NOAA Science Seminar Series
2014 Seminars

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Why are Drones Called Drones? Or, The Early History of Remotely-Controlled Pilotless Aircraft (the first 355 Years)

Presenter(s): John Cloud, Contract Historian to NOAA Central Library Seminar

Sponsor(s): The NOS Seminar Series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# Webcast: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting no: 744925156 . NO passcode required for webinar.

Abstract: Many people assume that remotely-controlled pilotless aircraft, called drones, were developed relatively recently. In fact their history is much longer, more complicated, and quite interesting. Just about every present-day application of drones was also developed near the beginning of their story, as was every major problem and moral hazard. This presentation only begins their story, but by the end you'll know the answer to the question "why are drones called drones?"

Bio(s): John Cloud is a NOAA contractor historian, specializing in the histories of the legacy agencies that became NOAA. He started flying kites at about six, which has given him expert knowledge of a part of the story of drones.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. Malin Pinsky (Rutgers University) and Dr. Jon Hare (NOAA Fisheries) Seminar sponsor: NOAA Fisheries, Science and Technology

Remote Access: https://mapp.adobeconnect.com/climate_webinar/ For Audio: 866.710.6541 | Participant code: 584.1149

Abstract: By 2100, ocean waters are expected to be substantially warmer than they are today, with profound effects on fisheries. One of the most commonly observed impacts of climate change is through shifts in species distributions, and recent evidence suggests that marine fish and invertebrates closely follow climate velocity (the rate and direction that isotherms move across the seascape). Despite broad recognition of impacts, however, incorporating climate considerations into fisheries management has been challenging. Here, we describe a new web-based tool that will help managers, scientists, fishermen, and the public track shifts in the distribution of the nation's marine fish and other animals with changing ocean conditions. The OceanAdapt website is the result of a partnership between NOAA Fisheries and Rutgers University that annually aggregates marine biological survey data from around North America. The effort is part of the growing trend towards open science and can help in the preparation of climate vulnerability analyses or in the prioritization of species for more focused adaptation efforts. Seminar POC for questions: roger.griffis@noaa.gov

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Meng Xia, University of Maryland Eastern Shore Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOS/CO-OPS and NOS Science Seminar Series. Points of contact are Jiangtao.Xu@noaa.gov and Tracy.Gill@noaa,gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. You may need to download and run MyMeetings files. Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Passcode is 7028688# Webcast: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", add conf. no. 744925156; no passcode

Abstract: To help understand the Lake Erie dynamics, a Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM)-based three-dimensional biophysical model was built to simulate the hydrodynamics and water quality in western Lake Erie. We calibrated and validated the model using physical (e.g., temperature, water clarity, currents) and biological (e.g., zooplankton, nutrient) data collected in western Lake Erie. In addition, the interannual variability will also be discussed. The interactive effects of river discharge and wind-driven currents on the plume and nutrient, phytoplankton and zooplankton distribution were evaluated. The Erie model is also coupled with wave model (FVCOM-SWAVE) to simulate the effect of waves on nearshore circulation and velocity fluctuations. The effect of wave to the nutrient/zooplankton dynamics is also investigated.

One NOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: From bacteria to humans: Charity work leads to population-wide benefits

Presenter(s): Vera Trainer, Ph.D., Marine Microbes & Toxins Program, Northwest Fisheries Science Center

Remote Access: Link to

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/mw0401l/mywebex/default.do?service=1&siteurl=nwfsc200&nomenu=true&main_url=%2Fmc0901l%2Fe.do%3Fsiteurl%3Dnwfsc200%26AT%3DMI%26EventID%3D309683767%26UID%3D1838086902%26Host%3D129ea7a85c5b22031819%26FrameSet%3D2 | For audio only call (650) 479-3207; access code: 807 346 573. For assistance contact NWFSC help desk

Abstract: Social interactions among cells, essential for multicellular complexity, provide model systems for understanding the benefit and cost of collaboration. Studies of microbes shed a light on the role of population structure for the evolution of cooperative interaction and reveal mechanisms that stabilize cooperation among cells. Can this understanding of complex microbial cooperation inform the anatomy of successful human collaborations? Over the last 15 years, integrated science-based partnerships have been established in Washington State to minimize the impact of toxins from new and intensifying harmful algal blooms. The Olympic Region Harmful Algal Bloom (ORHAB) and SoundToxins partnerships, comprised of state and tribal managers, scientists, and local stakeholders, were created to help mitigate the impact of harmful algal blooms on shellfish harvesting by coastal communities for income, tourism, and subsistence. These collaborations were reviewed through the lens of the Institutional Analysis and Development framework in order to identify key factors contributing to their success. The relevance of these findings will assist with the development of optimized, productive community partnerships both locally and worldwide. BIO Vera Trainer is a supervisory oceanographer for the Marine Biotoxins Program at NOAA's Northwest Fisheries Science Center in Seattle, Washington, USA. Her current research activities include refinement of analytical methods for both marine toxin and toxigenic species detection, assessment of environmental conditions that influence toxic bloom development, and development of ecological forecasting tools. She co-chairs the North Pacific Marine Science Organization (PICES) Harmful Algal Bloom Section and currently leads projects on seafood safety in India and Guatemala. She is the President of the International Society on the Study of Harmful Algae, serves on the Joint Panel on Toxic Microorganisms of the United States Japan Program on Development and Utilization of Natural Resources, is a U.S. representative of the International Ocean Commission's Intergovernmental Panel on Harmful Algal Blooms, and was an elected member of the U.S. National HAB committee from 2007-2013. She enjoys national and international collaborations as a means to enhance our cultural, scientific, and personal understanding of one another. RELEVANT PUBLICATIONS Trainer, V.L., Sullivan, K., Eberhart, B.T.L., Paternoster, J., Shuler, A., Hignutt Jr., E., Kiser, J., Eckert, G., Morton, S.L. 2014. The impacts of paralytic shellfish poisoning on the Alaska shellfish industry and the implementation of an early warning system. J. Shellfish Research 33 (2): 531-539. Trainer, V.L., Moore, L., Bill, B.D., Adams, N.G., Harrington, N., Borchert, J., da Silva, D.AM, Eberhart, B.T.L. 2013. Diarrhetic shellfish toxins and other polyether toxins of human health concern in Washington State. Marine Drugs, 11:1- 22, doi:10.3390/md110x000x. Chadsey, M., V.L. Trainer, T.M. Leschine. 2011. Cooperation of Science and Management for Harmful Algal Blooms: Domoic Acid and the Washington Coast Razor Clam Fishery. Coastal Management. 40(1). 33-54. Trainer, V.L. and Suddleson, M. 2005. Monitoring approaches for early warning of domoic acid events in Washington State. Oceanography 18

Each month, a speaker will give a presentation on various topics related to NGS programs, projects, products and services to educate constituents about NGS activities. Visit the Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/. Future webinars will be held on the second Thursday of every month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

One NOAA Science Seminar

Title: Restoring the Resilience of Caribbean Coral Reefs

Presenter(s): Jeremy Jackson, Smithsonian Institution & Scripps Institution of Oceanography Location: Remote access only. To register, visit: https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/232614141621705218 Seminar

Sponsor(s): Co-sponsored by the NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center, EBM Tools Network, and OpenChannels. Seminar POC for questions: Lauren.Wenzel@noaa.gov, NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center, http://marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/resources/webinars/

Abstract: Dr. Jackson will present on the new report Status and Trends of Caribbean Coral Reefs: 1970-2012. The report is a result of a three-year joint effort of the International Coral Reef Initiative's (ICRI) Global Coral Reef Monitoring Network (GCRMN), the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN), and the United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP). It is the most detailed and comprehensive study of its kind published to date and is the result of the work of nearly 200 experts over the course of three years. Average Caribbean coral cover declined by half but varies greatly among locations with some sites showing little or no decline. The principal drivers of reef degradation so far have been local impacts of overfishing and coastal development that are potentially reversible by local action. Banning destructive fishing and strengthening coastal zone management would increase resilience of Caribbean reefs to the inevitable future impacts of climate change.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: The Sanctuary Nomination Process: America's Opportunity to Protect Special Marine and Great Lakes Places

Presenter(s): Matt Brookhart, Chief, Conservation Policy & Planning, NOAA's Office of National Marine Sanctuaries

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series: coordinator is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. You may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this, so do this in advance. Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# Webcast: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting number: 744925156; No passcode required web.

Abstract: In June 2014, NOAA's Office of National Marine Sanctuaries finalized the Sanctuary Nomination Process, and for the first time in twenty years, the American public once again has the opportunity to nominate nationally significant marine and Great Lakes areas as potential new national marine sanctuaries. This communitybased process addresses a growing number of requests for new national marine sanctuaries from diverse interests around the country. The presentation will include a brief overview of the current national marine sanctuary system, an overview of this new process, and how the nomination process is different from the national marine sanctuary designation process.

Bio(s): Matt Brookhart is the Chief for Policy and Planning at the Office of National Marine Sanctuaries Headquarters. He is responsible for regulatory issues, management and strategic planning, and evaluation and designation of new national marine sanctuaries. His team works both system-wide and with individual sanctuaries in crafting the long-term management strategies designed to conserve national marine sanctuary resources. Matt has worked at both headquarters and in the west coast region for the Office of National Marine Sanctuaries, and has detailed as the Deputy Director at NOAA Fisheries' Office of Protected Resources. Prior to working for NOAA, he worked for the Japanese government on forestry and fisheries policy in northern Japan.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Marjorie McGuirk, CASE Consultants International, Asheville, North Carolina Seminar

Sponsor(s): National Weather Service; Office of Climate, Weather, and Water Services; Climate Services Division. POC for questions: Judy.Koepsell@noaa.gov Location: Remote access only; Space is limited. (GoToMeeting) Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/611008184

Abstract: This talk probes the loss of ice in the Arctic Ocean from three aspects -- 1) what the science says, 2) why it is important, and 3) what it means for our future, and makes the case that as transport drives the patterns of human civilization, a melting Arctic will move population centers in the far north. This talk, which puts climate science in a social and historical context, was presented previously at the AMS Annual meeting in Atlanta, Georgia, in February 2013.

Bio(s): Marjorie McGuirk consults in climate arts and sciences through her company CASE Consultants International, in Asheville, North Carolina. As an expert consultant to the World Meteorological Organization, she is a contributing author of the Global Framework for Climate Services Implementation Plan and principal author of the User Interface Platform, which underpins international collaboration on climate services. She has contributed expertise to most of the Commissions of the WMO. She consults with various clients to build collaborative projects with industry, academia, and professional trade associations. Before her retirement from NOAA, she served with NESDIS, NWS and OAR. At NOAA's National Climatic Data Center, she was Chief of Staff and also National Partnership Liaison with the Regional Climate Centers and the American Association of State Climatologists. Working in fields such as aviation, agriculture, energy, hydrology, landscaping, and instrumentation, Marjorie has published on the topics of climate services, data managing, instruments, and on climate change impacts on US transportation systems for the US National Research Council.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Stephen Medeiros, PE, Research Assistant Professor at the University of Central Florida Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa,gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. For AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# For WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf. meeting no: 744925156 NO passcode is needed for the web.

Abstract: Lidar derived digital elevation models (DEMs) in coastal marshes are historically inaccurate, most likely due to the dense vegetation preventing the airborne laser from hiting the true ground surface. The UCF CHAMPS Lab has developed a novel processing sequence that uses lidar, ASTER and IfSAR to estimate above-ground biomass density in these areas. Subsequently, the estimated biomass density is used to adjust the lidar derived DEM. For the lower Apalachicola River marsh, the RMS elevation error is reduced by over 50%. A detailed explanation of the processing sequence and results will be presented.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): Monster Seminar JAM Fall 2014 http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/index.cfm

Presenter(s): Tarang Khangaonkar, Ph.D. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Marine Science Lab, Department of Energy

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=309683767&UID=1838086902&RT=MiM0 For audio only call (650) 479-3207; access code: 807 346 573

One NOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar 1:30-2:00: "Implementing the Nearshore Wave Prediction System as an on-demand coastal wave guidance system on WCOSS", by Roberto Padilla 2:00-2:30: "Evaluating a down-scaled, coupled wave-surge modeling system in an operational environment", by Jakob Maljaars Remote Access 1. GoToMeeting - Seminar https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/461283693 Meeting ID: 461-283-693 2. Join the conference call: 877-577-6071 3124918# Goto meeting is no longer supported by Mac OS X 10.6 and lower. If you are planning to use Mac, please make sure your OS is OSX 10.7 and higher. http://bit.ly/GTM4MacOSX10p6 . You can join meeting from your iPhone, iPad, Android or Windows Phone device via the GoToMeeting app. POC Andre Van der Westhuyse andre.vanderwesthuysen@noaa.gov

Abstract: Implementing the Nearshore Wave Prediction System as an on-demand coastal wave guidance system on WCOSS Roberto Padilla-Hernndez, Andr van der Westhuysen, Pablo Santos, Alex Gibbs, Douglas Gaer, Hendrik Tolman The Nearshore Wave Prediction System (NWPS) is currently developed to provide on-demand, high-resolution nearshore wave guidance to the coastal forecasters of the National Weather Service (NWS). The nearshore wave model applied is SWAN (Booij et al., 1999), and alternatively a nearshore version of WAVEWATCH III (Tolman et al., 2002). Wave boundary conditions are received from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction's (NCEP) global WAVEWATCH III model, and during storm events in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico, wave boundary conditions are ingested from the NWPS implemented at NHC-TAFB domain from where the official winds are also used, surface currents are ingested from RTOFS Global and water levels are taken from the Extratropical Surge and Tide Operational Forecast System (ESTOFS, Feyen et al., 2013). NWPS produces various types of output, including fields of integral wave parameters, spectra and individual partitioned and tracked wave systems. This model guidance is subsequently ingested into AWIPS to aid in the generation of detailed coastal marine forecasts. NWPS has been designed to run locally at NWS's coastal Weather Forecast Offices (WFOs), covering their forecast domains of responsibility and is driven by forecaster developed wind grids from the Advanced Weather Interactive Processing System's (AWIPS) Graphical Forecast Editor (GFE). However, servers at WFOs are severely constrain by all the processes and applications and for this reason NWPS will be installed on WCOSS, this poses several challenges: the architecture of NWPS must be changed to fulfill NCO requirements; forecasters will still provide the wind fields from AWIPS through LDM at their respective HQ and, they will have the control when NWPS will run on their geographical domain. Moreover, the NWPS results will need to be transfer to every coastal WFO via SBN. Abstract Evaluating a down-scaled, coupled wave-surge modeling system in an operational environment Jakob Maljaars (NOAA/NCEP/EMC) As part of the development of the Nearshore Wave Prediction System (NWPS) a hindcast study was conducted for a hurricane event in the Hawaii region. The existing two-way coupling between the ADCIRC-model and the SWAN-model was employed in order to model the two-way wave-current interaction. Implementation issues and results of the hindcast study are discussed during this presentation. Results show a good agreement between simulated and measured tidal constituents. Simulated tidal constituents were also in very good agreement with the large scale ESTOFS Pacific model data. However, in the down-scaled ADCIRC+SWAN-model a clear wave induced set-up is observed around landfall of the hurricane which is neither observed in the ESTOFS data nor in the 'standalone' ADCIRC simulations for the Hawaii region. It turns out that the wave influence on the surge level is strongly location dependent and sensitive to the used meteorological forcing. Therefore, a sensitivity test was performed using different grid resolutions and the quality of different meteorological models (GFS, NAM, HWRF) was assessed. With the lessons learned a simple operational environment was built around the coupled ADCIRC+SWAN-model for the Hawaii region, ready for implementation in the NWPS.

OneNOAA Science Seminars

Presenter(s): Karen Anspacher-Meyer is the executive director of Green Fire Productions Seminar

Sponsor(s): The NOAA/NOS Seminar series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov.

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. You may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this, so do this in advance. Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# Webcast: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting number: 744925156; NO PASSCODE is required for the webinar.

Abstract: View the 45 film and then learn how you can use the film Ocean Frontiers II to educate, inspire and mobilize people around ocean planning. A Q&A discussion with the director follows the film.

Bio(s): Karen Anspacher-Meyer is the executive director of Green Fire Productions, a nonprofit media production company. Green Fire uses the power of film to move audiences to action and influence decision makers and the public on conservation issues. Karen has produced dozens of award-winning films and implemented effective film distribution and outreach campaigns.

Each month, a speaker will give a presentation on various topics related to NGS programs, projects, products and services to educate constituents about NGS activities. Visit the Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/. Future webinars will be held on the second Thursday of every month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

One NOAA Science/NOAA Central Library Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. Uwe Send, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, and Dr. David Demer, Southwest Fisheries Science Center

Sponsor(s): Diane Stanitski and Roger Griffis, NOAA Climate Program Office

Abstract: TBD For remote access via webinar (unless specified otherwise below), please fill out the registration form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=742656968&=brownbag&t=c a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For AUDIO in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. Do not use the computer for audio. You may need to download a piece of software if you have not used MyMeetings before, so give yourself plenty of time to log in.

Forecasts used in variational data assimilation schemes for the atmosphere and ocean often exhibit significant position errors. In standard data assimilation approaches position errors often result in background errors that have complex error correlations, are not normally distributed, and are particularly difficult to correct. A number of approaches have been proposed to measure and correct position or phase errors, ranging from techniques originating from image processing such as "image warping" or "morphing" and "optical flow," object-oriented verification measures, to alignment approaches aimed at data assimilation improvements. We present an implementation of a displacement scheme to correct phase errors based on the feature calibration and alignment (FCA). In its original formulation, a set of two-dimensional displacement vectors is applied to forecast fields to improve the alignment of features in the forecast and observations. These displacement vectors are obtained by a nonlinear minimization of a cost function that measures the misfit to observations, along with a number of additional constraints (e.g., smoothness and non-divergence of the displacement vectors) to prevent unphysical solutions. Results from this implementation will be compared with a more recent implementation within the WRF-Var (WRFDA) algorithm, in which the nonlinear minimization is replaced by the (linear) conjugate gradient inner-loop minimization combined with outer loop nonlinear adjustments, and the ad-hoc penalty function constraints are replaced by an error-covariance representation of the displacement vectors.

Remote Access: Video: 1. Go to JCSDA Seminar and click on the seminar title 2. Enter your name and email address. 3. No password is necessary 4. Click "Join Now". 5. Follow the instructions that appear on your screen. Audio: USA participants: 1-866-715-2479, Passcode: 9457557 International: 1-517-345-5260

ONE NOAA Science Seminar Sponsor EMC seminar Speaker Tara Jensen ( NCAR/DTC) Remote Access https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/654429221 Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. Dial +1 (805) 309-0012 Access Code: 654-429-221 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID: 654-429-221 POC: Perry Shafran Perry.Shafran@noaa.gov

Abstract: The Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) serves as a bridge between research and operations for numerical weather forecasts. Thus, the DTC staff have developed and incorporated a number of strategies for doing meaningful evaluations of these forecasts to ensure that the weather community can trust that real and significant improvements are realized prior to operational implementation. Use of appropriate metrics; accurate estimates of uncertainty; consistent, independent observations; and large, representative samples are essential elements of a meaningful evaluation. Spatial, temporal, and conditional analyses should be incorporated wherever appropriate. Numerous new methods have been proposed to improve quantification and diagnoses of forecast performance with use of spatial, probabilistic, uncertainty and ensemble information. The complexity of these methods makes verification software development difficult and impractical for many users. Further, verification results using the same methods may not be comparable when different software is used. To address these issues, community verification software has been developed through a joint partnership between the Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) and the Research Applications Laboratory (RAL) at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) to provide a consistent and complete set of verification tools. This software package, the Model Evaluation Tools (MET; http://www.dtcenter.org/met/users/index.php), is free, configurable, and supported by the DTC and has been adapted to work with an ever-increasing variety of forecast and observation types, including a tool for evaluating tropical cyclone track and intensity (MET-TC). New verification methods and dataset options are added each year, with input from the community and from developments in the published literature. Several years ago, METv3.0.1 was directly compared with the NCEP Verification System (NVS) and Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) Verification System (QVS). Both systems provide the means to generate partial sums or matched pairs from which standard statistics can be derived. This evaluation was performed on a subset of the 2007 DTC Core Test and successfully demonstrated the ability of MET to reproduce verification metrics similar to the metrics generated by NVS and QVS. The results of the study were provided to NCEP EMC as well as published to the MET website in 2011 (http://www.dtcenter.org/met/users/docs/write_ups/dtc_ncep_201109.pdf). Similar comparisons were performed for the MET-TC (v4.0.1) tool as compared with the National Hurricane Center (NHC) verification package. The dataset compiled for the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) 2012 Retrospective Tests. This evaluation showed the output from MET-TC was consistent with those from the NHC package. This presentation will provide an overview of these two evaluations. Similarities and differences between the packages will be discussed. This seminar will be followed by a brief introduction on how to set up MET and its configuration files along with a question and answer session.

OneNOAA Science Seminars

Presenter(s): Mindy Roberts, Ph.D., P.E., Environmental Assessment Program, Washington State Department of Ecology

Sponsor(s): Monster Seminar JAM Fall 2014 http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/index.cfm Seminar Point of Contact: ane.tierney@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=309683767&UID=1838086902&RT=MiM0 For audio only call (650) 479-3207; access code: 807 346 573

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Brian Miller, Director, IL-IN Sea Grant, Jarrod Doucette, GIS and Database Specialist, IL-IN Sea Grant and Purdue University Dept. of Forestry and Natural Resources, and Kara Salazar, Sustainable Communities Extension Specialist, IL-IN Sea Grant and Purdue Univ. Dept. of Forestry and Natural Resources Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. For AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# For WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf. meeting no: 744925156 NO passcode is needed for the web.

Abstract: Tipping Points and Indicators is a new research and extension program for Great Lakes communities comprised of a web-based, data driven decision support system (DSS) and facilitated community visioning and action planning process. The program is designed to enable effective protection and management of natural resources throughout Great Lakes states by providing land use planners, natural resources managers, and stakeholder groups with a process to assess community sustainability using Great Lakes tipping points. Research team members identified land use indicator variables that determine the threshold, or tipping points, that when exceeded can impact aquatic ecosystems. Great Lakes Sea Grant Network Extension Specialists developed the associated website and facilitation process that guide community groups through an interactive watershed action planning process. The Tipping Points and Indicators process utilizes touch screen monitors as public participation tools to enable community groups to collaborate and explore the website, customized tools, and GIS maps to determine planning priorities linked to community values. The facilitation process results in an action plan that includes an overview of the current community status, whether the community is nearing or exceeding Great Lakes tipping points, and provides customized education strategies, example policies, and sample ordinances to improve current conditions. This presentation will include a program overview and demonstrate the five decision support system modules that result in a community action plan.

Bio(s): Brian Miller is a Natural Resource Social Scientist and Wildlife Biologist. He is the Director of the Illinois-Indiana Sea Grant College Program and the Illinois Water Resources Center. His research focuses on factors influencing natural resource planning and decision making. He has developed, led, or been involved in many land use engagement programs and online DSS projects including Planning with POWER, Local Decision Maker, TippingPointPlanner.org , and Great Lakes Monitoring.org. He is the National Co-Chair of Sea Grant's Sustainable Coastal Development Focus team and a member of NOAA's Great Lakes Regional Collaboration Team. He is experienced in facilitating community land use discussions and currently serves as the facilitator for the development of the Illinois Nutrient Reduction Strategy to reduce nutrient inputs resulting in Gulf Hypoxia. Jarrod Doucette has been a GIS and Database Specialist with Purdue University for six years. He has experience in GIS, web based Decision Support Systems, High Performance Computing, and Data Management. He is the technical team lead for the Tipping Points and Indicators DSS. Kara Salazar is the Sustainable Communities Extension Specialist for Illinois-Indiana Sea Grant and Purdue Extension housed in the Department of Forestry and Natural Resources at Purdue University. In this position, Kara serves as a link between communities and scientists conducting research on sustainability. She develops programs and tools that transfer new technologies and discoveries to communities that can apply this work to enhance local efforts. She works with multidisciplinary teams throughout Purdue University, Extension, and the Sea Grant college network to develop programs and tools that engage decision makers in evaluating, prioritizing, and implementing sustainability strategies for their communities. Kara leads the outreach team for Tipping Points and Indicators.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Kate Bimrose and Karen Reyna, Gulf of the Farallones National Marine Sanctuary

Sponsor(s): Gulf of the Farallones National Marine Sanctuary; point of contact is Angela.Calos@noaa.gov No remote access is available.

Abstract: Come learn about sanctuary restoration efforts at two California estuaries: Bolinas Lagoon and Tomales Bay, both named by the United Nations as Wetlands of International Significance. Learn how the sanctuary is working to prevent, control and reverse human-caused harm in order to protect critical ecosystem services, encourage compatible uses, and strengthen stakeholder involvement.

One NOAA science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Wayne Boulton, RWDI, inc. Ottowa, Canada POC: Jeffery T. McQueen jeff.mcqueen@noaa.gov Remote Access WebEx meeting https://ncep-events.webex.com/ncep-events/onstage/g.php?MTID=ee8c94748fb7ba335f58a88393a74d85e Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 993 501 914 Abstract Significant planning and engineering efforts are underway to develop an integrated, multi -national rail network across the Arabian Peninsula. Passenger lines, some designed to support speeds in excess of 200 kilometres per hour, and mineral / bulk material lines are under development. Many of the planned routes cross long stretches of open desert, including sections of the Rub' al Khali or 'Empty Quarter' where sand dunes reach heights in excess of 200 metres. Wind-blown and drifting sand poses a significant threat to the integrity of a number of aspects of rail systems. However, meteorological stations in these remote desert areas are essentially non-existent, representing a significant challenge to railway engineers. To fill this gap, the authors leveraged the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model to simulate the meteorology over nested model domains down to four kilometre resolution over the Arabian Peninsula for a contiguous ten-year period from 2001 through 2010. WRF model outputs were post-processed using Weibull fitting techniques to develop site-specific climate models for numerous locations along proposed sections of track in Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. These climate models were then integrated with results from wind tunnel studies of sand traransport, which in turn were used to develop climate sensitive mitigation strategies. In addition to the development of representative sand transport statistics,one-of-a-kind maps depicting near-surface wind fields, annual sand transport rates, and vector plots of sand transport pathways were also developed.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): James Rizzo, Assistant Director of Operations, Conrad Blucher Institute for Surveying and Science, Texas A&M University, Corpus Christi

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this, so do this in advance. AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting number: 744925156 NO PASSCODE for the webinar is required.

Abstract: TBD About the Speaker, TBD

One NOAA science Seminar Sponsored by EMC seminar

Presenter(s): s Ligia Bernardet, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO, USA Laurie Carson, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA POC:Edward Colon edward.colon@noaa.gov 1. Please join my meeting, Nov 4, 2014 at 12:00 PM EDT. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/645067285 2. Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. Dial +1 (571) 317-3112 Access Code: 645-067-285 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID: 645-067-285 GoToMeeting Online Meetings Made Easy Not at your computer? Click the link to join this meeting from your iPhone, iPad, Android or Windows Phone device via the GoToMeeting app.

Abstract: In order to support its forecast needs, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has several operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems, each requiring ongoing development to improve forecast skill. While the NOAA National Weather Service (NWS) centralizes the development and determines which updates are implemented in operations, research and development (R&D) are also conducted by the research branch of NOAA and by the academic community in general. This distributed model of development creates a potential for NOAA to benefit from a large body of scientific work, but also poses some challenges. In order for scientists outside of the NWS to contribute relevant R&D, it is important that they work with the current operational codes, workflows, and input datasets. However, obtaining such codes and inputs, and configuring the system to run with data assimilation and cycling workflows identical to the ones used in operations, can be a daunting task for the research community. To facilitate the use of operational NWP systems by the R&D community, NOAA has partnered with the Developmental Testbed Center (DTC) to create the design of the NWP Information Technology Environment (NITE). In this presentation we will discuss the requirements and priorities for NITE and review some existing model launcher and experiment databases that can inform NITE's development.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Tim Wynne, Physical Scientist, NOAA/NOS/NCCOS/COAST - Coastal Ocean Assessments, Status and Trends Branch

Sponsor(s): NOAA/NOS Seminar Series, point of contact is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. You may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this. AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf. no: 744925156; No passcode required.

Abstract: From August 1 to August 4, 2014 approximately 500,000 residents of Toledo, Ohio could not use their tap water because elevated levels of microcystin in the water supply. Microsystin is a toxin produced by the cyanobacteria Microsystis. This may have been the biggest drinking water catastrophe in the Lake Erie basin ever recorded and made national news. Eleven months prior to the Toledo water outage Carroll Township, Ohio issued an advisory for 2,000 residents to not drink the water. The National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science have issued forecasts and routine monitoring for Microsystis in Lake Erie since 2009. Was this monitoring and forecasting system correct? Was this just a monster bloom? Could these forecasts have improved water treatment? Were the forecasts properly disseminated into the proper outlets? Can this hazard be avoided in the future? These and other questions will be answered.

Bio(s): Tim Wynne has been at NOAA for nearly 11 years studying phytoplankton assemblages from satellite ocean color imagery, with an emphasis on Harmful Algal Bloom detection and dynamics. Tim has a B.S. in marine science from the Richard Stockton College of New Jersey, an M.S. in oceanography from Old Dominion University, and he is currently enrolled in a PhD program at the University of Maryland.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Ted Buehner, B.S., Weather Forecasting Office, Western Region, NOAA National Weather Service

Sponsor(s): Monster Seminar JAM Fall 2014 http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/index.cfm Seminar

Sponsor(s): Diane.Tierney@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=309683767&UID=1838086902&RT=MiM0 For audio only call (650) 479-3207; access code: 807 346 573

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Pao K. Wang (Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison)

Sponsor(s): GOES-R Science Seminar Point of contact janel.thomas@noaa.gov

Remote Access: For Audio, dial toll-free U.S.1-866-566-1027. Enter code 3145339#. For webcast, go to https://join.me/goesrmeetings. The screen should say "Locked Meeting in Progress" in the box provided, enter full name and click "knock to enter".

Abstract: Satellite observations provide extremely useful data for weather forecasters especially for locations where no other weather data are available. This is especially important for severe storm forecasters as many storms occur at places without any conventional or radar data coverage. But satellite data are obtained by remote sensing techniques and need to be correctly interpreted to render them useful. This seminar will discuss the physics behind several storm top features as observed by meteorological satellites that are useful for forecasters. I believe that the more forecasters understand the physics of these features, the better they can use them for their storm forecast. In this seminar, I will discuss several visible and IR features associated with severe storms as seen by satellites. These include: cold-U or V (also called enhanced-U or V), close-in warm area (CWA) , distant warm area (DWA), cold ring, overshooting top, jumping cirrus, above anvil cirrus plumes, storm top ship waves, pancake clouds, and radial cirrus feature. I will show typical examples of these features. Most of these features can be explained by the interaction between the ambient winds and the storm updraft. Of particular importance is the internal gravity wave excited by the deep convection. I will explain the physics responsible for these features using numerical cloud model simulated storm results and the implications of these features for storm nowcast and forecast.

OneNOAA Science Seminars

Presenter(s): Owen Kelly, Research Scientist, NASA Goddard and George Mason University

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library, POC: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov

Abstract: Within the Sahara Desert, there is a large region that receives less than 5 millimeters (0.2 inches) of rain a year on average, which makes this region one of the driest on Earth. Among the challenges to studying the climate of this region is that, in an area almost as large as the southeast United States, there are only four rain-gauge stations and no weather radars. Understandably, there has been a lack of consensus about the existence of any seasonal rainfall patterns here. This talk will present evidence for multiple rainy seasons in this extremely dry part of the Sahara Desert using 15-years of observations by the TRMM satellite, which was built by NASA and by the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA). In particular, the TRMM satellite's precipitation radar and lightning sensor are used in this study. To validate seasonal patterns observed with TRMM, various African rain-gauge datasets were obtained from the NCDC, WMO, UCAR, and NOAA Central Library. Climate forecast models disagree about even the sign of the expected change in Saharan rainfall over the next century. Conceivably, improved documentation of current climate may facilitate an increase in consensus among climate forecasts. Coffee and Cookies Reception immediately following the webinar: Stay and greet the speaker!

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this, so do this in advance. For remote access via webinar please fill out the Registration Form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=742656968&=brownbag a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. Closed captioning provided.

NOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Elizabeth Fly, South Carolina Sea Grant Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA OAR, National Sea Grant Office Seminar POC: elizabeth.bevan@noaa.gov (301-734-1287)

Remote Access: GoTo Meeting webinar, use phone and internet. If using computer speakers, please use headset. After registering you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the

Remote Access: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/903609522

Abstract: Beaufort County, South Carolina, is a low-lying coastal county with a high vulnerability to flooding and other coastal hazards. Just over half of the County is open water, sounds, marshes and estuaries, and much of the County consists of islands that rely on causeways and bridges for transportation, infrastructure connections, and storm evacuations. Residents have already noticed the effects of rising sea levels. However, the County is finding it difficult to effectively plan given the compounding uncertainties about sea level rise (SLR) and its consequences on the human environment. Adaptation plans are much stronger when they incorporate the experiences of local stakeholders. This project was designed to provide a participatory opportunity for Beaufort County to begin preparing for flooding associated with SLR. Local stakeholders were engaged through interviews, the VCAPS process, SLR-scenario building, and public workshops to develop and discuss trade-offs among adaptation strategies. The results from these activities will be compiled in a report to inform decisions made by the Beaufort County Council. This process has initiated a process of community learning that will increase the capacity of Beaufort County to adapt to SLR.

NOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Jarrod Loerzel, NNOAA/NCCOS, Hollings Marine Lab, Charleston, SC

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. For AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# For WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf. meeting no: 744925156 NO passcode is needed for the web.

Abstract: The subject of this seminar is a NOS Science board -funded project that employs some of the latest advancements in technology, recent ecological data, as well as market and non-market valuation to fill some of our customers' needs while delivering to the managers of marine protected areas much needed social information; information required to ensure that the resource management decision-making process is as robust as possible. We are currently surveying a number of stakeholder groups in the Mission-Aransas National Estuarine Research Reserve (NERR) to gather knowledge, attitude, and perception information about management goals, resource access, the condition of marine resources, and the effects of management activities. The outputs will be maps depicting the relationship between social value and the ecological condition.

Bio(s): Jarrod Loerzel is an environmental social scientist with JHT Inc., working at NOAA's Hollings Marine Laboratory within the National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science (NCCOS). Loerzel's background is in Political Science, International and Domestic Environmental Policy, Environmental Studies, and GIS. His research interest is focused on the intersection of humans and the environment and using spatial tools and techniques to analyze their relationship.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Lisa Goddard (Columbia University), Eric Guilyardi (LOCEAN/IPSL and NCAS-Climate), Ben Kirtman (University of Miami) Where: Remote access suggested, but some seats available in NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th floor fishbowl

Remote Access: WebEx: https://cpomapp.webex.com/cpomapp/onstage/g.php?t=a&d=295525704 Passcode: 20910 Call-in information will pop up on-screen once you have logged into WebEx Seminar sponsor: OAR, CPO, MAPP Program Seminar POC for questions: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov When: Wednesday, October 29, 11 a.m. - 12 p.m. Eastern Time Abstracts: TBD

One NOAA science seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Ming Xue (University of Oklahoma

Title: Ensemble and Variational Data Assimilation for the Storm Scale and with GSI for Rapid Refresh

Remote Access: Goto meeting https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/509089101 Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. Dial +1 (872) 240-3212 Access Code: 509-089-101 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID: 509-089-101 POC: Geoff Dimego

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Cisco Werner, PhD. Director of the Southwest Fishery Science Center. Currently acting as Director of Office of Science and Technology, NMFS.

Sponsor(s): NOAA Fisheries Office of Science and Technology Brown Bag Seminar Series

Remote Access: Adobeconnect webinars use phone & internet For AUDIO, dial 877-984-9436, enter participant passcode 8591340# WEBCAST: https://noaast.adobeconnect.com/r63gl6i5aez/?refresh-parent=true

Abstract: Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems (EBUS, such as the California Current, the Peru-Humboldt, the Benguela and the Canary Current) are highly productive and are subject to physical forcing at short scales (e.g., local winds and topography on scales of kms and weeks), remotely forced intermediate scales such as El Nio, interdecadal basin scales such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (the PDO), and secular climate change. To properly capture the physical response of EBUS requires that the atmospheric, land and ocean components be dynamically coupled. Similarly, the biological component requires that bottom-up drivers (such as lower trophic biogeochemical processes) and top-down drivers (such as harvesting by fishing fleets) be included simultaneously. The explicit inclusion of these processes requires an Earth System Modeling formulation, which will be described in this presentation using the California Current Ecosystem as a case study.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Christopher Krembs, Ph.D., Environmental Assessment Program, Marine Monitoring Unit, Washington State Department of Ecology Seminar

Sponsor(s): Monster Seminar JAM Fall 2014 http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/index.cfm Seminar

Sponsor(s): Diane.Tierney@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=309683767&UID=1838086902&RT=MiM0 For audio only call (650) 479-3207; access code: 807 346 573

NOAA Science Seminar Series Date/Time: Thursday, October 23, 2014 2-3pm ET, 10:00-11:00 AKDT Location: Online Access or in person at ACCAP (930 Koyukuk Drive in 405 Akasofu Building, Fairbanks, AK) Remote Access and Notes: For further information and to register, see https://accap.uaf.edu/extreme_events_webinar, or contact Tina Buxbaum

Presenter(s): Lauren Zuromski, NOAA Hollings Scholar, along with John Walsh of the University of Alaska Fairbanks and Rick Thoman of the National Weather Service OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): OneNOAA Science Seminar, ACCAP Alaska Climate Webinars

Abstract: The National Weather Service lacks a comprehensive compilation of major weather events in Alaska. Creating a repository of the effects of past storms and other extreme weather events on society, together with documentation of the meteorological evolution of the events, will facilitate the NWS and other government agencies to analyze this data. This research examines six high-impact weather events in Alaska, ranging in dates from 1974 until 2012. Reanalysis composites of sea-level pressure, temperature, geopotential height, and vector wind allowed for the storms to be tracked and for weather pattern anomalies to be recognized. Societal impacts were investigated by using the National Climactic Data Center (NCDC)'s online Storm Events Database and by utilizing microfilms of Alaskan newspapers detailing the events.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): David Butterfield, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington and Pacific Marine Environmental Lab, Seattle Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Office of Ocean Exploratioin and NOAA Central Library; POC: Joanne.Flanders@noaa.gov

Abstract: Carbon dioxide emitted by volcanoes in the upper ocean over long timespans creates unique natural undersea laboratories to study the impact of ocean acidification on coral reef ecosystems. These hydrothermal sites are limited across the world's oceans and afford a unique way to study coral reef community adaptation and viability which cannot be duplicated by traditional laboratory microcosm or mesocosm experiments. Maug is a ring of 3 islands with a 200-m deep central caldera with a highly diverse coral community along the inner caldera and the outer fore reef shorelines. Shallow gas/hydrothermal vents along the inner shoreline of Maug's East island affect the water chemistry surrounding the coral reef communities of the caldera and have a significant local impact on corals. This talk will provide an overview of Maug and focus on the chemistry of the vents and their local impacts Note: This seminar is sponsored by the Office of Ocean Exploration

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this, so do this in advance. For remote access via webinar please fill out the Registration Form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=742656968&=brownbag a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360.

Bio(s): David Butterfield received his PhD in Oceanography from the University of Washington. His research interests include interdisciplinary studies of submarine volcanoes and hydrothermal systems, with emphasis on using fluid chemistry to understand physical, chemical, and biological processes. Current research projects include: 1) Combining quantitative information on physical, chemical and biological processes to create an ecosystem model of hydrothermal systems. 2) Quantifying the impact of methane-producing microbes in hydrothermal systems through a combined chemical and microbiological approach. 3) Survey of newly discovered hydrothermal features and processes on intra-oceanic submarine volcanic arcs of the western Pacific. 4) Investigating seafloor eruption processes and the role of magmatic fluids at active volcanic sites. Using cabled observatories to monitoring changes in hydrothermal chemistry associated with volcanic and seismic activity on mid-ocean ridges. See website: http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/vents/index.html

NOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. William Sweet, Oceanographer, NOAA/NOS CO-OPS

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; point of contact is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. You may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this. For AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# For WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf. meeting no: 744925156; NO passcode is required for web.

Abstract: For over a century, NOAA tide gauges have been measuring relative sea level rise (SLR) along the U.S. coastline. A sensible consequence of relative SLR is an increase in nuisance flooding occasionally experienced during high tide. Associated impacts today are relatively minor, but their event frequency and duration are increasing across the country and accelerating along the East and Gulf Coasts. Tipping points when critical elevation thresholds for public works or coastal habitats become increasingly compromised by nuisance flooding in the future are suggested and shown to be surpassed much earlier than the 2100 time horizon for global SLR scenarios.

Bio(s): Dr. William Sweet is an oceanographer with NOAA CO-OPS researching sea level rise, extreme events and their societal impacts.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Matthew Aitken, PhD, ORISE Research Fellow U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Research Triangle Park, NC

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library, POC: Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov

Abstract: Wind farm wake modeling, and hence turbine layout optimization, currently suffer from an unacceptable degree of uncertainty, largely because of a lack of adequate experimental data for model verification. Here, we analyze wake measurements taken with long-range scanning lidar in two separate experiments, one at the National Wind Technology Center (NWTC) and the other at a wind farm in the western United States. The presentation outlines a set of quantitative procedures for determining critical parameters from these extensive datasets"such as the velocity deficit, the size of the wake boundary, and the location of the wake centerline"and the results are categorized by ambient atmospheric conditions. Despite specific reference to lidar, the methodology is general and can be applied to extract wake characteristics from other remote sensor datasets, as well as output from numerical simulations. Experimental results are compared to a large eddy simulation (LES) of a turbine operating in the stable boundary layer using the actuator disk parameterization in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model. Dr. Aitken will also present a brief overview of his current research on the use of the MARKAL energy system model to assess the economic and environmental implications of clean energy technologies. Reception immediately following the webinar: You are invited for coffee and cookies immediately after the seminar.

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this, so do this in advance. For remote access via webinar please fill out the Registration Form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=742656968&=brownbag a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. Closed captioning provided.

Bio(s): Matthew Aitken, PhD, is currently an ORISE Research Fellow with the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in Research Triangle Park, NC, where he is researching the use of the Market Allocation (MARKAL) energy system model to assess the economic and environmental implications of a variety of clean energy technologies. He recently received his PhD in physics from the University of Colorado, Boulder, where he developed a statistical modeling procedure for quantifying wind turbine wake characteristics from both lidar measurements and CFD simulations, to help advance the optimization of turbine layouts and control systems at wind farms.

One NOAA Science Seminar Sponsor EMC-CPC seminar Speaker Weihong Qian, Beijing University POC Jun Du jun.du@noaa.gov GoTo meeting. https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/437474237 Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. Dial +1 (872) 240-3312 Access Code: 437-474-237 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID: 437-474-237 Abstract The three-cell model for the atmospheric circulation including the Hadley, Ferrel and Polar cells in each of two hemispheres has been accepted and used in climate study for a long time. According to the principle for conservation of angular momentum, a decrease in rotation radius will cause an increase in westerly velocity aloft for the Polar cell so that it cannot cross as many latitudes as the Hadley cell does in the lower latitudes because the distance between the tropospheric air particle and the earth's rotating axis reduces more rapidly poleward beyond the latitude of 60. Using three different global reanalysis products and one climate model simulation from the historical and future runs, we are able to show that there might be a fourth cell in each of two high latitudes. The analyses of meridional section streamline (MSS) and meridional-mass stream function (MSF) provided some evidences to support the existence of the fourth cells. The intensity and location of the fourth cell vary with season, and in some months it becomes invisible. Further, due to the elevated topography, the Antarctic cell is much weaker than the Arctic cell. This poses a challenge to the climate and meteorological community to verify the discovery with stronger observational basis, improved modelling capacity, and better assimilation over high latitudes.

One NOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Oriol Jorba, Earth Sciences Department of the Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Spain.(oriol.jorba@bsc.es)

Sponsor(s): Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) seminar POC:Zavisa Janjic zavisa.janjic@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Go To meeting - https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/734065237 Use your microphone and speakers (VOIP) for audio. You'll sound best with a headset. You can also call in using your telephone. U.S. (Long distance): +1 (872) 240-3312 Access Code and Meeting ID : 734-065-237 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the session Not at your computer? Click the link to join this meeting from your iPhone, iPad, Android or Windows Phone device via the GoToMeeting app.

Abstract: The Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC) does research on atmospheric chemistry, mineral dust transport and air quality. The center is working on the development of a chemical weather forecasting system based on the NCEP/NMMB multiscale meteorological model, namely NMMB/BSC Chemical Transport Model (NMMB/BSC-CTM). A gas-phase chemistry module and a multi-component aerosol scheme have been coupled online with NMMB. This talk will provide an overview/status of development of the system, the efforts done on the evaluation of the different modules (gas and aerosol components mineral dust, black carbon, organic matter, sulfate and volcanic ash), and its application as a research forecast tool. The system is being enhanced with a data assimilation system of satellite products of aerosol optical depth. Initial efforts are focused on mineral dust only. An ensemble Kalman filter technique (namely the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter - LETKF) has been utilized to statistically combine model background and satellite retrievals. Currently, NMMB/BSC-CTM is providing mineral dust forecasts with its regional configuration for the Barcelona Dust Forecast Center (BDFC) and the Northern Africa-Middle East-Europe (NA-ME-E) Node of the Sand and Dust Strom Warning Advisory and Assessment System (SDS-WAS) of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). All this work is done in the framework of Spanish national research projects (Sever-Ochoa program of the Government of Spain and national projects of the Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness).

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Margaret Dutch, M.S., Valerie Partridge, M.S., Sandra Weakland, M.S. Environmental Assessment Program, Marine Monitoring Unit, WA State Dept. of Ecology Seminar

Sponsor(s): Monster Seminar JAM Fall 2014 http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/index.cfm Seminar Point of Contact: Diane.Tierney@noaa.gov

Remote Access:

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=309683767&UID=1838086902&RT=MiM0 For audio only call (650) 479-3207; access code: 807 346 573

OneNOAA Science Seminars

Presenter(s): Kimberly Bittler, Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement, Department of the Interior, Texas Sea Grant Knauss Fellow, kmbittler@gmail.com

Sponsor(s): Knauss Fellows Brown Bag Series Point of Contact: Sarah.Close@noaa.gov, Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar, please fill out the registration form a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin: https://www.mymeetings.com/emeet/join/index.jsp?customHeader=mymeetings&netId=742656968&netPass=&netType=conference&acceptTerms=on&sigKey=mymeetings The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. Be sure to use your phone to dial in.

Abstract: Freshwater inflows are critical for the function and health of estuaries, but can become severely limited due to human use, drought, and diversions. The management of limited freshwater inflows is a growing concern, and the use of a focal species such as blue crabs can assist managers in allocating this limited resource. Previous studies have suggested that freshwater inflows affect populations of the commercially and ecologically important blue crab, Callinectes sapidus, especially in early life stages, but the nature and geographic extent of the relationship is unclear. The potential link between freshwater inflows and recruitment of blue crab post-larvae was examined in a series of behavior experiments and coupled models, and compared between case study systems. Broader relationships between abundance and salinity were examined from a global perspective by synthesizing available data on blue crab abundance from the Gulf of Mexico to the Mid-Atlantic. The results of these studies have implications for the management of freshwater inflows and blue crab stock management, and will aid managers as pressures on blue crab populations continue to grow in the future.

Bio(s): Kimberly Bittler is currently a Knauss Marine Policy Fellow at the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement where she coordinates BSEE's interactions with the National Ocean Policy and acts as a research liaison. Previously, Kimberly was a graduate student at the University of Texas where she taught laboratory classes and performed research linking blue crab populations to freshwater inflows. She completed her B.A. at Colby College in Maine with a double major in Biology and Environmental Policy, and a minor in Chemistry.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Anna Hermes, NOAA Research Office of Labs and Cooperative Institutes and the Science Advisory Board, New Jersey Sea Grant Knauss Fellow, anna.hermes@noaa.gov

Sponsor(s): Knauss Fellows Brown Bag Series Point of Contact: Sarah.Close@noaa.gov, Mary.Lou.Cumberpatch@noaa.gov

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar, please fill out the registration form a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin: https://www.mymeetings.com/emeet/join/index.jsp?customHeader=mymeetings&netId=742656968&netPass=&netType=conference&acceptTerms=on&sigKey=mymeetings The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. Be sure to use your phone to dial in.

Abstract: Estuaries link terrestrial and marine biomes. They are locations of great complexity, with interwoven and often competing human and natural systems, now facing further and often un-quantified impacts from climate change. They provide conduits for trade, fresh drinking water for urban cities, and natural resources such as fisheries, and simultaneously often also sustain incredibly diverse wetlands, house migratory species, and act as buffers from storms. Balancing these often opposing forces requires a basic understanding of the physical, chemical, and biological processes of estuaries. Here, the Delaware Estuary is used as a case study. This presentation will demonstrate that long- term, interdisciplinary research programs can provide a more holistic understanding of how these components are interconnected, while specifically addressing the biogeochemistry of the Delaware. Sources of particulate organic carbon through the estuary for multiple seasons were assessed using stable carbon isotopes and organic biomarkers. Biomarker distributions revealed that bottom waters are geochemically distinct from surface waters, and that land-derived organic carbon is trapped in bottom waters where fresh and saltwater meet. Compound specific stable carbon isotopes of the biomarkers further suggest that a significant proportion of the land-derived material trapped mid-estuary is derived from marshes in the lower estuary. These results have implications for how land and sediment management practices will impact the overall carbon cycling in the Delaware, and also demonstrate the connectivities in these systems that can be identified through integrative study.

Bio(s): Anna is a 2014 NOAA Knauss Marine Policy fellow with the NOAA Oceanic and Atmospheric Research Office of Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes and the Science Advisory Board. She hails from New Mexico, where she received a BS in Biology from the University of New Mexico. Anna went to Rutgers University in New Jersey for a MS in Oceanography. For her Master's work, Anna studied organic carbon cycling in the Delaware Estuary. Specifically, she used biomarkers and stable carbon isotopes to trace land-derived organic carbon through the estuary. She fell in love with the contrasts classic to estuarine environments: urban vs rural communities; natural resource use vs ecological conservation; land vs water. Her interests in tracing land carbon into marine and aquatic environments took her to systems across the globe from New Zealand to Mongolia. Anna then worked with the Philadelphia Water Department's Office of Watersheds Water Quality Modeling group, assisting with the development of hydrodynamic and water quality models of the tidal freshwater Delaware River as part of PWD's Green City Clean Waters program. Anna is now interested in water resource management and coastal resilience through the lens of biogeochemical cycles between land and sea.

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Title: Next Generation Ocean Science Research and Discovery: the Cabled Observatory on the Juan de Fuca Plate

Presenter(s): : Dr. Leslie Sautter, Associate Professor, College of Charleston Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; seminar coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeeting files. For Audio, dial toll-free U.S.1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688#. For webcast, go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", add conf. meeting no: 744925156; no passcode needed for web.

Abstract: The first regional-scale, fiber-optic cabled deep-sea observatory was recently assembled on the seafloor off the coast of Oregon. The NSF-funded project is part of the Ocean Observatories Initiative, led by the University of Washington. Two Primary Node sites have been heavily instrumented in order to study the character of and processes occurring on, below and above the seafloor of the Juan de Fuca Plate. When activated in early 2015, fiber optic cables will supply power and high-bandwidth communication to 18 secondary nodes and many instruments, each of which will supply continuous real-time 24/7 data streams to the internet for use by the global community. Dr. Sautter has been a participant on the UW cruises since 2010, and will provide an overview and update of the UW-led program.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Tim Stockdale (ECMWF), Adam Scaife (UK Met Office) Where: Remote access suggested, but some seats available in NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th floor fishbowl

Remote Access: WebEx: https://cpomapp.webex.com/cpomapp/onstage/g.php?t=a&d=629205299 Passcode: 20910 Call-in information will pop up on-screen once you have logged into WebEx Seminar sponsor: OAR, CPO, MAPP Program Seminar POC for questions: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov When: Thursday, October 16, 11 a.m. - 12:30 p.m. Eastern Time Abstracts: Tim Stockdale -- TBD Adam Scaife -- Until recently, long-range forecast systems showed only modest levels of skill in predicting surface winter climate around the Atlantic Basin and associated fluctuations in the North Atlantic Oscillation at seasonal lead times. Here we use a new forecast system to assess seasonal predictability of winter North Atlantic climate. We demonstrate that key aspects of European and North American winter climate and the surface North Atlantic Oscillation are highly predictable months ahead. We demonstrate high levels of prediction skill in retrospective forecasts of the surface North Atlantic Oscillation, winter storminess, near-surface temperature, and wind speed, all of which have high value for planning and adaptation to extreme winter conditions. Analysis of forecast ensembles suggests that while useful levels of seasonal forecast skill have now been achieved, key sources of predictability are still only partially represented and there is further untapped predictability.

OneNOAA Science Seminars

Title: OACurriculumCollection.org"An online collection of Ocean Acidification educational resources

Presenter(s): Meg Chadsey, Washington State Sea Grant & Paul William Suquamish Tribe Shellfish Biologist

Sponsor(s): SOARCE webinar series, NOAA NMS and OAP Point of Contact: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.bennett@noaa.gov Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/308006002 After registering you will receive an email containing info about joining the Webinar.

Abstract: This webinar will walk you through OAcurriculumcollection.org - a new searchable database of lessons and supplemental materials on ocean acidification. Our purpose in creating this site is to make it easier for educators and communicators to find and share OA materials, and to identify gaps where materials are needed. The collection is organized around a set of learning targets that explore the central question: How is the shifting carbon cycle affecting ocean systems? The multidisciplinary nature of ocean acidification makes it ideal subject matter for illustrating the core ideas, crosscutting concepts and scientific practices contained in the Next Generation Science Standards (NGSS). We will discuss our plans to highlight the NGSS connections with the materials in the collection. Learning Targets: Fast (biological) and Slow (geological) Carbon Cycles The Shifting Balance of Carbon How Ocean Acidification Affects Marine organisms Effects of Ocean Acidification on Marine Ecosystems Ocean acidification, humans and environmental systems "Cause and Effect Addressing OA"Engaging People, Governments and Science

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Glynn Rountree (recently retired from the National Association of Home Builders)

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series and the NOAA/NOS/NCCOS Center for Sponsored Coastal Ocean Research (CSCOR); point of contact is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeeting files. For Audio, dial toll-free U.S.1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688#. For webcast, go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", add conf. meeting no: 744925156; no passcode needed for web.

Abstract: The Chesapeake Bay TMDL (Total Maximum Daily Load) Stormwater Rule is a major driving force within the Bay water quality restoration effort. The Bay TMDL is proving to be enormously expensive, difficult to implement, and contains new regulations specific to new homeowners and property owners. Regulated entities such as counties, cities and towns that have existing stormwater permits will be hard pressed to meet their TMDL requirements. Given the many challenges to restoring water quality, state water quality trading programs are necessary to lower the costs of the rule and provide citizens a voluntary method to directly participate in improving water quality. New requirements will mandate that the Bay states offset the pollutants that result from the use of onsite septic systems, both those systems installed in new homes and from the old systems that existed prior to the TMDL. Construction activities will soon be governed by state Programs for New Growth, which are required under the TMDL but not yet developed. New TMDL requirements dealing with the maintenance of Low Impact Development (LID) along with the recurring cost of offsetting pollutants from new homes may prove to be a strong disincentive to new home purchases. Finally, the pollution threat from the Conowingo Dam will need to be addressed if Bay water quality is to be permanently achieved.

Bio(s): Recently retired, Glynn has worked for the past 24 years on environmental issues on behalf of national industry trade associations, including the Aerospace Industries Association, the Flexible Packaging Association, the American Forest and Paper Association, and the National Association of Home Builders. Prior to working for trade associations, Glynn worked for 8 years as the Business Manager for the Chesapeake Research Consortium (CRC), an association of five mid-Atlantic universities and the Smithsonian Institution. CRC efforts focus on Chesapeake Bay research and restoration efforts. Glynn's recent work for the home building industry has centered on water-related issues, including Low Impact Development, stormwater and wetlands permitting, the Chesapeake Bay TMDL and other TMDLs, water quality trading, wastewater issues, and Smart Growth. Glynn has served as a member of several technical committees of the Chesapeake Bay Program. He holds a BS degree in Biology from St. Mary's College of Maryland, an MS degree in Oceanography from Old Dominion University, and an MBA from Texas A&M University.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Will McClintock, University of California Santa Barbara and Ashley Chappell, NOAA's Office of Coast Survey Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; contact is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. For AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# For WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf. meeting no: 744925156; No passcode is required for the web.

Abstract: SeaSketch (www.seasketch.org) is an online GIS collaboration tool developed to aid marine planning. SeaSketch can be used for planning, coordination and information sharing. NOAA is using SeaSketch to help coordinate and share information on Integrated Ocean and Coastal Mapping (IOCM) in order to map once, use many times. NOAA's IOCM team turned to SeaSketch following Superstorm Sandy to aid mapping coordination internally and with sister agencies during the recovery effort. SeaSketch was so successful for Sandy planning that federal ocean and coastal mapping agencies have agreed to use it nationally for planning in FY2015 and beyond. Come learn about SeaSketch, how NOAA is using it, and how it might benefit your program.

Bio(s): Will McClintock is a Project Scientist and Director of the SeaSketch program at the UCSB Marine Science Institute. Ashley Chappell is NOAA's Integrated Ocean and Coastal Mapping Coordinator.

One NOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. Dorothy Hall, Cryospheric Sciences Laboratory, NASA / Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD POC: llubomud@umich.edu, margaret.lansing@noaa.gov

Sponsor(s): Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory / Cooperative Institute for Limnology and Ecosystems Research Great Lakes Seminar Series WEBINAR: pre-register at: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/746625682

Abstract: Surface temperature measurements from space can provide accurate and consistent measurements of cryospheric features under clear-sky conditions. These measurements are useful for climate and modeling studies as well as for some applications. Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data, available since February of 2000, have been used to develop ice-surface temperature (IST) products of the Greenland ice sheet, polar sea ice and the Great Lakes. 14-yr trends in the clear-sky IST and melt extent of the Greenland ice sheet show increasing surface temperatures over most of the ice sheet. Over sea ice, the IST-derived temperature of ice and open water adjacent to sea ice has helped to document enhanced melting of sea ice in the 2012 spring/summer when the Arctic sea ice extent hit a record low. IST maps of the Great Lakes for the winter of 2012-13 show both the ice and adjacent water temperature providing insight into ice formation and breakup. The validation and consistency of the MODIS IST record reveals excellent correspondence with measured surface temperature at high temperatures, near 0C, but the accuracy decreases as ice temperatures drop.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Davy Lowry, Ph.D., Senior Research Scientist, Puget Sound Groundfish and Forage Fish, Washington State Department of Fish & Wildlife

Sponsor(s): NWFSC Monster Seminar JAM, Fall 2014 http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/index.cfm Seminar point of contact: Diane.Tierney@noaa.gov

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=309683767&UID=1838086902&RT=MiM0 For audio only call (650) 479-3207; access code: 807 346 573

Each month, a speaker will give a presentation on various topics related to NGS programs, projects, products and services to educate constituents about NGS activities. Visit the Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/. Future webinars will be held on the second Thursday of every month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Valerie Grussing - NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center Cultural Resources Coordinator

Abstract: The Cultural Heritage Resources Working Group of the MPA Federal Advisory Committee is creating a virtual toolkit for coastal and MPA managers on cultural resource management. The toolkit will provide practical guidance designed to help MPA managers effectively manage cultural resources, building on recommendations from the MPA FAC on adapting a Cultural Landscape Approach. The webinar will present the draft Toolkit, and provide an opportunity for feedback. Toolkit Link: http://marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/pdf/helpful-resources/mpafac_rec_cultural_landscape_12_11.pdf Where: Remote Access and in SSMC4, Rm. 10153. To register, visit: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/393961960 Toll: +1 (646) 307-1719 Access Code: 881-728-039 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the Webinar Seminar POC for questions: Lauren.Wenzel@noaa.gov NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center Webinar co-sponsored by the NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center, EBM Tools Network, OpenChannels.org, MPA News and EcoAdapt. http://marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/resources/webinars/

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dale Jones, NMFS Office of Science and Technology

Sponsor(s): NOS Seminar Series, point of contact tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. You may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this. AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf. no: 744925156; No passcode required. Description: This seminar will provide an overview of the government-wide initiative to incorporate import and export trade data collection for the authorization requirements of 47 US federal agencies into a single electronic window at Customs. It will highlight the role of the Commerce Department's NOAA-based National Marine Fisheries Service, just one of those agencies working directly with the US Customs and Border Protection Service and the other 46 partner agencies involved to develop a system that will meet the requirements of the Safe Ports Act of 2006. This project, as incorporated by that law and as prioritized in a White House Executive Order on February 19, 2014, has become an aggressive initiative designed to consolidate the mutual objectives of; product safety, the international sustainability of products ranging from lumber to marine species and the fair, legal, cost effective and expeditious facilitation of trade for all US imports and exports into a single electronic system.

One NOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Phil Loring, Assistant Professor, School of Environment and Sustainability, University of Saskatchewan Date/Time: 10/7/14, 10:00-11:00 AKDT Seminar

Sponsor(s): OneNOAA Science Seminar, ACCAP Alaska Climate Webinars; Contact is Tina Buxbaum at tmbuxbaum@alaska.edu

Remote Access: For further information and to register, visit https://accap.uaf.edu/food_security, or contact Tina Buxbaum at tmbuxbaum@alaska.edu

Abstract: Food security is a world-wide societal challenge, and one area of the world where food insecurity is increasing is the North American Arctic and Subarctic. In this presentation Dr. Loring reviews research on food security in general and as it has been executed in the North over the last 15 years. He reviews a comprehensive set of findings regarding why people are food insecure: challenges like remoteness and climate change play a role, but the primary drivers of food insecurity for northern peoples continue to be governance and policy issues, issues that have been recognized and critiqued for many decades. In light of new challenges to the rights of indigenous peoples in the North such as climate change and development, Loring offers suggestions for future research and policy that focuses on place-based and rights-based approaches to planning and development.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Megan Dethier, Ph.D., Research Professor, Biology Department and Friday Harbor Laboratories, University of Washington

Sponsor(s): Monster Seminar JAM Fall 2014 http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/index.cfm Seminar point of contact: Diane.Tierney@noaa.gov

Remote Access:

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=309683767&UID=1838086902&RT=MiM0 For audio only call (650) 479-3207; access code: 807 346 573

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): : Sarah L. Close, OAR Climate Program Office

Sponsor(s): 2014 Knauss Fellow Brown Bag Seminar Series Seminar POC: alexis.jackson@noaa.gov

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar, please fill out the registration form a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin: https://www.mymeetings.com/emeet/join/index.jsp?customHeader=mymeetings&netId=742656968&netPass=&netType=conference&acceptTerms=on&sigKey=mymeetings The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. Be sure to use your phone to dial in.

Abstract: In rocky intertidal habitats, oceanographic variability influences benthic communities primarily via changes in temperature, propagule delivery, and nutrient availability. Nutrient availability especially is thought to influence the diverse and productive macrophyte assemblages in these communities. While bottom-up regulation of communities provisioned by resource subsidies is known to play a role in community dynamics in this system, we are still developing an understanding of how this influences macrophytes. For intertidal macrophytes in coastal ecosystems, regional-scale oceanographic processes such as upwelling largely drive nutrient availability. Hence, coastal oceanography can be an important factor linking local areas across large spatial scales, and resolving the patterns of rocky intertidal macrophyte nutrient content (measured as the ratio of carbon to nitrogen, or C:N) may provide insight to the coupling of local ecological and regional oceanographic processes. To examine biogeographic patterns of C:N ratios in intertidal macrophytes, and their relationship to oceanographic conditions, we conducted a study of these factors for four ecologically dominant species across 900 km of coastline in the northern California Current Large Marine Ecosystem over a 10 year period. We examined the relationship of macrophyte C:N to environmental forcing at the spatial scales appropriate to assess C:N"environment links in upwelling-influenced habitats. We found that nutrient content of this diverse suite of rocky intertidal macrophytes varied among species, and that C:N in all but one species was negatively related to nitrogen availability. Patterns of spatiotemporal variability in C:N within species were largely consistent with regional-scale predictions for decreased C:N in areas of increased upwelling strength and persistence (i.e., decreasing latitudes), but patterns of meso- and local-scale variation were also evident for some species. Finally, interannual variability was remarkably consistent across species, further implicating oceanographic scale factors in driving C:N.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Sandy Aylesworth, NOAA's Office of Legislative and Intergovernmental Affairs Seminar

Sponsor(s): 2014 Knauss Fellow Brown Bag Seminar Series Seminar POC: alexis.jackson@noaa.gov

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar, please fill out the registration form a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin: https://www.mymeetings.com/emeet/join/index.jsp?customHeader=mymeetings&netId=742656968&netPass=&netType=conference&acceptTerms=on&sigKey=mymeetings The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. Be sure to use your phone to dial in.

Abstract: Since 1961, the Antarctic Treaty System (ATS) has fostered a unique model of international cooperation to preserve the continent as a scientific reserve and promote research while banning military activity. Scientists are well acquainted with the challenges of conducting oceanographic research"oceanography is deeply labor and resource-intensive regardless of its location. In spite of those challenges, scientists have long studied the Southern Ocean and Antarctica's coastal waters. For decades, the United States Antarctic Program (USAP) has advanced oceanography in the Southern Ocean through work on the research vessels the Laurence M. Gould and Nathanial B. Palmer. Over the course of seven oceanographic cruises with voyages to Palmer Station, McMurdo Station, the Drake Passage and Amundsen Sea, I developed an appreciation for both the abundance and fragility of the Antarctic marine ecosystem. In spite of the international terrestrial protections, Antarctic marine ecosystems are experiencing a host of dramatic changes and pressures, including sharp declines in krill populations, a loss of sea ice, and fishing. In this talk, I will discuss the logistics and mechanics of conducting oceanography in extreme cold and wind, and share scientists' observations about the rapidly-changing Antarctic.

One NOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Luis M. Farfn, CICESE, La Paz, Baja California Sur, Mexico POC: malaquias.pena.mendez@noaa.gov

Sponsor(s): Environmental Modeling Center Seminar

Remote Access: WebEx https://ncep-events.webex.com/ncep-events/onstage/g.php?MTID=ea9172932449d6299e635870e458655d9 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code(meeting ID) : 993 504 156

Abstract: Tropical cyclones from the eastern Pacific basin may have tracks that approach northwest Mexico and cause an impact on the population as well as on the surrounding environment. In particular, during the last 66 years more than 40 cyclones moved over land across the Baja California peninsula and most of them occurred in September. Therefore, they are an important group of weather systems to monitor and forecast. As part of the outreach activities provided by CICESE, we provide support to emergency managers to better understand the observations of storm structure and estimates of intensity changes. This includes the analysis of real-time, high-resolution imagery from geostationary satellites. Another component of this support is an interpretation of the forecasts provided by the U.S. National Hurricane Center and the Mexican Meteorological Service. This includes explaining the benefits, limitations and cautions to be exercised with the information stated in the official forecasts. Also, it implies a revision of the available information (advisories, discussions and probabilities) as well as the predictions derived from global-and regional-scale models in the ATCF database. Beginning with the season of 2014, simulations from the WRF (from ARW, version 3.5) and HWRF (from DTC, version 3.5a) models are used to predict weather conditions in Baja California. The input data is from the GFS model and, because of limitations on computer and network resources, the simulations are performed only once per day, with data from 00 UTC for prediction times up to 120 hours. Basically, we concentrate on making graphical products to show the spatial distribution of wind fields as well as the evolution of precipitation over the southern peninsula: 23-28N. Also, there are comparisons between our tracks and those derived from ATCF including the official forecasts. During this talk, examples from the HWRF model performance with respect to landfall events from the period 2006-2010 will be provided. Also, we will discuss preliminary results from 2014 as well as future plans for upcoming seasons.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Field-based assessments of coral reef resilience potential in the CNMI - Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands

Presenter(s): Dr. Jeff Maynard, Cornell University, Labex Corail/CRIOBE of French Polynesia, as well as other NGOs and government departments Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Coral Reef Conservation Program; point of contact is Britt.Parker@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Call In: (866) 836-3293, 459201# To join the meeting, go to http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=441497235&p=OCRMCCD&t=c Meeting Number: 441497235, Meeting Passcode: OCRMCCD Enter the required fields., Indicate that you have read the Privacy Policy. Click Proceed.

Abstract: A recent review of resilience assessment methodologies (McClanahan et al. 2012 recommended a site selection framework using 11 variables. These variables have high perceived importance (to resilience) in the scientific community, with strong empirical evidence as contributing to either resistance potential or recovery capacity. The first field-based implementation of this methodology took place in Saipan, CNMI in March of 2012 and included 35 sites around Saipan. Resultant outputs included the first spatial interpolation of a reef resilience assessment; a map of 'relative resilience' (low, medium or high) for all of the reef areas surrounding the island of Saipan. The assessment was expanded earlier this year to include 50 additional sites near Rota and Tinian Islands, the other main populated islands in CNMI. Project outputs include: 1) a revised analysis of the relative resilience potential of sites throughout CNMI, including sites near both populated and unpopulated areas; 2) a report containing management recommendations to all local government agencies regarding actions to reduce stress on reefs and support recovery processes; 3) a publication on resilience analysis methodologies focusing on ways to maximize distinguishing sites at the local-scale while also being able to compare results between geographically disparate areas; and 4) a suite of user-friendly tools for practitioners based on (3). This project has been supported by the NOAA CRCP (in 2012 and 2014) and USGS-PICSC and has resulted in the newest guidance on assessing reef resilience made available through TNC's R2 website. Project co-lead Jeff Maynard will discuss the resilience assessments in CNMI and answer questions about the project results. Jeff will also describe the value for management/conservation planning of combining field-based resilience assessments with mapping historic and projected future exposure to climate disturbances.

NOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: An Ocean of Information: www.MarineCadastre.gov

Presenter(s): Christine Taylor, BOEM

Sponsor(s): NOS Seminar Series: point of contact is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this, so do this in advance. AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting number: 744925156; NO PASSCODE for the webinar is required.

Abstract: MarineCadastre.gov is an integrated marine information system that provides data, tools, and technical support for ocean planning. MarineCadastre.gov was designed specifically to support renewable energy siting on the U.S. Outer Continental Shelf but also is being used for other ocean-related efforts. The project team, a BOEM and NOAA partnership, is continually working to increase access to data through data and map services. The services are designed to deliver data without replication and directly from the source. MarineCadastre.gov supports a number of complementary efforts, including Digital Coast, Data.gov, and Geoplatform.gov. The presentation will cover the new web site design and features, the data registry and make your own map features, as well as how others are utilizing the data and services provided through the project. A demo of the features of the site will be given and there will be time for questions and demonstrations based on questions where possible.

Bio(s): Christine Taylor is the Lead Physical Scientist for the Mapping and Boundary Branch within the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, in Herndon, VA. She works with both for NOAA in Silver Spring, first with the Special Projects Office (formerly SEA) and finally with the Office of National Marine Sanctuaries as their GIS Coordinator.

OmeNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. Erik Olsen, Visiting Scientist from Norway at NEFSC. Woods Hole

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series: point of contact is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. For AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# For WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf.meeting no: 744925156; NO PASSCODE required for web.

Abstract: Marine Spatial Planning (MSP) is a practical tool for implementing marine ecosystem-based management. Norway started MSP development in 2002 built around base-lining of the ecosystem and human activities, identifying valuable ecological areas, setting management objectives, identifying knowledge gaps, and zoning for shipping and petroleum. There is a global lack in MSP developments, but this can be expected to increase, especially in the arctic. Practical guides for implementation exist, but MSP needs integration and leadership to succeed. Effective MSP is multi-disciplinary, transparent, open to stakeholders and aware of the cultural and political implications.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): Monster seminar JAM Fall 2014 http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/events/weekly_seminars/index.cfm

Presenter(s): Jill Brandenberger, M.S. Senior Research Scientist Manager Sustainable Ecosystems for National Security Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Marine Science Lab Department of Energy

Remote Access: https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=309683767&UID=1838086902&RT=MiM0 For audio only call (650) 479-3207; access code: 807 346 573 ABSTRACT Measuring the effectiveness of environmental regulations is extremely complex in dynamic coastal environments. Reconstructions require a suite of paleoecological indicators and contaminants derived from the sedimentary record extending back 200+ years in Puget Sound to support the elucidation of natural biogeochemical cycles from those altered by anthropogenic activities. Sedimentary reconstructions of diatom and foraminifera fossils, pollen, stable isotopes of carbon and nitrogen, biomarkers for terrestrial/marine carbon, black carbon and stable and redox-sensitive metals (RSM) suggest the current status of the anthropogenic burden with respect to historical trends. The sedimentary reconstructions reflect both spatially (watershed-scale) and temporally (annual to decadal) integrated loads entering Puget Sound. Indicators linked to land-clearing activities (e.g. LULC alterations or forest fires) confirm anthropogenically driven alterations in pollen rain, terrestrial carbon, and terrestrial biomarkers. Contaminants, such as PAHs, PCBs and metals, show marked increases during industrialization in the watershed followed by significant decreases after environmental regulations reduce point source inputs. Collectively, these studies demonstrate that environmental regulations have been effective at reducing the sources of contaminants with an overall positive impact on water quality. However, select contaminant trends show a reduction in the rate of recovery back to pre-industrial signatures (e.g Cu, Pb, and Zn) suggesting the potential for an increasing influence of non-point sources. While other indicators, such as RSM and organic matter, suggest a stronger link to large-scale climate drivers such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). BIO Jill M. Brandenberger is a marine chemist at the Department of Energy, Pacific Northwest National Marine Sciences Laboratory in Sequim, WA. She manages programs focusing on the biogeochemical cycling of trace metals in marine and freshwater environments. Jill holds a B.S. in Marine Chemistry and M.S. in Environmental Chemistry from Texas A&M University. She has 20 years of experience in coastal research on water quality. Recent research programs focus on correlations between storm water loading of contaminants and land use classifications, watershed scale contaminant mass balances, contaminants in the food web, and evaluating historical trends in the Puget Sound to better project recovery and predict future trends.

Title: Evaluation of Conflict Interventions: Challenges and Solutions

Presenter(s): Bruce Hemmer, Research Analyst, U.S. Department of State Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Evaluation Training and Capacity Building Subcommittee and NOAA Central Library; POC: Monica.Montague@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this, so do this in advance. For remote access via webinar please fill out the Registration Form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=742656968&=brownbag a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360.

Abstract: Conducting evaluations in conflict environments presents challenges that are in some ways similar to those facing NOAA when evaluating responses to weather and water emergencies. Determining the effectiveness of conflict interventions can be confounded by complex, dynamic and often dangerous conditions on the ground, limiting the ability to collect data with with which to conduct a meaningful evaluation. These challenges can be met in several ways: preparing staff and institutions for the conditions they will encounter, employing remote or passive techniques of collecting data as needed, establishing robust baselines, conducting real-time or interim evaluation, process-tracing and building local evaluation capacity.

Bio(s): Bruce Hemmer is a Research Analyst at U.S. Department of State, Bureau of Conflict and Stabilization Operations. As part of the Office of Learning and Training of the Bureau of Conflict and Stabilization Operations, Bruce conducts conflict analyses, develops conflict analysis methodology, advises on engagement design, researches relevant topics for engagements, advises development of monitoring and evaluation of engagements, oversees or conducts independent evaluations, develops and implements bureau evaluation plans, identifies and communicates best practices, assists in development and delivery of training.

One NOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC Seminar Speaker Meng Xia, Department of Natural Sciences University of Maryland Eastern Shore POC Arun Chawia Arun.Chawla@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Web ex https://ncep-events.webex.com/ncep-events/onstage/g.php?MTID=e2a4e5f1c3f98772005a2d101820c623f Audio Access Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 992 134 086

Abstract: Using a Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM) and its wave model or FVCOM-SWAVE, the nearshore and coastal ocean dynamics at Lake Erie, Lake Michigan, Chesapeake Bay and Maryland Coastal Bays have been investigated. The structured and unstructured grid based wave models have been compared and unstructured model showed some advantages, and the low resolution and high resolution horizontal grid model were given comparison for both wave and circulation models. Finally how this wave-current interaction influence the water level, sediment transport and water quality were also given discussion form the above simulation. (Meng Xia, Department of Natural Sciences University of Maryland Eastern Shore) -------------------------------------------------------------------

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. Ralph Lorenz, Applied Physics Lab, John Hopkins University (affiliation) and Jane Doe (affiliation) Seminar sponsor: NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, Cooperative Institute for Limnology and Ecosystems Research

Remote Access: http://mconnex.adobeconnect.com/titan-9-24-14/event/event_info.html

Abstract: Oceanography is no longer just an Earth Science. The ongoing NASA/ESA Cassini mission - still making exciting discoveries 10 years after its arrival in the rich Saturnian system - has found that three seas of liquid hydrocarbons adorn Saturn's giant, frigid moon Titan. Titan was already exotic, having a thick, organic-rich atmosphere, and a diverse landscape with mountains, craters, river channels and vast fields of sand dunes, but these seas, and hundreds of lakes, present a new environment (low gravity, dense atmosphere, hydrocarbon liquid) in which to explore familiar and important physical processes such as air:sea heat and moisture exchange, wind-driven currents and waves, etc. Moreover, Titan's seas (notably the two largest ones, Kraken Mare and Ligiea Mare, about 1000km and 400km across, respectively) offer an appealing and accessible target for future Titan exploration. Seminar POC for questions: llubomud@umich.edu (734-763-5014) (Larissa Sano, Cooperative Institute for Limnology and Ecosystems Research

OneNOAA Science Seminars

Sponsor(s): SOARCE webinar series, NOAA NMS and OAP

Presenter(s): Alexis Bunten, The FrameWorks Institute

Title: "Recycling vs. Reducing CO2: How to Frame the Issue of Ocean Acidification" POC: Jenn Bennett-Mintz, jennifer.bennett@noaa.gov

Abstract: Did you ever wonder just what is in peoples' heads that causes them to reach the wrong conclusions (despite the provision of accurate information) about the environmental issues that affect our lives? This webinar shares the latest findings from cognitive research conducted by the FrameWorks Institute about how to communicate the issue of ocean acidification to the public. In this webinar, you will learn the widely shared cultural schemas that shape Americans' preconceived biases around the issue of ocean acidification. These pervasive patterns of thought, called cultural models, prevent Americans from understanding of the cause and solution to ocean acidification. Researchers at the FrameWorks Institute tested ways to best communicate ocean acidification to the public using explanation and metaphor. The results of FrameWorks rigorous descriptive and experimental research process will be presented along with opportunities to practice and ask questions. Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/525163738 After registering you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the Webinar.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Seminar

Title: Sea Ice Question Time

Presenter(s): Dr. Robert Grumbine, NOAA/NWS/ Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch Seminar

Sponsor(s): National Ocean Service Seminar Series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. You may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this. For AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# For WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com. Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf. meeting no: 744925156; NO passcode is required for web.

Abstract: Sea ice cover is changing rapidly at both poles.This likely leads to effects on ecosystems, which is a point for collaboration as the speaker is a physical scientist. This talk will start with a brief (~15 minute) survey of current state of knowledge regarding sea ice, and then move to its focus on questions from and discussion with the audience.

Bio(s): Robert Grumbine has been working on icy problems since the early 1980s, when he was studying continental ice sheets and ice ages. His work at NOAA/NWS since 1992 has included both sea ice remote sensing and sea ice modeling, both of which have connected to biological concerns -- including dead polar bear verification of his sea ice model.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): MMAB Branch meeting

Presenter(s): George Halliwell, NOAA/AOML POC: Hyun-Sook Kim Hyun.Sook.Kim@noaa.gov An idealized simulation of the ocean response to Hurricane Frances (2004) is compared to demonstrate observational analyses required to perform a physics-based evaluation of the ocean model response. Three factors must be considered in reducing ocean model uncertainties, specifically reducing errors in (1) ocean model initialization, (2) the surface momentum flux driving ocean currents, and (3) physics and truncation errors in the ocean model. Analyses are presented to illustrate how to identify ocean model errors after initialization and flux errors are accounted for.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): George Halliwell, NOAA/AOML

Title: OSSEs in Support of Improving Ocean Model Initialization for Coupled Hurricane Intensity Prediction POC: Hyun-Sook Kim Hyun.Sook.Kim@noaa.gov 1. Please join my meeting. https://global.gotomeeting.com/meeting/join/135992885 2. Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. United States: +1 (872) 240-3301 Access Code: 135-992-885 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID:135-992-885 Visit EMC facebook for any update http://bit.ly/EMC_facebook

Abstract: A new ocean Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) system has been set up in the tropical and subtropical Atlantic Ocean with the initial goal of determining the impact of existing and planned ocean observing systems on improving hurricane intensity forecasts. The capability of the system to provide credible impact assessments is demonstrated by comparing Observing System Experiments to OSSEs. Two types of OSSEs are being performed for the purpose of improving ocean model initialization in coupled hurricane forecast models: seasonal and storm-relative. Design characteristics of these OSSE types are presented along with a summary of early results during the 2009 hurricane season including Hurricane Bill. Future plans will be summarized.

NOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Geospatial Data Sharing and Collaborative Decision Making: Addressing Climate Resilience, Extreme Weather and National Preparedness

Presenter(s): Dave Jones, Founder and CEO, Applications Futurist, StormCenter Communications, Inc

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this, so do this in advance. For remote access via webinar please fill out the Registration Form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=742656968&=brownbag a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360.

One NOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): WPC Seminar

Presenter(s): Jack Settelmaier,NOAA/NWS/SRH/Science and Technology Services Division/Science and Training Branch

Title: NOAA's Become More Geospatial--ESRI Enterprise License Agreement (ELA) and You Contact: Mark Klein, Acting Science and Operations Officer, NCEP/Weather Prediction Center Remote participants: GoTo

Remote Access: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/826609225 Conference #: 1-866-763-1213, Passcode: 524234#

Abstract: This presentation will provide an overview of the ELA ("What is the NOAA/ESRI ELA, Where Can I Learn More, What Can I Do?") as well as share numerous visual examples of NWS datasets within web maps and services that Jack worked on as part of a Summer 2014 remote NRAP with WPC.

Presenter (s): Thomas Aulign NCAR, Earth System Laboratory Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division Date & Time: September 17, 2014, 2:00pm-3:00pm

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. Danielle Cholewiak, NOAA Northeast Fisheries Science Center, Woods Hole Seminar

Sponsor(s): Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) and NOAA Northeast Fisheries Science Center (NEFSC) Point of contact is michael.jech@noaa.gov Remote Access info: Time is Eastern Daylight Savings Teleconference line: 866-802-5322 (toll free) +1 517.600.4898 (toll; international callers) Participant code: 5050895 and/or Adobe Connect Meeting: https://noaast.adobeconnect.com/jwns-2/

Abstract: Passive acoustic monitoring is an essential tool for scientists and managers to better understand the distribution, abundance and ecology of marine species. This talk will highlight some of the current passive acoustic research at the NEFSC.

Bio(s): Dr. Danielle Cholewiak is a research scientist who specializes in using passive acoustic methods to study marine mammals.

NOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Ocean Obs and Ecological Forecasting Webinar Seminar Host is Allison Allen, Allison.Allen@noaa.gov and Point of Contact is Ellen Tyler, tyler@aoos.org Date/Time: Tuesday, Sept. 16, 2014, 1-4pm ET, 9am-12pm Alaska Daylight Time Location: 605 W 4th Ave, Federal Building, Room 552, Anchorage, AK or participate remotely " see login info below.

Remote Access: Webex Topic: Ecological Forecasting Webinar - Meeting Number 623 464 011. Meeting Password: roadmap To join the online meeting (Now from mobile devices!) Go to: https://aoos-nprb.webex.com/aoos-nprb/j.php MTID=mfb01fe4dd9c18cfff60163e296602f64 If requested, enter your name and email address. If a password is required, enter the password: roadmap. Click Join. To join audio, Dial 1-866-779-5968 and enter pin no. 1694 About the

Remote Access: NOAA is developing an Ecological Forecasting Roadmap and program manager Allison Allen will be in Anchorage on Tuesday Sept. 16 to hear from key researchers and stakeholders about existing efforts and needs across Alaska. Please join us in person or remotely (log-in info above) to hear the latest state of the science on Harmful Algal Blooms, pathogens and other environmental change. Discussion will focus on identifying priorities for developing operational tools in Alaska, scenario modeling, early warning systems and forecasts of marine events. We invite you to join us for lunch following the formal presentation for an opportunity to continue the conversation informally with Allison. Please RSVP to tyler@aoos.org by Sept 10. AGENDA What is the NOAA Ecological Forecasting Roadmap & what does it mean for Alaska? - Allison Allen HABs in the Ecological Forecasting Roadmap, Rick Stumpf State of the Science/ HAB Forecasts in Southeast and Southcentral AK, Kris Holderied Discussion: Is forecasting for HABs different in AK than elsewhere in the lower 48? If so, how can the roadmap be both inclusive and standardized? Pathogens in the Ecological Forecasting Roadmap, John Jacobs State of the science/ pathogen monitoring, TBD Discussion: When do you move from research and monitoring to developing a forecast and taking action? Species distribution and habitat change in the Ecological Forecasting Roadmap, Howard Townsend Invasive species and range changes"overview of trends and research in AK, Gary Freitag Downscaling climate projections and relevance through the food web, Nick Bond Discussion: How to prioritize ecological research and forecasting efforts? Brief overview of infrastructure in the roadmap, Chris Brown Final discussion and wrap-up The health of our coastal communities, economy, and ecosystems depend upon our understanding of complex and constantly changing conditions. Hazards such as pollution, extreme weather events, and climate variability are daily realities for the growing number of Americans who live in U.S. coastal shoreline counties. At NOAA, we're taking proactive steps to prepare for future conditions to help our nation become more resilient. " NOAA Ecological Forecasting Service __________________________________________________________ FAQs: What is an Ecological Forecast? An ecological forecast predicts changes in ecosystems and ecosystem components in response to an environmental driver such as climate variability, extreme weather conditions, pollution, or habitat change. It also provides information about how people, economies, and communities may be affected. Local authorities and members of the public use these early warnings to make decisions to protect the health and well-being of a particular area. - oceanservice.noaa.gov/ecoforecasting Where can I learn more about the NOAA Roadmap for Ecological Forecasting? www.oceanservice.noaa.gov/ecoforecasting

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Ocean Acidification and its potential affects on Alaska fisheries and communities.

Presenter(s): Dr. Jeremy Matthis, oceanographer at NOAA's Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory in Seattle, and the director of the University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries and Ocean Sciences Ocean Acidification Research Center.

Abstract: Dr. Matthis' research is quite unique in that it assesses the risk of ocean acidification to fisheries and the communities that depend on them. His research also involved a broad partnership with NOAA Fisheries, University of Alaska and other institutions

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar (unless specified otherwise below), please fill out the a href="http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=742656968&=brownbag registration form a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360.

Bio(s): Dr. Jeremy Matthis, oceanographer at NOAA's Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory in Seattle, and the director of the University of Alaska Fairbanks School of Fisheries and Ocean Sciences Ocean Acidification Research Center.

Each month, a speaker will give a presentation on various topics related to NGS programs, projects, products and services to educate constituents about NGS activities. Visit the Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/. Future webinars will be held on the second Thursday of every month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Julie Randall, Vice President of Programs, The WILD Foundation Where: Remote access only. To register, visit: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/760284472 Toll: +1 (626) 544-0058 Access Code: 187-687-735 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the Webinar Webinar ID: 760-284-472

Abstract: Marine Wilderness is a powerful vision of functional, healthy and resilient marine life that regenerates populations of wild species interconnected to form productive food webs. It also provides a picture of what wild nature looks like and does compared to places with more significant human impacts. The Marine Wilderness 10+10 Project is a collaborative effort of 10 partners led by The WILD Foundation to reverse marine life depletion and habitat decline by applying a science-based strategy to halt overfishing and destructive human use. For 20 sites around the world (a quarter in the United States), organized teams of stakeholders equipped with project tools and visuals will chart, assess, and act to expand and deepen protections that consider livelihood, cultural and recreational concerns while ensuring ecological needs are met. Through WILD's partnership with the International League of Conservation Photographers (iLCP), the project will help change public values concerning marine life toward an active constituency for marine wilderness. This webinar is co-sponsored by the NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center, OpenChannels.org, MPA News, and the EBM Tools Network. Seminar POC for questions: Lauren.Wenzel@noaa.gov NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center This webinar is co-sponsored by the NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center, EBM Tools Network, OpenChannels.org, and MPA News. http://marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/resources/webinars/

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory leadership and research scientists

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research " Office of Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes and the Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use PHONE & INTERNET. You may need to download MyMeetings files; you may need your system admin to do this, so please do it before the seminar. This meeting will be in broadcast mode only. All time for questions is reserved for the review panel to conduct their business. FOR AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-927-9227. Enter passcode 3977938# FOR WEBCAST: 1. Go to http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=741580571&p=PMELREVIEW&t=c 2. Enter the required fields. 3. Indicate that you have read the Privacy Policy. 4. Click on Proceed. Meeting Number: 741580571 Meeting Passcode: PMELREVIEW Meeting Host: MS LAUREN KOELLERMEIER

Abstract: The Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) periodically conducts laboratory science reviews to evaluate the quality, relevance, and performance of research conducted within each OAR laboratory and to provide strategic advice to the laboratory. As part of this process, the Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL) will be reviewed September 9-11, 2014, in Seattle, Washington. The review will examine the following research areas: (1) Climate; (2) Marine Ecosystems; (3) Oceans and Coastal Processes; and (4) Research Innovation. OAR and PMEL leadership will provide overviews of the programs, followed by sessions of presentations from scientists in each of the above research areas. The review agenda and supporting materials are posted on the PMEL Laboratory Review website: http://pmel.noaa.gov/2014-pmel-lab-review. Point of Contact: michael.uhart@noaa.gov

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): David Jackson

Remote Access: 1. Please join my meeting. https://global.gotomeeting.com/meeting/join/576807341 2. Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. United States: +1 (646) 749-3131 Access Code: 576-807-341 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID:576-807-341 Contact: Jun Wang Visit EMC facebook for any update http://bit.ly/EMC_facebook

NOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Dr. Marie DeLorenzo, NOAA/NOS/NCCOS/CCEHBR, Estuaries & Land Use Branch

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; Seminar coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this, so do this in advance. Audio: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# Webcast: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting number: 744925156; NO PASSCODE is required for the webinar.

Abstract: Pesticides enter estuaries via runoff and aerial drift from applications to crops, turf grass, and home lawns; aerial drift and overspray from mosquito control operations; and by leaching from antifoulant paints. Regulatory testing is used in pesticide risk assessment to determine safe thresholds of chemicals, and it is conducted under standard conditions. Environmental conditions are variable, particularly in estuaries, and may be affected by climate change. Predicted increases in water temperature and rising sea level may result is an increase in estuarine salinity. Hypoxia events may become more spatially and temporally extensive and rising atmospheric carbon dioxide may lead to ocean acidification, or a decrease in pH. With these changing environmental factors, we expect the physiology of organisms to change in response. Since insect, weed and fungal pests thrive under warmer, wetter conditions, there may be an increase in pesticide applications. Climate change may lead to increased pesticide run-off due to higher precipitation levels and may affect the distribution of chemical contaminants in the coastal zone. To assess how changes in climate will affect estuarine organism response to pollution, we compared pesticide toxicity under elevated temperature and salinity, and lower dissolved oxygen and pH conditions to those of standard testing conditions with phytoplankton, clams, and adult and larval grass shrimp. We found that pesticides were generally more toxic under climate stress conditions, but the extent and direction of toxicity change depended on the specific pesticide, species, and life stage involved. To improve risk assessment of pesticides in estuarine environments it is essential to consider toxicity in relation to climate change and land use change. By expanding toxicity testing conditions, we may be better posed to protect sensitive estuarine ecosystems.

Bio(s): Dr. Marie DeLorenzo is a research ecologist with the NOAA, National Ocean Service, Center for Coastal Environmental Health and Biomolecular Research (CCEHBR) laboratory in Charleston, SC, where she has worked for 16 years. Dr. DeLorenzo received a B.S. in Environmental Resource Management with a minor in Marine Science from Penn State University, followed by a M.S. degree in Ecology from Penn State. She earned her Ph.D. at Clemson University in Environmental Toxicology. Within the CCEHBR laboratory's Estuaries and Land Use Branch, Marie is the Program Lead of the Environmental Physiology and Microbiology Program. Dr. DeLorenzo serves on the graduate faculty at the College of Charleston in the Marine Biology master's program and the Environmental Studies master's program. She is also a member of the graduate faculty at the Medical University of South Carolina in the Marine Biomedicine and Environmental Sciences Ph.D. program and Florida A&M University's School of the Environment. She has mentored 24 undergraduate and 26 graduate student researchers, and has published 45 scientific journal articles and book chapters. Dr. DeLorenzo has served as president of the Carolinas Chapter of the Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry. She has also served as president of the Southeastern Estuarine Research Society and as board member of the Coastal and Estuarine Research Federation. Dr. DeLorenzo's research at NOAA includes environmental toxicology of estuarine species, physiological mechanisms of contaminant effects, climate change and multi-stressor assessments, and coastal resource management.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory leadership and research scientists

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research " Office of Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes and the Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use PHONE & INTERNET. You may need to download MyMeetings files; you may need your system admin to do this, so please do it before the seminar. This meeting will be in broadcast mode only. All time for questions is reserved for the review panel to conduct their business. FOR AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-927-9227. Enter passcode 3977938# FOR WEBCAST: 1. Go to http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=741580571&p=PMELREVIEW&t=c 2. Enter the required fields. 3. Indicate that you have read the Privacy Policy. 4. Click on Proceed. Meeting Number: 741580571 Meeting Passcode: PMELREVIEW Meeting Host: MS LAUREN KOELLERMEIER

Abstract: The Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) periodically conducts laboratory science reviews to evaluate the quality, relevance, and performance of research conducted within each OAR laboratory and to provide strategic advice to the laboratory. As part of this process, the Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL) will be reviewed September 9-11, 2014, in Seattle, Washington. The review will examine the following research areas: (1) Climate; (2) Marine Ecosystems; (3) Oceans and Coastal Processes; and (4) Research Innovation. OAR and PMEL leadership will provide overviews of the programs, followed by sessions of presentations from scientists in each of the above research areas. The review agenda and supporting materials are posted on the PMEL Laboratory Review website: http://pmel.noaa.gov/2014-pmel-lab-review. Point of Contact: michael.uhart@noaa.gov

Tropical Cyclones: Predictions and Projections Virtual access recommended (see event description for details). Limited seating in SSMC3, 12th floor fishbowl. OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Tropical Cyclones: Predictions and Projections

Presenter(s): Shian-Jiann Lin (NOAA GFDL), Kerry Emanuel (MIT), Suzana Camargo (Columbia University) Seminar sponsor: OAR, CPO, MAPP Program Seminar POC for questions: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov When: Tuesday, September 9, 2-3 p.m. Eastern Time Where: Remote access suggested, but some seats available in NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th floor fishbowl

Remote Access: WebEx: https://cpomapp.webex.com/cpomapp/onstage/g.php?t=a&d=620601470 Passcode: 20910 Call-in information will pop up on-screen once you have logged into WebEx Abstracts: SJ Lin: Recent advancement in high-resolution climate modeling, in particular, the dramatic improvement in the simulations of hurricane and Madden-Julian Oscillations within global climate models has motivated us to explore the feasibility of using climate models for extended-range (from 1-week to 4-week) weather predictions in general, and hurricane predictions in particular. We will use two recent high-impact tropical cyclones, Hurricane Sandy and Typhoon Haiyan, as case studies. We will show that, despite lacking a state-of-the-art data assimilation system, the genesis of these intense tropical cyclones, can be skillfully predicted weeks in advance using GFDL's high-resolution climate modeling systems. Kerry Emanuel: We rely mostly on global climate models to simulate future climate states. But the horizontal resolution of such models is insufficient to resolve the important inner cores of tropical cyclones, and there is some question whether they adequately resolve the disturbances that serve to trigger such storms. One way to deal with the first issue is to embed in the larger scale model a detailed, high resolution tropical cyclone model, driven by the large-scale conditions generated by the climate model. In my talk, I will briefly describe the technique and then show the results of applying it to the current and to future projected climate states. Suzana Camargo: In this talk we'll discuss recent results on tropical cyclone projections. First, we will show the our analysis of future changes of North Atlantic potential intensity (PI) in the historical and future multi-model CMIP5 simulations using a signal-to-noise (S/N) maximizing empirical orthogonal function (EOF), as described in Ting et al. 2014. We will show that by the mid-21st century under both rcp4.5 and rcp8.5 scenarios, the anthropogenically induced warming would put the North Atlantic PI largely above the historical mean, even considering multi-decadal natural variability. During the historical period, both aerosols and greenhouse gases contribute to forced changes in PI. The decrease in PI caused by aerosol forcing and the increase due to greenhouse gas forcing largely canceled each other, and the sharp increase in PI in the recent 30 years was dominated by the multi-decadal natural variability. We will also discuss the projected changes in the length of tropical cyclone season, which were obtained in Dwyer et al. 2014. We considered 2 sets of simulations: (i) high-resolution climate model (HiRAM) forced with SST anomalies from the CMIP3 and CMIP5 models and (ii) dynamical downscaling of the CMIP3 and CMIP5 model outputs that generates synthetic TC tracks. We measured season length using 3 different metrics. While the HiRAM model projects shorter seasons in most basins, the CMIP5 downscaling projects longer seasons. The changes in the length of TC season by basin can be largely explained by the annual mean TC frequency changes in each basin. Furthermore, while in most cases there is a projection for a timing shift of the TC annual cycle to later in the year in the North Atlantic, in the western North Pacific, the projections are opposite, i.e. a shift towards earlier in the year.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Terry Johnson, Alaska Sea Grant Marine Advisory Program

Abstract: The Norton Sound village of Shaktoolik faces serious threats of erosion and flooding resulting from climate change. University of Alaska Sea Grant agent Terry Johnson and consultant Glenn Gray worked with the community over a two-year period to develop an adaptation plan. The community-driven plan positions Shaktoolik to work with Alaska's Division of Community and Rural Affairs to begin implementation, with funding through the Alaska Climate Change Impact Mitigation Program. Johnson explains how the plan was developed and how reality differs from theory in climate adaptation planning. POC: tmbuxbaum@alaska.edu WEBINAR: https://accap.uaf.edu/?q=webinars

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Robert Glazer, Associate Research Scientist, Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, Fish and Wildlife Research Institute, Marathon, FL bob.glazer@myfwc.com Dr. Michael Flaxman, Geodesign Technologies, Inc., San Francisco, CA mflaxman@geodesigntech.com Dr. Juan Carlos Vargas, GeoAdaptive, LLC. Boston, MA jcvargas@geoadaptive.com Seminar sponsor: NOAA Fisheries Service, Office of Science and Technology Seminar POC for questions: roger.b.griffis@noaa.gov (301-980-4694) Seminar sponsor: NOAA Fisheries Service, Office of Science and Technology

Remote Access: Webex Event address for attendees: https://noaaevents2.webex.com/noaaevents2/onstage/g.php?d=992894208&t=a ------------------------------------------------------- Teleconference information ------------------------------------------------------- Dial-In #: 1-888-577-899 Participant passcode: 8741214

Abstract: In times of change, learners inherit the earth, while the learned find themselves beautifully equipped to deal with a world that no longer exists. --- Eric Hoffer If there is one word that best describes the future that awaits us, it is likely 'uncertainty'. Yet, how we approach uncertainty can, in itself, help reduce that very unpredictability. One approach, adopted by such diverse groups as the U.S. military, oil exploration companies, and the National Park Service, is the application of 'alternative futures scenario planning'. Using this methodology, a suite of alternative futures is envisioned based upon, for example, the range of economic, political, social, and environmental conditions that may occur at a predetermined time in the future. In a pilot project, we applied this approach to envision a future Florida Keys marine and coastal environment under varying climate change scenarios. We examined three habitats (beaches, mangroves, and coral reefs) and three marine species (Goliath grouper, loggerhead turtles, and spiny lobsters) to develop adaptation strategies associated with a range of possible climate futures. In a workshop, managers identified the scenarios they felt were most valuable to consider. Within these scenarios, we modeled habitat changes including sea level rise using SLAMM under IPCC AR4 scenarios, and sea surface temperatures using the NOAA developed Modular Ocean Model (MOM) in corresponding AR5 scenarios. The effects were then modeled to anticipate future species distribution and stress profiles in a spatially explicit framework. The outputs of the models were validated in subsequent workshops with scientists. The resource managers were reconvened to interpret the results in a management context and to develop possible adaptation strategies for the habitats and species under each scenario. Resource monitoring programs were associated with each adaptation strategy and triggerpoints were further identified that inform when to actuate the strategy. This approach has become useful as a method to visualize the future status of resources, develop strategies that may not otherwise be obvious, and tie specific and measurable monitoring methods to specific strategies. We discuss the value of this approach, the scientific methodologies, the structure of the workshops, and how the lessons learned will be applied in future marine projects.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory leadership and research scientists

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research " Office of Laboratories and Cooperative Institutes and the Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use PHONE & INTERNET. You may need to download MyMeetings files; you may need your system admin to do this, so please do it before the seminar. This meeting will be in broadcast mode only. All time for questions is reserved for the review panel to conduct their business. FOR AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-927-9227. Enter passcode 3977938# FOR WEBCAST: 1. Go to http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=741580571&p=PMELREVIEW&t=c 2. Enter the required fields. 3. Indicate that you have read the Privacy Policy. 4. Click on Proceed. Meeting Number: 741580571 Meeting Passcode: PMELREVIEW Meeting Host: MS LAUREN KOELLERMEIER

Abstract: The Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) periodically conducts laboratory science reviews to evaluate the quality, relevance, and performance of research conducted within each OAR laboratory and to provide strategic advice to the laboratory. As part of this process, the Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory (PMEL) will be reviewed September 9-11, 2014, in Seattle, Washington. The review will examine the following research areas: (1) Climate; (2) Marine Ecosystems; (3) Oceans and Coastal Processes; and (4) Research Innovation. OAR and PMEL leadership will provide overviews of the programs, followed by sessions of presentations from scientists in each of the above research areas. The review agenda and supporting materials are posted on the PMEL Laboratory Review website: http://pmel.noaa.gov/2014-pmel-lab-review. Point of Contact: michael.uhart@noaa.gov

OneNOAA Science Seminar Sponsor EMC Seminar Speaker Ake Johansson, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) Norrkping, Sweden POC Suru Saha suranjana.saha@noaa.gov Presentation: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/seminars/presentations/2014/Johansson_EMC.Seminar.AJ.pptx

Abstract: The relationship between spread and skill is an important indicator of the quality of an ensemble prediction system (EPS). When the commonly used spread-skill condition is used to quantify whether an EPS is under- or over-dispersive, there has historically been a clear bias towards under-dispersiveness. Arguments are given that suggests that an alternative to the commonly used spread-skill condition is needed to properly address the true relationship between spread and skill. Such a relationship is derived and given the name U2I spread-skill condition. Its properties are described both analytically and geometrically and the relationship to the commonly used condition is demonstrated and discussed. It is argued that it would provide not only a more appropriate and sharper tool to assess the spread-skill relationship, but also that it indicates how to improve upon the present design of an EPS. In particular, the presently prevalent practice of centering the perturbed ensemble members around the control analysis is shown to be substantially detrimental to the performance of an EPS and therefore should be replaced by a methodology that constructs equally likely ensemble members with the same quality as the control member. A recent experiment with a limited area ensemble prediction system is used to quantify the differences in perceived quality that is obtained by employing the two different spread-skill conditions. The differences are found to be substantial.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Sponsor EMC Seminar Speaker Dr. Sergio Abarca, Naval Postgraduate School. POC: Malaquias Mendez Malaquias.Pena.Mendez@noaa.gov Presentation http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/seminars/presentations/2014/Abarca_2014-09-EMC.pptx Visit EMC facebook and EMC seminar for any update http://bit.ly/EMC_facebook http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/seminars/index.html

Abstract: Secondary eyewall formation (SEF) is widely recognized as an important research problem in the dynamics of mature tropical cyclones, but as of yet there is not a consensus on the phenomenon's fundamental physics. Recent research suggests that, from a system scale perspective, both balanced and unbalanced dynamics play an important role in SEF. However, there is no complete quantification of the extent to which the evolution of the fields during SEF deviate from those diagnosed assuming balanced dynamics. To address this question, we solve the Eliassen balanced equation using the vortex structure and forcing functions (diabatic heating rate and tangential momentum source) diagnosed from convection-permitting models undergoing SEF. The resulting secondary circulation and tangential wind tendency is compared with the azimuthal averages of the three-dimensional simulations. In this presentation, we show such comparisons and describe to what extent, and in which parts of the storm, the evolution of azimuthally- averaged fields departs from balanced dynamics.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Richard L. Thoman (NWS AR Climate Science and Services Manager) Seminar sponsor: NOAA NWS, OCWWS, Climate Services Division Seminar POC for questions: Judy.Koepsell@noaa.gov

Abstract: In March 2013 NWS Alaska region created a Climate Science and Services position, and since then, the Alaska region has focused on developing climate services for Alaska that strive to meet the present day needs of the agency and Alaskans. Like the rest of the Nation, Alaska has become increasingly sensitive to the weather and other environmental hazards. In particular, weather, water, and ice conditions play a central role in operations and daily life in Alaska, and the climate is an ever-present concern. With a forecast area of responsibility almost one third that of the lower 48 states, and with dozens of isolated communities and a limited infrastructure, the need for baseline climate information and weekly-to-seasonal-scaled forecasts are more important than ever. In this presentation we'll explore some of the products and services Alaska Region Climate Services provides to a wide variety of users, including NWS forecasters; academia; local, state, and federal agencies; and private partners. These products and services are all geared toward providing decision support services and enabling Alaska to be an active part of our Weather Ready Nation. About the speaker: Richard L. Thoman, Jr., has a BS degree in meteorology from Penn State University and an MA degree in Linguistics and Alaska Native Languages from the University of Alaska Fairbanks. Richard has worked for the National Weather Service since 1988, first at Nome, Alaska, and since 1990, at Fairbanks, Alaska. He is currently the Alaska Region's Climate Science and Services Manager.Free text

Remote Access: Register at: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/195689673 (Richard L. Thoman

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Thomas Adam (Florida International University) Seminar sponsor: NOAA Coral Reef Conservation Program

Remote Access: GoToWebinar 1. Click this link to start or to join the

Remote Access: https://www4.gotomeeting.com/register/291519847 2. Choose one of the following audio options: a. TO USE YOUR COMPUTER'S AUDIO: When the Webinar begins, you will be connected to audio using your computer's microphone and speakers (VoIP). A headset is recommended. b. TO USE YOUR TELEPHONE: If you prefer to use your phone, you must select Use Telephone after joining the Webinar and call in using the numbers below. Toll: +1 (415) 655-0055 Access Code: 883-410-938 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting

Abstract: In recent decades, many coral reefs throughout the Caribbean have experienced large and persistent declines in corals and increases in algae. Herbivorous fishes and sea urchins can prevent the establishment and proliferation of algae that impede coral recruitment and negatively impact the growth and survivorship of adult corals, and the loss of key herbivores has been implicated as a primary factor preventing coral recovery on Caribbean reefs. I will briefly review the evidence that increases in herbivory promote coral recovery on Caribbean reefs and discuss contingencies that will modify the ability of herbivores to control algae and facilitate coral persistence and recovery. Discussion will be focused around three main topics: 1) the potential for feedbacks to slow or prevent coral recovery, 2) the extent that herbivore identity and diversity influence the ability of an herbivore assemblage to control algae and maintain habitat suitable for coral settlement and growth, and 3) spatial variation in the biological and physical factors that impact herbivore, algae, and coral distributions. Finally, I will conclude by discussing how knowledge of each these factors can facilitate management and by suggesting fruitful avenues for future research. Seminar POC for questions: tauna.rankin@noaa.gov

NOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Machuan Peng, Ph.D, NOAA/NOS/Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; coordinator is tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeetings files, and your system admin. may need to do this, so do this in advance. AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conf. number: 744925156; No web passcode is required.

Abstract: San Francisco Bay Operational Forecast System (SFBOFS) has been recently developed and implemented to support Center for Operational Products and Services Physical Oceanographic Real Time System. This forecast system was developed with the Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM) as its backbone. The model has shown its high stability since it initiated the operational run. Model skill assessment indicates that most statistical parameters of the water level, currents, water temperature and salinity pass the National Ocean Service's corresponding skill assessment criteria. By comparison, salinity has more room to be improved.

Bio(s): Machuan Peng, Ph.D had been a research associate and a research assistant professor for many years at North Carolina State University before he moved to NOAA/CSDL as a UCAR visiting scientist. He became a physical scientist at CO-OPS in 2012. His former research focused on hurricane-related storm surge and inundation modeling. Now he is working as a coastal hydrodynamic modeler for NOS's Operational Forecast System.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Sponsor CPC/EMC Seminar Visit EMC facebook for any update http://bit.ly/EMC_facebook

Presenter(s): Philip Lorenz and Klaus Knuepffer, Meteo Service, Germany POC: David Unger David.Unger@noaa.gov Remote Access by WebEx https://ncep-events.webex.com/ncep-events/onstage/g.php?MTID=e355fabe99681a308f28cd49d48b7654b Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 997 856 122 Abstract Weather forecasting contests are an efficient tool to prove the skills of forecasters and forecasting algorithms. The results provide real-time comparative verification response immediately after the observations are present. The Berlin Weather Forecasting Contest (www.wetterturnier.de) is running for more than 14 years now: Each Friday more than 100 participants make their forecasts for 12 weather elements for Saturday and Sunday for 5 locations in Germany, Austria and Switzerland. The German National Weather Service (Deutscher Wetterdienst) and the most important private weather forecasting companies in the area take part in the contest as well as enthusiastic individuals (from amateurs to professionals) as well as more than 10 different MOS forecasts - from different MOS developers, based on different models. Verification of the results allows interesting insights regarding - the performance of different numerical models as basis for MOS - the performance of MOS of different providers and - the positive effect of mixing of two or more Models in a MOS-Mix. - the performance of human and machine forecasts. MOS-Mix forecasts are typically ahead of the single-model MOS forecasts, and only a few forecasters are able to score better than the best MOS-Mix forecasts which are available to them a few hours before deadline (Friday 15 UTC). Participation is free for anyone. It could be interesting to see a NWS-MOS system participating or, if a similar contest would be running in the US, to take part with our MOS forecasts in this.

RESCHEDULED from 7/29: OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Tony Marshak (2014 Knauss Sea Grant Fellow/Office of Science and Technology, NOAA Fisheries) Seminar sponsor: 2014 Knauss Fellows Brown Bag Seminar Series Remote access is available: FOR AUDIO in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. FOR WEBCAST: For remote access via webinar, please fill out the registration form at the website below a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the passcode is brownbag. https://www.mymeetings.com/emeet/join/index.jsp?customHeader=mymeetings&netId=742656968&netPass=&netType=conference&acceptTerms=on&sigKey=mymeetings

Abstract: Large and apparently unprecedented increases in the abundance of juvenile gray (Lutjanus griseus) and lane snapper (L. synagris) within northern Gulf of Mexico (nGOM) seagrasses have been recently documented. Although previously occurring infrequently within the nGOM, their increased abundance coincides with regional warming trends, and may result in higher offshore presence. Additionally, recent invasion by the Indo-Pacific red lionfish (Pterois volitans) into nGOM offshore habitats has been documented. Increases in tropically-associated confamilials, and invasive lionfish, could result in pronounced competitive interactions with nGOM reef fishes, such as juvenile red snapper (L. campechanus), and cause shifts in the species composition of offshore fish assemblages. We experimentally investigated the intensity of these interactions between increasingly abundant tropical snapper species, red lionfish, and indigenous members of the nGOM reef fish community. Compared to tropical counterparts, red snapper demonstrated increased roving behavior, aggression, and predatory activity, suggesting greater ability to exploitatively outcompete lower latitude snappers. However, lionfish were significantly more active than red snapper and range-shifting reef fishes, suggesting their potential to competitively displace nGOM fish species. Our findings contribute to the assessment of the potential impacts of warming-related species shifts and marine invasions upon the nGOM reef-associated fish community. Seminar POC for questions: tony.marshak@noaa.gov

NOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Safety Assessment of Subsistence Seafood in Kachemak Bay, Alaska

Presenter(s): Dennis Apeti, Ph.D., National Status & Trends Program of NOAA/NOS/NCCOS/CCMA/COAST

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series and NCCOS; point of contact: Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone and internet. If you have not used MyMeetings, you must download files; you may need your system admin to do this for you. Dial Toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# Webcast URL: Go to www.mymeetings.com and under "Participant Join", click on "Join an Event". Then enter meeting number 744925156 along with your name, email, etc

Abstract: In Alaska, subsistence activities are a large part of traditional culture, as well as a means of providing protein for Tribal members. However, fish and wildlife resources commonly used for subsistence food are not routinely monitored for persistent bioaccumulative contaminants and pathogens. Since the Exxon Valdez oil spill, Tribes in south-central Alaska have been concerned about contamination in their subsistence seafood. We have assessed the overall health condition (contamination levels and histopathology) of two species of salmon (chum and sockeye) and shellfish (softshell clams and cockles) commonly used for subsistence food by Native Alaskan Tribes of Nanwalek, Port Graham and Seldovia. The project combined partners from the Chugach Regional Resources Commission, North Pacific Research Board, local tribal organizations, NOAA's Northwest Fishery Science Center, and NOAA's National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science. While a major finding is that the fish and shellfish are healthy with very low incidences of diseases, parasite infection and contamination, the mere presence of the synthetic contaminants at detectable levels in the tissues suggested some exposure from remote sources. Chemistry and histopathology data from this study represent useful information for concerned native community members and state coastal resource managers in Alaska. The data from this study were georeferenced and incorporated into the NCCOS National Status and Trends Data Portal and are available to the public.

Bio(s): Dennis Apeti has been with the NCCOS COAST-NS&T team conducting coastal pollution assessments and monitoring since 2005. Dennis earned a BS degree in Natural Science from the University of Benin, Togo; a BS in chemistry from Florida Atlantic University, Boca Raton, Florida; and an MS and Ph.D. in environment science from Florida A&M University, Tallahassee, Florida.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Jordan Gerth, The Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies

Remote Access: POC: Jacob Carley jacob.carley@noaa.gov

Abstract: Of all of the standard meteorological parameters collected and observed daily, sky cover is not only one of the most complex, but the one that is fairly ambiguously defined and difficult to quantify. Despite that, the implications of how cloud fraction and sky cover are understood not only impact daily weather forecasts, but also present challenges to assessing the state of the earth's climate system. Part of the reason for this is the lack of observational methods for verifying the skill of clouds represented and parameterized in numerical models. While human observers record sky cover as part of routine duties, the spatial coverage of such observations in the United States is relatively sparse. There is greater spatial coverage of automated observations, and essentially complete coverage from geostationary weather satellites that observe the Americas. A good analysis of sky cover reconciles differences between manual observations, automated observations, and satellite observations, through an algorithm that accounts for the strengths and weaknesses of each dataset. This work describes the decision structure for trusting and weighting these similar observations. Some of the issues addressed include: human and instrument error resulting from approximations and estimations, a deficiency in high cloud detectability using surface-based ceilometers, poorly resolved low cloud using infrared channels on space-based radiometers during overnight hours, and decreased confidence in satellite-detected cloud during stray light periods.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Rick Thoman, National Weather Service & Jon Gottschalk, NOAA Climate Prediction Center OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): OneNOAA Science Seminar, ACCAP Alaska Climate Webinars

Abstract: Variations in the tropical Pacific ocean and atmosphere are an important contributor to seasonal weather and climate variability over large portions of the globe, including Alaska. The warm phase of this variation, El Nio, is favored to be in place for the the upcoming fall and winter seasons. We will review the current state of El Nio and expected development over the next several months and examine how variations in the tropical Pacific can effect high latitude regions such as Alaska. We finish up with a look at how past El Nio falls and winters have turned out and review the forecast for this coming cold season for Alaska. Seminar Remote Access and Notes: For further information and to register, see https://accap.uaf.edu/node/1155, or contact Tina Buxbaum (tmbuxbaum@alaska.edu)

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): Dr. C. Mark Eakin, NOAA Coral Reef Watch, 301-683-3320, Mark.Eakin@noaa.gov POC for questions: Gretchen Taylor, 301-683-3493, Gretchen.Taylor@noaa.gov

Presenter(s): Robert Mason, University of Queensland (School of Biological Sciences) and the Hawaii Institute of Marine Biology

Remote Access: Dial in: USA participants: 866-832-9297 International: 203-566-7610 Passcode: 6070416 WebEx: Event Number: 994 591 776 Event address for attendees: https://star-nesdis-noaa.webex.com/star-nesdis-noaa/onstage/g.php?d=994591776&t=a

Abstract: Coral bleaching, the expulsion of symbiotic dinoflagellates from corals during stress, threatens tropical coral reef ecosystems. The scientific consensus is that recent large-scale coral bleaching events (over the past three decades) are the result of elevated ocean temperature, frequently in combination with high irradiance. Together these factors cause photosynthetic dysfunction in the dinoflagellates within corals, leading to an inability to process excess incoming light energy and a subsequent build-up of photoinduced toxins in both symbiotic partners. Real-time prediction methods for coral bleaching have utilized sea surface temperatures detected by satellite-mounted radiometers, but until recently have not incorporated irradiance. In addition, the thresholds used by real-time bleaching prediction algorithms are based on correlations of thermal events with field-observed bleaching patterns rather than on physiological experimentation. In this talk I will present experimental work to quantify the relationships between light, temperature, bleaching severity and the timing of bleaching onset in three species of corals from the Great Barrier Reef. I will discuss how these data, and physiological experiments broadly, can be used to inform the development of remote sensing algorithms for the prediction of coral bleaching. (Robert Mason, University of Queensland

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Corey Guastini, SUNY Albany

Remote Access: 1. Please join my meeting. https://global.gotomeeting.com/meeting/join/977333021 2. Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. United States: +1 (312) 757-3121 Access Code: 977-333-021 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID:977-333-021 POC: David DeWitt David.DeWitt@noaa.gov Visit EMC facebook and seminar website for any update http://bit.ly/EMC_facebook http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/seminars/index.html Abstract http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/seminars/abstract.2014/Guastini.html Progressive derechos are severe mesoscale convective systems that often form during the warm season (May"August) in benign synoptic environments east of the Rocky Mountains and cause, by definition, straight-line wind damage along paths upwards of 400 km long. This presentation will expand upon existing derecho climatologies with a warm season, 1996"2013 progressive derecho climatology highlighting spatial and temporal frequencies of progressive derechos over the 18-year span. The presentation will also include results from the application of a subjective, seven-category classification scheme for progressive derecho synoptic initiation environments including derecho-relative composites of fields pertinent to progressive derecho formation. Finally, case studies will be presented of two progressive derechos on opposite ends of the progressive derecho formation spectrum, one forming on the evening of 12 June 2013 ahead of a well defined upper-level trough and surface cyclone, and the other along a weak, east-west oriented surface boundary on the morning of 29 June 2012 in the absence of substantial large-scale forcing for ascent. Maintenance and demise of the two derechos will be linked to the distinct synoptic classes they represent.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): WPC seminar

Presenter(s): Brian Cosgrove (NOAA/NWS/OHD) Abstract http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/seminars/abstract.2014/Flash_flood_verification_Cosgrove.pdf

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Remote Access: Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/833709130 After registering you will receive a confirmation email containing information about joining the Webinar.

Presenter(s): David Halpern, US Member of the WOA Bureau Bonnie Ponwith, Co-Chair of the WOA Wider Caribbean Region Workshop Andrew Rosenberg, US Member of the WOA Group of Experts Richard Spinrad, NOAA Chief Scientist Elizabeth Tirpak, Chair of the WOA Review Coordination Team ABSTRACT The United Nations has embarked on a regular process for global reporting and assessment of the state of the marine environment, including socioeconomic aspects, the product of which is called the World Ocean Assessment (WOA). Similar to other global assessments, the WOA is created by State-nominated experts using published literature, and it will be generated every five years in order to document trends in the state of the marine environment and socioeconomic aspects. The United States has been involved with the design and production of the first WOA since its origins at the 2002 World Summit on Sustainable Development. Thus far, over 240 American experts have volunteered their time and expertise; additional experts are needed and encouraged to participate in this and subsequent WOAs. Experts are invited now to contribute to the U.S. Government review of the first WOA, to be conducted in September; see https://federalregister.gov/a/2014-13224 for details. Through this webinar, NOAA leadership, American scientists involved in the first WOA, and U.S. policy experts will provide further background on the origins, rationale, methodology, and anticipated results of the first WOA. Q&A will follow the presentation. REFERENCES WOA Website " www.WorldOceanAssessment.org WOA Workshop for the Wider Caribbean (Miami, Nov 2012) - www.WOAwcr.org Call for Reviewers of the First WOA - https://federalregister.gov/a/2014-13224 POC: alan.lowther@noaa.gov, denise.hill@noaa.gov

NOAA Science Seminar Series NOAA ESRL CSD Seminar, POC: carsten.warneke@noaa.gov

Presenter(s): Jhoon Kim, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seoul, Korea To view this seminar remotely, reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/905183298 Abstract GEO-KOMPSAT is a geostationary program of the Korea Aerospace Research Institute(KARI)'s Korea Multi-Purpose SATellite(KOMPSAT) to observe atmosphere and ocean. GEO-KOMPSAT-1, also known as COMS(Communication, Oceanography and Meteorology Satellite) was launched in June 27, 2010, with conventional 5-channel MI(Meteorological Imager) and 8-channel GOCI(Geostationary Ocean Color Imager). GOCI is the first ocean color imager in geostationary orbit, with the spatial resolution of 500 m. These two instruments have provided information on aerosol in high temporal and spatial resolution over East Asia in terms of optical depth, size and type classification. Algorithm uses clear-sky composite to estimate surface reflectance, and takes dynamic aerosol model and nonsphericity into consideration. GEO-KOMPSAT-2 is planned for launch in 2018 as twin satellites, 2A as weather and 2B as atmospheric environment and ocean satellite, with a 16-channel AMI(Advanced Meteorological Imager), a UV-Visible scanning spectrometer, GEMS(Geostationary Environment Spectrometer), and GOCI-2 (Geostationary Ocean Color Imager-2). GEMS measures ozone, aerosol and their precursors including NO2, and SO2. Synchronous measurements of atmospheric composition together with the meteorological variables and ocean color information are expected to contribute to better understanding on the distribution and transboundary transportation of air pollution, and on interactions between meteorology and air chemistry in the Asia-Pacific region. This mission is expected to improve the accuracy of air quality forecasting and reduce current discrepancy between the model and observation. Furthermore, the constellation of the GeoKOMPSAT with the NASA Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollutions(TEMPO) over North America and the ESA Senteniel-4 UV-Visible-NIR(UVN) spectrometer over Europe in 2017- 2020 time frame can result in great synergistic outcomes including enhancing significantly our understanding in globalization of tropospheric pollution. All Seminar attendees agree not to cite, quote, copy, or distribute = material presented without the explicit written consent of the seminar = presenter. Any opinions expressed in this seminar are those of the = speaker alone and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of NOAA or = ESRL CSD. Visitor Information All seminar attendees, including pedestrians and bike riders, are = required to check in at the Visitor Center of the Boulder Department of = Commerce facilities to receive a visitor badge. Seminar attendees need = to present a valid photo ID (revised July 2014, only certain forms of = identification will be acceptable for entry to NOAA facilities) and = mention the seminar title or the speaker's name to obtain a visitor = badge. If security personnel ask for a point of contact please use Barbara = Ervens (x 4396), Carsten Warneke (x3601), Jane August (x4165) or Jeanne = Waters

NOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Taking the Temperature of Urban Streams

Presenter(s): Kayleigh Somers, Ph.D., Pacific States Marine Fisheries Assn

Sponsor(s): NOS Seminar Series; point of contact is Tracy.Gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet. At first you may need to download MyMeetings files. AUDIO: Dial toll-free U.S.1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", add conf. meeting no: 744925156; no code required

Abstract: Cities comprise 52% of the Earth's land surface, with this number expected to continue to grow over the next four decades. These urban areas necessarily concentrate food, energy, and construction materials, and as a result tend to be hotter and more polluted than the surrounding landscape. All urban ecosystems are thus quite altered from their pre-urban state, but urban streams are particularly impacted. As low lying points on the landscape, streams are subject to degradation caused by urban stormwaters, which are transmitted rapidly from the surfaces of pavements, roofs, and lawns through stormwater infrastructure to streams. Runoff scours and incises channels while flooding the system with large amounts of contaminants and nutrients, and, the focus of this talk, heat surges. At baseflow, streams are contaminated by sanitary sewage leakages and are warmer due to canopy loss and urban heat island effects. These thermal changes at both baseflow and stormflow can alter ecosystem processes and basic morphological features of biota, such as size and growth rates. This seminar will explore the timing, magnitude, and pattern of temperature changes in urban streams, with the goal of understanding which aspects of watershed development most strongly influence the thermal regimes of streams.

Bio(s): Kayleigh Somers completed her doctoral degree in May 2013 at Duke University, in the University Program in Ecology, with co-advisors Drs. Emily Bernhardt and Dean Urban. Her research focused on the effects of urbanization on stream ecosystems, exploring the connections between development and changes in the thermal regimes of streams. Currently, Kayleigh is exploring the world of marine fisheries management as a Data Analyst for the Pacific States Marine Fisheries Association in conjunction with NOAA's Fisheries Observation Science Program.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Lynne Barre, NOAA-NMFS WCR Seminar sponsor: NOAA NMFS, Office of Protected Resources Seminar POC for questions: lisa.white@noaa.gov

Abstract: Southern Resident killer whales are an icon of the Pacific Northwest and were listed under the Endangered Species Act in 2005. These endangered whales face multiple threats that are challenging to understand and address- Do they have enough salmon to eat? How are high contaminant levels affecting their health? How do whales respond to vessels and sound? With a decade of focused effort on filling data gaps we have come a long way in our understanding and ability to protect this unique population. NOAA's recent ten year report details collaboration with the killer whale community and implementing protections to secured a strong foundation for recovering the whales, however, the population has not shown strong signs of recovery. In this presentation Lynne will provide an overview of the status of Southern Residents, share what we have learned about the threats facing the whales, highlight the conservation efforts underway, and identify some of the mysteries and challenges that still remain. The report and supporting videos, photos, and graphics are available at: http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/news/features/killer_whale_report/index.cfm About the speakers: Lynne Barre has a background in marine mammal research and first started working on killer whales in 2002 when she went to Seattle to help with the successful rescue and reintroduction of a Northern Resident killer whale calf know as Springer. She joined the West Coast Region in 2003 and has worked on the endangered listing of the Southern Resident killer whales, designated critical habitat, developed and finalized a Recovery Plan and is implementing actions to conserve and recover the whales. In addition to the killer whale program Lynne supports other aspects of the marine mammal program, such as helping coordinate the stranding network. Lynne also works on ESA-listed rockfish species and coordinates with Puget Sound salmon recovery efforts.

Remote Access: Topic: Brown Bag - 10 Year Anniversary Report on Southern Resident Killer Whale Research & Conservation Efforts Date and Time: Friday, August 15, 2014 12:00 pm, Eastern Daylight Time (New York, GMT-04:00) Event number: 396 618 868 Event password: NOAA Panelist password: The Event has no Panelist Password Host key: 958313 (Use this to reclaim host privileges.) Event address for attendees: https://noaaevents2.webex.com/noaaevents2/onstage/g.php?d=396618868&t=a Event address for panelists: https://noaaevents2.webex.com/noaaevents2/onstage/g.php?d=396618868&t=p ------------------------------------------------------- To start the online event ------------------------------------------------------- At least 30 minutes before the starting time: 1. Go to https://noaaevents2.webex.com/noaaevents2/onstage/g.php?d=396618868&t=h 2. Log in to your host account if you have not yet done so. 3. On the Event Information page that appears, click "Start Now". ------------------------------------------------------- Teleconference information ------------------------------------------------------- US TOLL: 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 396 618 868 http://www.webex.com IMPORTANT NOTICE: This WebEx service includes a feature that allows audio and any documents and other materials exchanged or viewed during the session to be recorded. You should inform all meeting attendees prior to recording if you intend to record the meeting. Please note that any such recordings may be subject to discovery in the event of litigation.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. Nicholas Bond, OAR/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA Seminar

Sponsor(s): National Weather Service/Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services (OCWWS)/Climate Services Division Seminar POC for questions: Judy.Koepsell@noaa.gov

Abstract: A seasonal ocean prediction system (J-SCOPE, JISAO's Seasonal Coastal Ocean Prediction of the Ecosystem) has been developed for the coastal waters of the Pacific Northwest, with funding provided by the NOAA FATE program. J-SCOPE has been designed to provide quantitative forecasts of physical, chemical and biological ocean properties under the auspices of the California Current Integrated Ecosystem Assessment (IEA). The goal has been to provide seasonal (six to nine month) predictions of ocean condition that are testable and relevant to management decisions for fisheries, protected species and ecosystem health components. The J-SCOPE forecasts are based on numerical ocean model simulations using a high-resolution (grid spacing ~1.5 km) version of the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) with a biochemical component that simulates nutrient and oxygen concentrations and plankton distributions. The initial and boundary conditions for the ROMS runs are from the Coupled Forecast System (CFS), which is a global coupled atmosphere-ocean model that is run operationally by NOAA/NCEP/CPC for use in seasonal weather prediction. The presentation will review some early results from J-SCOPE.

Bio(s): Nick Bond is a principal research scientist with the Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean (JISAO) of the University of Washington (UW) and also holds an appointment as an affiliate associate professor with the Department of Atmospheric Sciences at the UW. He is the State Climatologist for Washington. He has a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Sciences from the University of Washington. His research is on a broad range of topics with a focus on the weather and climate of the Pacific Northwest and the linkages between the climate and marine ecosystems of the North Pacific. He cheerfully admits to being a weather geek, as evidenced by his preference to visit Alaska in winter, and steamy places like Florida in summer.

Remote Access: This presentation will be given via Webinar only. Please register at: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/554280585

OneNOAA Science Seminar Short Description: Ocean for Life is an ocean science program for multicultural teens to discover marine science, conservation, cultural understanding and how the ocean connects us all. Learn about the profound impacts of this unique program through formative and long-term summative evaluation.

Sponsor(s): NOAA Office of National Marine Sanctuaries

Remote Access: This presentation will only be available remotely through GoToMeeting by using the following link: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/128208218 FOR AUDIO: We will be using VoIP (voice over internet protocol) for audio through the webinar. So simply sign in the webinar using the link above. If you have head phones or a head set, please plan to use them to connect to the audio.

Abstract: On September 11, 2001, three sixth-grade students, their teachers and two National Geographic staff boarded a flight in Washington, D.C., bound for a week of exploration and discovery in Channel Islands National Marine Sanctuary. They never reached California. American Airlines flight 77 was hijacked and hit the Pentagon at 9:37 a.m. In honor of the three young students and all of the lives lost on that significant day in our nation's history, an inspiring program emerged that promotes cultural understanding and acceptance in the context that we are one world connected by one ocean. This program " Ocean for Life " brings together Middle Eastern and North American high school students of diverse cultures and backgrounds to study ocean science, breaking down stereotypes and strengthening our global relationships. During summer 2013, 15 high school students from the Near East and North Africa region joined 15 students from the United States to participate in this international ocean science and cultural exchange program. The program is sculpted around three main themes: 1) sense of place, 2) interconnectedness, and 3) ocean conservation and stewardship. These students use America's national marine sanctuaries as living classrooms, where they discover how one ocean connects us all and how, by connecting to the ocean, we enrich our lives together. The 2013 Ocean for Life students gained a sense of place by learning about the temperate Pacific Ocean off the coast of California, the kelp forest ecosystem and the marine life found within our local waters. Students participated in several stewardship activities, such as beach cleanups and sand crab monitoring. The Ocean for Life students acted as ambassadors and mentored local elementary and middle school students about the issues of plastic pollution and marine debris. At the end of the field study, each student developed an Ocean for Life Action Plan highlighting how they plan to enhance cultural understanding and increase ocean conservation and stewardship at their schools and in their local communities. A total of 114 students from 17 countries in the Greater Middle East, Europe, Australia, Canada and locations throughout the United States are now Ocean for Life alumni and considered ambassadors of change. By sharing their experiences with others around the globe, these students are laying the foundation for a safer, more tolerant society and a healthy, more sustainable world. Since Ocean for Life began in 2009, NOAA has conducted formative and summative evaluations of the Ocean for Life program with periodic follow-up of alumni. These evaluations have determined that this unique international ocean science and cultural exchange program has lasting effects on the student participants, their classmates, schools and local communities in terms of enhanced cultural understanding and increased ocean awareness, conservation and stewardship. Throughout the Ocean for Life experience, students' stereotypes, attitudes and misconceptions of different cultures and backgrounds vanish before our eyes. The positive impact of Ocean for Life can be seen in the lasting commitment of its alumni to be a force for change in each of their communities. We invite teachers to learn more about this free program and how they can recommend students for involvement. http://sanctuaries.noaa.gov/education/ofl.

Each month, a speaker will give a presentation on various topics related to NGS programs, projects, products and services to educate constituents about NGS activities. Visit the Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/. Future webinars will be held on the second Thursday of every month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Upper Ocean Processes Associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation in the Indian Ocean

Presenter(s): Toshiaki Shinoda (Texas A&M Corpus Christi) Seminar sponsor: NOAA OAR CPO Climate Variability and Predictability Program Seminar POC for questions: hunter.jones@noaa.gov When: Wed., Aug. 13, 2014, 2:00-3:00pm Eastern Time Where: NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th Floor Fishbowl; remote access is available. About this Series: The Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) program is hosting monthly webinars to share the results of the Dynamics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (DYNAMO) field campaign. This field campaign, held in the Indian Ocean from 2011-2012, sought to improve our understanding of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and to improve prediction skill of climate and weather models. It was a large international collaborative effort involving 14 countries and many U.S. agencies and research universities. These webinars represent the results of NOAA-funded researchers and are intended to inform a broad scientific audience of the research outcomes and ongoing efforts and questions related to understanding the Madden-Julian Oscillation. For more information visit: http://cpo.noaa.gov/ClimatePrograms/EarthSystemScience/ClimateVariabilityandPredictability/CVPWebinars.aspx

Remote Access: Register for

Remote Access: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/885392378 Abstracts: Upper Ocean Processes Associated with the Madden-Julian Oscillation in the Indian Ocean Dynamics of Madden-Julian Oscillation (DYNAMO) is a US research program with the goal of expediting our understanding of the physical and dynamical processes key to MJO initiation in the Indian Ocean. The proposed research aims at contributing to testing one of the hypotheses in the DYNAMO program. The primary goal of this proposed study is to improve our understanding of upper ocean processes that control sea surface temperature variability in the central Indian Ocean on the diurnal to intraseasonal time scales, which may play an important role in the initiation of the MJO. We propose to conduct ocean general circulation model (OGCM) and one-dimensional ocean model experiments forced with satellite-derived surface forcing fields. An important difference from previous ocean modeling work is an emphasis on upper ocean processes during MJO initiation. The primary OGCM to be used is the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM), which has been successfully used for examining the oceanic response to the MJO. In advance of the field phase of DYNAMO, we will first analyze the existing model outputs of global and Indo-pacific basin HYCOM experiments. The analysis will include the computation of upper ocean heat, momentum and salinity budgets, which is expected to provide useful information for the further improvement of the current plan of field observations. We will then conduct OGCM experiments which cover the period of filed programs of DYNAMO during 2011-2012 using surface fluxes derived from a variety of recent satellite measurements. The performance of the OGCM will be evaluated based on the comparison with in-situ data of the upper ocean and satellite observations including those obtained during the intensive field measurements. A particular emphasis of the analysis is given to the role of surface freshwater flux and barrier layer, mixed layer entrainment, Wyrtki Jets, diurnal cycle, and oceanic equatorial waves in diurnal to intraseasonal SST variations. We will also use high vertical resolution one-dimensional ocean models to examine the impact of upper ocean mixing processes on SST variability, in conjunction with the OGCM experiments, to help understand the relative importance of vertical versus horizontal oceanic processes.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Marion Mittermaier, UK Met Office Contact person: Yuejian Zhu GoTo meeting 1. Please join my meeting. https://global.gotomeeting.com/meeting/join/834301357 2. Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. United States: +1 (213) 289-0012 Access Code: 834-301-357 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID:834-301-357 Visit EMC facebook for any update http://bit.ly/EMC_facebook Abstract Our modelling systems are continually evolving. New dynamical cores, higher horizontal resolution for global models as well as convection-permitting km-scale NWP are presenting unique challenges in the way we interpret and verify our forecasts. The way we verifying must keep pace with these changes. In this talk I will be presenting some notable verification changes that are in the process of being implemented operationally or have been applied in the operational model upgrade process, which we call trialling. At the km-scale we are introducing the High Resolution Assessment (HiRA) framework which enables us to assess the benefit of our 1.5 km deterministic forecasts with our 2.2 km 12-member MOGREPS-UK ensemble. At the global scale we have been using the Method for Diagnostic Evaluation (MODE) to evaluate the impact of changing the dynamical core of the Met Office Unified Model on the evolution of jet cores, mid-latitude lows and highs, and tropical lows. I will also touch on the work the Met Office has been doing as part of the WMO CBS global deterministic verification in considering the skill of surface parameters, which will also become a standard part of trialling from the autumn.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Remote Access and Notes: Register at: http://www.ncddc.noaa.gov/metadata-standards/metadata-training/ Additional Access Information given upon registration.

Presenter(s): Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich (National Coastal Data Development Center) OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA National Oceanographic Data Center

Abstract: NOAA's National Coastal Data Development Center (NCDDC), a division of the National Oceanographic Data Center, is pleased to announce the new schedule of its popular free online metadata training series. The Transition to ISO course is designed for data managers who have a need to transition from the use of Federal Geographic Data Committee CSDGM metadata to ISO 191** metadata. The series will cover topics such as XML and UML basics and ISO creation methods. All materials will be made available online, and instructors will be available by request for special one-on-one My Metadata sessions to answer specific questions for individual participants NCDDC set out to meet the increased needs of data managers as many organizations transition from FGDC to ISO standards. Working with other metadata trainers within the community, the NCDDC Metadata Team has developed a complete package of training materials for the transition to ISO metadata standards. Conducting this training online is an innovative way to meet the increased demand for this training while controlling travel expenses. NCDDC conducted its first metadata training series online in 2012 to help data managers meet the challenge of keeping up-to-date on the latest metadata standards and tools for implementing these standards. In an environment of declining budgets and travel limitations, online training has proven to be a successful avenue to meet these needs. About The

Presenter(s): NCDDC's Metadata Team, Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich, are experts in metadata creation, management and publication. The NCDDC Metadata Team has years of experience in Metadata Training, holding classes for federal, state, and academic organizations across the U.S. NCDDC has led the development of new materials for ISO metadata, including the creation of the first online ISO training in 2012.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Robin Stevens, Dalhousie University, Nova Scotia Seminar

Sponsor(s): ESRL Chemical Sciences Division

Remote Access: Webinar Registration https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/330175346 and view system requirements. Space is limited. Confirmation of registration includes information about joining the GoToMeeting.

Abstract: New-particle formation in the plumes of coal-fired power plants and other anthropogenic sulphur sources may be an important source of particles in the atmosphere. These particles may grow to sizes where they can act as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN), and thereby increase cloud reflectivity and lifetime, resulting in a cooling of surface temperatures. It has been unclear how best to reproduce this plume-scale new-particle formation in global and regional aerosol models with grid-box lengths that are tens of kilometres and larger. The predictive power of these models has thus been limited by the resultant uncertainties in aerosol size distributions. We have implemented online TwO-Moment Aerosol Sectional (TOMAS) microphysics into the System for Atmospheric Modelling (SAM), a Large-Eddy Simulation/Cloud-Resolving Model (LES/CRM). This model is evaluated against aircraft observations of new-particle formation in two different power-plant plumes from the 2006 TexAQS campaign and the 2004 ICARTT campaign. and reproduces the major features of the observations. We show how the downwind plume aerosols can be greatly modified by both meteorological and background aerosol conditions. Based on the results of the SAM-TOMAS model, we develop the Predicting Particles Produced in Power-Plant Plumes (P6) parameterization: a computationally-efficient, but physically-based, parameterization that predicts the characteristics of aerosol formed within sulphur-rich plumes based on large-scale mean meteorological parameters, emissions directly from the source, and mean background pollutant concentrations. Finally, we implement the P6 parameterization in the GEOS-Chem-TOMAS global chemical-transport model in order to evaluate the contribution of coal-fired power plants globally to particle number and CCN concentrations. Globally, use of the P6 parameterization resulted in predicted CCN concentrations smaller than or similar to previous sub-grid sulphate schemes depending on the model configuration. We find that the sub-grid scale new-particle formation predicted by P6 is most sensitive to uncertainties in the model-predicted aerosol condensation sink. For constant SO2 emissions, fewer new particles are formed in more polluted regions. This spatial heterogeneity in new-particle formation cannot be resolved by previous treatments of sub-grid sulphate but is captured by P6. POC for questions: barbara.ervens@noaa.gov Additional information: http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/seminars/2014/Stevens.html Directions: http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/seminars/index.html#directions ALL Seminar attendees agree not to cite, quote, copy, or distribute material presented without the explicit written consent of the seminar presenter. Any opinions expressed in this seminar are those of the speaker alone and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of NOAA or ESRL CSD.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Ulrike Lohmann, ETH Zurich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): ESRL Chemical Sciences Division

Remote Access: Webinar Registration https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/744682002 and view system requirements. Space is limited. Confirmation of registration includes information about joining the GoToMeeting.

Abstract: Aerosol particles act as cloud condensation and ice nuclei and with that influence the microstructure of clouds. Due to anthropogenic emissions, the abundance of sulfate, nitrate and carbonaceous aerosol particles has been increased. This causes water clouds to have on average more smaller cloud droplets and to reflect more solar radiation back to space. Changes in the number and size of ice crystals changes are much more uncertain because of competing mechanisms and fewer observations. In my talk, I will therefore concentrate on measurements of ice nuclei, in-situ observations of mixed-phase clouds and the aerosol radiative forcing associated with clouds containing ice. Aerosols, ice clouds and climate POC for questions: barbara.ervens@noaa.gov Additional information: http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/seminars/2014/Lohmann.html Directions: http://esrl.noaa.gov/csd/seminars/index.html#directions ALL Seminar attendees agree not to cite, quote, copy, or distribute material presented without the explicit written consent of the seminar presenter. Any opinions expressed in this seminar are those of the speaker alone and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of NOAA or ESRL CSD.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA Climate Connection

Remote Access:

Presenter(s): Kendall Haven, Story Consultant, Author, & Master Storyteller, www.kendallhaven.com Online access: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/916585992 Immediately after you submit the registration form, you'll receive an email with a link to connect to the session. During the Webinar, you can receive audio directly through your computer speakers for free, or dial in to the number displayed when you sign in (long-distance charges may apply). The session will be recorded. It will be available at the NWS CSD Seminar site within a few days after the event. Summary : Kendall Haven conducts research on cognitive and neural aspects of storytelling and its influence on engagement. In this presentation, he will discuss how climate communicators can apply some of his recent findings to their efforts. The session will feature information on: Narrative Tension (As goes tension, so goes attention.) * informational elements that establish, maintain, and control reader tension * elements that satisfy the sense-making needs of a reader's internal neural processing Reader Engagement (Engagement is the essential gateway to influence.) * research findings that reveal the neural process of engagement and the creation of meaning * informational elements that control reader engagement Narrative Influence (The goal of every article is to change reader attitudes, beliefs, values, knowledge, and behavior.) * story elements that form the new influence models * the central role of three narrative character positions Presenter

Bio(s): The only West Point graduate to turn professional storyteller, Kendall Haven also holds a Doctorate in Oceanography. Now a master storyteller, Haven has performed for over 6.8 million adults and children around the world. He has also has led research efforts on effective story structure at the National Storytelling Association. An internationally recognized Subject Matter Expert on the cognitive and neuro-science of story, Haven created the first detailed, tested model of dynamic story architecture that accounts for the neurology of how narrative material is processed, understood, remembered, and recalled in a receiver's mind. Read more about Kendall Haven

OneNOAA Science Seminar Remote Access and Notes: Register at: http://www.ncddc.noaa.gov/metadata-standards/metadata-training/ Additional Access Information given upon registration.

Presenter(s): Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich (National Coastal Data Development Center) OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA National Oceanographic Data Center

Abstract: NOAA's National Coastal Data Development Center (NCDDC), a division of the National Oceanographic Data Center, is pleased to announce the new schedule of its popular free online metadata training series. The Transition to ISO course is designed for data managers who have a need to transition from the use of Federal Geographic Data Committee CSDGM metadata to ISO 191** metadata. The series will cover topics such as XML and UML basics and ISO creation methods. All materials will be made available online, and instructors will be available by request for special one-on-one My Metadata sessions to answer specific questions for individual participants NCDDC set out to meet the increased needs of data managers as many organizations transition from FGDC to ISO standards. Working with other metadata trainers within the community, the NCDDC Metadata Team has developed a complete package of training materials for the transition to ISO metadata standards. Conducting this training online is an innovative way to meet the increased demand for this training while controlling travel expenses. NCDDC conducted its first metadata training series online in 2012 to help data managers meet the challenge of keeping up-to-date on the latest metadata standards and tools for implementing these standards. In an environment of declining budgets and travel limitations, online training has proven to be a successful avenue to meet these needs. About The

Presenter(s): NCDDC's Metadata Team, Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich, are experts in metadata creation, management and publication. The NCDDC Metadata Team has years of experience in Metadata Training, holding classes for federal, state, and academic organizations across the U.S. NCDDC has led the development of new materials for ISO metadata, including the creation of the first online ISO training in 2012.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Chris Davis (NCAR) POC: David DeWitt Join WebEx https://ncep-events.webex.com/ncep-events/onstage/g.php?MTID=e120ce82493436f74b027f145d6e45de2 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 997 430 896

Abstract: ropical cyclone prediction at lead times of 5-10 days is challenging because it requires accurate prediction of organized, deep convection across a range of scales. Related to this, the formation and decay of tropical cyclones contribute significantly to medium range TC prediction. This talk examines the prediction of northern hemisphere TCs and their large-scale environments during 2012, 2013 and 2014. Results from both the Global Forecast System (GFS) and the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) are considered. It is shown that the GFS exhibits episodic large-scale moisture errors over the Western Pacific Ocean that can inhibit TC formation. Regional errors in deep convection are also shown to affect the forecast track of TCs. In contrast, MPAS exhibits more false alarms than GFS, especially after forecast day 7. These false alarms appear sensitive to dissipation in the model. Despite differences between the representation of TCs in the two models, they exhibited similar overall track and intensity forecast skill during August and September of 2013. Plans for MPAS development are summarized, with emphasis on facilitating comparison with the GFS for tropical cyclone prediction.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Robert Mason and Harry Jenter, USGS, John Fulton, NOAA

Remote Access: FOR AUDIO: in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. FOR WEBCAST: For remote access via webinar, please fill out the registration form at the website below a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the passcode is brownbag. https://www.mymeetings.com/emeet/join/index.jsp?customHeader=mymeetings&netId=742656968&netPass=&netType=conference&acceptTerms=on&sigKey=mymeetings

Abstract: Understanding the evolution and dissipation of overland storm tides and waves as they move across natural and manmade landscapes is critical to increasing coastal resilience and establishing early warning systems for coastal storm hazards. In the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy, the USGS is building an overland Surge, Wave, and Tide Hydrodynamics (SWaTH) network along the Atlantic Coast from Virginia through Maine to provide more timely storm-surge and wave data to enhance public awareness, help forecasters predict surge impacts, and inform emergency responders. During this brown-bag presentation the presenters will describe plans for implementation of the SWaTH and discuss collaborative opportunities and user needs and solicit input from NOAA scientists and engineers. POC for questions: mary.lou.cumberpatch@noaa.gov

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Tara Jensen (NCAR) Seminar POC for questions: Dave DeWitt Join WebEx https://ncep-events.webex.com/ncep-events/onstage/g.php?MTID=e5ca8ff9df028f0a6dcd9df96a467f273 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 998 732 015

Abstract: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/seminars/abstract.2014/Jensen.html

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Hugh C. Schratwieser, Attorney Advisor, NOAA Office of General Counsel Weather, Satellites and Research Section Seminar sponsor: NOAA International Affairs Council Working Group on the Law of the Sea Convention Seminar POC for questions: Peter.Oppenheimer@noaa.gov

Abstract: This brown bag presentation will address the law and policies regarding international agreements and memoranda of understanding between NOAA and counterparts in foreign nations. Hugh Schratwieser of the NOAA Office of General Counsel Weather, Satellites and Research Section will provide an overview of the Case- Zablocki Act and its implementation by NOAA GC. Authority for making most determinations under the Case-Zablocki Act for NOAA international agreements is delegated to the NOAA General Counsel by the Department of Commerce General Counsel. Additional information on the Case-Zablocki Act and its implementation by the Department of Commerce and NOAA is available at http://www.gc.noaa.gov/gc_case_zablocki.html. NOAA GC guidance on legal determinations under the Case-Zablocki Act is available at http://www.gc.noaa.gov/documents/082604-faq-case-act-2p.pdf.

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar, please fill out the registration form at https://www.mymeetings.com/emeet/join/index.jsp?customHeader=mymeetings&netId=742656968&netPass=&netType=conference&acceptTerms=on&sigKey=mymeetings a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Remote Access and Notes: Register at: http://www.ncddc.noaa.gov/metadata-standards/metadata-training/ Additional Access Information given upon registration.

Presenter(s): Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich (National Coastal Data Development Center) OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA National Oceanographic Data Center

Abstract: NOAA's National Coastal Data Development Center (NCDDC), a division of the National Oceanographic Data Center, is pleased to announce the new schedule of its popular free online metadata training series. The Transition to ISO course is designed for data managers who have a need to transition from the use of Federal Geographic Data Committee CSDGM metadata to ISO 191** metadata. The series will cover topics such as XML and UML basics and ISO creation methods. All materials will be made available online, and instructors will be available by request for special one-on-one My Metadata sessions to answer specific questions for individual participants NCDDC set out to meet the increased needs of data managers as many organizations transition from FGDC to ISO standards. Working with other metadata trainers within the community, the NCDDC Metadata Team has developed a complete package of training materials for the transition to ISO metadata standards. Conducting this training online is an innovative way to meet the increased demand for this training while controlling travel expenses. NCDDC conducted its first metadata training series online in 2012 to help data managers meet the challenge of keeping up-to-date on the latest metadata standards and tools for implementing these standards. In an environment of declining budgets and travel limitations, online training has proven to be a successful avenue to meet these needs. About The

Presenter(s): NCDDC's Metadata Team, Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich, are experts in metadata creation, management and publication. The NCDDC Metadata Team has years of experience in Metadata Training, holding classes for federal, state, and academic organizations across the U.S. NCDDC has led the development of new materials for ISO metadata, including the creation of the first online ISO training in 2012.

OneNOAA Science Seminars

Presenter(s): Joe Ripberger, CIMMS, National Severe Storms Laboratory

Sponsor(s): NOAA Central Library Access: For remote access via webinar (unless specified otherwise below), please fill out the registration form at http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?sigKey=mymeetings&i=742656968&=brownbag&t=c few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. Contact Mary Lou Cumberpatch (301-713-2600 ext. 140) or Albert (Skip) Theberge (301-713-2600 ext. 118) for further information or to set up a Brown Bag.

Abstract: According to a recent report by the Department of Homeland Security, "social media and collaborative technologies have become critical components of emergency preparedness, response, and recovery" (2013). These technologies are critical because they provide a centralized mechanism for two-way communication before, during, and after disasters that allows the National Weather Service, Emergency Managers, the media, and affected communities to disseminate and receive information about a hazard in near real-time. As yet, however, we know relative little about who participates in this exchange of information and how it transpires throughout the course of an event. In this presentation, I will address this void by answering three basic yet important research questions: (1) Who uses social media to get information about severe weather and how has this evolved over time? (2) How does social media usage evolve throughout the course of a severe weather event? (3) What do meteorologists and forecasters think about social media and how has it changed the way they approach their jobs?

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Joshua Fu (University of Hawaii) and Guang Zhang (Scripps Institution of Oceanography) Seminar sponsor: NOAA OAR CPO Climate Variability and Predictability Program Seminar POC for questions: hunter.jones@noaa.gov About this Series: http://cpo.noaa.gov/ClimatePrograms/EarthSystemScience/ClimateVariabilityandPredictability/CVPWebinars.aspx

Remote Access: Register for

Remote Access: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/890763210 Abstracts: Application of DYNAMO/AMIE observations to validate and improve the representation of MJO initiation and propagation in the NCEP CFSv2 The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is the dominant mode of tropical convection variability on the intraseasonal time scale. The MJO initiates in the western equatorial Indian Ocean and propagates eastward as a couplet between multi-scale convection and large-scale circulation. Though upscale/downscale modulations and tropical "extratropical teleconnections, the MJO influences the weather activity and climate variability around the globe. The recurrent nature of the MJO influences the weather activity and climate variability around the globe. The recurrent nature of the MJO with a period of 30-60 days offers an opportunity to bridge the gap between weather forecasting and seasonal prediction. However, current state-of-the-art global models are significantly challenged in realistically simulating the MJO, which severely hampers our capability of predicting its global impacts. Great efforts have been made to improve the prediction skill of the MJO at NOAA NCEP. Dynamical forecasts from the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFSv1) have been produced in real-time since 2004. A new Climate Forecast System (CFSv2) is being developed and will replace the earlier version (CFSv1). Additionally, a new Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) has recently been completed. The CFSR is superior in capturing intraseasonal convective variability as compared to the previous NCEP reanalyses and is used to initialize the CFSv2. Despite these efforts, outstanding problems in the MJO forecast still remain. Preliminary analysis shows that while the CFSv2 has a better overall skill than the CFSv1, it consistently forecasts too slow eastward propagation. The proposed research aims to take advantage of the unprecedented data that will be collected during DYNAMO/AMIE field campaigns and the CFSR to advance our understanding of the MJO initiating and propagation, and to explore the pathway to improve the representation of the MJO in the CFSv2. To achieve the above objectives, the following steps will be taken: 1) Relevant processes revealed from previous studies on MJO initiation and propagation will be documented with the CFSR, outputs of the CFSv2 and a model at UH. 2) Results from the CFSR, CFSv2, and the UH model will be carefully compared and further validated with DYNAMO/AMIE observations and possible relationships between errors in the MJO forecasts and errors in associated atmospheric (e.g., heating and moistening profiles, low-level convergence, etc.) and oceanic (e.g., SST) fields will be examined to assess the impacts of atmospheric model physics and oceanic surface variability. 3) Numerical experiments with the CFSv2 and UH model will be conducted to assess the impact of atmospheric model physics (e.g., detrainment of shallow convection and trigger of deep convection). 4) Further numerical experiments with atmosphere-only components of the CFSv2 and UH model will be performed to assess the impact of forecast SST errors and to test the use of a high-resolution 1-dimensional mixed-layer ocean model. This activity is expected to improve the overall prediction skill of the MJO in the NCEP mode. This project directly responds to the priority 3 of FY2011 ESS program understanding and Improving Prediction of Tropical Convection. The proposed study will further our understanding of the physical processes governing the initiation and propagation of the dominant tropical convection variability on the intraseasonal time scale: the MJO. The main accomplishment of this project will be to improve the prediction skill of the MJO and the associated weather and climate variability in the CFSv2, contributing to the economic and societal well-being of the Nation. A Global Model Investigation of MJO Initiation for DYNAMO The DYNAMO field campaign in the Indian Ocean provides an unprecedented opportunity to study MJO initiation. In this project, the PI proposes to investigate the MJO initiation in the Indian Ocean using the NCAR CAM3 and the DYNAMO observations. The objective is to improve MJO simulation, and ultimately MJO prediction using global models. As part of the DYNAMO modeling effort, the project aims to answer the following scientific questions relevant to Hypotheses I and II in the DYNAMO Science Planning Overview (SPO) document: I. What are the factors determining the initiation of MJO in the Indian Ocean? II. How does the cloud population interact with the MJO circulation during MJO initiation? Can the NCAR CAM3 reproduce the observed cloud population? The basic research tools used in this work are the NCAR CAM3 and the improved Zhang-McFarlane convection scheme. The data used for model evaluation and improvement will be DYNAMO field observations from sounding array, radar and satellites, ECMWF reanalyses products, and other data assembled by the Year of Tropical Convection (YOTC) project. The combination of model and observations will allow us to test new ideas using models and evaluate them using observations. To answer the above questions, we will perform a series of simulations using the CAM3 and its single column version in both prediction mode and the traditional climate simulation mode. Simulation tests will be conducted to determine what factors affect the MJO initiation the most. In particular, shallow convection preconditioning, convective sensitivity to environmental moisture through lateral entrainment, sea surface temperature and surface evaporation, among others, are deemed critical to MJO initiation. We will investigate each of them in the proposed research. The model output will be compared with DYNAMO observations and reanalyses products. For each observed and simulated MJO, budgets of heat and moisture will be computed to determine the sources and sinks of moisture during different stages of MJO initiation over the Indian Ocean. The cloud population, as measured by cloud top heights and optical depth, during the MJO life cycle from model simulations and satellite observations will be compared and related to MJO circulation. We will also participate in the inter-model comparisons to identify sensitivity of different models to parameters in convection scheme. Intellectual merit: MJO simulation is a challenging scientific problem in GCMs. Using an improved version of the convection scheme developed by the PI, the NCAR CAM3 can simulate MJOs realistically. Thus, the model can be used as a tool together with DYNAMO observations to understand MJO initiation in the Indian

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Katharine Egan, Hollings Scholar at NOS/NCCOS

Sponsor(s): NOS Seminar Series;Point of Contact: tracy.gill@noaa.gov or jennifer.j.johnson

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet You may need to download MyMeetings files, and you may need your system admin. to do this, so do it well before. AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.)1-877-708-1667. Passcode is 7028688# WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting no: 744925156 NO PASSCODE is required for the internet part of.the webinar

Abstract: Numerous threats are affecting coral reefs around the world. In recent years, NOAA has proposed that a number of coral species be designated as Threatened or Endangered under the Endangered Species Act (ESA), due to the fragility of the corals in question along with habitat threats that limit their growth and distribution. NOAA's National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science (NCCOS) and several partners have been working together to develop long-term monitoring programs of U.S. coral reef ecosystems. The monitoring data and related products will be used to increase our understanding of coral reef ecosystems for improved decision making on the conversation of coral reefs. One set of coral reefs under study are located in the Flower Garden Banks National Marine Sanctuary, in the western Gulf of Mexico, about 100 miles off the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. Research has shown there is a high abundance of coral species there proposed for inclusion under the Endangered Species Act. Using mostly suba diving to collect the data, maps were created in Geographic Information Systems to show the distribution, presence/absence, and demographics of ESA corals in the Sanctuary collected in 2013. These maps will ultimately help with management decisions and protect the delicate reefs of the Sanctuary. Correlations were examined between site depth, rugosity, relief type, study areas (East and West banks), and percent cover of benthic species and ESA coral using statistical methods.

Bio(s): Katharine Egan is an undergraduate at the University of Rhode Island (URI) and her research interest is coral reef ecology and ecosystem studies. She received the NOAA Ernest F. Hollings Scholarship, a program that provides a scholarship and internship to undergraduate students. For her internship this summer, Katharine is working for the NCCOS Biogeography Branch on the National Coral Reef Monitoring Plan (NCRMP) project in Silver Spring, MD. She is participating in the NOAA Diving Program, analyzing data from previous NCRMP projects, and helping to collect data for this summer's Puerto Rico mission. Prior to joining NOAA, she worked as a researcher at URI in a coastal wetlands ecology lab and an algal/marine community ecology lab. She has studied abroad at the Bermuda Institute of Ocean Sciences where she first became fascinated with coral reef ecology. Katharine plans to graduate in May, 2015 with her B.S. in Marine Biology.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): David Stensrud (Department of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University) POC: Glenn White GoToMeeting https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/337042309 Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. Dial +1 (571) 317-3131 Access Code: 337-042-309 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID: 337-042-309

Abstract: The ability of deep monsoon convection to influence the larger-scale circulation over North America is investigated for a 6-day long case study during the 2006 North American monsoon season. Results from Rossby wave ray tracing and numerical simulations using the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting model indicate that North American monsoon convection provides a source region for stationary Rossby waves. Two wave trains are seen in the numerical model simulations, with behaviors that agree well with expectations from theory and ray tracing. The shorter and faster moving wave train moves eastward from the source region in Mexico and reaches the western Atlantic within 4 days. The longer and slower moving wave train travels northeastward and reaches the coastal New England region within 6 days. An upstream tail of anticyclonic vorticity extends westward from the source region into the central Pacific Ocean. The monsoon convection appears to help cut off the low-level anticyclonic flow by developing low-level southerly flow in the Gulf of Mexico and northerly flow in the eastern Pacific, as suggested in earlier global model studies. However, the stationary Rossby wave trains further alter the location and intensity of deep convection in locations remote from the monsoon. Implications of these results for operational forecasting and regional climate will be discussed.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC Seminar Speaker Jui-Lin (Frank) Li, NASA/JPL https://science.jpl.nasa.gov/people/JLi POC: Fanglin Yang fanglin.yang@noaa.gov GoToMeeting https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/842185509 Dial +1 (646) 749-3131 Access Code and Meeting ID: 842-185-509

Abstract: Significant systematic clouds, radiation and moist biases are found in the CMIP3/CMIP5 models ensemble average in sub- and tropical Pacific regions in conjunctions with biases of upward motion, eastward low-level wind with moist convergence north of SPCZ and south of ITCZ " referred to as the V-Shaped regions. We characterize the impacts of precipitating snow and radiation effects, which are not included in most of the CMIP3/CMIP5 models, by using the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR)-coupled GCM that the model includes diagnostic snow for radiation calculation. A number of differences associated with snow-radiation effect off are found consistent with the biases in CMIP3/CMIP5 simulations. With snow-radiation off, there excessive longwave radiative cooling at the top of atmosphere while shortwave radiative warming at the surface resulting in net radiative cooling near the cloud top, triggering compensating upward motion in the heavily precipitating regions of the tropics such as ITCZ, SPCZ and warm pool. This leads to local subsidence at the north edge of SPCZ and south edge of ITCZ, generating low-level eastward/southeastward wind (i.e., weakening mean northwestward trade wind) and moist convergence from the warm pool, SPCZ and ITCZ and resulting increase total precipitable water and column of moisture. This further leads to the model's biases of local and remote areas of sea surface temperatures (SSTs), sea surface height, and surface wind stress and large-scale circulations.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Remote Access and Notes: Register at: http://www.ncddc.noaa.gov/metadata-standards/metadata-training/ Additional Access Information given upon registration.

Presenter(s): Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich (National Coastal Data Development Center) OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA National Oceanographic Data Center

Abstract: NOAA's National Coastal Data Development Center (NCDDC), a division of the National Oceanographic Data Center, is pleased to announce the new schedule of its popular free online metadata training series. The Transition to ISO course is designed for data managers who have a need to transition from the use of Federal Geographic Data Committee CSDGM metadata to ISO 191** metadata. The series will cover topics such as XML and UML basics and ISO creation methods. All materials will be made available online, and instructors will be available by request for special one-on-one My Metadata sessions to answer specific questions for individual participants NCDDC set out to meet the increased needs of data managers as many organizations transition from FGDC to ISO standards. Working with other metadata trainers within the community, the NCDDC Metadata Team has developed a complete package of training materials for the transition to ISO metadata standards. Conducting this training online is an innovative way to meet the increased demand for this training while controlling travel expenses. NCDDC conducted its first metadata training series online in 2012 to help data managers meet the challenge of keeping up-to-date on the latest metadata standards and tools for implementing these standards. In an environment of declining budgets and travel limitations, online training has proven to be a successful avenue to meet these needs. About The

Presenter(s): NCDDC's Metadata Team, Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich, are experts in metadata creation, management and publication. The NCDDC Metadata Team has years of experience in Metadata Training, holding classes for federal, state, and academic organizations across the U.S. NCDDC has led the development of new materials for ISO metadata, including the creation of the first online ISO training in 2012.

OneNOAA Science Seminar EMC Seminar

Presenter(s): Frederic Dias (the University College of Dublin) POC: Arun Chawla (arun.chawla@noaa.gov) GoToMeeting https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/961599485 Dial +1 (571) 317-3112 Access Code: 961-599-485 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID: 961-599-485

Abstract: The Northeast Atlantic possesses some of the highest wave energy levels in the world. The recent years have witnessed a renewed interest in harnessing this vast energy potential. Due to the complicated geomorphology of the Irish coast, there can be a significant variation in both the wave and wind climate. Long-term hindcasts with high spatial resolution, properly calibrated against available measurements, provide vital information for future deployments of ocean renewable energy installations. These can aid in the selection of adequate locations for potential deployment and for the planning and design of those marine operations. A 34-year (from 1979 to 2012), high-resolution wave hindcast was performed for Ireland including both the Atlantic and Irish Sea coasts, with a particular focus on the wave energy resource. The wave climate was estimated using the third-generation spectral wave model WAVEWATCH III version 4.11, the unstructured grid formulation. The wave model was forced with directional wave spectral data and 10-m winds from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ERA-Interim reanalysis, which is available from 1979 to the present. The model was validated against available observed satellite altimeter and buoy data, particularly in the nearshore, and was found to be excellent. A strong spatial and seasonal variability was found for both significant wave heights, and the wave energy flux, particularly on the north and west coasts. A strong correlation between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) teleconnection pattern and wave heights, wave periods, and peak direction in winter and also, to a lesser extent, in spring was identified.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Daisuke Hotta (UMD-JMA) Go To Meeting: https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/736634797 Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. Dial +1 (571) 317-3112 Access Code: 736-634-797 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID: 736-634-797

Abstract: Despite recent major improvements in numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems, operational NWP forecasts occasionally suffer from an abrupt drop in forecast skill, a phenomenon called ''forecast skill dropout.'' Recent studies have shown that the ''dropouts'' occur not because of the model's deficiencies but by the use of flawed observations that the operational quality control (QC) system failed to filter out. Thus, to minimize the occurrences of forecast skill dropouts, we need to detect and remove such flawed observations. A diagnostic technique called Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to Observation (EFSO) enables us to quantify how much each observation has improved or degraded the forecast. A recent study (Ota et al., 2013) has shown that it is possible to detect flawed observations that caused regional forecast skill dropouts by using EFSO with 24-hour lead-time and that the forecast can be improved by not assimilating the detected observations. Inspired by their success, in the first part of this study, we propose a new QC method, which we call Proactive QC (PQC), in which flawed observations are detected 6 hours after the analysis by EFSO and then the analysis and forecast are repeated without using the detected observations. This new QC technique is implemented and tested on a lower-resolution version of NCEP's operational global NWP system. The results we obtained are extremely promising; we have found that we can detect regional forecast skill dropouts and the flawed observations after only 6 hours from the analysis and that the rejection of the identified flawed observations indeed improves 24-hour forecasts. In the second part, we show that the same approximation used in the derivation of EFSO can be used to formulate the forecast sensitivity to observation error covariance matrix $\R$, which we call EFSR. We implement the EFSR diagnostics in both an idealized system and the quasi-operational NWP system and show that it can be used to tune the matrix so that the utility of observations is improved. We also point out that EFSO and EFSR can be used for the optimal assimilation of new observing systems.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Avery Sen., PhD, Oceanic and Atmospheric Research's (OAR's) Office of Policy, Planning, and Evaluation

Sponsor(s): NOS Seminar Series; Point of Contact: tracy.gill@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet You may need to download MyMeetings files, and you may need your system admin. to do this, so do it well before. AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting number: 744925156 NO PASSCODE for the webinar is required.

Abstract: OAR does great science, but science -- per se -- is only part of OAR's mission to perform research, develop new capabilities, and transition knowledge and technology into useful applications. To meet this mission, OAR's approach is to balance and connect the forces of "push" from the research community with "pull" from the applications community, as well as science at global, long-term scales with science at local, short-term scales. I provide an overview of OAR's organization and portfolio. Then, using examples of projects at OAR and NOS, I explore challenges and opportunities of collaborative innovation at NOAA.

Bio(s): Avery Sen is the acting Strategic Planning Lead in Oceanic and Atmospheric Research's (OAR's) Office of Policy, Planning, and Evaluation. He has 11 years of experience in NOAA developing strategic plans, business processes, and performance management schema to direct R&D organizations and enable them to learn from experience. Avery has led the writing and editing of numerous strategic plans at NOAA, including the Next Generation Strategic Plan, the 5-Year R&D Plan, and the OAR Strategic Plan. Avery has a PhD in Public Administration and an MA in International Science & Technology Policy, both from The George Washington University, as well as a BA in Science and Technology Studies from Cornell University.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Bruce Vogt (Ecosystem Science and Synthesis Manager at NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office) Seminar sponsor: NOAA HQ Aquatic Invasive Species Team

Remote Access: Remote access is available: FOR AUDIO: in the US and Canada, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360. FOR WEBCAST: For remote access via webinar, please fill out the registration form at the website below a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the passcode is brownbag. https://www.mymeetings.com/emeet/join/index.jsp?customHeader=mymeetings&netId=742656968&netPass=&netType=conference&acceptTerms=on&sigKey=mymeetings

Abstract: Blue and flathead catfish are considered invasive species in the Chesapeake Bay, as they have rapidly expanded into nearly every major tributary in the Chesapeake Bay watershed. Blue and flathead catfish have the potential to comprise a highly valued recreational fishery as well as negatively affecting native species and the Chesapeake Bay ecosystem. The NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office funds research on invasive catfish to help further understand their basic biology and potential negative effects on native species and human health. Research findings will help inform management and mitigation strategies. A report from the Invasive Catfish Task force is currently being drafted to develop recommendations to slow and reduce the spread of invasive catfish populations, minimize ecological and economic impacts, and improve public awareness. Seminar POC for questions: clarence.fullard@noaa.gov (301-427-8773)

OneNOAA Science Seminar Remote Access and Notes: Register at: http://www.ncddc.noaa.gov/metadata-standards/metadata-training/ Additional Access Information given upon registration.

Presenter(s): Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich (National Coastal Data Development Center) OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA National Oceanographic Data Center

Abstract: NOAA's National Coastal Data Development Center (NCDDC), a division of the National Oceanographic Data Center, is pleased to announce the new schedule of its popular free online metadata training series. The Transition to ISO course is designed for data managers who have a need to transition from the use of Federal Geographic Data Committee CSDGM metadata to ISO 191** metadata. The series will cover topics such as XML and UML basics and ISO creation methods. All materials will be made available online, and instructors will be available by request for special one-on-one My Metadata sessions to answer specific questions for individual participants NCDDC set out to meet the increased needs of data managers as many organizations transition from FGDC to ISO standards. Working with other metadata trainers within the community, the NCDDC Metadata Team has developed a complete package of training materials for the transition to ISO metadata standards. Conducting this training online is an innovative way to meet the increased demand for this training while controlling travel expenses. NCDDC conducted its first metadata training series online in 2012 to help data managers meet the challenge of keeping up-to-date on the latest metadata standards and tools for implementing these standards. In an environment of declining budgets and travel limitations, online training has proven to be a successful avenue to meet these needs. About The

Presenter(s): NCDDC's Metadata Team, Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich, are experts in metadata creation, management and publication. The NCDDC Metadata Team has years of experience in Metadata Training, holding classes for federal, state, and academic organizations across the U.S. NCDDC has led the development of new materials for ISO metadata, including the creation of the first online ISO training in 2012.

Each month, a speaker will give a presentation on various topics related to NGS programs, projects, products and services to educate constituents about NGS activities. Visit the Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/. Future webinars will be held on the second Thursday of every month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Building Capacity to Sustainably Manage Increasing Recreational Uses in MPAs

Presenter(s): Priscilla Brooks - Conservation Law Foundation and MPA Federal Advisory Committee and Charlie Wahle, NOAA Marine Protected Areas Center Where: Remote Access only. Reserve your seat at: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/295848472 Toll: +1 (646) 307-1708 Access Code: 341-973-824 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the Webinar Webinar ID: 295-848-472

Abstract: Recreational uses of MPAs are expanding rapidly in the US and around the globe. While promising many benefits to users and the sites, this trend has also raised concerns about the sustainability of increased use and about the capacity of most MPAs to manage and facilitate these diverse and often novel activities. To that end, the U.S. Marine Protected Areas Federal Advisory Committee, working with the NOAA MPA Center, has examined this challenge and has developed a suite of recommendations and best practices for managers to consider in addressing this trend. Seminar POC for questions: Lauren.Wenzel@noaa.gov NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center Webinar co-sponsored by the NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center, EBM Tools Network, OpenChannels.org, MPA News and EcoAdapt. http://marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/resources/webinars

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Robert Adler and Huan Wu, Earth Science System Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC), University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland

Sponsor(s): NWS Office of Hydrologic Development

Remote Access: Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/503212177 FOR AUDIO: Number will be provided upon registration.

Abstract: The Global Flood Monitoring System (GFMS), has been developed, tested and improved to provide real-time flood detection, streamflow estimates and inundation mapping information at high resolution (as fine as 1 km) and forecasts (out to five days) using global NWP precipitation. Images and output data are available for use by the international disaster response community with updates available every three hours (http://flood.umd.edu). The system uses satellite-based rainfall information, other satellite and conventional information and a combination hydrological and routing model, the Dominant river Routing Integrated with VIC Environment (DRIVE) system. The surface hydrological calculations are carried out at 0.125 latitude-longitude resolution with streamflow calculations done at that resolution and at 1km resolution. Flood inundation maps are calculated at 1 km resolution quasi-globally every three hours and are compared with MODIS-based flood inundation estimates. Details of the system will be presented along with examples of results for recent flood events along with validation statistics against a global flood event archive. Point of Contact: ken.pavelle@noaa.gov (301-713-0640x183)

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): H.K. Rama Ramapriyan, Assistant Project Manager, Earth Science Data and Information System Project NASA Goddard Space Flight Center

Sponsor(s): NOAA / NESDIS / STAR Seminars - http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/star/seminars.php

Remote Access: Audio only: USA participants: 866-832-9297, Passcode:6070416 International: 203-566-7610

Abstract: One of NASA's three strategic goals is to Advance understanding of Earth and develop technologies to improve the quality of life on our home planet. Earth observation and science are fundamental to achieving this goal. Collecting the data from Earth observing missions, deriving information from them, preserving and providing the data and information to all users are Core components. Core components provide the basic operational capabilities to process, archive, manage and distribute data from NASA missions. Community components provide a path for peer-reviewed research in Earth Science Informatics to feed into the evolution of the core components. The earth Observing System Data and Information System (EOSDIS) is a core component consisting of twelve Distributed Active Archive Centers (DAACs) and eight Science Investigator-led Processing Systems spread across the U.S. EOSDIS manages a growing archive of over 10 Petabytes, with more than 22 Terabytes of data being distributed each day to a diverse user community. The presentation will provide an overview of EOSDIS and its evolution. Point of Contact: Xiaofeng Li, STAR / SOCD / MECB: xiaofeng.li@noaa.gov

OneNOAA Science Seminar Remote Access and Notes: Register at: http://www.ncddc.noaa.gov/metadata-standards/metadata-training/ Additional Access Information given upon registration.

Presenter(s): Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich (National Coastal Data Development Center) OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOAA National Oceanographic Data Center

Abstract: NOAA's National Coastal Data Development Center (NCDDC), a division of the National Oceanographic Data Center, is pleased to announce the new schedule of its popular free online metadata training series. The Transition to ISO course is designed for data managers who have a need to transition from the use of Federal Geographic Data Committee CSDGM metadata to ISO 191** metadata. The series will cover topics such as XML and UML basics and ISO creation methods. All materials will be made available online, and instructors will be available by request for special one-on-one My Metadata sessions to answer specific questions for individual participants NCDDC set out to meet the increased needs of data managers as many organizations transition from FGDC to ISO standards. Working with other metadata trainers within the community, the NCDDC Metadata Team has developed a complete package of training materials for the transition to ISO metadata standards. Conducting this training online is an innovative way to meet the increased demand for this training while controlling travel expenses. NCDDC conducted its first metadata training series online in 2012 to help data managers meet the challenge of keeping up-to-date on the latest metadata standards and tools for implementing these standards. In an environment of declining budgets and travel limitations, online training has proven to be a successful avenue to meet these needs. About The

Presenter(s): NCDDC's Metadata Team, Jacqueline Mize and Kathy Martinolich, are experts in metadata creation, management and publication. The NCDDC Metadata Team has years of experience in Metadata Training, holding classes for federal, state, and academic organizations across the U.S. NCDDC has led the development of new materials for ISO metadata, including the creation of the first online ISO training in 2012.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Shipboard measurements of aerosol chemical, physical, optical and cloud nucleating properties during the DYNAMO field campaign; Convective Structure and Environmental Conditions in the MJO Initiation over the Indian Ocean

Presenter(s): Timothy S. Bates (PMEL) and Shuyi Chen (University of Miami " RSMAS) Seminar sponsor: NOAA OAR CPO Climate Variability and Predictability Program Seminar POC for questions: hunter.jones@noaa.gov When: Wed., Jun. 25, 2014, 2:00-3:00pm Eastern Time Where: NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th Floor Fishbowl; remote access is available. About this Series: The Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) program is hosting monthly webinars to share the results of the Dynamics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (DYNAMO) field campaign. This field campaign, held in the Indian Ocean from 2011-2012, sought to improve our understanding of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and to improve prediction skill of climate and weather models. It was a large international collaborative effort involving 14 countries and many U.S. agencies and research universities. These webinars represent the results of NOAA-funded researchers and are intended to inform a broad scientific audience of the research outcomes and ongoing efforts and questions related to understanding the Madden-Julian Oscillation. For more information visit: http://cpo.noaa.gov/ClimatePrograms/EarthSystemScience/ClimateVariabilityandPredictability/CVPWebinars.aspx

Remote Access: Register for

Remote Access: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/544998594 Abstracts: Shipboard measurements of aerosol chemical, physical, optical and cloud nucleating properties during the DYNAMO field campaign We propose to participate in the DYNAMO field campaign during the IOP aboard the US funded ship. Our objective is to improve the understanding of the effects of aerosol particles on clouds and radiation transfer over the equatorial Indian Ocean. Aerosols in this region have both natural (ocean-derived) and anthropogenic (continental) sources as the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) can extend well south of the equator during the dry winter monsoon season (Bates et al., 2002_ allowing for transport of air masses from the Indian subcontinent to the DYNAMO region. The Indo-Asian haze that spreads over the region north of the ITCZ has a major impact on the regional radiative forcing (Ramanathan et al., 2002). During INDOEX the low-level heating induced by the aerosol haze led to enhanced moist convection and strengthened the rainfall along the ITCZ (Ramanathan et al., 2001). Aerosol data are thus essential to understanding the radiation budget and evolution of the cloud population (DYNAMO hypothesis II) in this region. The proposed aerosol physical measurements will include number-size distributions from 20nm to 10 m diameter using mobility separation condensation particle counting and aerodynamic particle sizing. Chemical analysis will include 2-stage impactors (above and below 1 m) that will be analyzed for major ions via ion chromatography (IC), trace metals via XRF, and organic and elemental carbon via optical/thermal techniques. Non-refractory chemical composition will be measured with an aerosol mass spectrometer (AMS). Cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) potential at supersaturations in the range 0.2% to 2% will be measured with a continuous flow, thermal diffusion CCN counter. Aerosol optical parameters, light scattering and absorption coefficient, will be determined by nephelometry and filter-based absorption, respectively, at three visible wavelengths for sub-10m and sub 1-m size ranges at 60% relative humidity. The size distribution, AMS, optical parameters and CCN will have a time resolution of 15 minutes or less. The impactor-based mass and chemistry will have 12 to 24 hour resolution. The time series of these parameters will be analyzed in the context of the larger set of meteorological, oceanographic, and satellite data to investigate the processes and cause-effect relation shops between aerosols, radiative transfer, cloud physics and precipitation. Multivariate statistical analysis will be used to determine relationship between aerosol parameters (e.g., concentration, size distribution, composition) and cloud physics parameters, (e.g., thermodynamic profiles; cloud albedo and effective radius; vertical mixing; cloud base, top and precipitation rate). The products, time series of aerosol parameters and derived empirical relationships will be archived on the PMEL Atmospheric Chemistry data server (http://saga.pmel.noaa.gov/data/) as well as the NCAR DYNAMO data server. Convective Structure and Environmental Conditions in the MJO Initiation over the Indian Ocean The proposed research addresses two of the Dynamics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (DYNAMO) science hypotheses: i) interaction between environmental moisture and convection and ii) the dynamic evolution of the cloud population, which is key to MJO initiation over the tropical Indian Ocean. The main objectives are to better understand the structure of convective cloud systems and their large-scale environment in the MJO initiation process and to improve MJO forecasts. It includes three components: 1) cloud cluster tracking analysis using hourly satellite IR data along with observations of environmental water vapor and SST as well as the global analysis of wind and temperature data, 2) aircraft observation of convective cloud systems during the DYNAMO field campaign, and 3) model evaluation and verification for improving operational MJO monitoring and forecasting. The PI team will first conduct pre-DYNAMO field campaign data analysis using existing METEOSAT data to compile a cloud system statistics that can be used to diagnose developing and non-developing MJO convection. The cloud cluster tracking combined with global model forecast guidance will be used for operations during the DYNAMO field campaign including planning of daily aircraft missions. A comprehensive post-DYNAMO data analysis will be provided for model evaluation and verification. This research fits well with NOAA's interests in improving the MJO prediction that will have a direct impact on seasonal and weather forecasts over the North American continent as well as the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Seas. This proposed research builds on results from the prior NOAA, NSF, and NASA supported projects (e.g., TOGA COARE and TRMM) and the expertise of PIs on satellite data analysis, aircraft observation of tropical convective systems over the western Pacific, global modeling of tropical circulation and prediction, and operational forecasting of MJO. It brings together a research team with scientists from the University of Miami, NOAA/National Severe Storm Lab (NSSL), the University of Maryland and NOAA/Climate Prediction Center (CPC). It will address one of the most challenging and unresolved science questions related MJO: what determines the onset of convective activity leading up to the initiation of MJO over the tropical Indian Ocean. The proposed project will contribute to the NOAA ESS Program FY2011 research theme of Understanding and Improving Prediction of Tropical Convection. Specifically it will address science questions related to cloud processes and interaction with their large-scale environment associated with MJO and the field campaign of DYNAMO. The outcome of this study is expected to improve MJO prediction through a better understanding of the physical processes and a unique data set for model evaluation, verification and data assimilation.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. John E. Walsh (Research Professor at the International Research Center/University of Alaska, Fairbanks) Seminar sponsor: National Weather Service, Climate Services Division, Office of Climate, Weather, and Water Services Seminar POC for questions: Judy.Koepsell@noaa.gov

Remote Access: Register at: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/770334161

Abstract: Attribution and impact assessments of the recent reduction of Arctic sea ice require a longer temporal perspective than can be provided by the satellite record of the past several decades. We will examine longer-term sea ice variations deduced from a NOAA-supported synthesis of historical sea ice data spanning nearly two centuries, supplemented by a review of relevant paleo reconstructions. The impacts of sea ice on climate variations in the Arctic and lower latitudes will also be addressed by examining the robustness of widely-publicized linkages to extreme weather and climate variations in middle latitudes.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series Seminar

Sponsor(s): Joint NEFSC WHOI seminar series POC for questions: michael.jech@noaa.gov

Abstract: Dr. Andone Lavery of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) will be the inaugural speaker for the joint NOAA NEFSC and WHOI seminar series on using underwater acoustic technology for fisheries and ecosystem studies and monitoring. Her presentation will be "Remote inference of biological parameters using broadband acoustic "color". To join the meeting: https://noaast.adobeconnect.com/nefsc-whoi-seminar/ Conference Number(s): 866-836-6169; Participant Code: 5443237

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Presenter(s): Joseph Love, PhD., Maryland Department of Natural Resources

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; Point of contact is tracy.gill@noaa.gov REMOTE ACCESS: Mymeeting webinars use phone & internet You may need to download MyMeetings files, and you may need your system admin. to do this, so do it well before. AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# WEBCAST: Go to www.mymeetings.com . Under "Participant Join", click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting number: 744925156 - NO PASSCODE is required.

Abstract: Northern Snakehead (Channa argus) was first reported in Maryland in 2002. Since then, movies and media spotlights have highlighted the infamous species. Maryland Department of Natural Resources (DNR) has worked to prevent the spread of Northern Snakehead and develop early detection and response procedures with U.S. Fish and Wildlife (USFWS), Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries, and Delaware Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Control. Once introduced to Potomac River, there was a lag time of at least 2 to 3 years until populations began growing and expanding rapidly. Through natural expansion, the species has spread from Potomac River into the adjacent, Patuxent River. The species, also introduced into Delaware, has spread among other rivers of the Chesapeake Bay. In order to promote early detection of the species into areas where it has naturally expanded, Maryland DNR has developed a cost-effective infrastructure for reporting by anglers and provided incentives for those reports and harvesting the animal. The effects of establishment and expansion of Northern Snakehead have not contributed to native species extinctions as originally speculated. Because Northern Snakehead has been widely regarded as invasive, its biomass has been controlled by anglers via Maryland DNR promoting initiatives that encourage recreational and commercial harvest. While there is still debate regarding the effectiveness of this strategy and concern over its leading to human-induced spread of the species, a current mantra is slowly being adopted: if you can't beat them, then eat them. ABOUT THE SPEAKER: Dr. Joseph W. Love is the tidal bass manager for Maryland Department of Natural Resources. He also is a member of the Invasive Species Matrix Team and is currently working on an Aquatic Nuisance Species Plan for the State. He has been studying biology and taxonomy of fish (particularly sharks) since he was 10, but academically since earning his Bachelor's of Science from Southeastern Louisiana University. He conducted his Master's of Science with Dr. Robert Cashner at University of New Orleans (UNO) where he surveyed bayous and canals to learn more about the natural history of Spotted Gar (Lepisosteus ocualtus). He then studied with Dr. Christopher Taylor at Mississippi State University to obtain his Ph.D. The dissertation work addressed the effects of habitat fragmentation on freshwater fish and macroinvertebrate communities in intermittent, headwater streams in Ouachita Mountains (Arkansas). He then took a post-doctoral position for Dr. Eric May and with NOAA Living Marine Resources Cooperative Science Center at University of Maryland Eastern Shore. There, he engaged in several collaborative projects with NOAA biologists and research scientists along the eastern Atlantic coast. That work included training graduate students and developing courses in fish biology and multivariate statistics. In 2009, he took a stable position with Maryland Department of Natural Resources where he has ultimately succumbed to the challenges of fishery management. His current responsibilities include managing fisheries for Largemouth Bass in the tidal rivers of Chesapeake Bay. His work with Largemouth Bass ultimately led him to work with Northern Snakehead, another top predator in tidal freshwater.

OneNOAA Science Seminar Ocean Acidification Data Visualizations: How to access and use IOOS data

Presenter(s): Jan Newton (NANOOS), Amy Sprenger (NANOOS) Seminar sponsor: NOS National Marine Sanctuaries & OAR Ocean Acidification Program, SOARCE Webinar Series (http://go.usa.gov/9ghe) Seminar POC for questions: jennifer.bennett@noaa.gov When: Tuesday, June 24, 3-4p.m. Eastern Time Where: Remote access suggested, but some seats available in NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th floor fishbowl

Remote Access: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/365818706 Audio available through VOIP; headset or ear bud speakers recommended

Abstract: Ocean acidification has the potential to fundamentally change the ocean, its habitats, food webs and marine life. In support of the shellfish industry, resource managers, researchers and citizens potentially affected by ocean acidification, the U.S. IOOS (Integrated Ocean Observing System), the Regional Associations of IOOS, and the NOAA Ocean Acidification Program (NOAA OAP) are working to provide critical real time data of ocean water conditions related ocean acidification to anyone with an internet connection. In this presentation we will share information about IOOS, and demonstrate how the Regional Associations of IOOS along the West Coast are working to meet the data and information needs of shellfish growers and others for monitoring for ocean acidification. We will demonstrate the new IOOS Pacific Region Ocean Acidification data portal and sharehow to access information and data related to ocean acidification. The ability to monitor in real time parameters such as pH, dissolved oxygen, carbon dioxide, water level, wind speed and direction can provide an early warning system to shellfish growers about the approach of acidified seawater, helping the growers to take action to save crops. In addition, a robust ocean acidification monitoring program over time will provide necessary information to scientists and resource managers on the status and trends in ocean parameters related to OA, and thus aid decisions in light of ocean change. About the speakers: Dr. Jan Newton is a Principal Oceanographer with the Applied Physics Laboratory of the University of Washington (UW) and affiliate faculty with the UW School of Oceanography and the School of Marine and Environmental Affairs, both in the UW College of the Environment.She is the Executive Director of the Northwest Association of Networked Ocean Observing Systems (NANOOS), the US IOOS Regional Association for the Pacific Northwest. Jan is a biological oceanographer who studies the physical, chemical, and biological dynamics of Puget Sound and coastal Washington, including understanding effects from climate and humans on water properties. Currently she has been working with colleagues at UW and NOAA to assess the status of ocean acidification in our local waters. Newton served on the Governor's Blue Ribbon Panel on Ocean Acidification and was appointed as Co-Director of the new Washington Ocean Acidification Center at UW. Amy Sprenger is Education and Outreach Coordinator for the Northwest Association of Networked Ocean Observing Systems (NANOOS).

Reanalysis Research: Laying the Groundwork for the Next Generation of NOAA Reanalyses Virtual access recommended (see event description for details). Limited seating in SSMC3, 12th floor fishbowl. OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Reanalysis Research: Laying the Groundwork for the Next Generation of NOAA Reanalyses

Presenter(s): Arun Kumar (NOAA CPC), Gil Compo (U of Colorado/CIRES & NOAA/ESRL), Tom Hamill (NOAA ESRL) Seminar sponsor: OAR, CPO, MAPP Program Seminar POC for questions: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov When: Tuesday, June 24, 2-3 p.m. Eastern Time Where: Remote access suggested, but some seats available in NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th floor fishbowl

Remote Access: WebEx: https://cpomapp.webex.com/cpomapp/onstage/g.php?t=a&d=627630379 Passcode: 20910 Call-in information will pop up on-screen once you have logged into WebEx Abstracts: Arun Kumar -- Research Towards the Next Generation of NOAA Climate Reanalyses -- Reanalysis of various components of the Earth System provides global data sets to advance our understanding of climate variability and trends, and helps place the state of current climate system in a historical context. One important aspect of reanalyses efforts is to understand causes of spurious climate trends and discontinuities that arise due to changes in observational data platforms, and to develop data assimilation and bias correction techniques that can minimize those. The latest generation of NOAA's reanalysis " the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) " was plagued by various such discontinuities. A joint research effort across NOAA involving NCEP, ESRL, and NCDC plans to advance data assimilation techniques to reduce the influence of changes in the observational data platforms in the context of climate reanalysis. A unique aspect of the proposed approach is to use a hierarchy of reanalysis of increasing complexity where analysis based on a simpler approach can be used to inform bias correction procedures for an analysis involving higher complexity. Gil Compo -- The NOAA Climate Reanalysis Task Force: Activities and Examples from Stratospheric Ozone and the Pacific Walker Circulation -- The NOAA Climate Reanalysis Task Force: Activities and Examples from Stratospheric Ozone and the Pacific Walker Circulation -- An introduction to the new NOAA Climate Reanalysis Task Force will be given. The Task Force addresses outstanding issues in atmospheric, oceanic and land reanalysis and develops a greater degree of integration among Earth system reanalysis components. Two examples of outstanding issues will be discussed. The first example is the representation of stratospheric ozone in current and planned NOAA reanalyses spanning 1850 to present. The current stratospheric ozone representation in NOAA's Global Forecast System atmosphere/land model uses a linearized parameterization of ozone production and loss from the Naval Research Laboratory. The linearization is taken about a climatology representing late 20th Century chemistry, which includes ozone-depleting chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs). Its success in representing ozone variability before CFCs, and plans to improve the parameterization for representation of 19th to 21st century ozone variability, will be discussed. The second example addresses whether the Pacific Walker Circulation (PWC) has weakened or strengthened since 1900. Some researchers have suggested that observations of the PWC spanning the last century provide evidence that the global convective mass flux is decreasing. Global coupled climate models show a decrease in the PWC from the last century extending into the next. The debate surrounding this issue is complicated by different investigators using different indices to define the PWC, with some based on using both the rotational and divergent components of the tropical winds to diagnose what is in essence a divergent overturning circulation. The influence and effect of tropical sea surface temperatures (SST) is also a confounding issue. We find that, in contrast to coupled climate models, most observed aspects of the PWC show no trend or a strengthening over the last 120 years. Tom Hamill -- Weather reforecasting and statistical post-processing as drivers for reanalysis -- Statistical post-processing of weather forecasts is the process of adjusting the current forecast using discrepancies between past forecasts and analyses (or observations). Post-processing skill and reliability are generally improved with large training sample sizes, especially the post-processing of uncommon events such as heavy precipitation or longer-lead events such as a two-week forecast. In the talk we will consider some of the evidence for how large training sample sizes can improve post-processed forecast guidance and will review the recommendations of a recent white paper on reforecasting. A notable recommendation from this white paper is on the strong need for an updated modern-era global reanalysis.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Ichiro Imai, Professor, Graduate School of Fisheries Sciences, Hokkaido University WEBINAR https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=25224058&UID=61391358&RT=MiM0 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 282 627 017

Abstract: The interplay of phytoplankton and bacteria in our coastal oceans is the cornerstone of ecosystem health. Bacteria possessing killing and growth-inhibiting activities against phytoplankton have been increasingly studied as a means to control phytoplankton dynamics, in particular, harmful algal blooms (HABs) in coastal environments. Algicidal activities are divided into two types, i.e. direct attack, specifically targeting algal cells, and indirect attack that involves production of compounds that can inhibit the growth of targeted phytoplankton. For harmful algal bloom species, such as the raphidophytes, Heterosigma akashiwo and Chattonella spp., field observations indicate that bacteria play an important role in bloom termination. Recent evidence has shown that a large number of algicidal bacteria that target HAB species (dinoflagellates and raphidophytes) are attached to the surface of seaweeds, such as the green alga Ulva pertusa, the red alga Gelidium sp., and the brown algae Sargassum muticum and S. thunbergii. The densities of these algicidal bacteria can reach 106 g-1 wet weight. Numerous algicidal bacteria have also been found in the biofilm of the seagrass Zostera marina with maximum densities of 107 g-1 wet blade. In the case of the toxic dinoflagellate Alexandrium tamarense, growth-inhibiting bacteria with strong activities were found and isolated from the blades of Z. marina in coastal waters of Japan and Puget Sound, WA. In many countries around the world, seagrass- and seaweed beds have been lost through reclamation processes for commercial land uses. We propose that restoration of seagrass- and seaweed beds will not only increase nursery grounds for marine wildlife but will also create prevention strategies for HAB occurrences. This is an activity that conforms to the recently-proposed Japanese concept of Sato-Umi, meaning Integration of productivity and biodiversity in the coastal sea with human health and economic well-being Seminar POC: Diane.Tierney@noaa.gov

Presenter(s): Dr. Rand D. LeBouvier Seminar sponsor: NOAA International Affairs Council Working Group on the Law of the Sea Convention Seminar POC for questions: Peter.Oppenheimer@noaa.gov When: Wednesday, June 18, 12:00-1300h Eastern Time Where: NOAA HQ SSMC3 Library (2nd Floor); remote access is available.

Abstract: Recent efforts to engage the legal and safety ramifications of these technologies operating within territorial waters and on the high seas are similar to those experienced in the unmanned air vehicle industry operating in controlled airspace. Fortunately, lessons learned from the air domain may prevent a recurrence of the issues encountered with regulatory agencies such as the FAA that have caused inhibitive delays and missed opportunities in the development of unmanned air systems. Industry has a duty to ensure it anticipates and addresses safety, legal and even ethical concerns properly before uninformed popular perception drives response. Early mutual engagement between industry and these agencies can eliminate misunderstanding and can inform unmanned systems manufacturers and operators as to best practices and procedures. Adopting a cooperative stewardship approach to the environment in which they operate and with the agencies that watch over it will stand the unmanned maritime systems industry in good stead. This presentation will review key regulatory and standardization efforts currently underway.

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar, please fill out the registration form at https://www.mymeetings.com/emeet/join/index.jsp?customHeader=mymeetings&netId=742656968&netPass=&netType=conference&acceptTerms=on&sigKey=mymeetings a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360.

OneNOAA Science Seminar PRESENTER Jay Lazar, NOAA/NMFS Chesapeake Bay Office SPONSOR: NOS Science Seminar Series, Point of Contact: tracy.gill@noaa.gov REMOTE ACCESS: Mymeeting Webinars use PHONE & INTERNET. If you have not used MyMeetings, you need to download files; you may need your system admin to do this for you, so do it well before the seminar. DIAL TOLL FREE (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# WEBCAST URL: Go to www.mymeetings.com and under "Participant Join", click on "Join an Event". Then enter meeting number 744925156 along with your name, email, etc.

Abstract: Having turned two years old, the Coastal Marine Ecological Classification Standard has a lot to report on and even more left to do. The original implementation group continues to provide strong guidance and leadership on the details of the standard while the NOAA-based implementation group builds internal momentum for maintenance and programmatic integration. Examples from Oregon to the Chesapeake Bay provide early stories of CMECS success as we work to develop acceptance across federal and state agencies, regional ocean councils and internal line offices. ABOUT THE SPEAKER: Jay Lazar is a Hydrographer and the Field Program Coordinator for the OHC Chesapeake Bay Office. Jay has been working with CMECS in various forms since 2006 and has been involved with implementation of the Standard for over a year. Significant contributions to the presentation have been made by Mark Finkbeiner (CSC).

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Stephanie A McAfee, University of Nevada, Reno

Abstract: Changes in precipitation are important drivers of many observed hydrological and ecological processes, and precipitation is a key component of many studies. However, existing studies of precipitation trends in Alaska simply did not agree about the magnitude or even direction of trends. We revisited the question, analyzing homogeneity and trends in station data and three commonly used gridded precipitation data sets. We identified numerous inhomogeneities in both the station data and the gridded products and discovered that the three gridded products displayed very dissimilar patterns of trend. Finally, we will present some suggests for moving forward despite the imperfect data. POC: tmbuxbaum@alaska.edu WEBINAR: https://accap.uaf.edu/?q=webinars

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Mr. Jim West, Senior Research Scientist, Marine Resources Division, Washington State Department of Fish and Wildlife WEBINAR https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=25224058&UID=61391358&RT=MiM0 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 282 627 017

Abstract: Puget Sound is a hot spot of persistent bioaccumulative and toxic contaminants in northeastern Pacific waters, as illustrated by the levels of contaminants in its living organisms. For example, legacy contaminants such as polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) in Puget Sound herring are roughly 15 times higher than their oceanic coastal counterparts. Puget Sound's biota also tell a story of exposure to other contaminants, including hydrocarbons, endocrine disrupting compounds and a large number of contaminants of emerging concern. Measuring contaminants in, and observing the health of species spanning a wide range of life histories and trophic levels have shown us unexpected occurrence and impacts of some of these toxic chemicals that may not have been predicted from approaches targeting abiotic measures such as sediments or water. WDFW began monitoring toxics in the Puget Sound ecosystem 1988, as part of the Puget Sound Ecosystem Monitoring Program. Since that time we have partnered with NOAA's Ecotox and Environmental Chemistry Programs to develop a toxics-focused Biological Observation System, or tBiOS, which focuses on where biota are exposed to toxics, and where the harm to biota is occurring. In this talk, we provide four examples of contaminant exposure and harmful effects in several species across a wide range of habitats. These narratives, combined with detailed analysis of contaminant patterns in biota, also help us understand the fate and transport of these chemicals, the anthropogenic source of the chemicals, and how they are changing through time. Seminar POC: Diane.Tierney@noaa.gov

Each month, a speaker will give a presentation on various topics related to NGS programs, projects, products and services to educate constituents about NGS activities. Visit the Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/. Future webinars will be held on the second Thursday of every month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Preparing for Disaster at MPAs

Presenter(s): Will Underwood, Stewardship Coordinator, Grand Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve, Mississippi Department of Marine Resources

Abstract: The presentation will focus on the need to consider disaster response planning for marine protected areas using the example of the Grand Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve (NERR) in Mississippi. Natural and anthropogenic disasters will be discussed, with emphasis on impacts associated with hurricanes and oil spills. Proper identification and ranking of hazards and risks to personnel, environmental resources, and infrastructure will be covered as well as discussion on how to integrate with the response community and crosswalk concepts of environmental sensitivity to responders. Examples of formal disaster response plans recently developed within the NERR system will be presented and a template for plan preparation will be made available. When: June 12, 2014 1:00 - 2:00 p.m. Eastern Where: Remote access only. Reserve your seat at: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/817007440 Toll: +1 (702) 489-0003 Access Code: 299-489-875 Webinar ID: 817-007-440 Seminar POC for questions: Lauren.Wenzel@noaa.gov NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center Webinar co-sponsored by the NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center, EBM Tools Network, OpenChannels.org, MPA News and EcoAdapt. http://marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/resources/webinars/

One NOAA Science Seminar: CANCELLED:

Title: What is Ocean Today? Videos and More

Presenter(s): Katie Snider, Executive Producer, Ocean Today, National Ocean Service (NOS) When: Wednesday, June 11, 2014, 12-1pm ET Where: NOAA SSMC4, Rm 8150; remote access login info below Seminar

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series and NOS Communications and Education Division Point of Contact: tracy.gill@noaa.gov (301-713-3028x150) REMOTE ACCESS: Mymeeting webinars use PHONE & INTERNET. You may need to download MyMeetings files; you may need your system administrator to do this for you, so do it well before the seminar. FOR AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter code 7028688# FOR THE WEBCAST: go to www,mymeetings.com Under Participant Join, click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting number: 744925156 NO passcode is required.

Abstract: Ocean Today is an exciting, multimedia kiosk that features 150+ videos on all aspects of the ocean realm -- exploration and discoveries, marine life and science. It was originally designed for the Sant Ocean Hall in the Smithsonian Institution's National Museum of Natural History, which opened in September 2008. Due to the popularity of the videos, Ocean Today kiosks are now located in dozens of aquariums, museums, and learning centers throughout the world. In addition, Ocean Today videos are available online to reach even more audiences. In this seminar, you will learn more about the Ocean Today program, the videos that are available for use by your office, and how you can participate.

Bio(s): Katie Snider is the Executive Producer for Ocean Today. She is responsible for the overall management, editorial direction, and video production of Ocean Today content. Prior to Ocean Today, Katie worked in television production on shows for The Discovery Channel, Animal Planet, HGTV, and The Smithsonian Network. She lives in Arlington, Virginia, with her husband Scott and daughter Lily and loves to garden.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: The Sea Grant Network Responds To Tourism Opportunities In Fishing and Aquaculture

Presenter(s): Dana Morse (Maine Sea Grant), Natalie Springuel (Maine Sea Grant), Bryan Fluech (Florida Sea Grant), Susanna Muscik (Virgina Institute of Marine Science marine Advisory Program). Seminar sponsor: Sea Grant Fisheries Extension Network Seminar POC for questions: elizabeth.bevan@noaa.gov (301-734-1287) When: Tuesday, June 10, 2014, 13:00-14:00 Eastern Time

Remote Access: go to https://learn.extension.org/events/1610#.U4X51-ZdXsU (call-in number will be provided after you join the webinar as a 'guest')

Abstract: This webinar will focus on the Sea Grant network's activities in this area and provide a forum in which to facilitate connections for future collaborations.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: The Arctic Open Water Season Conflict Avoidance Agreement and the Management of Development Impacts in the Marine Environment

Presenter(s): Jessica S. LeFevre Seminar sponsor: NOAA International Affairs Council Law of the Sea Convention Working Group Seminar POC for questions: Peter.Oppenheimer@noaa.gov When: Tuesday, June 10, 12:00-13:00h Eastern Time Where: NOAA HQ Library SSMC3, 2nd Floor; remote access if available (details below)

Abstract: Ocean management experts, along with development experts in other fields, increasingly recognize the need for mechanisms to reduce user conflicts and address trade offs among competing uses of coastal zones, land, and natural resources. The terms ecosystem-based management and marine spatial planning express the awareness that we are in an age where decision-makers need tools to help them balance development demands against adverse impacts to local ecosystems and economies. These issues are especially prevalent where energy development and commercial activities are expanding in our coastal waters and the oceans beyond. Offshore oil and gas development in arctic Alaska carries a high risk of interference with nutritionally and culturally critical bowhead whale (Balaena mysticetus) subsistence hunting. Since the mid-1980s, the Alaska Eskimo Whaling Commission has engaged offshore oil and gas exploration and development companies, including oil majors, in an annual process of collaboration and negotiation to create mitigation measures capable of avoiding adverse impacts to bowhead whales, habitat, and hunting opportunities. The process, founded on local ecological knowledge and western science, has become a staple of offshore oil and gas development in arctic Alaska. In addition to avoiding adverse impacts to subsistence uses that are protected under federal law, this highly efficient process also reduces conflicts that might otherwise slow offshore permitting. This system of collaboration provides useful insights into how the general concepts of ecosystem-based management and marine spatial planning might be implemented in practice in other settings. About the speaker: Jessica S. Lefevre is an attorney in private practice specializing in natural resource issues, including the mitigation of local impacts resulting from resource development. She has served as counsel to the Alaska Eskimo Whaling Commission since 1985 and also serves as counsel to the Arctic Marine Mammal Coalition and the Alaska Nanuuq Commission. She recently published "A Pioneering Effort in the Design of Process and Law Supporting Integrated Arctic Ocean Management in the Environmental Law Reporter", 43 ELR 10893 (October 2013) (available at http://eli-ocean.org/arctic/files/ELR-Article-4.pdf).

Remote Access: For remote access via webinar, please fill out the registration form at https://www.mymeetings.com/emeet/join/index.jsp?customHeader=mymeetings&netId=742656968&netPass=&netType=conference&acceptTerms=on&sigKey=mymeetings a few minutes before the meeting is scheduled to begin. The Meeting Number is 742656968; the Passcode is brownbag. For audio, dial 866-833-7307. The participant passcode is 8986360.

OneNOAA Science Seminars This will be a two seminar sessions. Seminar 1 from 2-2:30 and seminar 2 (2:30-3:00 pm) Seminar 2: The EN4 dataset of quality controlled ocean temperature and salinity profiles and monthly objective analyses.

Presenter(s): Simon Good (metoffice, UK)

Abstract: EN4 and its predecessors are datasets containing ocean temperature and salinity profiles. These are sourced from collections such as the World Ocean Database (WOD) and then are put through a series of automated quality control tests. Monthly objective analyses of the ocean state are then formed from the data. The series of datasets originated from two European Commission programs ENACT (Enhanced ocean data Assimilation and Climate predicTion) and ENSEMBLES, which gave the datasets their name. Further improvements have been made since then, resulting in first EN3 and now the latest version of the dataset, EN4, which covers the period 1900-present. The data are made freely available for scientific research and private study in NetCDF files from www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs and are used for a variety of purposes including ocean reanalysis and ocean heat content change estimation. In this presentation I will talk more about the history of the dataset and then focus on EN4 including how the dataset is constructed and the quality checks that are performed. I will also talk about a novel method that was developed for EN4 to quantify the uncertainty in the objective analyses. POC for questions: tim.boyer@noaa.gov, hernan.garcia@noaa.gov Audio / conference call: Toll free dial 877-725-4068 using a touch-tone phone when prompted enter participant code 8634769 followed by a "#" Please mute your phone during the presentation or toggle *6 otherwise it produces a sound feedback and we will disconnect everyone Phone access limited to the first 50 callers only Online web access: Click on http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?i=744868915&p=science&t=c type in other required fields (i.e., your name, e-mail, organization; meeting number is 744868915; password is "science" -without quotation marks, password is case sensitive- ) indicate that you have read the Privacy Policy click on Proceed and follow the instructions that appear on your screen.

OneNOAA Science Seminars This will be a two seminar sessions. Seminar 1 from 2-2:30 and seminar 2 (2:30-3:00 pm) Seminar 1: Detection of XXth century temperature and salinity changes in the Global Ocean from historical hydrographic data

Presenter(s): Dr. Viktor Gouretski (University of Hamburg, Integrated Climate Data Centre, Germany)

Abstract: Global near-surface (0-20m layer) and upper ocean (0-400m layer) temperature time series are extended back to 1900 with the former being compared with the independent sea-surface temperature time series. Similar to the sea-surface the subsurface time series is characterized by two periods of temperature increase between 1900 and 1940-45 and between 1970 and 2003, separated by a period of little change. The hydrographic data set of the German Atlantic Expedition (1925-27) supported by selected historical data between 1874 and 1911 is compared with the contemporary data to reveal temperature and salinity changes in the Atlantic Ocean south of 19N over the last 80 years. The observed warming is consistent with climate model simulations over the 20th century, suggesting attribution to anthropogenic forcing. Comparison with pre-1920s data reveals no descernible warming between the 1870s and 1906/1911. POC for questions: tim.boyer@noaa.gov, hernan.garcia@noaa.gov Audio / conference call: Toll free dial 877-725-4068 using a touch-tone phone when prompted enter participant code 8634769 followed by a "#" Please mute your phone during the presentation or toggle *6 otherwise it produces a sound feedback and we will disconnect everyone Phone access limited to the first 50 callers only Online web access: Click on http://www.mymeetings.com/nc/join.php?i=744868915&p=science&t=c type in other required fields (i.e., your name, e-mail, organization; meeting number is 744868915; password is "science" -without quotation marks, password is case sensitive- ) indicate that you have read the Privacy Policy click on Proceed and follow the instructions that appear on your screen.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Yong Wang Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics (ZAMG)

Title: The recent R&D activities on regional ensemble ALADIN-LAEF WebEx https://star-nesdis-noaa.webex.com/star-nesdis-noaa/onstage/g.php?MTID=eeb55a567ed0a3595b4d22056351b46c9 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 992 134 192 Abstract

Abstract: Within the NWP consortium LACE/ALADIN, we have developed the regional ensemble system ALADIN-LAEF (Limited Area Ensemble Forecasting). In the recent years, there have been some R&D activities on ALADIN-LAEF, for example, different experiments have been conducted on: 1. Studies on surface initial perturbation in a regional ensemble: impact of surface ensemble data assimilation, and its comparison with other methods. e.g. NCSB (Non-Cycling Surface Breeding) technique. 2. Investigation on the surface stochastic physics perturbation. 3. Uncertainties coming from the initial LBC. 4. Impact of the resolution and ensemble size on high resolution regional EPS 5. Convection resolving EPS (2.5km) vs. mesoscale EPS (11km) 6. Coupling convection resolving EPS (2.5km) with different ECMWF EPS resolution T1279 and T639. In the talk, I will present the results and analysis of those experiments.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Richard Swinbank UK Met Office

Title: The Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System (MOGREPS) - recent and future developments Webex https://star-nesdis-noaa.webex.com/star-nesdis-noaa/onstage/g.php?MTID=eeb55a567ed0a3595b4d22056351b46c9 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 992 134 192

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: History at 716 Fathoms: The Mystery of the Gulf Wrecks

Presenter(s): Dr. James Delgado, Director of Maritime Heritage in NOAA's Office of National Marine Sanctuaries Date/Time: Wednesday, June 4, 2014, 12-1pm ET Location: NOAA SSMC4, Room 8150; Remote access instructions below.

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Ocean Service (NOS) Science Seminar Series and the NOS Office of National Marine Sanctuaries Point of Contact: tracy.gill@noaa.gov (301-713-3028x150)

Remote Access: Mymeeting webinars use PHONE & INTERNET. You may need to download MyMeetings files; you may need your system admin to do this, so do it before the seminar. FOR AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# FOR WEBCAST: go to www.mymeetings.com and under Participant Join, click "Join an Event",then enter conference meeting number: 744925156 - NO PASSCODE is required.

Abstract: In 2011, a survey of a proposed oil and gas lease in the Gulf of Mexico encountered three possible shipwrecks off Flower Garden Banks National Marine Sanctuary. In three missions that have since followed in 2012, 2013 and 2014, the wrecks were revealed to be early 19th century, well-preserved time capsules with guns, navigational instruments, weapons, and bottles still filled with medicinal products. The three expeditions represent a unique partnership between four Federal agencies, two states, three universities and several non-profits to unlock the mystery of the three vessels. Preliminary indications are that one of the vessels is a privateer or pirate from the period around the War of 1812, and the other two vessels are likely its captives, all lost together with all hands in a violent storm. The old adage of "Dead Men Tell No Tales," doesn't always hold true.

Bio(s): Dr. James Delgado is the Director of Maritime Heritage in NOAA's Office of National Marine Sanctuaries. An underwater archaeologist with close to four decades of experience in his field, his work on some of history's most famous sites also included being chief scientist on the 2010 mapping of the Titanic wreck site. One of the key participants in the Gulf Wreck project, he will share the latest discoveries and provide a full, illustrated look at these three amazing wrecks.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Drought Research: Improved Understanding, Monitoring, and Prediction of Drought

Presenter(s): Rong Fu (University of Texas at Austin), Chunzai Wang (NOAA AOML), Christa Peters-Lidard (NASA GSFC) Seminar sponsor: OAR, CPO, MAPP Program Seminar POC for questions: daniel.barrie@noaa.gov When: Friday, May 30, 2014, 2-3 p.m. Eastern Time Where: Remote access suggested, but some seats available in NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th floor fishbowl

Remote Access: WebEx: https://cpomapp.webex.com/cpomapp/onstage/g.php?t=a&d=621954687 Passcode: 20910 Call-in information will pop up on-screen once you have logged into WebEx Abstracts: Not yet available.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Linkages Between Arctic Warming and Mid-Latitude Weather Patterns: Summary of a Workshop

Presenter(s): Katie Thomas, National Academies David Robinson, Rutgers University Seminar sponsor: NOAA Climate Connection, Climate Program Office Seminar POC for questions: luann.dahlman@noaa.gov When: Friday, May 30, 12 noon to 12:30 PM EDT Where: Remote access only https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/446265817

Abstract: Atmospheric and polar researchers are actively exploring possible linkages between Arctic warming and mid-latitude weather patterns. To promote communication among researchers of this relatively young topic, the National Research Council held a workshop in September 2013 to discuss gaps in understanding and to explore future research needs. In this presentation, Katie Thomas, Study Director, and David Robinson, Chair of the workshop committee, will present an overview of the publication. About the speakers: Katie Thomas, National Academies David Robinson, Rutgers University

Remote Access: Register for the session at https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/446265817 Immediately after you submit the registration form, you'll receive an email with a link to connect to the session. During the Webinar, you can receive audio directly through your computer speakers for free, or dial in to the number displayed when you sign in (long-distance charges may apply). The session will be recorded, and can be accessed at the NWS CSD Seminar site within a few days following the event.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Enrique Curchitser, Associate Professor, Institute of Marine and Coastal Sciences, Rutgers University Location: http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/contact/map.cfm POC: Diane Tierney (diane.tierney@noaa.gov) WEBINAR https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=25224058&UID=61391358&RT=MiM0 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 282 627 017 ABSTRACT An ecosystem approach to understanding large-scale patterns in exploited systems caused by both climate change and human activity increasingly relies on the use of numerical models. In the past, physical, lower and higher trophic level models were developed, tested, and implemented independently of each other. Recently, the advances in physics and biology have created the needed pieces for a comprehensive (end-to-end) ecosystem model, including humans as a dynamical component. The challenge is to integrate all the components, and examples of fully-coupled end-to-end models are still relatively rare. This is partly due to the perception that blending separate yet complex sub-models is impractical because of demanding computational requirements and partly due to the respective communities working independently. This talk will present an example of an end-to-end dynamic modeling framework that links climate and multitrophic oceanic ecosystems including human fishing activity. Results will presented from a testbed application developed to study the low-frequency fluctuations of sardine and anchovy in the California Current.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Real-time Monitoring and Forecast Support for DYNAMO, and Collaborative Research: Ship-based Measurement of Air-sea Fluxes, the Atmospheric Boundary Layer, and Clouds During MJO Development

Presenter(s): Augustin Vintzileos (NCEP) and Simon P. de Szoeke (Oregon State University) Seminar sponsor: NOAA OAR CPO Climate Variability and Predictability Program Seminar POC for questions: hunter.jones@noaa.gov When: Wed., May 28, 2014, 2:00-3:00pm Eastern Time Where: NOAA HQ SSMC3, 12th Floor Fishbowl; remote access is available. About this Series: The Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) program is hosting monthly webinars to share the results of the Dynamics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (DYNAMO) field campaign. This field campaign, held in the Indian Ocean from 2011-2012, sought to improve our understanding of the Madden-Julian Oscillation and to improve prediction skill of climate and weather models. It was a large international collaborative effort involving 14 countries and many U.S. agencies and research universities. These webinars represent the results of NOAA-funded researchers and are intended to inform a broad scientific audience of the research outcomes and ongoing efforts and questions related to understanding the Madden-Julian Oscillation. For more information visit: http://cpo.noaa.gov/ClimatePrograms/EarthSystemScience/ClimateVariabilityandPredictability/CVPWebinars.aspx

Remote Access: Register for

Remote Access: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/375256962 Abstracts: Realtime Monitoring and Forecast Support for DYNAMO Socioeconomic benefits from skillful prediction of the MaddenJulian Oscillation (MJO) cannot be overemphasized and are well documented. Understanding the atmosphere " ocean processes behind the MJO, however, still remains a large scientific challenge. DYNAMO is an observational campaign that will address atmospheric and oceanic processes relevant to the genesis and growth of the MJO in the central equatorial Indian Ocean. Observations are planned for aircraft, research vessels, buoys and radars. This project focuses on three major tasks: (i) Investigat the quality of past NCEP GFS and CFS forecasts, both deterministic and probabilistic, over the DYNAMO area as well as the quality of forecasts from the newly implemented GFS T574L64 during the period of October 2010 to March 2011. (ii) Develop and/or modify protocols for the transmission of both oceanographic and atmospheric data to the GTS, allow these data through quality control procedures, and finally ingestthem into NCEP data assimilation schemes in realtime as a crucial component of the DYNAMO field campaign. (iii) Provide operational atmospheric and oceanic monitoring and forecast data to support (i) and (ii) above. For example, this will include realtime information for planning intensive observing periods, including aircraft missions and downtime for flight crews, tied to spells of enhanced or suppressed organized convective activity that are crucial to the success of DYNAMO. The oceanographic component of the campaign also requires guidance on which depths the different instruments should be deployed with a lead time of one to two weeks. NCEP has a rich history of operational support for field campaigns (NAME, AMMA, VOCALS, TPARC). We will establish an operational website that will provide the necessary information for the decision making process during the DYNAMO campaign. Collaborative research: Ship-based measurement of air-sea fluxes, the atmospheric boundary layer, and clouds during MJO development In order to improve daily to seasonal forecasts, numerical weather prediction models require better representation of the interactions among the upper ocean, the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL), and tropospheric convection. Tropical weather and midlatitude teleconnections are driven by latent heat released by precipitating clouds. While individual convective clouds are essentially unpredictable, the eastward-propagating convective envelope of the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is predictable on intraseasonal time scales. The MJO dominates variability of zonal wind and outgoing longwave radiation in the tropics, especially over the Indian Ocean. Though the MJO offers the potential for improved predictability, few numerical weather prediction models presently simulate the eastward propagation of the MJO; even fewer simulate MJO development in the central Indian Ocean. The predictability gap in the developing stage of the MJO coincides with a dearth of observations and a corresponding lack of understanding of air-sea interaction and dynamical and convective processes in the Indian Ocean. The Dynamics of the MJO (DYNAMO) program combines observations and modeling to address these problems. We propose to make a suite of observations from a ship in the Indian Ocean during DYNAMO, to measure surface air-sea fluxes, MABL turbulent mixing, and cloud and precipitation development. Our strategy seamlessly measures processes, from the surface to the MABL and the free troposphere, contributing to tropical convection constituting the MJO. We will equip a US research vessel with radiative sensors and turbulent flux sensors that observe covariances of near-surface temperature, humidity, and velocity; and measure below-cloud mixing and turbulent velocities in the MABL with a scanning Doppler lidar. We also propose to install a cloud observing system consisting of a lidar ceilometer, a multi-channel microwave radiometer measuring integrated liquid and vapor, and a W-band (3.17 mm) Doppler cloud radar, which provides a sensitive vertical profile of cloud liquid water drops, in-cloud turbulence, and precipitation over the life cycle of the cloud. Our direct observations of surface evaporation, vertical mixing, and cloud formation will complement mesoscale precipitation structure from a scanning C-band (5.3 cm) radar; and largescale tropospheric heat and moisture budgets from rawinsondes released frequently from an array of stations (proposed separately). Flux, turbulence, and cloud data we collect from DYNAMO will be used for testing gridded flux analyses, MABL mixing and cumulus parameterizations, and air-sea interactions in models.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Highlights of the Third National Climate Assessment

Presenter(s): Dr. Gary W. Yohe Seminar sponsor: NOAA, National Weather Service, Climate Services Division, Office of Climate, Weather, and Water Services Seminar POC for questions: Judy.Koepsell@noaa.gov When: Wed., May 28, 2014, 13:00-14:00h Eastern Time Where: NOAA HQ SSMC2, Rm 14316; remote access is available

Abstract: This presentation will review new insights highlighted in the most recent National Climate Assessment Report (NCA3), in comparison to some degree with IPCC WGII AR5 North America. It will also report on the events of the release week, and provide context within the President's Climate Action Plan. About the speakers: Dr. Gary W. Yohe is the Huffington Foundation Professor of Economics and Environmental Studies at Wesleyan University. He is the author of more than 100 scholarly articles; most of his recent work has focused attention on the risk-management approach to the mitigation and adaptation sides of the climate change issue. He has been a senior member of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change since the mid 1990s. Dr. Yohe also served as a member of the New York City Panel on Climate Change. He served as a member of the National Research Council Committee on America's Climate Choices (Panel on Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change Adaptation) and the National Research Council Committee on Stabilization Targets for Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations. He continues to serve as a co-editor (along with Michael Oppenheimer) of Climatic Change and a Vice-Chair of the National Climate Assessment Development and Advisory Committee for the current Administration; and he is Convening Lead Author and he advises the Core Writing Team for the Synthesis Report for the Fifth Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Remote Access: Register at: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/301103616 Notes: This will be a GoToWebinar presentation

Title: National Climate Assessment Report

Presenter(s): Dr. Gary W. Yohe When: Wed., May 28, 2014, 13:00-14:00h Eastern Time Where: NOAA HQ SSMC2, Rm 14316; remote access is available

Abstract: This presentation will review new insights highlighted in the most recent National Climate Assessment Report (NCA3), in comparison to some degree with IPCC WGII AR5 North America. It will also report on the events of the release week, and provide context within the President's Climate Action Plan. About the speakers: Dr. Gary W. Yohe is the Huffington Foundation Professor of Economics and Environmental Studies at Wesleyan University. He is the author of more than 100 scholarly articles; most of his recent work has focused attention on the risk-management approach to the mitigation and adaptation sides of the climate change issue. He has been a senior member of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change since the mid 1990s. Dr. Yohe also served as a member of the New York City Panel on Climate Change. He served as a member of the National Research Council Committee on America's Climate Choices (Panel on Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change Adaptation) and the National Research Council Committee on Stabilization Targets for Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations. He continues to serve as a co-editor (along with Michael Oppenheimer) of Climatic Change and a Vice-Chair of the National Climate Assessment Development and Advisory Committee for the current Administration; and he is Convening Lead Author and he advises the Core Writing Team for the Synthesis Report for the Fifth Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Remote Access: Register at: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/301103616 Notes: This will be a GoToWebinar presentation

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Natural Resource Management in the Gulf of California: Collaboration between Peace Corps and the Government of Mexico

Presenter(s): Denise Rennis, dsrennis@gmail.com When: Wednesday, May 28, 2014, 12-1pm ET Where: NOAA SSMC4, Rm 8150; Remote access info below.

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; POC is tracy.gill@noaa.gov REMOTE ACCESS: Mymeeting webinars use PHONE & INTERNET. You may need to download MyMeetings files; you may need your system admin to do this for you, so do it well before the seminar. FOR AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# FOR WEBCAST: go to mymeetings.com Under Participant Join, click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting no: 744925156 NO PASSCODE is required.

Abstract: Building scientific capacity in the government agency responsible for the management of three protected areas in the Gulf of California was less about training counterparts in scientific methodology and more about collaboration to facilitate the implementation of good management ideas. Over a 3-year service, the principal Peace Corps project, to train counterparts in monitoring nesting seabird populations, branched into island reforestation as part of the REDD+ program, minimizing stress to coral reefs as an adaptation to climate change pressure, developing a strategy for a climate change adaptation plan, and training in geographical information systems. This presentation is an example of one Volunteer's Peace Corps experience in Mexico.

Bio(s): Denise Rennis joined the Peace Corps in 2010 and was one of the first but growing number of PhD environmental scientists heading to Mexico to help build scientific capacity in the government agencies responsible for natural protected areas. Denise has a PhD in botany from the University of London and an MS in marine studies from the University of Delaware. Her global career has included environmental work in the United States, Mexico, US Virgin Islands, United Kingdom, Australia, Indonesia, Yemen, and Cyprus. Her focus is on natural resource management in the coastal zone, impacts from port development activities on the coastal and marine environment, wetland management and restoration, and climate change-related issues.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Advances in Extratropical Cyclone Understanding and Prediction Since the 1979 Presidents' Day Storm: Past, Present, and Future Perspectives on Extratropical Cyclone Prediction Where: Remote access and NCWCP Conference Center/Auditorium, College Park, Maryland To register, visit: http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/35th.php Toll: TBD Access Code: TBD Webinar ID: TBD

Presenter(s): Dr. Louis Uccellini (Director, National Weather Service), Dr. Lance Bosart (Professor, SUNY Albany), Dr. John Gyakum (Professor, McGill University), Dr. Clifford Mass (Professor, University of Washington), Dr. Melvyn Shapiro (UCAR), Mr. Paul Kocin (NWS Weather Prediction Center), and more Four to eight inches of snow was forecast for the nation's capital when the snow ended 18.7 inches was recorded at DCA with a large area of 20 or more blanketing the eastern suburbs of Washington, D.C. and eastern Maryland. The impact was paralysis. The rapid intensification, excessive snow rates, and snowfall totals of the 1979 Presidents' Day Snowstorm exposed the limitations of the predictive capabilities of the time for extratropical cyclones. This coming February will mark the thirty-fifth anniversary of that momentous storm. The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) will host a one day colloquium on May 28, 2014 to: - Reflect on the challenges of that time - Discuss the advances in understanding and prediction of extratropical cyclones - Recognize those that contributed to those advancements - Discuss today's challenges predicting varying aspects of extratropical cyclones - Contemplate future challenges of extratropical cyclones. Please join us at the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction to honor this anniversary and hear from the featured speakers who helped to advance our understanding of extratropical cyclones, apply that understanding, and improve prediction and services. When: May 28, 2014 8:45 a.m. - 5:15 p.m. Eastern Seminar POC for questions: Christine.Schultz@noaa.gov NOAA/NWS/NCEP/Ocean Prediction Center

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Low Cost and Low Carbon Emission: Wind and Solar Energy Systems are Feasible for Large Geographic Domains When: Tuesday, May 27, 2014, 1:30 - 3:00 pm Where: David Skaggs Research Center (DSRC) Room GC402, Boulder, Colorado 80305

Presenter(s): Alexander E. MacDonald, Ph.D, Director NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Christopher Clack, Ph.D, Research Scientist CIRES/NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/455275386 Seminar POC for questions: rhonda.k.lange@noaa.gov

Abstract: The importance of weather-driven renewable energies for the United States energy portfolio is growing. The main perceived problems with weather-driven renewable energies are their intermittent nature, low power density, and high costs. In 2009 we began a large-scale investigation into the characteristics of weather-driven renewables. The project utilized the best available weather data assimilation model to compute high spatial and temporal resolution power datasets for the renewable resources of wind and solar PV. The weather model used is the Rapid Update Cycle for the years of 2006-2008. The team also collated a detailed electrical load dataset for the contiguous USA from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission for the same three-year period. The coincident time series of electrical load and weather data allows the possibility of temporally correlated computations for optimal design over large geographic areas. In the past two years, the team have designed and built a sophisticated mathematical optimization tool that is based upon linear programming with an economic objective. The tool has been constructed to include salient features of the electrical grid, such as; transmission, construction and siting constraints, reserve requirements, electrical losses due to transmission, asynchronous regions, "reliability" enforcement, capital costs, fuel costs, and many others. One important test included existing US carbon free power sources, natural gas power when needed, and a High Voltage Direct Current power transmission network. This study shows that the costs and carbon emissions from an optimally designed national system decrease with geographic size. It shows that with achievable estimates of wind and solar generation costs, that the US could decrease its carbon emissions by up to 80% by the early 2030s, without an increase in electric costs. The key requirement would be a 48 state network of HVDC transmission, creating a national market for electricity not possible in the current AC grid.

Sponsor(s): Sustainable Energy and Atmospheric Sciences Seminar Brought to you by NOAA, NREL, and CU-Boulder Renewable and Sustainable Energy Institute (RASEI)

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): CPC-EMC seminar 1. Please join my meeting. https://global.gotomeeting.com/meeting/join/201479885 2. Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. United States: +1 (213) 493-0622 Access Code: 201-479-885 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting Meeting ID:201-479-885

Title: Predicting the future? Comparative Forecasting and a Test for Persistence in the El Nino Southern Oscillation and new ideas

Presenter(s): Daniel Zachary https://sites.google.com/site/dszacharyprofessionalsite/home

Abstract: We present a statistical analysis on El Nino. Analysis is done for two single-indicator forecasting methods for the El Nino Southern Oscillation based on oscillation persistence. We use the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) to produce short term 5 month forecasts and a Bayesian approach to explore SOI persistence, with results compared to a benchmarking Taylor Series expansion. We find signal persistence is important when forecasting more than a few months and the models presented may provide a relatively simple approach to environmental risk forecasting in situations where the underlying phenomenon exhibits substantial persistence. We update the analysis with new results for 2014. We supplement the discussion with some new ideas and initial results that are expected to improve the analysis and strengthen the statistical forecasting method.

Title: High Winds in Extratropical Cyclones: What We Know and What We Don't

Presenter(s): David M Schultz (University of Manchester, United Kingdom Seminar sponsor: NWS, NCEP, Ocean Prediction Center Seminar POC for questions: joseph.sienkiewicz@noaa.gov When: Tuesday, May 27, 2014, 9:00-10:00h Eastern Time Where: NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction (NCWCP), University Research Ct, College Park, MD; Media Center. Remote access is not available.

Abstract: Strong windstorms in extratropical cyclones occurring at the tail end of bent-back fronts in Shapiro"Keyser cyclones often are attributed to the sting jet, a descending airstream from the midtroposphere. However, not all strong winds around the low center are due to the sting jet, as is sometimes incorrectly assumed. Another airstream responsible for such strong winds is the cold conveyor belt, the airstream passing under the warm front and around the cyclone at low levels. To help discriminate between the sting jet and the cold conveyor belt, two cases of extratropical cyclones with hurricane-force surface winds are presented. One possessed a strong sting jet but weak winds in the cold conveyor belt; the other possessed a strong cold conveyor belt but no sting jet. Diagnostics to distinguish between these two types of windstorms are presented. Horizontal maps and vertical cross sections illustrate the distinct characteristics of the sting jet and cold conveyor belt, providing guidance to aid their discrimination and serving as two endpoints along a spectrum of possible extratropical cyclone structures. This presentation will also discuss what more remains to be learned about such windstorms.

Remote Access: Remote access is not available.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): CPC-EMC seminar

Presenter(s): Dr Chris White " University of Tasmania Tittle: The development and application of long-range forecasting of extreme events across Australia When: May 23, 2014, Rm 2155 at noon Join the GoTomeeting https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/402415997 The conference call 866-685-5896 passcode: 8108134# Meeting ID: 402-415-997

Abstract: There is increasing demand for more skilful, long"range predictions of extreme events across Australia. Recent extreme events, such as flooding in Queensland and New South Wales in 2011 and the record"breaking heat waves and bushfires in early 2013 experienced across much of Australia, mean that many sectors " particularly the emergency management, agriculture and health communities " are endeavouring to find strategies to cope with such increasingly long and intense extremes. These events have highlighted the need for improved weather forecasts beyond the typical one"week weather forecast. With the improvement of numerical prediction models based on coupled general circulation models (GCMs), ensemble prediction techniques and initialization methods, there is now increasing international focus on the sub"seasonal (i.e. multi"week) to seasonal prediction timescales. In Australia, the Bureau of Meteorology is actively investigating the use of its operational dynamical seasonal forecast model POAMA for providing multi"week forecasts to fill the gap in prediction capability between weather forecasts and seasonal outlooks and beyond. This seminar explores some of the recent extreme weather events experienced across Australia and looks at some of the key large"scale climatic processes that drive them, such as the El Nio Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), and examine the ability of POAMA to simulate and forecast these processes in relation to extreme heat waves. The analysis of the climate drivers determines where the POAMA system provides skilful forecasts of extreme events on various timescales and identifies important 'windows' of forecast opportunity and guides future model development.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Ms. Hannah Hickey Location: http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/contact/map.cfm POC: Diane Tierney (diane.tierney@noaa.gov) WEBINAR https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=25224058&UID=61391358&RT=MiM0 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 282 627 017 ABSTRACT Love it or hate it, most people get their science news through the popular media. That landscape has shifted dramatically as digital information takes over from print. We'll talk about changes in the news media, the role of an institutional press office, how best to communicate your research, and how to preserve your time and sanity during the process. When should you reach out to the media? What should you do when a reporter calls? How do you avoid being misquoted? Where does social media fit in? Why do it at all? The talk will include anecdotes from the science-communication trenches, and will invite audience members to share their own experiences in working with the media. BIO Hannah Hickey is a science writer in the UW's News Office, where she writes press releases on oceanography, polar research, atmospheric science and climate research. She previously covered the UW College of Engineering. She earned a certificate in science writing from the University of California, Santa Cruz, and did internships at the Monterey County Herald newspaper and in Stanford University's news office, and a fellowship at the Idaho National Laboratory. She also worked as a freelance science writer. PUBS "Hack the planet? Geoengineering research, ethics, governance explored" http://www.washington.edu/news/2013/12/17/hack-the-planet-geoengineering-research-ethics-governance-explored/ "Pollution in Northern Hemisphere helped cause 1980s African drought" http://www.washington.edu/news/2013/06/06/pollution-in-northern-hemisphere-helped-cause-1980s-african-drought/ "Using earthquake sensors to track endangered whales" http://www.washington.edu/news/2013/05/13/using-earthquake-sensors-to-track-endangered-whales/ "Smartphones, tablets help UW researchers improve storm forecasts" http://www.washington.edu/news/2013/02/06/smartphones-tablets-help-uw-researchers-improve-storm-forecasts/

OneNOAA Science Seminars When: Thursday, May 22, 2014; 1:00 - 2:00 pm EDT Where: Online access only

Presenter(s): Paul Fleming, Seattle Public Utilities and Aris Georgakakos, Georgia Institute of Technology Co-Convening Lead Authors, Water Resources Chapter of the Third National Climate Assessment Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/738393186 Seminar sponsor: SARP Webinar Series (May) Seminar POC for questions: amrith.sagar@noaa.gov

Abstract: The NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program (SARP), US National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS), Water Research Foundation, Water Environment Federation (WEF), Water Environment Research Foundation (WERF) and American Water Works Association (AWWA) announce our next joint webinar as part of our series on Climate Information for Managing Risks In Water Resources. This month's presentation will be focused on "Findings from the 3rd National Climate Assessment: Implications for Water Utility Management, Planning and Decision Making". This presentation is being made by Paul Fleming (Seattle Public Utilities) and Aris Georgakakos, (Professor and Director, Georgia Water Resources Institute at the School of Civil & Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology). They were the co-Convening Lead Authors of the Water Resources Chapter of the National Climate Assessment. The description of the talk is below. Space is limited. Reserve your Webinar seat now at https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/738393186

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Science Review Dates:May 20 - 21, 2014

Presenter(s): Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory leadership and research scientists POC for questions: michael.uhart@noaa.gov

Abstract: The Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) periodically conducts laboratory science reviews to evaluate the quality, relevance, and performance of research conducted within each OAR laboratory and to provide strategic advice to the laboratory. As part of this process, the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) will be reviewed May 20-21, 2014, in Princeton, New Jersey. The review will examine the following research areas: (1) Modeling the Earth System; (2) Climate Variability and Change: Understanding and Prediction; and (3) Chemistry, Carbon, Ecosystems, and Climate. OAR and GFDL leadership will provide overviews of the programs, followed by sessions of presentations from scientists in each of the above research areas. The review agenda and supporting materials are posted on the GFDL Laboratory Review website: http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/2014review. Remote access via GoToWebinar will be available. Please register using the links below. Note there is a different link for each day. This meeting will be in broadcast mode only. All time for questions is reserved for the review panel to conduct their business. Date: Tuesday, May 20, 2014 Time: 8:00 AM " 4:00 PM EDT Link: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/694630874 Date: Wednesday, May 21, 2014 Time: 8:15 AM " 4:00 PM EDT Link: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/225439130

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Moose and Caribou in the Face of Climate Change: Winners or Losers? When: Tuesday, May 20, 2014; 10-11am AKDT

Presenter(s): Kris Hundertmark, University of Alaska Fairbanks

Abstract: Climate change will have impacts on animals living in northern environments that go far beyond shifting habitats, and some species may fare better than others. This presentation looks at factors involved in evaluating the impact of future climate change on moose and also presents the results of a recent study that predicts changes in the genetic diversity of caribou relative to changing climate. POC: tmbuxbaum@alaska.edu WEBINAR: https://accap.uaf.edu/?q=webinars

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Science Review Dates:May 20 - 21, 2014

Presenter(s): Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory leadership and research scientists POC for questions: michael.uhart@noaa.gov

Abstract: The Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) periodically conducts laboratory science reviews to evaluate the quality, relevance, and performance of research conducted within each OAR laboratory and to provide strategic advice to the laboratory. As part of this process, the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) will be reviewed May 20-21, 2014, in Princeton, New Jersey. The review will examine the following research areas: (1) Modeling the Earth System; (2) Climate Variability and Change: Understanding and Prediction; and (3) Chemistry, Carbon, Ecosystems, and Climate. OAR and GFDL leadership will provide overviews of the programs, followed by sessions of presentations from scientists in each of the above research areas. The review agenda and supporting materials are posted on the GFDL Laboratory Review website: http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/2014review. Remote access via GoToWebinar will be available. Please register using the links below. Note there is a different link for each day. This meeting will be in broadcast mode only. All time for questions is reserved for the review panel to conduct their business. Date: Tuesday, May 20, 2014 Time: 8:00 AM " 4:00 PM EDT Link: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/694630874 Date: Wednesday, May 21, 2014 Time: 8:15 AM " 4:00 PM EDT Link: https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/225439130

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Rusty Brainard, PhD, Chief of the Coral Reef Ecosystem Division (CRED), Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center, NMFS

Sponsor(s): Joint NMFS/NOS Seminar:

GoToMeeting: https://noaast.adobeconnect.com/r5d878xe6lf/
Call-in number: 877-984-9436 Passcode: 8591340

Abstract:

The seminar will be providing an overview of the interdisciplinary mapping, assessment, long-term monitoring, and research of the coral reef ecosystems of the U.S. Pacific Islands conducted by the Coral Reef Ecosystem Division (CRED) of NOAA's Pacific Islands Fisheries Science since 2000 as part of NOAA's Coral Reef Conservation Program (CRCP) and the National Coral Reef Monitoring Plan (NCRMP). Our team conducts systematic integrated ecosystem observations of the reef fishes, corals, other invertebrates, algae, and microbes in the context of their benthic habitats and varying oceanographic conditions across diverse biogeographic, environmental, and human-impact gradients from the main and Northwestern Hawaiian Islands in the North Pacific to Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands in the Western Pacific to American Samoa in the South Pacific to the Pacific Remote Island Areas in the central equatorial Pacific. These observations are specifically designed to better understand and predict the impacts of fishing, land-based sources of pollution, and climate change and ocean acidification on reef systems to support informed decision making and implementation of ecosystem-based management. The work to monitor the ecological impacts of ocean acidification on reef systems is also supported by NOAA's Ocean Acidification Program.

The talk will also briefly discuss efforts over the past 3+ years to provide technical assistance and capacity building on an ecosystem approach to fisheries management (EAFM) and incorporating considerations of climate and ocean change into an EAFM to the countries of the Coral Triangle and Southeast Asia with support from the U.S. Agency for International Development.

POC: jihong.dai@noaa.gov

GoToMeeting: https://noaast.adobeconnect.com/r5d878xe6lf/

Call-in number: 877-984-9436 Passcode: 8591340

(Rusty Brainard, PhD, Chief of the Coral Reef Ecosystem Division

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. Guillaume Mauger, University of Washington, Joint Institute for the Study of Atmosphere and Ocean Location: http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/contact/map.cfm POC: Diane Tierney (diane.tierney@noaa.gov) ABSTRACT Recently developed analyses of historical and future climate and hydrology for the Pacific Northwest can be used to assess variations in impacts of climate change across the landscape, uncertainty in projections, and extreme events. I will provide an overview of a variety of hydrological models and current modeling results for this region under different climate scenarios. Using wolverines as an example, I will show recent projections from a downscaled ensemble climate model (i.e., snow cover within the Columbia, Upper Missouri and Upper Colorado River Basins), and how we used this information with dispersal modeling to show indications of increasingly smaller and more fragmented populations by the late 21st century. I will also clarify how to access various data products. BIO Dr. Guillaume Mauger is currently a Research Scientist with the Climate Impacts Group (CIG) at the College of the Environment, UW. He received his Ph.D. in Atmospheric Science at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA. His research interests include Climate Change Impacts, Climate Monitoring, Statistical analysis of large-scale datasets, and Cloud-Climate interactions. WEBINAR https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=25224058&UID=61391358&RT=MiM0 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 282 627 017

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: What Can Ecosystem Models Add to the Stock Assessment Process?

Presenter(s): Dr. Cameron Ainsworth (University of South Florida) Seminar sponsor: NOAA Fisheries QUEST Program Seminar POC for questions: Laura.Oremland@noaa.gov When: Thurs., May. 14, 2014, 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time Where: Limited seating will be available in NOAA HQ SSMC3, Fishbowl Conference Room; Remote access is primary format, available at https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/557154833

Abstract: Ecosystem and multispecies models account for a variety of factors not typically modeled in single species stock assessment. These include trophic and behavioral interactions between species and potentially also habitat effects, climate variation and directional climate change, and interactions with various marine-use industries. Dr. Ainsworth will highlight recent case studies from the United States, Mexico, Indonesia and Australia where ecosystem models were used to supplement single-species management. Typical applications of ecosystem models include producing time series of natural mortality for use in single species models, development of equilibrium catch and biomass curves that account for species interactions (modifying optimal fishing mortality rate ([Fopt] and MSY), producing multi-species yield per recruit plots for help in gear specifications and setting basket quotas, quantifying ecosystem services provided by one fishery target species to another, and use of management strategy evaluation " a closed loop simulation-based procedure for optimizing harvest control rules. Dr. Ainsworth will discuss obstacles in achieving broader use of ecosystem models in fisheries management and conclude with new directions for NOAA's Integrated Ecosystem Assessment program such as the use of a model ensemble approach. About the speaker: Dr. Ainsworth's research is focused on understanding how human activities and climate influence the structure and functioning of marine communities and developing new tools and methodologies to support ecosystem-based management. As part of this research, Dr. Ainsworth and his students employ a variety of statistical and numerical simulation models to characterize trophic linkages in marine ecosystems, habitat use by fish and invertebrates, and the influence of physical oceanography on the distribution of marine life. His ongoing studies include a management strategy evaluation (MSE) of Gulf of Mexico marine protected area design. The MSE approach is a type of closed-loop policy analysis that simulates each part of Holling's adaptive management cycle (stock assessment, implementation of harvest rules, and policy evaluation). Key to this approach is recognizing feedbacks from the ecosystem that occur in response to management actions and evaluating tradeoffs with respect to socioeconomic and ecological policy objectives. This work is being done in collaboration with NOAA as part of their Integrated Ecosystem Assessment for the Gulf of Mexico, and other Gulf-area agencies. Another major project ongoing in the Ainsworth lab is the evaluation of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill. This study focuses on the short and long-term impacts of oil toxicity in the ecosystem, as well as the impacts of mediation actions like the use of dispersants and fishery closures.

Remote Access: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/557154833

One NOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: What is blue carbon?? A win-win for habitat conservation and climate mitigation

Presenter(s): Dr. Ariana Sutton-Grier, NOS Office of the Administrator and Amber Moore, NMFS Office of Habitat, Habitat Protection Division Date/Time: Wed., May 14, 2014, 12-1pm ET Location: NOAA SSMC4, Room 8150, Remote access login info. below.

Sponsor(s): NOAA's Ocean Service (NOS) Science Seminar Series Point of Contact: tracy.gill@noaa.gov (301-713-3028x150) REMOTE ACCESS: Mymeeting webinars use PHONE & INTERNET. You may need to download MyMeetings files; you may need your system admin to do this for you, so do it well before the seminar. FOR AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# FOR WEBCAST: go to mymeetings.com Under Participant Join, click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting no: 744925156 NO PASSCODE is required.

Abstract: Blue carbon, the carbon taken up and stored by coastal and marine ecosystems, represents a vast, previously unrecognized natural carbon sink. Coastal blue carbon habitats, including salt marshes, mangroves, and seagrasses, sequester carbon at rates 10 times higher than forested ecosystems and store carbon in their soil that is often hundreds or thousands of years old. As such, in addition to giving other important climate adaptation benefits to coastal communities like storm protection, nursery habitats for fish, and water purification, this coastal blue carbon reserve is a crucial part of natural climate mitigation. This discussion will describe NOAA's current efforts, with partners, to support blue carbon science and policy as well as describing potential opportunities for future engagement.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Presenter(s): Dr. Arthur Miller, University of California, San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography Location: http://www.nwfsc.noaa.gov/contact/map.cfm POC: Diane Tierney (diane.tierney@noaa.gov) WEBINAR https://nwfsc200.webex.com/nwfsc200/j.php?ED=25224058&UID=61391358&RT=MiM0 Call-in toll number (US/Canada): 1-650-479-3207 Access code: 282 627 017 ABSTRACT The dynamical mechanisms associated with climate variations such as PDO, NPGO and ENSO will be discussed in the context of their influence on the California Current and the regional climate of the U.S. West Coast, with particular emphasis on their ability to organize patterns of ecosystem response in the ocean. Elements of this physical variability that have the largest potential for exploiting predictable signals will be highlighted. BIO Dr. Art Miller is currently a Research Oceanographer and a Senior Lecturer in Climate Sciences at Scripps Institution of Oceanography (UCSD). He is also Director of the Climate, Atmospheric Science, and Physical Oceanography (CASPO) Division. He is a physical oceanographer who studies oceanic influences on climate variability using a combination of computer simulation models and observational analysis. His research extends from basic issues in physical oceanography to a variety of topics in climate dynamics, atmospheric dynamics, data assimilation, regional impacts of global climate change, and oceanic ecosystem response to physical forcing. He also serves on the U.S. CLIVAR Phenomena Observations and Synthesis (POS) Panel, and has served on the U.S. GLOBEC Scientific Steering Committee, the PICES Evaluations of Climate Change Working Group, the Bering Ecosystem Study (BEST) Scientific Steering Committee, and the U.S. CLIVAR Pacific Sector Implementation Panel. PUBLICATIONS http://horizon.ucsd.edu/miller/download/CCE_Modeling/CCE_Modeling.pdf http://horizon.ucsd.edu/miller/download/CCE_Climate-Physics/CCE_Climate-Physics.pdf http://horizon.ucsd.edu/miller/download/NPGO/NPGO.pdf http://horizon.ucsd.edu/miller/download/jgofs/JO_60-1-11.pdf http://horizon.ucsd.edu/miller/download/pices/prog_oc_text.pdf

Each month, a speaker will give a presentation on various topics related to NGS programs, projects, products and services to educate constituents about NGS activities. Visit the Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/. Future webinars will be held on the second Thursday of every month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Presenter(s): Dave Zenk, PE, LS, Northern Plains Regional Geodetic Advisor, NOAA's National Geodetic Survey

Remote Access: To register for this presentation, go to https://register.gotowebinar.com/register/1140650246776286209

This Webinar will be recorded and made accessible approximately one week after the presentation.

Abstract: This webinar discusses the fundamentals of astronomy, geodesy, geodetic datums, map projections, and GPS. It is intended to serve as a review tool for students and point toward additional sources for more in-depth study.

Intermediate Technical Content Rating: Some prior knowledge of this topic is helpful.

To subscribe for future NGS webinar notifications, visit: https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USNOAANOS/subscriber/new?topic_id=USNOAANOS_71

Subscribe to the NOAA Science Seminar Series weekly e-mail: Send an email to OneNOAAscienceseminars-request@list.woc.noaa.gov with the word 'subscribe' in the subject or body. See http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/seminars/

National Geodetic Survey webinars are held on the second Thursday of the month, from 2:00-3:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Visit the National Geodetic Survey's Webinar Series Web-site to register, sign up to receive monthly webinar notices, and learn more: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/web/science_edu/webinar_series/.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Title: Listening to our Sanctuaries: Understanding and Reducing the Impacts of Underwater Noise in Marine Protected Areas Where: Remote access and SSMC4, Rm. 11153 Large Conference Room To register, visit: https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/916410096 Toll: +1 (480) 297-0021 Access Code: 126-444-677 Webinar ID: 916-410-096

Presenter(s): Leila Hatch, Ph.D. " Gerry E. Studds Stellwagen Bank National Marine Sanctuary Increasing levels of human activity are contributing increasing levels of underwater noise to the world's aquatic places. In the U.S., the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is the federal agency most responsible for preventing harm to aquatic animals and their habitats. This presentation will discuss NOAA's interest in conserving acoustic habitat quality in addition to minimizing adverse physical and behavioral impacts of noise to specific species. It will also focus on the role that National Marine Sanctuaries are playing in NOAA's ocean noise strategy through both science and management initiatives. When: May 8, 2014 1:00 - 2:00 p.m. Eastern Seminar POC for questions: Lauren.Wenzel@noaa.gov NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center This webinar is co-sponsored by the NOAA National Marine Protected Areas Center, EBM Tools Network, OpenChannels.org, MPA News and EcoAdapt. http://marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/resources/webinars/

OneNOAA Science Seminar Series

Title: Are deep-sea corals and sponges protected from commercial bottom fishing by the marine protected area network in Southern California?

Presenter(s): Peter Etnoyer, Enrique Salgado, Kevin Stierhoff, Stephanie Nehasil Where: NOAA SSMC4, Rm 8150, and remote access login info below. When: Thursday, May 8, 2014, 12-1pm ET

Sponsor(s): NOS Science Seminar Series; Point of contact is tracy.gill@noaa.gov REMOTE ACCESS: Mymeeting webinars use PHONE & INTERNET. You may need to download MyMeetings files; you may need your system admin to do this for you, so do it well before the seminar. FOR AUDIO: Dial toll-free (U.S.) 1-877-708-1667. Enter passcode 7028688# FOR WEBCAST: go to mymeetings.com Under Participant Join, click "Join an Event", then add conference meeting number: 744925156 NO PASSCODE is required.

Abstract: Deep-sea corals and sponges thrive between 45-500 meters depth in the cold, upwelling waters and complex benthic topography of the Southern California Bight (SCB). Corals and sponges are vulnerable to bottom-contact fishing, so there is a need to understand the spatial overlap of commercial fishing activities with these deep-water coral habitats. This study characterized fishing intensity, marine debris, corals, and sponges on 25 deep-water banks in SCB. Fishing intensity was estimated using commercial fisheries landings (2007-2011) from California Department of Fish and Game with observations of marine debris, corals, and sponges in images from 350 remotely operate vehicle dives conducted by NOAA since 2003. Survey sites were ranked using a novel algorithm that weighs richness, abundance, frequency, and fishing intensity (RAFFi) to prioritize sites for conservation. Priorities were compared to protections offered by existing essential fish habitat (EFH) and other marine protected areas in Southern California.

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): JCSDA Seminar Series

Title: Uncertainties in forward microwave brightness temperatures and what to do about them

Presenter(s): Jeff Steward UCLA, Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Science and Engineering

Abstract: Forward simulations of cloudy satellite radiances are fraught with uncertainty especially in the microwave regime. The scattering parameters that determine satellite brightness temperatures critically depend on complex, unknown size and shape distributions of liquid and solid hydrometeors. These uncertainties can lead to differences of 50 K or more in forward calculations alone, and therefore this issue must be addressed before attempting to assimilate this data into operational models. In this talk, I will quantify some of the various sources of uncertainty in passive microwave radiances (e.g. TRMM/TMI). I will also present an elegant method we have developed at UCLA and JPL to assimilate these uncertain observations. This method is based upon statistical inference using the directions of the most certain correlations. The uncertain directions can be neglected, thus reducing the order of the problem as well as regularizing the mapping. The observation error covariance formulation also becomes straightforward and elegant. We present the encouraging results of our microwave brightness temperatures simulation in both 1D-Var and Ensemble Kalman Filter frameworks. WebEx and Audio information available at: http://www.jcsda.noaa.gov/JCSDASeminars.php POC: Kevin.Garrett@noaa.gov

OneNOAA Science Seminar

Sponsor(s): EMC-CPC seminar 1. Please join my meeting. https://global.gotomeeting.com/meeting/join/181315461 2. Use your microphone and speakers (VoIP) - a headset is recommended. Or, call in using your telephone. United States: +1 (312) 878-3078 Access Code: 181-315-461 Audio PIN: Shown after joining the meeting

Title: A coupled energy & air quality model for lowest cost energy solutions, respecting air quality constraints: development and initial results

Presenter(s): Daniel S. Zachary

Abstract: This presentation describes the development and initial results of an integrated assessment model for the urban scale (< 150 miles). The model uses a full database of energy sources, devices, and their emissions for the four broad sectors of the energy economy: transportation, industrial, residential, and commercial. We study national energy scenarios for Luxembourg using a detailed energy description and transition methodology, based on an urban adaptation of the MARket ALlocation (MARKAL) Model. Emissions are geo-spatially distributed via a land cover interface and fed to an efficient urban scale air quality transport model. A function representing ozone levels based on primary NOX and VOC emissions are used to produce optimal energy scenarios satisfying air quality regulatory limits. This coupled approach called the LEAQ (Luxembourg Energy Air Quality) model is suitable to address sustainable urban infrastructure and policy questions by exploring future ( 50 year horizon) air quality snap shots for different emissions and climate scenarios. We show initial validation and results and compare with ground station measurements. POC: Contact Michiko.Masutani@noaa.gov

OneNOAA Science Seminar Monday, May 5, 2014, 2:00 - 3:30 pm Boulder, CO David Skaggs Research Center (DSRC) Room GC402

Presenter(s): Jeff McLeod, Research Associate (University of Colorado Boulder) Emissions Implications of Future Natural Gas Production and Use in the U.S. and Rocky Mountain Region

Sponsor(s): Earth System Research Laboratory Global Monitoring Division and Sustainable Energy and Atmospheric Sciences Seminar Brought to you by NOAA, NREL, and CU-Boulder Renewable and Sustainable Energy Institute (RASEI) POC for questions: Rhonda.K.Lange@noaa.gov

Abstract: The recent increase in U.S. natural gas production made possible through advancements in extraction techniques including hydraulic fracturing has transformed the U.S. energy supply landscape while raising questions regarding the balance of environmental impacts associated with natural gas production and use. Impact areas at issue include emissions of methane and criteria pollutants from natural gas production, alongside changes in emissions from increased use of natural gas in place of coal for electricity generation. In the Rocky Mountain region, these impact areas have been subject to additional scrutiny due to the high level of regional oil and gas production activity and concerns over its links to air quality. Here, the MARKAL (MArket ALlocation) least-cost energy system optimization model in conjunction with the EPA-MARKAL nine-region database has been used to characterize future regional and national emissions of CO2, CH4, VOC, and NOx attributed to natural gas production and use in several sectors of the economy. The analysis is informed by comparing and contrasting a base case, business-as-usual scenario with scenarios featuring variations in future natural gas supply characteristics, constraints affecting the electricity generation mix, carbon emission reduction strategies and increased demand for natural gas in the transportation sector. Emission trends and their associated sensitivities are identified and contrasted between the Rocky Mountain region and the U.S. as a whole. The modeling results of this study illustrate the resilience of the short term greenhouse gas emission benefits associated with fuel switching from coal to gas in the electric sector, but also call attention to the long term implications of increasing natural gas production and use for emissions of methane and VOCs, especially in the Rocky Mountain region. This analysis can help to inform the broader discussion of the potential environmental impacts of future natural gas production and use by illustrating links between relevant economic and environmental variables. About The

Presenter(s): Jeff McLeod is a Masters candidate at the University of Colorado at Boulder in the Mechanical Engineering department. At CU Boulder Jeff's research focus is on assessing the air quality and climate change impacts of natural gas production and use using energy system modeling. His other academic and professional interests include renewable energy systems, energy markets, energy engineering, and development & deployment of new energy technologies from an engineering perspective. He also has extensive teaching and tutoring experience, and takes an interest in education in general and in particular reforming and rethinking traditional pedagogical approaches in the STEM fields. Visitor information: The Sustainable Energy and Atmospheric Sciences seminar series is designed to enhance communication and collaboration among scientists at NREL, NOAA, and others in the community working on issues related to renewable energy. Scientists at the University of Colorado, School of Mines, Colorado State University, National Center for Atmospheric Research, and the private sector are encouraged to participate. If you plan to attend and do not work at NOAA, please contact Rhonda Lange (Rhonda.K.Lange@noaa.gov) at least one day in advance, so that she can give your name to the security office to facilitate your entrance to the campus. Visitors must have photo identification. International attendees are required to present a passport. We will have additional staff to hand out badges to visitors who call ahead. If security personnel asks for a point of contact, please use Rhonda Lange (x6045) or Holly Palm (x6000). If you are a foreign national without permanent residency, please call or email so security can be notified in advance. For more visitor information http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/about/visiting.html