data Assimilation project, aiming to develop a revolutionary weather forecasting system to refresh 30-minute forecasts at a 100-m resolution every 30 seconds, 120 times more rapid than the typical hourly-updated systems. We also investigated ensemble data assimilation using 10240 ensemble members, largest ever for the global atmosphere. Based on the experience using the K computer, we will discuss the future of data assimilation in the forthcoming Big Data and Big Simulation era. Keywords: big data, large ensemble, big simulation, post-peta-scale supercomputing

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Katherine Bunting-Howarth, JD, PhD, Associate Director at New York Sea Grant and Assistant Director at Cornell Cooperative Extension, and Helen Cheng, Coastal Communities Specialist at National Sea Grant Office

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) National Sea Grant College Program

Remote Access: FOR WEBCAST: go to https://connect.extension.iastate.edu/eden at the webinar date and time. Enter as a guest.

Abstract: Learn about tools available to Great Lakes and marine coastal communities faced with coastal storms, climate change, sea level rise, tsunamis, and hurricanes. These tools have been tried and tested by Sea Grant Extension professionals. Participate in this webinar and see whether one of these tools can be used for your coastal constituency. Point of Contact: robin.garcia@noaa.gov (301-734-1181)

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Bill Skamarock, National Center for Atmospheric Research POC: Andrew Ostapenko

Remote Access: For last few seminars, the line was full and many people could not connect GTM. If you are planning to use remote access, please reserve line by E-mail to Michiko.masutani@noaa.gov by Thrsday 8/20 noon. Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/869621693 United States : +1 (626) 425-3113 Access Code: 869-621-693

Abstract: Convection permitting NWP uses regional models and short forecasts periods because of computational constraints and the inherent limitations of downscaling global forecasts. Using global models that permit local refinement, existing computers are capable of producing CONUS-scale explicit convective forecasts over intermediate-range periods within operational time windows. The Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) uses an unstructured spherical centroidal Voronoi mesh that allows for smooth cell-size variations between coarse and fine resolution regions on the mesh, and we been using it to produce experimental convective-scale global model forecasts. We will present MPAS forecast results from the May 2015 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed forecast experiment, and MPAS forecasts supporting the Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN) experiment, that demonstrate these MPAS capabilities. Two issues are addressed with the MPAS configuration in these forecast experiments. First, forecast results show that the problems inherent in traditional grid-nesting approaches are not evident in the MPAS variable-mesh forecasts. Second, we are using the scale-aware version of the Grell-Freitas convective parameterization, and we find that it transitions appropriately from parameterizing essential all the unstable deep convection at hydrostatic-scale mesh spacings to allowing the convection to be explicitly simulated at nonhydrostatic mesh spacings on the variable resolution mesh. We will discuss our experience with these issues within the context of these and other forecast tests.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Peter Houk (University of Guam Marine Laboratory) Seminar POC: alicia.clarke@noaa.gov Sponsored by NOAA Coral Reef Conservation Program (www.coralreef.noaa.gov)

Remote Access: WebEx conferencing information: Meeting Number: 441497235; Meeting Passcode: OCRMCCD 1. To join the meeting: http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=441497235&p=OCRMCCD&t=c 2. Enter the required fields. 3. Indicate that you have read the Privacy Policy. 4. Click on Proceed. To access the sound you must dial in using the following number (it is not through the web). Dial: (866) 581-0524; Passcode: 6578691#

Abstract: Fishing and pollution represent chronic stressors on coral reefs that can prolong disturbance-and-recovery cycles, and contribute to ecosystem decline through time. Climate change serves to exacerbate this situation by increasing the frequency of disturbance events, and shorten the time available for recovery cycles. While island nations have little control over carbon emissions, they can manage localized stressors to ensure ecosystem services from coral reefs persist through time. In this spirit, the political leaders of 6 nations in Micronesia challenged each other to conserve at least 30% of marine resources, and 20% of terrestrial resources, by 2020. This talk will present the first assessment of the conservation movement by summarizing initial findings from a growing, standardized coral monitoring program. In compliment, the utility of these findings for stakeholders will be presented through three case studies. Finally, these collective efforts have served to focus attention on coral-reef fisheries as a primary localized stressor impacting reef condition across Micronesia. Therefore, projects originating from supplemental support from the Packard and Cargill Foundations to address nearshore fisheries will also be summarized, which have become integrated within our growing science-to-management network.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Mark Leidner, Atmospheric and Environmental Research (AER)

Sponsor(s): Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA) Point of Contact: Erin.Jones@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Video: 1. Go to JCSDA Seminar 2. Enter the event number: 999 299 037 3. Password is JCSDA 4. Click "Join Now". 5. Follow the instructions that appear on your screen. Audio: USA participants: 1-866-715-2479, Code: 9457557, Intern'l: 1-517-345-5260

Abstract: In our simulation study, we use the Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) framework to measure the impact of vastly increased numbers of GNSS RO profiles on weather analysis and forecasting. Our study focuses on severe convective weather in the State of Oklahoma, part of the so-called tornado alley because of the frequent bouts of severe weather it experiences each year. The case of interest is the May 31, 2013 El Reno tornado, because this event produced both an EF3 tornado and flash flooding in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. We use the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to compute a 2 km nature run, i.e., the truth in our study. And we use a 24-member, physics-based ensemble of 18-km-resolution WRF models, along with an Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) to blend the simulated observations with the ensemble mean a priori model state vector. We use the WRF-DART ensemble data assimilation system to manage the hourly, cycling data assimilation and for its non-local, excess phase observation operator for RO data. We simulate future constellations of RO satellites that can produce up to 2.5 million profiles/day globally. We will show analysis and forecast impacts of greatly increased numbers of RO profiles. The analysis impacts on lower tropospheric moisture fields in particular will be highlighted, as well as impacts on convective initiation in the forecasts.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Meghan Blumstein, PhD candidate, Harvard University

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed for web. About the Speaker &

Abstract: Meghan is a PhD candidate at Harvard University in Andrew Richardson's lab, studying the resilience of forests to climate change. Prior to starting her graduate program, she held a two-year position with Jonathan Thompson at the Smithsonian/Harvard Forest. Her work there focused on projecting future scenarios of land use and forest growth and their impacts on ecosystem services. Her talk will focus on a portion of this project and considerations that should be taken when using hotspots to define conservation priorities. In Massachusetts, the number of ecosystem service hotspots has increased over time, but this may in fact be a negative reflection of expanding development and degrading forests over the past decade.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Nichola Clark, NOAA Fisheries Office of Law Enforcement Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA OAR NSG Seminar POC for questions: helen.cheng@noaa.gov

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar for each of these seminars, please fill out the registration form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. You must use the PHONE to call in for audio. BE SURE to install the correct plug-in for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: The United Nations Fish Stocks Agreement recognizes regional fisheries management organizations and agreements (RFMOs) as institutions through which high seas fisheries might be effectively conserved and managed. Although the FAO recognizes over 50 RFMOs and these organizations cover much of the geographic extent of the world's oceans, declining fish stocks have not improved. According to scholars and environmental non-governmental organizations (NGOs), RFMOs are failing the high seas. Political theorists recognize transparency as a mechanism through which governance can be improved. Indeed, a number of environmental governance institutions, including those that relate specifically to RFMOs, have called for greater transparency, in hopes that the adoption of more transparent practices will help restore failing fish stocks. This lecture will explore how well RFMOs are meeting international expectations for transparency and if any organizations in particular stand out as having particularly transparent or not-transparent practices. Specific discussions will include an identification of elements of transparency upon which RFMOs can most improve and offer recommendations for how RFMOs can achieve better transparency practices..

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Part 4 of a Five-Part Series on Marine Conservation and Management Red Sea: Resource Dependency and Compliance of Artisanal Fisheries in Nabq Protected Area, Gulf of Aqaba-Red Sea, Egypt

Presenter(s): Ayman Mabrouk, Ph.D., 2015 Sea Grant Fellow from Michigan State University, and Former Assistant Director for Nature Conservation at the Egyptian Ministry of State for Environmental Affairs

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Bio(s): Ayman Mabrouk was born in Port Said, Egypt and graduated from the Suez Canal University in Ismailia Egypt in 1993 as a Marine Biologist. From 1995-2009, Ayman worked for the National Parks of Egypt, first as an environmental researcher and Manager of Nabq Protected Area, and then as a Manager of the South Sinai Protectorates, Gulf of Aqaba, Red Sea, Egypt. From 2009-2010 he was Assistant Director for the Nature Conservation Sector in Cairo, and mentor for the managers of marine protected areas of Egypt. Ayman was responsible for developing and implementing the strategic management plan for conserving the Egyptian Red Sea, and he assessed the performance of the MPAs there (178,360 mile) in terms of conserving marine resources. In 2014 Ayman earned his Ph.D. in Fisheries and Wildlife from Michigan State University; his thesis was on The role of marine protected areas in maintaining sustainable fisheries in the Egyptian Gulf of Aqaba, Red Sea. Currently Ayman is a Sea Grant Knauss fellow at the NOAA NCCOS Biogeography Branch.

Abstract: Part 4: TBD

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Curtis Hemmel, Bay Shellfish Co, Holly Greening, Tampa Bay Estuary Program, Holly Greening, Tampa Bay Estuary Program, Brian Hopkinson, University of Georgia

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/8406816796264790530

Sponsor(s): Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network, State of the Science webinar series. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: Please join us for a discussion about ocean acidification and potential implications for fisheries in Georgia and Florida. Members of the shellfish industry, natural resource management, and ocean acidification and fisheries research fields will share their expertise and perspective during this virtual panel. Questions from the public will then be posed to our panelists and the panel will conclude with a discussion among panelists and those attending.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): David J. Stensrud, The Pennsylvania State University

Title: Convective-scale Warn-on-Forecast: Vision to Reality Sponsor Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) seminar Point of Contact: Geoff Dimego geoff.dimego@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Go to meeting to be arranged Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/773404381 You can also dial in using your phone. United States : +1 (312) 757-3121 Access Code: 773-404-381 Abstract. Warn-on-Forecast is a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration project to extend severe weather warning lead times by incorporating forecasts from a convection-allowing ensemble modeling system into the warning decision process. Initial results with convection-allowing ensembles that assimilate radar observations have shown that while reasonable thunderstorm analyses are produced, obtaining accurate very short-range thunderstorm forecasts is more challenging. Results from several warn-on-forecast data assimilation and prediction experiments and real-time testing in the 2015 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed will be shown to highlight the potential benefits and to outline the challenges still ahead.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Yunyue Yu (STAR, LST lead) Host: JPSS/GOES-R PROVING GROUND SEMINAR POC: Dr. Mitch Goldberg, mitch.goldberg@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Phone: 877-401-9225; 53339716# Webex: Remote Access webinar--------------------------------------------- 1. Go to https://mmancusa.webex.com/mmancusa/j.php?MTID=mcb5a21794a0d607e0de269d2d8ff4cfd 2. If requested, enter your name and email address. 3. If a password is required, enter the meeting password: Jpss2015! 4. Click "Join".

Abstract: Information on land surface temperature (LST) is important for understanding climate change, modeling the hydrological and biogeochemical cycles, and is a prime candidate parameter for Numerical Weather Prediction assimilation models. Satellite LST product has been one of major products of most meteorological satellite missions for decades. Recently, Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has accepted a recommendation from the International LST and Emissivity Working Group (ILSTE-WG) for adding satellite radiometric LST into its list of Essential Climate Variables (ECVs). However, it is well-known that quality of LST production is significantly lower comparing to the satellite production for sea surface temperature (SST) using the same sensor data. Applications of the satellite LST product have been significantly restricted due to such low-quality status, which constrains investment of the LST development from the management. In this presentation, some issues of the LST product development and validation will be discussed based on our duties on LST production for JPSS and GOES-R missions. Understanding issues in LST development and validation is vital in our efforts to improve the satellite LST production.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Jennifer Hammond, Director, NOAA's Teacher at Sea Program and Jenn Annetta, Alumni Coordinator, National Marine Sanctuary Foundation

Remote Access: For audio dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For webcast go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event" and add conf no: 744925156. No code for webcast.

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series: coordinator is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Abstract: Since its inception in 1990, the mission of NOAA's Teacher at Sea Program (TAS) is to provide kindergarten through college-level teachers with hands-on, real-world research experience working at sea with world-renowned NOAA scientists, thus giving them unique insight into oceanic and atmospheric research crucial to the nation. The program provides a unique opportunity for teachers to sail aboard NOAA research vessels and work under the tutelage of scientists and crew. By participating in this program, teachers profoundly enrich their classroom curricula, enhance their approaches to teaching science, and engage their local community with knowledge that can only be gained by living and working with scientists who contribute to the world's oceanic and atmospheric scientific research.

Bio(s): Jennifer Hammond is the Director of NOAA's TAS Program. She began managing the Program in 2003; her primary responsibilities are to manage the program budget and operations, establish partnerships, and lead the TAS team. Jennifer has worked with NOAA scientists to secure berths for over 300 teachers, and she led the program to celebrate its 25th Anniversary this year. Jenn Annetta is the Alumni Coordinator for the TAS Program and began in 2011. She is responsible for communicating with teachers when they return from sea, organizing alumni events and workshops, and making sure that teachers complete program requirements. Regional alumni networks are now developed in New England and the Mid-Atlantic with plans to spread throughout the country.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series Note: This seminar is being offered a second time because there was a problem with the webinar. The first presentation was on 7/22/15.

Presenter(s): Hannah Barkley, PhD candidate, MIT-WHOI Joint Program in Oceanography

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio is over the phone: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed for web.

Abstract: Ocean acidification threatens the survival of coral reef ecosystems. Lab experiments and studies of naturally low-pH reefs suggest that declining ocean pH could decrease coral calcification, accelerate reef bioerosion, and drive significant shifts in coral reef community structure and function before the end of this century. However, we recently discovered highly diverse coral reefs in the Rock Islands of Palau that are currently thriving at predicted 2100 pH levels. These healthy, coral-dominated, and net calcifying reef communities suggest that coral reef ecosystem responses to ocean acidification may vary, with significant implications for coral reef conservation under 21st century climate change.

Bio(s): Hannah Barkley is a graduate student in the Massachusetts Institute of Technology-Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Joint Program in Oceanography. She received an A.B. in Ecology and Evolutionary Biology from Princeton University in 2011, and is currently pursuing a PhD in the department of Marine Geology and Geophysics (expected 2016). Her research focuses on coral reef conservation under climate change and identifying coral reefs that are resilient to increasing ocean temperature and ocean acidification.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Title: Probabilistic and Deterministic Forecasting using Evolutionary Program Ensembles

Presenter(s): Paul Roebber, University of Wisconsin at Milwaukee POC:Geoff DiMego geoff.dimego@noaa.gov Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/259692821 You can also dial in using your phone. United States : +1 (408) 650-3123 Access Code: 259-692-821

Abstract: Charles Darwin wrote: Can it be thought improbable that other variations useful in some way to each being in the great and complex battle of life, should sometimes occur in the course of thousands of generations? If such do occur, can we doubt that individuals having any advantage, however slight would have the best chance of surviving and of procreating their kind? This is the conceptual basis of evolutionary programming (EP), a process in which simulated evolution is used to find solutions to problems as diverse as the sorting of numbers and forecasting minimum temperature. Despite a history in computer sciences dating back to the 1960s, the application of this idea to meteorological studies is relatively new. Recently, EP has been adapted to the weather domain in order to generate large member ensemble forecasts for minimum temperature, maximum temperature, wind power, and heavy rainfall (Roebber 2013; Roebber 2015abc). These studies have shown that the method can provide greater probabilistic and deterministic skill, particularly at the extremes, than post-processed numerical weather prediction (NWP) ensembles. Further research has shown that this skill advantage persists out to longer ranges, where the forecast signal is presumably weaker. The method can be understood as follows. Suppose that we have a well-defined problem with a clear measure of success (e.g., root-mean-square-error), and for which we can construct solutions by performing various mathematical operations on a set of inputs. In this case, it is possible to develop a single computer program that generates algorithms which solve the defined problem by applying various operators and coefficients to the inputs. The level of success or "fitness" of a particular solution can then be measured. The idea of fitness invokes evolutionary principles and suggests that if one starts from a very large set of random initial algorithms and allows fit algorithms to propagate some portion of their components to the next generation, then it may be possible to produce improved algorithms over time. This culling of the population in favor of stronger individuals through maximizing fitness and the exchange of "genetic material" between fit algorithms drives the progress towards improved solutions. Since weather forecast problems are nonlinear with non-unique solutions, evolved programs are a new means for generating a set of skillful but independent solutions. The algorithms resemble multiple linear or nonlinear regression equations, but with conditionals that allow for special circumstances to be accounted for as a routine outcome of the data search (e.g., the impact of snow cover on temperature under conditions of clear skies and light winds; Roebber 2010). In this talk, I will discuss the EP concept and its most recent meteorological forms, including examples from various applications of the method. Roebber (2015abc) modified the technique to incorporate various forms of genetic exchange, disease, mutation, and the training of solutions within ecological niches, and to produce an adaptive form that can account for changing local conditions (such as changing flow regimes) as well as improved forecast inputs " thus, once initial training is completed, the ensemble will adapt automatically as forecasts are produced. I will outline efforts to mitigate the tendency for EP ensembles to exhibit under dispersion as with NWP ensembles and the concept of balancing the minimization of root-mean-square error with the maximization of ensemble diversity. I will then conclude with a discussion of outstanding questions regarding the method and future research directions. Roebber, P.J., 2010: Seeking consensus: A new approach. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 4402-4415. Roebber, P.J., 2013: Using evolutionary programming to generate skillful extreme value probabilistic forecasts. Mon. Wea Rev., 141, 3170-3185. Roebber, P.J., 2015a: Evolving ensembles. Mon. Wea Rev., 143, 471-490. Roebber, P.J., 2015b: Ensemble MOS and evolutionary program minimum temperature forecast skill. Mon. Wea. Rev., in press. Roebber, P.J., 2015c: Adaptive evolutionary programming. Mon. Wea. Rev., in press.

Presenter(s): Scott Rogerson, NOAA/NESDIS Office of Satellite and Product Operations (OSPO), Satellite Products and Services Division (SPSD), Direct Services Branch (DSB) Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (3017132600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (3017132600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 8668337307, participant code is 8986360# . Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: The Argos Data Collection and Location System (DCS) consists of instruments provided by the French Space Agency on polar-orbiting satellites operated by NOAA, EUMETSAT, and the Indian Space Research Organization. Nearly 2,000 users in over 100 countries currently collect data from over 21,000 active platforms, including a wide variety of wildlife, meteorological and oceanographic equipment, commercial fishing vessels, and merchant ships. A brief history, overview of the Argos system, and diversity of user applications will be provided-with a focus on current NOAA applications and the next (fifth) decade of operations

Bio(s): Scott Rogerson has been the Argos DCS program manager for NESDIS/OSPO since August of 2010. Before joining NOAA, he served as an officer in the U.S. Coast Guard for 21 years, including command of two patrol boats, teaching marine science at the U.S. Coast Guard Academy, and two tours at the International Ice Patrol, where he was responsible for monitoring the iceberg danger near the Grand Banks of Newfoundland and providing the limit of all known ice to the maritime community. (Scott Rogerson, NOAA/NESDIS Office of Satellite and Product Operations (OSPO), Satellite Products and Services Division (SPSD), Direct Services Branch

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Robert Brock, Ph.D.,Marine Biologist, NOAA's National Marine Protected Areas Center

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: In 2000, President Clinton signed Executive Order (EO) 13158 to preserve representative habitats in different geographic regions of the marine environment. The NOAA Marine Protected Area (MPA) Center concluded that nationally, 70% of habitat types, 82% of birds, invertebrates and algal ecosystem features, 71% of fish, marine mammal or sea turtle features and 87% of ecologically important ecosystem features within the 19 marine ecoregions of the U.S. are found in at least one National System MPA in each ecoregion. 89% of the nation's MPAs contain zero no-take areas, indicating no additional protection from extraction. This presentation will discuss the spatial distribution of MPAs and what this analysis is and is not.

Bio(s): Dr. Robert Brock is a Marine Biologist in the NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center in Silver Spring, MD. Robert holds a B.S. in Environmental Studies (Marine Ecology) from Florida International University; an M.S. in Marine Biology from the Nova Southeastern University Oceanographic Center; and a Ph.D. in Environmental Engineering Sciences (Aquatic Biology) from the University of Florida's Center for Wetlands. His previous positions include a Fishery Biologist with the NOAA Fisheries Service, Supervisory Marine Biologist with the National Park Service, Marine Biologist with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and Hydrologist (Biology) with the U.S. Geological Survey.

One NOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Qassim Abdullah, Ph.D., Senior Geospatial Scientist and Associate, Woolpert, Inc.

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; seminar point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov or Ashley.Chappell@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. Audio is via phone: dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code needed for web.

Abstract: The goal of this seminar is to provide a dynamic forum to address current advances in aerial geospatial sensors technologies and data processing as it relates to the Geiger mode and photon counting Lidar, UAS, large format digital cameras, and mobile Lidar. Among the topics to be presented are the following:

Bio(s): Besides being Woolpert's Senior Geospatial Scientist and Associate, Dr. Abdullah is an adjunct professor at both the University of Maryland, Baltimore County and the Penn State University. He has published more than 50 technical papers and reports throughout his career. He is a member of the American Society of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing (ASPRS), and was the 2010 recipient of the organization's prestigious Fairchild Award. He is also a member of the International Society for Optics and Photonics (SPIE) and American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE). Dr. Abdullah recently co-published the new ASPRS Positional Accuracy Standards for Digital Geospatial Data.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library Brown Bag Seminar Series; Contact: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov or Albert.E.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov

Presenter(s): Tarlie Townsend, Visiting Scholar at Indiana University's School of Public and Environmental Affairs

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 8668337307, participant code is code 8986360# . Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: "[I]t has long been conventional wisdom in the climate change research and policy community that any perception by the public that there is uncertainty in the science behind climate change and its attribution to human actions has been and will continue to be the death knell for effective policy-making to combat it." - Patt and Weber, 2014 What happens when laypeople hear scientific predictions containing uncertainty? In the U.S., scientific uncertainty about the specific impacts of climate change has been misinterpreted as implying that scientists aren't agreed that anthropogenic climate change is happening at all. Is such confusion a given when communicating uncertainty to the public? How does uncertainty information influence people's trust in the information source, their perception of the risk, and the decisions they ultimately make? Tarlie will present a broad review of the psychological findings on uncertainty communication. One takeaway will be that it matters how uncertainty information is communicated. Should we use numbers, words, or pictures? Frequencies or percentages? In the second part of this talk, Tarlie will introduce some common pitfalls in the presentation of uncertainty information, along with some best practices and open questions.

Bio(s): After completing her B.S. in neuroscience and her B.A. in Germanic Studies, Tarlie spent a year studying risk and uncertainty communication at Berlin's Max Planck Institute for Human Development, where she was a DAAD Scholar. She then took what she had learned into the field: as a Henry Luce Scholar working in Vietnam's Ministry of Science and Technology, she and her colleagues used field experiments to investigate how rural Vietnamese perceive climate change and uncertainty. Tarlie will begin an MPP at the University of Michigan's Ford School of Public Policy this fall, where she will continue to research risk and uncertainty communication.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Jonathan Godt, Coordinator of the U.S. Geological Survey Landslide Hazards Program Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA's National Weather Service, North Central River Forecast Center Point of Contact: Pedro.Restrepo@noaa.gov (952)368-2526

Remote Access: https://join.me/nws-northcentral For Audio: Dial toll free: 866-440-7702. Enter passcode: 1743178832#

Abstract: The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the National Weather Service (NWS) began collaborating ten years ago to develop and implement debris-flow early warning. This system, currently operational for burned areas in southern California, provides emergency managers in the region with critical information needed for response to hydrological hazards in post-wildfire landscapes. Looking ahead, the USGS is working towards expanding the partnership to other parts of the western US. In this talk, Dr. Jonathan Godt will provide a summary of the state of landslide science in the USGS and discuss research and operational needs to advance debris-flow and landslide early warning.

Bio(s): Dr. Jonathan Godt is the Coordinator of the U.S. Geological Survey Landslide Hazards Program and is based in Golden Colorado. He leads a team of Federal, academic, and international scientists who focus on understanding the hydrology and mechanics of landslides. He holds a B.A. in Political Science from Purdue University, and a M.S. in Environmental Science and Ph.D. in Physical Geography from the University of Colorado. In 18 years with the USGS he has co-authored 80 scientific papers and reports on landslide topics, including a recently published textbook on the subject. Location: North Central River Forecast Center, Chanhassen, MN

OneNOAA science Seminar EMC Seminar

Title: Recent Advancements of Verification Capability within Model Evaluation Tools (MET) and METViewer Speaker Tara L. Jensen NCAR/Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO Developmental Testbed Center, Boulder, CO POC: Perry Shafran perry.shafran@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Go to meeting Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/489848661 United States : +1 (224) 501-3412 Access Code: 489-848-661 The presentation is posted at http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/seminars/presentations/2015/TJensen_NCEP_29July2015.pptx

Abstract: At the foundation of the DTC testing and evaluation (T&E) system is the Model Evaluation Tools (MET) and METViewer database and display system. MET is supported to the community through the DTC and METViewer is currently being installed at NCEP by NCO. The verification team within the DTC has been working closely with DTC teams as well as the operational community to enhance MET to better support both internal T&E activities and testing performed across NOAA. This presentation will demonstrate several advancements that will be available in the next MET release, which is scheduled for later this summer. Specifically, we have added automated regridding capability, processing capability for Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) data assimilation diagnostic files, tools to produce complex masking regions for tailored verification, the calculation of categorical statistics for tropical cyclone rapid intensification and rapid weakening (RI/RW) events and renewables ramp events, and the use of Method for Object-based Diagnostic Evaluation " Time Domain (MODE-TD) on different spatial and temporal scales of data. The presentation will also demonstrate some of the METViewer capabilities that will be available inside the NCEP firewall soon.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Joe Resing, PhD, Researcher, NOAA-Earth Oceans Interactions Program and Affiliate Assistant Professor, School of Oceanography, University of Washington Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (3017132600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (3017132600 ext. 118).

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 8668337307, participant code is 8986360# . Webcast at www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: Volcanic eruptions and hot springs located beneath the sea surface are visually impressive, with hot chemically enriched water nurturing diverse ecosystems and producing ore-grade mineral deposits. However, until now it has been believed that the ocean-wide impacts of these phenomena on human time-scales was very limited. In particular, it has been generally thought that one of the most prevalent elements in hydrothermal vent fluids, iron, is lost from solution close to its volcanic sources, thereby making this source of iron of limited importance to large-scale ocean biogeochemistry. Our results from the US GEOTRACES Eastern Pacific Zonal Transect (EPZT) challenge this long-standing view by demonstrating the transport of hydrothermal dissolved iron more than 4,000 kilometres from the southern East Pacific Rise westward across the Pacific Ocean. Because iron is an essential and often limiting nutrient for primary production in regions of the ocean that are of critical importance for the global carbon cycle, knowledge of its sources is essential if we are to understand the role of oceans in climate regulation. To better understand the role of hydrothermal iron we placed our observations from the EPZT within a global-scale ocean model and discovered that hydrothermal iron may be responsible for a significant amount of phytoplankton growth and carbon dioxide uptake in the Southern Ocean. A significant portion of this carbon is then exported from the ocean surface to the deep sea; 15 to 30 percent of this carbon export in the Southern Ocean is supported by hydrothermal iron. While this study primarily concerns hydrothermal venting at mid-ocean ridges, there are many, much shallower submarine volcanoes in the ocean that may be even more effective (although more ephemeral) sources of iron to the ocean. This presentation will discuss both sources and their potential impacts on the ocean. Finally, given increasing interest in exploiting hydrothermally produced mineral deposits, some potential impacts of seafloor mining will be briefly discussed.

Bio(s): Dr. Resing received his Ph.D from the University of Hawaii in 1997. While in Hawaii, he studied the impact of lava flowing into the sea from Kilauea volcano on the Big Island. He is interested in how the solid earth interacts with the ocean and, in particular,how submarine eruptions and hydrothermal circulation impact the biogeochemistry of the ocean. He has more than 75 scientific publications on studies ranging from the chemistry of the surface oceans, the chemistry of hydrothermal plumes, and the impact of recent eruptions on the ocean. Of local note, Joe grew up in Washington DC and attended St. Anselm's Abbey school.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Wessley Merten, Ph.D., Foreign Affairs Fellow, NOAA Fisheries Office of International Affairs and Seafood Inspection

Sponsor(s): NOAA/OAR Knauss Brown Bag Seminar Series; point of contact is carolina.mosley@noaa.gov

Remote Access: To join the meeting: http://connectpro46305642.adobeconnect.com/dolphinfish/ If you have never attended an Adobe Connect meeting before: Test your connection: http://connectpro46305642.adobeconnect.com/common/help/en/support/meeting_test.htm Get a quick overview: http://www.adobe.com/products/adobeconnect.html Abstracts: 1. Vertical Movements: The vertical movements of six adult male dolphinfish (Coryphaena hippurus) (95"120 cm estimated fork length), caught using standard sportfishing methods, were investigated using high-rate single-point pop-up satellite archival transmitters from 2005 to 2011 in the western central Atlantic. Data revealed a diel activity pattern within the mixed surface layer with dives below the thermocline suggesting temperature is not a barrier to vertical movements for short periods of time. 2. US East Coast: Conventional mark and recapture (n = 306 recaptures) and satellite monitoring data (n = 6 transmitters) were used to examine small and large scale dispersal and movement patterns of dolphinfish (Coryphaena hippurus) along the U.S. east coast. Movement rates were dependent upon region, latitude, and distance from shore released. Movements from Florida to the South-Atlantic Bight (SAB) (44.67 39.53 km/d) and Florida to northeastern North Carolina (MAB) (44.62 15.31 km/d) had the highest observed rates, while movements within the SAB were the slowest (11.80 27.94 km/d). 3. Bahamas: Dolphinfish [n = 1188; 35"152.5 cm FL; mean: 73.78 (SD 16.58) cm FL] movements relative to The Bahamas were examined using conventional plastic dart tags (PDTs) and single point pop-up satellite archival tags (n= 2; 107.5 and 120 cm); these movements were compared to surface drifter tracks (n = 144) in the region from 2004 to 2012. Movements within The Bahamas were to the south in the Tongue of the Ocean, Northeast Providence Channel, and Exuma Sound, ranging from 4 to 23 DAL. However, the majority of dolphinfish released in the Tongue of the Ocean showed little net dispersal (<1 km) after 5"77 DAL. 4. NE Caribbean Sea: Distinct spatial variation and fisheries exchange routes for dolphinfish (Coryphaena hippurus) were resolved relative to the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean Sea using conventional (n=742; mean SD cm FL: 70.5 15.2 cm FL) and pop-up satellite archival tags (n=7; 117.6 11.7 cm FL) from 2008-2014. Movements were westward (274.42o 21.06o5 ), but slower in the tropical Atlantic than Caribbean Sea, with a maximum straight-line distance recorded between San Juan, Puerto Rico, and Charleston, South Carolina (1,917.49 km); the path distance of a 180-d Geolocation track was estimated at 12,998.55 km from the South Atlantic Bight to the northern limits of the Mona Passage. 5. Population Structure: The dolphinfish (Coryphaena hippurus) is of major recreational and commercial importance with landings increasing in recent years around Puerto Rico, throughout the Caribbean Sea, and along the U.S. east coast, yet its genetic structure among these localities is uncertain. A portion of the mitochondrial NADH dehydrogenase subunit 1 (ND1; 1288 bp) gene was used at two spatial scales to investigate the population structure of dolphinfish.

One NOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Peter Rochford, Ph.D., Coastal Ocean Modeler, CSS-Dynamac and NCCOS/COAST

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Abstract: VLab is a set of services and Information Technology (IT) framework provided by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) which enables NOAA employees and their partners to share ideas, collaborate, engage in software development, and conduct applied research. VLab communities allow users with common interest to collaborate using tools like forums, blogs, wikis, document libraries, web forms, and workflows. VLab Development Services provide users with integrated project management, issue tracking, software repositories, continuous integration, and code review tools. This seminar will briefly review and demonstrate the capabilities of VLab with the view of facilitating and fostering the sharing of software projects across branch offices in NOAA as well as outside agencies.

Bio(s): Dr. Peter Rochford is a Coastal Ocean Modeler supporting the Coastal Ocean Assessments, Status, and Trends (COAST) Branch of NOAA. He is currently taking the lead in transitioning a Harmful Algal Bloom (HAB) model for the Gulf of Maine to an operational forecast system. This task requires the collaborative development and transition of software between three NOAA branches as well as outside academic agencies. A means to easily undertake software project collaboration between multiple groups within and outside NOAA is what lead him to investigate and start using VLab.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. Catherine Riseng, Assistant Research Scientist, University of Michigan School of Natural Resources and Environment and Dr. Kevin Wehrly, Research Biologist, Michigan Department of Natural Resources, adjunct professor at the University of Michigan Seminar sponsor: NOAA, OAR, Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory

Remote Access: Go to Webinar https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6888580353727961857 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar.

Abstract: The Great Lakes Aquatic Habitat Framework (GLAHF) is a web-accessible spatial framework and database for use by managers, planners, researchers, and restoration specialists across the basin. The database includes available physical, chemical and biological data across the entire Great Lakes basin and these data are georeferenced to a common spatial grid, the framework. The database includes data from multiple agencies, researchers, and NGOs that has been cross-walked and integrated in to a common database resulting in consistent basin-wide information. The hierarchical spatial framework provides spatial linkages among tributary watersheds, coastal/nearshore, and offshore zones allowing users to zoom in to manage specific problems at specific locations and to zoom out to identify overarching issues for effective policy making. Great Lakes agencies, managers, and researchers commonly express a need for publically accessible habitat data and decision support tools that can be applied to the multitude of problems that face aquatic ecosystems throughout the basin. The GLAHF project team has been developing a number of tools to assist with habitat monitoring, assessment, and prioritization for protection and restoration including: a scalable habitat classification framework; a GIS data viewer and server; a web-based decision support system to facilitate research and management activities in the Great Lakes; and, are conducting a coastal condition assessment. The GLAHF project and tools have been developed based on feedback from entities directly involved with making management decisions in the basin and address their specific information needs. Seminar POC for questions: margaret.lansing@noaa.gov

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Rick Knabb, Gerry Bell, Robert Atlas, Steven Goodman, Vijay Tallapragada, Jeff Payne, Tom Knutson, Jim Kossin and Mel Landrey - all from NOAA). Visit the site below for speakers' names, affiliations, and abstracts: http://cpo.noaa.gov/ClimatePrograms/ModelingAnalysisPredictionsandProjections/MAPPNewsEvents/TabId/506/artmid/1256/articleid/309639/

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Climate Program Office; point of contact is Daniel.Barrie@noaa.gov

Remote Access: See link above. Please share your connection with others as space is limited. Abstracts: See link above

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Ruoying He, North Carolina State University

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/7372244523776342786

Sponsor(s): Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network, State of the Science webinar series. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: Changing climate and rising atmospheric CO2 coupled with impacts of human activity, have the potential to dramatically alter coupled hydrologic-biogeochemical processes and associated movement of water, carbon, and nutrients through various terrestrial reservoirs. Such changes will result in dramatic alterations in terrestrial environments, biogeochemistry, and delivery of dissolved and particulate materials into rivers, estuaries, and coastal ocean waters. This may lead to vulnerabilities of coastal ecosystems to warming temperatures, stratification, altered freshwater and nutrient exports, eutrophication, hypoxia, and ocean acidification. Further, coastal and open ocean waters are impacted directly by increasing atmospheric CO2, compounding the effects. This presentation will describe a coupled physical-biogeochemical modeling effort that is aimed at stimulating and examining temporal and spatial variability of coastal circulation and biogeochemical cycling in the southeast U.S. coastal ocean and Gulf of Mexico. The model is driven by realistic atmospheric forcing, open boundary conditions from a data assimilative global ocean circulation model, and observed (or model predicted) freshwater and terrestrial nitrogen input from major rivers. Long-term model simulations were performed, and validated against in-situ and satellite observations. The ultimate goal is todevelop a regional impact assessment and predictive capabilities for coastal ocean ecosystems in the southeast U.S. and Gulf of Mexico to support decision making and management of the combined impacts of ocean acidification (OA), eutrophication, and hypoxia, and to offer a wider marine ecosystem context for carbonate system measurements and monitoring undertaken by NOAA and other agencies.

OneNOAA Science Seminars

Presenter(s): Chad M. Gravelle (NWS/OPG, UW-CIMSS) & Kim J. Runk (NWS/OPG)

Remote Access: Conference Line: 844-467-6272 Passcode: 106985# Webinar Registration: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/3295916214164142337 Webinar ID: 131-063-771 Seminar

Sponsor(s): GOES-R Science Seminar (Steve Goodman). Contacts: Steve Goodman: Steven.J.Goodman@noaa.gov or Janel Thomas: Janel.Thomas@noaa.gov.

Abstract: Between February and April of 2015, the National Weather Service (NWS) Operations Proving Ground (OPG) hosted and facilitated an evaluation of the usefulness of 1-minute satellite imagery for NWS operations in the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES)-R Series era. The overarching goal of the evaluation was to provide quantitative and qualitative guidance to NWS management, including the regional NWS Scientific Services Division Chiefs, on how satellite imagery with a refresh rate of 1 minute impacts NWS forecaster decision making. In total, seventeen NWS forecasters completed eight simulations that were developed using imagery from the 2013 and 2014 GOES-14 Super Rapid Scan Operations for GOES-R. During the simulations, forecasters evaluated 1-minute and 5-minute satellite imagery scanning modes while completing tasks ranging from aviation forecasting and wildfire decision support services to monitoring where convective initiation would occur and integrating the imagery into the convective warning decision-making process. Each week, feedback was gathered to assess if the satellite imagery had influence on forecaster decision making, if the satellite imagery provided them with more confidence in making those decisions, if forecasters could assimilate the data into operational practices, and if there was adverse impact on forecaster workload. Forecasters overwhelming felt that 1-minute satellite imagery improved their ability and increased their confidence to make effective forecast and warning decisions. The majority of participants explained that their conceptual models were more refined with the 1-minute imagery and that it was most useful in the wildfire, fog and low stratus, and convective initiation simulations. In these simulations, the vast majority of participants also expressed that they were able to internally assimilate the imagery with ease. However, the feedback gathered when forecasters were asked how useful and easy the imagery was to use in convective warning operations was mixed. Some forecasters felt that it was difficult incorporating the satellite information while issuing convective warnings with radar data, while others felt that with ample training and experience the imagery would be invaluable in warning operations. This presentation will provide a brief overview of the evaluation and a detailed analysis of the forecaster feedback with recommendations on incorporating 1-minute satellite imagery in the GOES-R era.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Patricia Dalyander, Research Oceanographer at USGS; Mike McCoy, Assistant Professor of Ecology at East Carolina University; Ed Proffitt, Associate Professor at Florida Atlantic University; and Jacqueline Michel, Research Planning, Inc. Seminar sponsor: NOAA's Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR), Sea Grant, Sea Grant in the Gulf of Mexico (Florida Sea Grant, Louisiana Sea Grant, Mississippi-Alabama Sea Grant, Texas Sea Grant)

Remote Access: Fill out survey at https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/coastalimpacts to register to attend or receive log in/call in information.

Abstract: Please join the Gulf of Mexico Sea Grant Oil Spill Outreach Team and the Florida Department of Environmental Protection for the oil spill seminar: Impacts of Oil on Coastal Habitats. Scientists will be sharing their work on the effects of oil on salt marshes, wetlands, mangroves, and beaches. Seminar POC for questions: robin.garcia@noaa.gov (301-734-1181)

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Hannah Barkley, PhD candidate, MIT-WHOI Joint Program in Oceanography

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed.

Abstract: Ocean acidification threatens the survival of coral reef ecosystems. Lab experiments and studies of naturally low-pH reefs suggest that declining ocean pH could decrease coral calcification, accelerate reef bioerosion, and drive significant shifts in coral reef community structure and function before the end of this century. However, we recently discovered highly diverse coral reefs in the Rock Islands of Palau that are currently thriving at predicted 2100 pH levels. These healthy, coral-dominated, and net calcifying reef communities suggest that coral reef ecosystem responses to ocean acidification may vary, with significant implications for coral reef conservation under 21st century climate change.

Bio(s): Hannah Barkley is a graduate student in the Massachusetts Institute of Technology-Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution Joint Program in Oceanography. She received an A.B. in Ecology and Evolutionary Biology from Princeton University in 2011, and is currently pursuing a PhD in the department of Marine Geology and Geophysics (expected 2016). Her research focuses on coral reef conservation under climate change and identifying coral reefs that are resilient to increasing ocean temperature and ocean acidification.

One NOAA Science Seminars

Presenter(s): Frances Pflieger, Writer/Editor, NOAA Fisheries

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 8668337307, participant code is code 8986360# . Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 742656968. Passcode is brownbag. Be sure to install the correct plugin for WebEx before the seminar starts. Seminar

Sponsor(s): The NOAA Evaluation Training and Capacity Building Subcommittee and the NOAA Central Library. Contacts: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov (3017132600 ext. 140), or Albert.e.Theberge.Jr@noaa.gov (Skip) (3017132600 ext. 118).

Abstract: This presentation is for you, if you write: Public Outreach Documents, Web Page Content Budget Justification Narratives, Policy or Guidance Documents, Quarterly/Annual Accomplishment Reports, Instructions, of any sort. Plain language (also called Plain English) is the communication readers can understand the first time they read or hear it. Written material is in plain language if readers can: Find what they need. Understand what they find. Use what they find to meet their needs. No one technique defines plain language. rather, plain language is defined by results-it is easy to read, understand, and use.

Bio(s): Frances Pflieger is a writer/editor for NOAA Fisheries in Silver Spring.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Tom Brosnan (NOAA Office of Response and Restoration, Assessment & Restoration Division) and Jason Lehto (NOAA Fisheries, Restoration Center) Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Office of Response and Restoration, NOAA Restoration Center, Restore America's Estuaries, Consortium for Ocean Leadership Seminar Point of contact: Meg Imholt, meg.imholt@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Register at bit.ly/NRDA101

Abstract: Oil spills, ship groundings, and hazardous waste sites threaten coastal communities and ecosystems across the country, but NOAA's Damage Assessment, Remediation, and Restoration Program is working to bring restoration to where it's needed most. Right now, NOAA and co-trustees are working on more than 100 cases and have recovered more than $2.3 billion to fund restoration solutions like creating marshes, building fishing piers and removing dams. Learn more about the program and how to get involved in a case near you.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Florence Fetterer, National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences

Sponsor(s): NCEI Arctic Team POC: Hernan Garcia (Hernan.Garcia@noaa.gov) Slides, Recordings Other Materials: https://drive.google.com/a/noaa.gov/file/d/0BykhL0sbbiCERlZLNWMxeDhNTFE/view

Remote Access: Webex: Click on http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?i=744868915&p=science&t=c type in other required fields (i.e., your name, e-mail, organization; meeting number is 744868915; password is "science" -without quotation marks, password is case sensitive- ) indicate that you have read the Privacy Policy click on Proceed and follow the instructions that appear on your screen. Phone: 1-877-725-4068; 8634769#

Abstract: Forecast sea ice is the first strategic goal in NOAA's Arctic Action Plan. The U.S. Navy, too, has a goal of making better short-term operational sea ice forecasts. The Naval Research Laboratory's 1/12 Arctic Cap Nowcast/Forecast System (ACNFS) is a development platform for the operational model that runs at the Naval Oceanographic Office, producing forecasts of sea ice drift, concentration, thickness and more that are used by the National Ice Center (NIC) and by the NOAA National Weather Service. How good are predictions? One metric NRL uses to evaluate skill is to measure distance between forecast ice edge and the manually drawn ice edge given in a NIC ice edge product. To improve skill, NRL needed better ice concentration initialization fields. We developed a daily 4 km field from a blend of two other daily sea ice data products: ice coverage from MASIE, the Multisensor Analyzed Sea Ice Extent product, and ice concentrations from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2). MASIE extent and AMSR2 ice concentration data are blended together to take advantage of the best features of both products. MASIE is based on a NIC analysis product (the NOAA IMS snow and ice map) that uses multiple sensors and manual quality control of the data, and is more likely to be accurate in showing where ice is present than is AMSR2, while the AMSR2 sea ice concentration product gives concentration information not available from MASIE alone. NRL found that use of the methodology improved forecast skill substantially. Based on these results, the Naval Oceanographic Office began using the methodology in operational model runs in February 2015. NOAA@NSIDC hosts a prototype of the product, MASAM2, at http://nsidc.org/data/g10005, and will begin updating it on a daily basis in late 2015. NOAA@NSIDC has developed or published other data products that have origins with operational groups such as the U.S. Navy or commercial interests. These will be briefly mentioned. About the speaker: Florence Fetterer is with the National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences and has been NSIDC's liaison to NOAA since 1996. With support from NOAA NESDIS NCEI she manages NOAA@NSIDC where many of NSIDCs non-satellite and pre-satellite era data sets reside. Florence has an M.S. in Physical Oceanography from Old Dominion University and misses the ocean dreadfully.See http://nsidc.org/research/bios/fetterer.html

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC Seminar

Presenter(s): Jili Dong, NOAA/OAR/AOML POC: Avichal Mehra -avichal.mehra@noaa.gov 1. GoToMeeting - MMAB (Mehra) https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/599995453 Meeting ID: 599-995-453 2. Join the conference call: 866-685-5896 8108134# Abstarct: Different sources of SST products are used to drive Hurricane Edouard (2014) forecast using HWRF with 3 km resolution to investigate the impact of SST on tropical cyclone prediction. Over 10 cycles of forecasts, track and intensity prediction doesn't show significant differences among those SST products, which include GFS, NCODA and RTOFS SST. However, in particular cycles, different SST products are able to affect Edouard's structure and intensity forecast. In the second part of this talk, a fully coupled HWRF-HYCOM system is used to examine the impact of 1D and 3D ocean models on hurricane forecasts in both an idealized framework and a real case (Hurricane Edouard 2014). The 1D HYCOM underestimates SST cooling due to the lack of Ekman pumping and the related ocean upwelling, leading to stronger storms prediction compared to the 3D ocean model.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr Chris Barnet, Science and Technology Corporation in support of the JPSS Program

Sponsor(s): Joint JPSS Science Seminar http://www.jpss.noaa.gov/ Point of contact: Bill Sjoberg (bill.sjoberg@noaa.gov)

Remote Access: 877-401-9225 pc: 53339716 Webinar------------------------------------------------------ 1. Go to https://mmancusa.webex.com/mmancusa/j.php?MTID=md334cf78178f1f94e04720a5d4309bbf 2. If requested, enter your name and email address. 3. If a password is required, enter the meeting password: Jpss2015! 4. Click "Join". Abstract The NOAA Unique CrIS/ATMS processing System (NUCAPS) is the operational retrieval system for sounding products from the Suomi National-Polar-orbiting Partnership (Suomi-NPP). NUCAPS produces cloud-cleared radiances from the Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) field-of-regard that is co-located with the Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) in order to provide information as close to the surface as possible. Numerous environmental data products (EDR) are derived from the cloud cleared radiances including, profiles of atmospheric temperature, moisture, ozone and other trace gases, cloud and surface products. Recently, NUCAPS products have been made available in both the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS) and the Community Satellite Processing Package (CCSP). This presentation will summarize the results from a number of initiatives sponsored by the NOAA Joint Polar Satellite Systems (JPSS) Office (NJO). The first was participation in CalWater-2015, a field campaign focusing on variability of the water supply and the incidence of extreme precipitation events along the west coast of the United States. CSPP direct broadcast data was used to support flight planning and analysis of these mesoscale events. The second initiative was the use of AWIPS-II NUCAPS soundings in the Hazardous Weather Testbed 2015 Spring Experiment. Here National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters evaluated NUCAPS in developing convective environments. Many other on-going initiatives will also be discussed.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Jeanette Davis, NOAA NMFS Office of Science and Technology Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA OAR NSG Seminar POC for questions: helen.cheng@noaa.gov

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar for each of these seminars, please fill out the registration form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. You must use the PHONE to call in for audio. BE SURE to install the correct plug-in for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: Mollusks are the largest group of marine invertebrates and are known to harbor bacterial communities; however, the characterization and metabolic roles of these communities to the biology of mollusks are unknown. Sacoglossans are specialized mollusks that are known for their ability to sequester chemicals from their algal diet through a process called kleptochemistry, enabling them to use such compounds as defense molecules in mucus secretion. The bacterial diversity associated with sacoglossans is not well understood. In this study, I coupled traditional cultivation-based methods with 454 pyrosequencing to examine the bacterial communities of the chemically defended Hawaiian sacoglossan Elysia rufescens and its secreted mucus. E. rufescens contains a defense molecule, kahalalide F, that is possibly of bacterial origin and is of interest because of its antifungal and anticancer properties. My results showed that there is a diverse bacterial assemblage associated with E. rufescens and its mucus with secreted mucus harboring higher bacterial richness than entire E. rufescens samples. The most abundant bacterial groups affiliated with E. rufescens and its mucus are Mycoplasma spp. and Vibrio spp., respectively.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NCEP/CPC seminar Speaker Du. Sui is from U. of Taiwan POC: Jin Huang jin.huang@noaa.gov Telecon Information: GOTO meeting Web teleconference for the presentation will be available at: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/join/ 714576893 Meeting ID: 714-576-893 The Dial-in number is: 1-877-680-3341 The Participant passcode is: 858747

Abstract: A scale-separated moisture budget is calculated using the EC Interim reanalysis for the years 1982-2011. Each budget term is projected onto the intraseasonal moisture anomaly and its time tendency change at equatorial Indian Ocean. The projections and composite life cycle of the budget terms indicate that broad-scale advection by low-frequency and MJO flow and moisture fields are dominant moisture sources, while residual of moisture budget (-Q2) as dominant sink contributing to tendency term (propagation) and intaseasonal moisture anomaly (growth and decay). The pre-moistening in the low-troposphere by boundary-layer moisture convergence leading the deep convection is observed but only in the cloud developing to convective phase of MJOs. A budget analysis for the two MJOs over the Indian Ocean in Oct. and Nov. 2011 by using the special DYNAMO observations. The two MJOs exhibit different budget balances in pre-moistening stage from the suppressed phase to cloud developing phase when low-frequency vertical motion is downward (drying) in MJO1 but upward (moistening) in MJO2 that are balanced by negative Q2 (re-evaporation in non-raining cloud) in MJO1 and positive Q2 in MJO2. Nonlinear moisture advection by synoptic disturbances causes moistening in the suppress phase of the two MJOs. The above result reveals two moistening processes for the initiation of MJO over Indian Ocean: moistening by synoptic-scale or low-frequency easterly winds, or by shallow convection in large-scale suppressed condition; The two are being examined by numerical simulations using the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) that is collaboratively developed, primarily by NCAR and LANL/DOE based on global nonhydrostatic framework using Voronoi Meshes, and a cloud resolving model, respectively.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Rochelle Wigley and Dr. Shachak Pe'eri, University of New Hampshire Center for Coastal and Ocean Mapping

Sponsor(s): NOAA / NESDIS / Center for Satellite Applications and Research (STAR) Contacts: Karen Marks " 301-683-3327 or Nolvia Herrera " 301-683-3308 karen.marks@noaa.gov or nolvia.herrera@noaa.gov

Abstract: The International Hydrographic Office C-55 publication addresses the need to improve the collection, quality and availability of hydrographic data world-wide, while also monitoring and rectifying possible deficiencies and shortcomings that are presented on the chart. This task of evaluating the adequacy of nautical chart products poses a challenge to many national hydrographic offices. This stems from the dearth of readily available spatial information: namely, the lack of reliable and accessible vessel traffic data, and little means to assess the changing nature of both near-shore bathymetry and shoreline in a simple and reliable manner. A workshop was designed and developed internally at NOAA headquarters by Dr. Shachak Pe'eri and LTJG Anthony Klemm for International Hydrographic offices to use publically-available information. The goals of this workshop are: 1. Develop a chart adequacy assessment procedure using automatic-identification system (AIS) data and satellite-derived bathymetry (SDB) that can be applied in OCS. The procedure will be low cost and could be readily applied by HO's worldwide. 2. Train an international group of hydrographers through a two day workshop in Silver Spring, MD in summer 2015. 3. Replicate the methodology internationally 4. Develop a globally recognized, documented procedure for assessing chart adequacy based on the depth, main traffic routes and the last available survey in the area (without ranking based on regional/local geo-political prioritization, e.g., tourism or military). Also in attendance will be GEBCO Scholar students and workshop participants who may give short summaries of their work. Dial-In Information: Audio: USA participants " 1-866-832-9297, Passcode: 6070416 International: 203-566-7610

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Part 3 of a Five-Part Series on Marine Conservation and Management Red Sea: Working with Community Can Make Difference in Marine Conservation, Gulf of Aqaba-Red Sea, Egypt

Presenter(s): Ayman Mabrouk, Ph.D., 2015 Sea Grant Fellow from Michigan State University, and Former Assistant Director for Nature Conservation at the Egyptian Ministry of State for Environmental Affairs

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Bio(s): Ayman Mabrouk was born in Port Said, Egypt and graduated from the Suez Canal University in Ismailia Egypt in 1993 as a Marine Biologist. From 1995-2009, Ayman worked for the National Parks of Egypt, first as an environmental researcher and Manager of Nabq Protected Area, and then as a Manager of the South Sinai Protectorates, Gulf of Aqaba, Red Sea, Egypt. From 2009-2010 he was Assistant Director for the Nature Conservation Sector in Cairo, and mentor for the managers of marine protected areas of Egypt. Ayman was responsible for developing and implementing the strategic management plan for conserving the Egyptian Red Sea, and he assessed the performance of the MPAs there (178,360 mile) in terms of conserving marine resources. In 2014 Ayman earned his Ph.D. in Fisheries and Wildlife from Michigan State University; his thesis was on The role of marine protected areas in maintaining sustainable fisheries in the Egyptian Gulf of Aqaba, Red Sea. Currently Ayman is a Sea Grant Knauss fellow at the NOAA NCCOS Biogeography Branch.

Abstract: Part 3: TBD

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Debra Hernandez, Southeast Coastal Ocean Observing Regional Association & Libby Jewett, NOAA Ocean Acidification Program

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/398354529788484098

Sponsor(s): Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network, State of the Science webinar series. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: The NOAA Ocean Acidification Program is working in close collaboration with the Southeast Coastal and Ocean Observing Regional Association (SECOORA) to maximize understanding of how changing ocean chemistry, especially OA, could impact marine resources in the Southeast region. In this webinar, NOAA's general approach to expanding OA understanding will be presented with special focus on what OAP does independently and together with IOOS, both in the Southeast and in other regions around the US. In addition, we will hear about SECOORA's operations and infrastructure, which can be leveraged to support OAP mission objectives. One of the joint projects between OAP and SECOORA has been the co-creation of the Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network (SOCAN) which brings together scientists, managers and stakeholders in an effort to understand the state-of-the-science regarding marine resources and ocean acidification in the southeast, and to determine gaps in both our knowledge and observing/monitoring. We will elaborate on the SOCAN process in an effort to open the discussion to the broader community on effective ways to engage additional stakeholders as we move forward.

One NOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Georg Grell, NOAA ESRL POC: Glenn White glenn.white@noaa.gov

Title: The Grell-Freitas scale- and aerosol aware stochastic convective parameterization: development as well as global and regional applications Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/194295525 You can also dial in using your phone. United States +1 (571) 317-3112 Access Code: 194-295-525

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Susan Haynes, Education Program Manager, NOAA Ocean Exploration and Research (OER) and Dr. Tamara Frank, Expedition Chief Scientist, Nova Southeastern University, Halmos College of Natural Sciences and Oceanography

Sponsor(s): NOAA Office of Ocean Exploration and Research (OER); webinar coordinator is Susan.Haynes@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/3417317690860206593

Abstract: This one-hour webinar for educators will introduce an ocean exploration mission taking place July 14-27 to explore the intriguing topic of bioluminescence in the depths of the Gulf of Mexico and associated education materials to bring this exciting, cutting edge science into the classroom.

Bio(s): Susan Haynes is the Education Program Manager for NOAA's Office of Ocean Exploration and Research and manages educator professional development programming. Dr. Tamara Frank is an associate professor at Nova Southeastern University in Davie/Fort Lauderdale, Florida and is the chief scientist for this NOAA OER expedition. Dr. Frank's research targets the biodiversity, distribution and visual ecology of pelagic animals (or animals in the water column), and how light controls their depth distributions. Recently, she has started studying the eyes of benthic animals (those that live on the sea floor) and how they may be adapted for seeing bioluminescence.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Ru Morrison, Northeast Regional Association of Coastal and Ocean Observing Systems

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/371290050959625474

Sponsor(s): Southeast Ocean and Coastal Acidification Network, State of the Science webinar series. Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: Public awareness and concern about Ocean Acidification (OA) is growing at the same time as the science is still maturing. In addition to the trend in global OA, near-coastal areas experience Coastal Acidification that is highly dependent on factors such as freshwater and nutrient delivery which are beyond the general increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide, but may be influenced by other human use and climate trends. Addressing these interacting stresses, their influences on Ocean and Coastal Acidification (OCA), and impacts to coastal resources is complex and challenging, both due to the relative paucity of OCA studies and communication gaps between scientists and stakeholders. The Northeast Coastal Acidification Network (NECAN) is a cross border collaboration of scientists, agency representatives, industry and non-governmental organizations that seeks to provide relevant information about OCA to stakeholders in the Canadian Maritimes, Gulf of Maine and Long Island Sound. Efforts to date include a webinar series, state-of-the-science meeting and publications, web-based translation materials and face-to-face interactive stakeholder engagement workshops. The ultimate goal is to develop a regional implementation plan that will outline the information needed by stakeholders, including managers, policymakers, and industry, as well as the required observations, research, and communication mechanisms. This presentation will review these approaches, where we are to date, and the work that remains.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Jordan Gerth, Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI

Sponsor(s): Joint JPSS/GOES-R Science Seminar Point of contact: Bill Sjoberg (bill.sjoberg@noaa.gov)

Remote Access: 877-401-9225 pc: 53339716

Remote Access: https://mmancusa.webex.com/mmancusa/j.phpMTID=m7b62e2156e55624789696d21117a6f2c If needed, enter your name & email address. If a password is required, enter password: Jpss2015! Click "Join".

Abstract: With Himawari-8 transitioning to the operational Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) geostationary satellite by the end of this year, activities are underway to prepare meteorologists at field offices in the National Weather Service Pacific Region (NWSPR) for the improved spatial, spectral, and temporal resolution of the imager, ahead of the Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) on the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite R-Series (GOES-R). But this is not the only activity that has been underway to increase the use of NOAA's satellite constellation to their operations in the Pacific Basin. NWSPR, with support from the Joint Polar Satellite System (JPSS) program, has invested in new L/X-band antennas in Hawaii and Guam to complement the existing antenna that was installed on the Honolulu Community College (HCC) in 2012. Imagery and products from the antenna are already making an impact to operations at the forecast office and Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) in Honolulu. More products will be made available to support tropical cyclone forecast operations in the near future. The "big data" era in weather satellites is upon us. How can forecasters parse all of the additional data to find critical pieces of information without exhausting their time? And can our technical systems, such as the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System (AWIPS), handle the two orders of magnitude increase in data? This presentation will provide an update of the training activities that are planned for NWSPR, how new and experimental products are integrated into operations, and other thoughts on satellite proving ground activities from the perspective of a part-liaison, part-developer, and part-scientist that serves NWSPR

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Katrina E. Bennett, Los Alamos National Laboratory

Sponsor(s): ACCAP Climate Webinar POC: Tina Buxbaum, 907-474-7812, tmbuxbaum@alaska.edu

Abstract: The Interior discontinuous permafrost zone of the boreal subarctic represents one of the largest ecosystems on earth and is vastly understudied with respect to changing hydrologic extreme events. The first part of this presentation will focus on recent research results for snowmelt and glacially dominated Interior Alaska river basins for the past 50/60 years (1954/64-2013). The second part of this presentation will present projections of future extreme streamflow changes in a snowmelt dominated basin of the Tanana River, a sub-watershed to the Yukon River system, using six global climate models, two emission scenarios, two hydrologic models and two different time periods. Projections for temperature, precipitation and streamflow will be discussed, with a focus on changing peak flows events, and return intervals.

Remote Access: https://accap.uaf.edu/?q=webinars

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Brittany Marsden NOAA OAR Formulation and Congressional Analysis Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA OAR NSG Seminar POC for questions: caroline.mosley@noaa.gov

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar for each of these seminars, please fill out the registration form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. You must use the PHONE to call in for audio. BE SURE to install the correct plug-in for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: Large-scale losses due to nutrient and sediment loading, competition with non-native species, and limited habitat connectivity create concern for the long-term persistence of submersed aquatic vegetation and the essential ecosystem services they provide. Extensive, connected habitats are more resilient due to higher probabilities of supporting large, genetically diverse populations that can tolerate, acclimate, or adapt to environmental changes. The aquatic angiosperm Vallisneria americana (wild celery) is broadly distributed across North America's Atlantic coast, but has undergone dramatic declines in abundance and is the target of many restoration initiatives. Moreover, because the species reproduces both sexually and clonally, even occupied habitat may not support extensive levels of genetic diversity. To appropriately manage for resilience in the face of climate change, additional knowledge on the capacity of remaining populations to either adapt through natural selection or acclimate to emerging environmental conditions is urgently needed. I genotyped 828 samples collected from 33 sites located along the species' entire distribution in the Potomac River, MD using 10 microsatellite markers. I identified 413 clones and genotypic diversity within sites varied greatly, ranging from 0.0-1.0. The largest clone was found in 22 of the non-tidal sites and spanned 239 river km. Genetic relatedness among all clones was used in individual-based network analysis to quantify connectivity and identify potential breaks in geneflow. Breaks across tidal vs. non-tidal waters were observed and might be associated with changes in dispersal regime or differences in selective environmental forces. For my dissertation (data not presented today), this analysis was repeated across two additional rivers spanning a broad latitudinal gradient and V. americana collected from each river was used in common garden growth chamber experiments to evaluate evidence of local adaptation or acclimation. Overall, I found limited evidence of local adaptation and high potential for acclimation to different environmental conditions when temperatures did not exceed thermal tolerances, suggesting that V. americana has some potential for resilience in the face of change. However, some sites and regions lack the genetic diversity needed for long term evolutionary potential and regional differences in the distribution of genetic diversity mean that data from one river cannot be used to inform restoration and management decisions in other rivers.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Part Two of a Five-Part Series on Marine Conservation and Management Red Sea: Integrated Coastal Zone Management between Theory and Application: Nabq and Dahab Case Studies, Gulf of Aqaba-Red Sea

Presenter(s): Ayman Mabrouk, Ph.D., 2015 Sea Grant Fellow from Michigan State University, and Former Assistant Director for Nature Conservation at the Egyptian Ministry of State for Environmental Affairs

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars. For Audio dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For Webcast: go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.no: 744925156. No code for web.

Bio(s): Ayman Mabrouk was born in Port Said, Egypt and graduated from the Suez Canal University in Ismailia Egypt in 1993 as a Marine Biologist. From 1995-2009, Ayman worked for the National Parks of Egypt, first as an environmental researcher and Manager of Nabq Protected Area, and then as a Manager of the South Sinai Protectorates, Gulf of Aqaba, Red Sea, Egypt. From 2009-2010 he was Assistant Director for the Nature Conservation Sector in Cairo, and mentor for the managers of marine protected areas of Egypt. Ayman was responsible for developing and implementing the strategic management plan for conserving the Egyptian Red Sea, and he assessed the performance of the MPAs there (178,360 mile) in terms of conserving marine resources. In 2014 Ayman earned his Ph.D. in Fisheries and Wildlife from Michigan State University; his thesis was on The role of marine protected areas in maintaining sustainable fisheries in the Egyptian Gulf of Aqaba, Red Sea. Currently Ayman is a Sea Grant Knauss fellow at the NOAA NCCOS Biogeography Branch.

Abstract: Part 2: TBD

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Ashley.Chappell@noaa.gov and Sasha.Pryborowski@noaa.gov Seminar

Sponsor(s): Interagency Working Group on Ocean and Coastal Mapping Points of Contact: Ashley.Chappell@noaa.gov and Sasha.Pryborowski@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Webex and a conference call line will be available. To RSVP for the Summit please contact Sasha.Pryborowski@noaa.gov

Abstract: The goal of this Summit is to increase opportunities for collaboration on ocean and coastal mapping, and to reduce redundancies and overlap. Coordination is fundamental to the work of the IWG-OCM, which is tasked with more effectively leveraging existing, limited coastal and ocean mapping resources for the widest possible use. Discussion topics include long-term mapping data requirements and near-term acquisition plans across the participating organizations and participating entities. We are seeking broad participation from IWG-OCM agencies, other federal agencies, and any states, regional/local authorities, academia, the private sector, non-governmental groups, etc. interested in sharing data needs and partnering on coastal mapping data acquisitions. Types of data to be discussed could include lidar, bathymetry, backscatter, imagery, etc. These requirements and plans will be displayed at the U.S. Federal Mapping Coordination site ahead of the Summit to aid collaboration. If interested in contributing plans to the site ahead of the meeting please contact Ashley.Chappell@noaa.gov for more information on exactly what is needed in order to share your areas.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series Sponsor EMC seminar; POC: Avichal Mehra avichal.mehra@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/599995453 Dial In: 866-685-5896 8108134#

Abstract: Spurred by the crisis of TAO in 2012-14, NOAA and partners are rethinking the Tropical Pacific Observing System through an international project, TPOS 2020, that will take advantage of new technology and reflect current scientific issues. ENSO remains a key driver for the TPOS, but subseasonal phenomena are also important. We will live with a redesign for decades, so are framing requirements carefully. Our first customers are the operational centers, and we consider the role of in situ sampling in the entire system: Observations => Analyses => Forecasts. Recognizing that current generation assimilation/forecast systems do not make effective-enough use of observations, we will target sampling where these systems need guidance for initialization, validation, and model improvement. Shaping these targets is a principal reason for this discussion, and a set of questions below gives some of the issues where EMC/CPC could help us set direction. A brief talk will describe the organization and process of the TPOS 2020 project, followed by discussion of the issues raised below. 1) We've heard from CPC and other centers that TAO buoy humidity sampling and ability to estimate evaporation and latent heat fluxes from the buoys is valuable, especially for subseasonal forecasts and analyses. How is this information used? How does it complement satellite moisture soundings? 2) What other surface met sampling would be useful? (e.g. BP, SW/LW radiation, precip). 3) Another set of questions concerns the geographical shape of the sampling. Is the present TAO grid appropriate? Any changes to suggest? (examples might be to contract TAO to denser spacing near the equator, or on the other hand to extend a few lines across the ITCZ or SPCZ). Would a few highly-instrumented sites (e.g. for direct surface flux measurements) be useful? Where should those be? How would they be used? (for realtime assimilation or delayed-mode validation?) 4) What about the near-surface ocean? We now have the capability to make profiles of T,S,velocity at much higher resolution than present TAO for the upper 50m, thus to resolve the diurnal warm layer, its formation and nighttime dissipation. Is this a valuable target? 5) TAO now makes delayed-mode velocity profiles at 4 sites along the equator. CPC said those were important as independent validation. Agree? If we measured velocity at more sites, would that be useful? For example, we are considering adding velocity sampling for two additional targets: the ocean mixed layer everywhere (could be realtime), and delayed-mode full-depth profiles at near-equatorial sites which would describe the meridional structure of the EUC and velocity gradients. 6) How do you see the combination of TAO and Argo being used? One strawman idea would refocus TAO: (a) towards the near-surface (where Argo is less useful because its sampling is so slow), and (b) away from the thermocline and subthermocline (where Argo gives salinity and better vertical resolution)? Would a rearrangement like this make sense for your work? 7) Since whatever system we design will be in place for decades, we need to think ahead to what future models/forecasts will need. Looking back from 2030, what will we wish we had started measuring in 2016? What observations would guide model improvement?

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Jill Jentes Banicki, Ohio Sea Grant, Lori Cary-Kothera, Science and Geospatial Operation Manager, NOAA's Office for Coastal Management, and Tashya Allen, Hazard Specialist, NOAA's Office of Coastal Management

Sponsor(s): OSU Climate Change Webinar, Sponsored by a NOAA Coastal Storms Program Grant through Minnesota Sea Grant. Contact is Christina Dierkes (dierkes.10@osu.edu).

Remote Access: The webinar is free. To register go to http://changingclimate.osu.edu/webinars/ Once registered, you will receive a confirmation email with log-in information.

Abstract: The negative economic effects of flooding from extreme precipitation events - including preparation costs and the expenses related to damages, clean up, and business disruptions - are being experienced throughout the Great Lakes region. This webinar will provide information about: - two pilot projects that explored the economic benefits of green infrastructure to reduce flooding - results from the study and next steps the cities are taking - resources to help your communities explore these topics. Visit changingclimate.osu.edu to view previous webinars and other climate resources.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar POC: Yuejian Zhu ( yuejian.zhu@noaa.gov)

Remote Access: Go to meeting - https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/261794661 You can also dial in using your phone. U.S. +1 (571) 317-3122 Access Code: 261-794-661

Abstract: The presentation will have an overview of CMA (China Meteorological Administration) developed GRAPES (Global/Regional Assimilation PrEdiction System) model and its application. It will mainly focus on research and development efforts undertaken by CMA in past years. The future development plan will be discussed as well. The GRAPES is CMA developed unified model system that started since 1999. The GRAPES utilizes a common dynamic core with different configurations of physics for different applications. It includes four main components: variational data assimilation system, unified dynamic core, physical parameterization schemes, and parallel computing. After nearly 15-year development, GRAPES model systems are the main components of CMA daily operational NWP system those include GRAPES Mesoscale system (Meso), GRAPES Rapid Analysis and Forecast System (RAFS), GRAPES TYphoon Model (TYM), GRAPES Regional Ensemble Prediction System (REPS), and GRAPES_3DVAR. GRAPES Global Forecast System (GFS) is on quasi-operational running. Currently, our research efforts are focusing on 1). Higher resolution (0.25 degree 60 vertical model levels) GFS model; 2). Global four dimensional variational data assimilation system (4DVAR); 3). Global singular vector ensemble prediction system (SV); 4). Global yin-yang grid GFS model (GRAPES YY), and 5) Hybrid data assimilation development. In the near future, CMA NWP operational system will be upgraded by all GRAPES based system.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Chris Harvey, Ph.D., Fishery Biologist, Conservation Biology Division NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center

Sponsor(s): Monster Seminar Jam; POC: diane.tierney@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=309684282&UID=1838089107&RT=MiM0 Meeting Number: 802 868 564 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 802 868 564

Abstract: This talk presents an update on recent activities of the California Current Integrated Ecosystem Assessment (CCIEA). The IEA approach was adopted by NOAA in 2006 to develop frameworks for synthesizing and analyzing information in support of ecosystem-based management of the nation's large marine ecosystems. The CCIEA, begun in 2010, is a collaboration largely between the Northwest and Southwest Fisheries Science Centers to support management of the California Current Ecosystem and its resources. The CCIEA team has dedicated tremendous effort to developing conceptual models and ecosystem indicators, conducting risk assessments, and exploring the effectiveness of management strategy alternatives; focal research topics have spanned from large-scale physical oceanography to food webs to human systems. The CCIEA is entering its fourth phase; the first three were dedicated to developing research tools, establishing relationships with key stakeholders, and increasing the scope and coverage of ecosystem components and habitats, but this new phase will be focused to a much greater extent on true integration of disciplines and products in support of three primary customers: the Pacific Fishery Management Council, the National Marine Sanctuaries along the West Coast, and the Western Regional Office. This focus on integration comes at a time when IEA budgets are stagnant and the CCIEA budget is sliding, and also at a time when the ecosystem itself is undergoing tremendous change related to environmental variability, past and present management activities, and larger-scale drivers. In this challenging research climate, I argue that the IEA will be far more successful in producing valuable, integrative products if the science centers embrace something of an attitude shift, where far more programs are engaged and the IEA is not looked at as a special project or source of funds, but rather a research pillar that connects projects and ultimately leads to better products that are more readily communicated to key management and stakeholder groups.

Bio(s): Dr. Chris Harvey is a food web ecologist at the Northwest Fisheries Science Center, where he has worked since 2001. He is head of the Integrative Marine Ecology team in the Conservation Biology Division, and has been a co-Science Lead of the California Current Integrated Ecosystem Assessment since 2014. Chris received a B.S. in Biology from Wake Forest University, an M.S. in Fisheries from the University of Washington, and a Ph.D. in Limnology and Marine Science from the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Martha Honey, Executive Director of the Center for Responsible Travel, will present on lessons learned about Sustainable Coastal and Ocean Tourism. Register at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6674164588959491842

Sponsor(s): This webinar is part of NOAA's National Marine Protected Areas Center's monthly webinar series which is co-sponsored with EBM Tools Network. The series is focused on building and strengthening MPA networks. For a list of upcoming webinars see: http://marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/resources/webinars/ Seminar POC: Lauren.Wenzel@noaa.gov

Abstract: Coastal resort and cruise tourism are the fastest growing sectors of the tourism industry, and uncontrolled, large scale tourism development is causing an array of environmental damage to beaches, coastal waters, and some MPAs. In addition, coastal & marine tourism is both a contributor to and victim of climate change. This presentation examines some of these problems, as well as efforts by industry innovators to construct and operate coastal and marine tourism in ways that minimize environmental impacts and mitigate and adapt to climate change.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Casey Brown, University of Alaska Fairbanks

Sponsor(s): ACCAP

Remote Access: http://uaf.us4.list-manage2.com/track/click?u=b4e157af8905918af730d5d1c&id=085039db9e&e=9097598e1a

Abstract: Research on coastal change in Western Alaska has increased rapidly in recent years, making it challenging to track existing projects, understand their cumulative insights, gauge remaining research gaps, and prioritize future research. The work discussed here identified existing coastal change research in Western Alaska and synthesize each project's focus, approach, and findings. The resulting report documents the project landscape for communities facing change, decision-makers navigating change, researchers pursuing projects, as well as funding agencies trying to prioritize where to allocate resources. The goal of this effort is to help the Western Alaska Landscape Conservation Cooperative (WALCC) meet its mission of coordinating, developing, and disseminating applied science to inform conservation in the context of climate change. We created a Mapbox website showing the distribution of projects across the Western Alaska landscape. We used online information, existing databases, and discussions with project PI's to obtain the geographic location for each project including the latitude and longitude and the name of the geographic location (e.g. village name). If this information was unavailable, we tried to place projects in a general region (e.g. Bering Strait). Spatial points represent the locations of coastal change projects. Unique color markers were used to identify topic areas (human systems, biological systems, landscape/geophysical systems, and oceanographic systems).Unique colors represent human (purple), biological (green), landscape-geographic (orange), and oceanographic (blue) system projects.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): David Victor, Ph.D., Professor and Director, UC San Diego Laboratory on International Law and Regulation, and Chairman of the Global Agenda Council on Governance for Sustainability at the World Economic Forum.

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinar. Audio: Dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast at www.mymeetings.com Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf no: 744925156. No code needed.

Abstract: Looking back over 25 years of work, it is increasingly clear that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) process should extend its scope to include insights from social and behavioral sciences.

Bio(s): David Victor is an internationally recognized leader in research on energy and climate change policy as well as energy markets. His research focuses on regulated industries and how regulation affects the operation of major energy markets. Victor is a leading contributor to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a United Nations-sanctioned international body with 195 country members.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Martin Hoerling (NOAA ESRL), Amir AghaKouchak (University of California, Irvine), Tom Delworth (NOAA GFDL), John Nielsen-Gammon (Texas A&M University) Seminar sponsor: OAR, CPO, MAPP Program Seminar POC for questions: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov Where: Remote access suggested, but some seats available in NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th floor fishbowl

Remote Access: WebEx: https://cpomapp.webex.com/cpomapp/onstage/g.php?t=a&d=298645200 Passcode: 20910 Call-in information will pop up on-screen once you have logged into WebEx Abstracts: Marty Hoerling - Major boreal spring rainy seasons across the globe have failed in the recent decade. Droughts have increased over the Greater Horn of Africa, Southwest Asia, Southeast China, the Murray Darling Basin, the US Great Plains and the American Southwest. This study seeks to understand this global pattern of observed trends in March-May precipitation. Using a hierarchy of model simulations, both with historical forcings of the atmosphere since 1979 and idealizations of recent ocean conditions, it probes the factors responsible for the observed drying trends. We wish to learn whether the various drought trends are correlated with each other, and if so, to understand the physical factors operating. Has the global pattern of drying unfolded because there exist common sensitivities of each region's rainfall to a forcing? If some forcing has been responsible for the springtime drought trends across numerous continents, what are its origins? Better understanding this emergent situation is central to an improved awareness of whether and when these drought trends are likely to either accelerate or to reverse. Tom Delworth - Portions of western North America have experienced prolonged drought over the last decade. This drought has occurred at the same time as the global warming hiatus " a decadal period with little increase in global mean surface temperature. We use climate models and observational analyses to clarify the dual role of recent tropical Pacific changes in driving both the global warming hiatus and North American drought. When we insert observed tropical Pacific wind stress anomalies into coupled models, the simulations produce persistent negative sea surface temperature anomalies in the eastern tropical Pacific, a hiatus in global warming, and drought over North America driven by SST-induced atmospheric circulation anomalies. In our simulations the tropical wind anomalies account for 92% of the simulated North American drought during the recent decade, with 8% from anthropogenic radiative forcing changes. This suggests that anthropogenic radiative forcing is not the dominant driver of the current drought, unless the wind changes themselves are driven by anthropogenic radiative forcing. The anomalous tropical winds could also originate from coupled interactions in the tropical Pacific or from forcing outside the tropical Pacific. The model experiments suggest that if the tropical winds were to return to climatological conditions, then the recent tendency toward North American drought would diminish. Alternatively, if the tropical winds were to persist, then the impact on North American drought would continue; however, the impact of the enhanced Pacific easterlies on global temperature diminishes after a decade or two due to a surface reemergence of warmer water that was initially subducted into the ocean interior. John Nielsen-Gammon - This talk will present an overview of the 2010-2015 drought in Texas, as seen from version 1 of our high-resolution drought monitoring products. Such products, based on historical probabilities, are presently much more useful for identifying drought onset than drought termination. The recent shrinkage of drought area within Texas is directly related to improvements in reservoir levels, even though in many parts of the state the reservoirs are rarely full. Ongoing and future planned work involving the high-resolution drought monitoring products will be noted. Amir AghaKouchak - This presentation outlines a framework for improving seasonal precipitation prediction by combining the national multi-model ensemble (NMME) prediction with a baseline statistical prediction. The statistical model is based on an analog year concept and based on wet-season precipitation and three major indicators of climate variability over the southern US, namely Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI). The two different prediction methods are combined together using the concept of Expert Advice (EA) algorithm which has been successfully applied to the financial sector. The goal of this methodology is to derive an ensemble response that at every time step is equal or better (less error) than the best model relative to historical observations. The preliminary results show substantial improvements in seasonal precipitation predictability in the western United States.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Yannick Tremolet, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF)

Sponsor(s): Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA) Point of Contact: erin.jones@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Video: 1. Go to JCSDA Seminar (https://star-nesdis-noaa.webex.com/) 2. Enter the event number: 993 192 535 3. Password is JCSDA 4. Click "Join Now". 5. Follow the instructions that appear on your screen. Audio: USA participants: 1-866-715-2479, Passcode: 9457557 International: 1-517-345-5260 Slides available prior to, and audio recording after, the presentation at http://www.jcsda.noaa.gov/JCSDASeminars.php Abstracts:Over the years, operational data assimilation and forecasting systems are becoming more and more complex. Complexity arises from advances in data assimilation methodology, such as weak-constraint 4D-Var, ensemble data assimilation methods, and hybrids between those. Another source of added complexity is the development of more and more complex Earth system representations in the operational NWP systems, including land surface, waves, sea-ice, ocean and atmospheric composition. The supercomputers we use to run these forecasting systems are also becoming more and more difficult to use efficiently with many more cores than in the past and possibly heterogeneous architectures. Finally, in many cases, the systems are shared by several institutions, with more and more scientists and developers working in parallel, often adding to the complexity of maintaining the codes. To address this increasing complexity, a new software infrastructure, the object-oriented prediction system (OOPS) has been developed. It is developed and validated with simplified models, and several conventional and experimental data assimilation algorithms have been implemented. The components of the operational IFS are progressively being moved into the new structure. The design choices for the new software infrastructure will be presented.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Stephanie Carlson, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Dep't of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley

Sponsor(s): Monster Seminar Jam; POC: diane.tierney@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=309684282&UID=1838089107&RT=MiM0 Meeting Number: 802 868 564 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 802 868 564

Abstract: Since joining the faculty in UC Berkeley's Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management in July 2008, I have been working to develop an active research program centered on the ecology and conservation of California's inland fishes. This has involved initiating several new field research projects in the Central Valley and coastal watersheds. A common theme emerging from this body of research is the importance of maintaining a diversity of aquatic habitats, even seasonally-available ones, as a strategy for conserving native fishes in Mediterranean-climate California.

Bio(s): As an undergraduate at UC-Davis, I was inspired by Peter Moyle to study fish ecology. This led to a MS studying the ecology of stream-dwelling brook and brown trout with Ben Letcher at UMass Amherst. Following this experience, I joined Tom Quinn's lab at UW where I studied the evolutionary ecology of Pacific salmon with a focus on the evolutionary effects of bear predation on sockeye salmon. After a short postdoctoral position at UC-Santa Cruz with Marc Mangel, I started my current position at UC-Berkeley. My primary research interest has been and continues to be in understanding the dynamics of freshwater fish populations, particularly the factors that shape these populations and influence their persistence. While I typically study fish, I am interested in questions that transcend taxonomic divides. For example, my current research program seeks to understand the ecological context for variation in population dynamics and selection acting on natural populations.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Lawrence Charters, National Ocean Service representative to the NOAA Web Committee, and NOS Internet Projects Manager

Sponsor(s): NOAA's NOS Communications and Education Division and NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting use phone & internet. For audio dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667, enter code 7028688# . For webcast, go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf. no: 744925156 . No code needed for web login.

Abstract: With the advent of websites and social media, government programs, for the first time, have the ability to interact with the public on a massive scale. But communicating the scope and breadth of that interaction is both art and science. Managers need to know how to ask the right questions, and communications and technical staff need to offer answers that are both illustrative and thoroughly marinated in the context of the mission. In this presentation, you will learn the basics behind some metrics used to explore the National Ocean Service website and social media, how to calculate these metrics for your own office website and social media accounts, and then how to weave these into a story for your office that you can use to strengthen your online communications. About the speaker: Lawrence Charters is the National Ocean Service representative to the NOAA Web Committee, and serves as the NOS Internet Projects Manager. He is a huge fan of numbers that paint pretty pictures.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Sponsor(s): Around the Dept. of Commerce Bureaus/Law of the Sea

Presenter(s): James A. Goold, Covington and Burling LLP, lead counsel on admiralty matters at Covington and Burling LLP's Washington Office, and was lead attorney in the "Black Swan" case for Spain and Dr. James P. Delgado, Director of NOAA's Maritime Heritage Program in the Office of National Marine Sanctuaries. Dr. Delgado was the pro bono archaeologist for the "Black Swan" case while previously serving as the President of the Institute of Nautical Archaeology, a non-profit NGO.

Remote Access: Register online. When registering, you will have the option to attend the Event in person or via Webex. Webex details will be sent to you the day before the event. http://doc.libcal.com/event/2088465. Point of contact: research@doc.gov

Abstract: You are invited to join James A. Goold, lead attorney and James P. Delgado, maritime archaeologist, as they describe their work on the famous landmark legal case concerning more than half a million silver coins recovered from a deep water site off the coast of Portugal by a commercial salvage firm, Odyssey Marine Exploration. Odyssey characterized the find as recovering a large amount of silver that had been dumped at sea, while Spanish authorities suspected the coins came from the Nuestra Senora de las Mercedes, a Spanish naval frigate lost in combat with British naval forces during the Napoleonic Wars. In a protracted international legal battle, Spain's position prevailed, as Odyssey had indeed encountered more than coins, and that "smoking gun" evidence of the lost ship and its crew were present on the sea floor and in what had been recovered. The case revolved not only around the issue of the identity of the mystery shipwreck, but also the legal status of warships, questions of public and private treasure carried aboard the ship, and intervention in the case by the government of Peru, asserting the silver had come from colonial Spanish territory that is now Peru, and descendants of Spanish merchant families who had shipped coins on the lost vessel.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dick Feely " Global aragonite saturation climatology and Sam Siedlecki - Seasonal forecasts and indicators of corrosivity

Sponsor(s): NOAA OA PI Meeting Webinar Series POC: erica.h.ombres@noaa.gov

Abstract: Dr. Richard Feely will be speaking about Global aragonite saturation climatology and Dr. Samantha Siedlecki will discuss Predicting Hypoxia and Ocean Acidification in the coastal waters of the CCS: What do we know and what can we expect? Sams abstract: High resolution hindcast models capable of simulating hypoxia and OA events exist and provide the foundation for forecasting efforts. One such forecast system (J-SCOPE) focuses on seasonal timescales for the ocean ecosystem on the WA and OR shelves. J-SCOPE is a product of the combination of a regional oxygen model and large-scale predictions from NOAA's Climate Forecast System (CFS). Results suggest J-SCOPE forecasts have skill on timescales of a few months. Despite these developments, the limits of the predictability of biogeochemical quantities are still the subject of debate. Through comparisons of model hindcasts and re-forecasts for 2009 and 2013 with local observations, predictive capabilities will be examined for SST, oxygen, and pH. Challenges in forecasting on seasonal and other timescales in the coastal environment will also be discussed. This webinar series focuses on different data synthesis products or efforts and will serve as a lead in to NOAA's Ocean Acidification Program PI meeting held in June 2015. These webinars will help us have an informed discussion on data synthesis products that are needed and those that are already in existence that we might be able to add ocean acidification to. These webinars will be held every Wednesday at 2pm (EDT) from now until June 3rd.

Remote Access: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/2326927610506064898 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar. This webinar series is open to all those interested. As this is a webinar series, you will receive an email once a week allowing you to register for the webinar the following week. If you have any questions please don't hesitate to ask.

One NOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Shellfish Aquaculture: A Strategy for Eutrophication Mitigation in the Patuxent River

Presenter(s): Claire Quinn, Intern with Dr. Suzanne Bricker, NOAA/NCCOS National Estuarine Eutrophication Assessment

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: For audio dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For webcast go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event" and add conf no: 744925156. No code for webcast.

Abstract: The Patuxent River in the Chesapeake Bay is suffering from issues related to eutrophication. This project examined the feasibility of using shellfish aquaculture as a strategy for nitrogen removal. Results demonstrate the use of shellfish aquaculture could be a feasible strategy to removing nitrogen, especially when combined with preexisting land-based point source measures and non-point best management practices (BMP's).

Bio(s): Claire Quinn is an intern with Dr. Suzanne Bricker of NOAA's NCCOS Center for Coastal Monitoring and Assessment. A native of the Baltimore area, Claire will graduate from the University of Maryland in May with a B.A. in Biological Sciences: Ecology and Evolution. She hopes to pursue a career in environmental education.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Ariana Sutton-Grier, Ecosystem Science Advisor, NOAA's National Ocean Service; Katya Wowk, Senior Social Scientist to NOAA's Chief Economist, NOAA's Office of Program, Planning and Integration; and Holly Bamford, Acting Assistant Secretary for Conservation and Management at NOAA.

Remote Access: For audio dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# For webcast go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event" and add conf no: 744925156. No code for webcast.

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series: coordinator is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Abstract: There is substantial evidence that natural infrastructure (i.e., healthy ecosystems) and combinations of natural and built infrastructure (hybrid approaches) enhance coastal resilience by providing important storm and coastal flooding protection, while also providing other benefits. Here we examine case studies where hybrid approaches are being implemented to improve coastal resilience as well as some of the policy challenges that can make implementation of these approaches more difficult. We highlight top priorities for research, investment in, and application of natural and hybrid approaches including the cost of natural and hybrid infrastructure projects, the value of the storm and erosion protection benefits provided, and the full suite of co-benefits provided by healthy coastal ecosystems.

Bio(s): Dr. Holly Bamford is Acting Assistant Secretary for Conservation and Management at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. She works closely with Congress, other agency leaders, partner organizations, and local communities to develop policies and take conservation and community resiliency actions to ensure coastal and ocean stewardship and services. Dr. Ariana Sutton-Grier is an ecosystem ecologist with expertise in how nutrients and carbon cycle in ecosystems and how these cycles impact or are impacted by ecosystem restoration, water quality, biodiversity, and climate change. Dr. Katya Wowk is an expert in using multidisciplinary approaches to sustainably manage human impacts on the marine environment, with a focus on climate change and the ocean; resilience to coastal hazards and disasters; and marine resource management.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Cyndy Chandler, Information Systems Specialist, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI), Department of Marine Chemistry and Geochemistry POC: Hernan.Garcia@noaa.gov Webex: http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?i=744868915&p=science&t=c Audio / conference call: Toll free dial 877-725-4068; 8634769 followed by a "#". Please mute your phone during the presentation or toggle *6. Phone access limited to the first 50 callers.

Abstract: The programme "International Oceanographic Data and Information Exchange" (IODE) of the "Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission" (IOC) of UNESCO was established in 1961. Its purpose is to enhance marine research, exploitation and development, by facilitating the exchange of oceanographic data and information between participating Member States, and by meeting the needs of users for data and information products. The IODE system forms a worldwide service oriented network consisting of DNAs (Designated National Agencies), NODCs (National Oceanographic Data Centres), RNODCs (Responsible National Oceanographic Data Centres) and WDCs (World Data Centres " Oceanography). The 23rd Session of the IOC Committee on International Oceanographic Data and Information Exchange (IODE-XXIII) was held in Bruges, Belgium between 16-20 March 2015. The Session was preceded by the Celebration Session and Scientific Conference on the occasion of the 10th anniversary of the opening of the IOC Project Office for IODE in Oostende, Belgium. As the outgoing Co-Chair (Ms Sissy Iona and Mr Ariel Troisi) had completed two terms in Office, the IODE Committee elected two new Co-Chairs: Ms Cynthia Chandler (USA) and Prof Yutaka Michida (Japan).

Bio(s): http://www.iode.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=438:iode-xxiii-candidatures-for-iode-co-chairs&catid=71:iode-xxiii Seminar presentation (NOAA Access only): https://drive.google.com/a/noaa.gov/folderview?id=0BxRB-4YPi2CUfklkLXBTdVZESm42V05OcnQ2dEdmY3BlLXdsSWpBVnRISjV2SEFvdVBEYmc&usp=sharing

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Michael Eckert (NWS/AWC/AOB)

Sponsor(s): GOES-R Seminar Series Point of contact janel.thomas@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Conference Line: 844-467-6272 Passcode: 106985# GoToWebinar Registration: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6687313649376675074 Webinar ID: 114-664-035

Abstract: Low ceilings and visibility are two of many weather related aviation hazards that are more common during the Fall, Winter and Spring months. Surface observations (METARS) and Satellite Brightness Temperature Difference (BTD) (11m - 3m wavelengths) have been the main tools used in the past to anticipate the onset/dissipation of IFR conditions. The GOES-R Algorithm Working Group (AWG) developed a multi-tool approach using METARs, NWP, SSTs and other datasets to determine the probability of Instrument Flight Rules (IFR) conditions. Operational use of the GOES-R Probabilities of IFR conditions has led to several well forecast high impact events, which has saved the Aviation Industry and Flying Public time and money. A review of these cases will be presented

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Meg Chadsey, Ocean Acidification Specialist, Washington State Sea Grant

Sponsor(s): Sharing Ocean Acidification Resources for Communicators and Educators Seminar Series. This series is jointly sponsored by the NOAA National Marine Sanctuaries and Ocean Acidification Program.

Remote Access: Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/1599739207044647170

Abstract: When speaking to general audiences about ocean acidification (OA), demonstrations, activities and metaphors can really help you get your take-home points across. In this webinar, Meg Chadsey, Washington Sea Grant's Ocean Acidification Specialist and liaison to NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, will lead us through her interactive OA 101' presentation, pausing throughout to explain how the activities she uses illustrate key points about the chemistry, oceanography and biological impacts of ocean acidification. The best thing about Meg's activities is that they don't require a lab bench or fancy equipment, and you can source almost all of the materials from your own kitchen. After this webinar, you'll be ready to take your own OA show on the road!

Bio(s): As Washington Sea Grant's Ocean Acidification Specialist and liaison to NOAA's Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Meg supports scientists, stakeholders and the public in their efforts to understand, communicate, and address the problem. In the past year, she oversaw the production of two widely-disseminated OA fact sheets '20 Facts About Ocean Acidification' and Ocean Acidification in the Pacific Northwest', contributed to a highly-ranked phytoremediation proposal submitted to the Paul Allen Family Foundation's Ocean Challenge', and has trained educators in effective ways to teach about ocean acidification to a variety of grade bands. In 2012, she helped coordinate the Washington Blue Ribbon Panel on Ocean Acidification, and edited the Panel's Science Summary. She has a bachelor's degree from Cornell University and a doctorate in microbiology from the University of Washington

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Michael Zanis, Ph.D. Assistant Professor College of Science and Engineering Seattle University POC: Diane.Tierney@noaa.gov 206-860-3380 Webex: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=309684282&UID=1838089107&RT=MiM0 Meeting Number: 802 868 564 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 802 868 564 Global call-in numbers: Global call-in number

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Lawrence Charters, National Ocean Service representative to the NOAA Web Committee, and NOS Internet Projects Manager

Sponsor(s): NOAA's NOS Communications and Education Division and NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting use phone & internet. For audio dial toll-free US 1-877-708-1667, enter code 7028688# . For webcast, go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf. no: 744925156 . No code needed for web login.

Abstract: With the advent of websites and social media, government programs, for the first time, have the ability to interact with the public on a massive scale. But communicating the scope and breadth of that interaction is both art and science. Managers need to know how to ask the right questions, and communications and technical staff need to offer answers that are both illustrative and thoroughly marinated in the context of the mission. In this presentation, you will learn the basics behind some metrics used to explore the National Ocean Service website and social media, how to calculate these metrics for your own office website and social media accounts, and then how to weave these into a story for your office that you can use to strengthen your online communications. About the speakers: Lawrence Charters is the National Ocean Service representative to the NOAA Web Committee, and serves as the NOS Internet Projects Manager. He is a huge fan of numbers that paint pretty pictures.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Emily Smith NOAA Climate Observation Division, Climate Program Office Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA OAR NSG Seminar POC for questions: wessley.merten@noaa.gov (301-427-8379)

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar for each of these seminars, please fill out the registration form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. You must use the PHONE to call in for audio. BE SURE to install the correct plug-in for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: Estuaries are biologically productive and important habitats for several fisheries. However, human intervention has separated many estuaries from their needed freshwater source and the common solution is to use diversions to regulate the flow. This episodic increase in nutrients into estuaries has sometimes led to the formation of freshwater cyanobacteria HABs (CyanoHABs). The goal of this research was to look at a field research study of phytoplankton bloom dynamics; management implications for cyanobacteria entering estuaries; and an outreach effort in relation to residents' knowledge about cyanobacteria and algae. The first study compared the phytoplankton bloom dynamics, specifically CyanoHABs, in Lake Pontchartrain, Louisiana (LA) during a diversion opening year and a non-opening year. While variations in freshwater flow were found to be important to determine which phytoplankton group dominates the system, species diversity within a group was likely regulated by the water source. During the large flow year (21.9 km3) in 2011, chlorophytes and diatoms were the dominant groups in the spring. In 2012, with a much lower flow of 0.3 km3, chlorophytes and diatoms were again dominant in the spring, but both years' cyanobacteria numbers significantly increased in the late summer. The second study surveyed fishermen about their knowledge of algae and HABs. This baseline data was used to create an educational brochure which was distributed to the marinas around Lake Pontchartrain and Lac Des Allemandes. There was also a follow-up survey to determine the effectiveness of the educational brochure. Many of the people surveyed had a basic understanding of algae, but 60% were not familiar with the term harmful algal blooms.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Helen Cheng NOAA OAR National Sea Grant Office Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA OAR NSG Seminar POC for questions: wessley.merten@noaa.gov (301-427-8379)

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar for each of these seminars, please fill out the registration form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. You must use the PHONE to call in for audio. BE SURE to install the correct plug-in for WebEx before the seminar starts.

Abstract: Due to over-harvesting as bait, American horseshoe crab (Limulus polyphemus) populations along the U.S. Atlantic Coast have been declining, particularly in New England. Additionally, population trends have not reserved despite state-by-state quotas and regulations. Current management and monitoring include closing the horseshoe crab harvest during the weeks of new and full moons of their spawning season and conducting shoreline surveys; these methods were originally based on horseshoe crab survey data from Delaware Bay populations indicating that peak spawning activity occurred during these times. Historically, Wellfleet Bay, Massachusetts has been a location where harvesting horseshoe crabs for bait is practiced, and despite current strict regulations and yearly monitoring, populations at this location continue to decline. While some states conduct monitoring and surveys annually, New Hampshire's Great Bay Estuary, supporting a modest population of horseshoe crabs, do not have an organized monitoring program, thus it is unclear when and where spawning occurs in this location. Recent studies investigating horseshoe crab spawning behavior, and new research and survey data from Wellfleet Bay, MA and Great Bay Estuary, NH indicate that peak spawning activity did not always occur during times of the new and full moons; instead, it is suggested that environmental factors may strongly influence horseshoe crab spawning activity. Generalization of scientific information could lead to ineffective decision-making in the management of a species, especially a species that is vulnerable during spawning and mating. Rather, behavior of local populations need to be investigated that then may contribute to the overall conservation of horseshoe crabs.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Nina Bednarsek, Policy Specialist, Washington Ocean Acidification Center Space is limited.Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/2597301917713997826

Sponsor(s): California Current Acidification Network Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.mintz@noaa.gov

Abstract: Pteropods are pelagic sea snails with aragonite shells. Numerous laboratory studies have shown that ocean acidification (OA) affects their vital biological functions in ways that can be quantified. Consequently, pteropods are a good candidate for use in water quality assessments pertaining to OA, for example those required under the U.S. Clean Water Act. The principal challenge in using pteropods for this purpose lies in connecting laboratory studies that show effects on individuals with population effects occurring in the natural environment. Nonetheless, several lines of evidence suggest that pteropods in natural settings are affected by exposure to OA, and that these effects encompass multiple levels of biological organization, ranging from physiological to individual, population, and community levels. These responses correspond to specific aragonite saturation states and are both quantifiable and repeatable, making pteropods a potential bioindicator of aragonite saturation state in the natural environment. Moreover, pteropods contribute up to 50-60% of the diet of fish species such as salmon, indicating their importance to the health of the broader biological community and adding to their potential use as an indicator in regulatory water quality assessment.

Bio(s): Nina Bednarsek, Policy Specialist, Washington Ocean Acidification Center

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Mike Dalton (NOAA) " Bioeconomic model for Alaskan crab and Rik Wanninkhof (NOAA) " The use of the Surface Ocean CO2 Atlas (SOCAT) for ocean acidification studies

Sponsor(s): NOAA OA PI Meeting Webinar Series POC: erica.h.ombres@noaa.gov

Abstract: This webinar series focuses on different data synthesis products or efforts and will serve as a lead in to NOAA's Ocean Acidification Program PI meeting held in June 2015. These webinars will help us have an informed discussion on data synthesis products that are needed and those that are already in existence that we might be able to add ocean acidification to. These webinars will be held every Wednesday at 2pm (EDT) from now until June 3rd.

Remote Access: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/477108148424071426 After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the webinar. This webinar series is open to all those interested. As this is a webinar series, you will receive an email once a week allowing you to register for the webinar the following week. If you have any questions please don't hesitate to ask.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Brett Rose, Solutions Engineer, Esri Federal Sciences and

Sponsor(s): NOAA's GIS Committee Point of Contacts: Adam.Bode@noaa.gov and Randy.Warren@noaa.gov

Remote Access: http://esri.adobeconnect.com/noaa_webinar/ Audio: Phone 866-705-2554, Passcode 224636

Abstract: Web AppBuilder for ArcGIS provides a foundation for building web applications in ArcGIS. Build intuitive, focused apps that run anywhere, on any device, without writing a single line of code. Build intuitive, focused apps that run anywhere, on any device, without writing a single line of code. Web AppBuilder allows you to: - Create HTML/JavaScript apps that run on desktops, tablets, and smartphones - Build the apps you need using ready-to-use widgets - Customize the look of your apps with configurable themes - Host your apps online or run them on your own server - Create custom app templates

Bio(s): Brett Rose is the Lead Engineer for the Federal Science team. His primary interests have been enabling better decision making through the use of spatial data science. Brett has been as Esri for nine years and holds Ph.D. in Civil Engineering.